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Avanos Medical (AVNS)
NYSE:AVNS

Avanos Medical (AVNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Avanos Medical

(NYSE:AVNS)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲( 5.61% Upside)
Avanos Medical's stock reflects a mixed outlook. Financial performance is under pressure from declining revenues and net losses, though improved cash flows and a strong equity position offer some stability. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are unappealing due to ongoing losses. The earnings call provided cautious optimism, with strong segment results but highlighted external challenges like tariffs. The new CEO appointment is a strategic positive, likely to influence future growth positively.
Positive Factors
Business Developments
AVNS recorded some positive developments during the quarter, which include completing the divestiture of its respiratory health business, exceeding internal expectations on its Trident U.S. market launch, as well as improving its capital position.
Quarterly Performance
Avanos Medical posted a moderate quarterly beat on both the top and bottom lines, with a strong quarter from its Digestive Health business.
Negative Factors
Future Guidance
Management's initial full-year 2025 guidance was light of Street expectations, calling for flat to slight declines in both revenue and earnings, reflecting a challenging market environment for some of its product categories, currency headwinds, and other macro factors.
Pricing Pressures
The hyaluronic acid injection business continues to be a sore spot with ongoing pricing pressures highlighted as a key factor underpinning the company’s below-Consensus initial 2025 guidance.

Avanos Medical (AVNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avanos Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvanos Medical, Inc. is a medical technology company that focuses on delivering clinically superior products and improving patient outcomes. Headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia, Avanos operates in the healthcare sector, specializing in the development of advanced medical devices. The company's core products and services include offerings in pain management and chronic care, such as its innovative non-opioid solutions for acute and chronic pain, and its portfolio of enteral feeding products designed to improve patient care and comfort.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvanos Medical generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and solutions, which are aimed at healthcare facilities, hospitals, and other medical institutions. The company's revenue model is centered around two key segments: Pain Management and Chronic Care. The Pain Management segment focuses on providing non-opioid pain relief solutions, which are increasingly in demand as healthcare providers seek alternatives to opioid prescriptions. The Chronic Care segment includes products designed for enteral feeding, airway management, and other chronic care needs. Additionally, Avanos may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations that enable it to expand its product offerings and market reach, contributing to its financial performance. Factors such as regulatory approvals, market demand for non-opioid pain management, and the adoption of chronic care solutions are significant contributors to Avanos Medical's earnings.

Avanos Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avanos Medical exhibits a mix of growth and challenges. While revenue shows modest growth, profitability metrics remain weak with consistent net losses. The balance sheet holds a stable equity position, mitigating some risk. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, but underlying profitability and operational efficiency need attention to ensure long-term financial health.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Avanos Medical has shown a slight increase in revenue with a 2.15% growth from 2023 to 2024, but there are significant concerns with profitability. The company reported a substantial net loss of $392.1 million in 2024, leading to a negative net profit margin. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges, suggesting inefficiency in managing operational costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a reasonable level of equity with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 in 2024, showcasing a manageable leverage level. However, the decline in stockholders' equity and total assets over recent years signals a potential risk in financial stability. The equity ratio remains stable at around 71.8%, indicating a strong asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow situation shows improvement with a significant increase in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting positive cash generation despite accounting losses. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is concerning due to negative net income, indicating reliance on non-operational cash sources.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
687.80M673.30M820.00M744.60M714.80M
Gross Profit
381.30M379.70M450.00M364.30M373.30M
EBIT
-396.20M4.20M74.00M8.90M-46.10M
EBITDA
-345.60M50.60M77.80M8.90M-2.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-392.10M-61.80M50.50M6.30M-27.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
107.70M87.70M127.70M118.50M111.50M
Total Assets
1.15B1.69B1.79B1.59B1.67B
Total Debt
170.20M209.10M280.00M187.50M248.80M
Net Debt
62.50M121.40M152.30M69.00M137.30M
Total Liabilities
325.70M456.10M495.70M330.70M416.30M
Stockholders Equity
828.50M1.24B1.29B1.26B1.26B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
82.90M14.60M71.60M66.30M-22.70M
Operating Cash Flow
100.70M32.40M90.90M87.30M-2.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-27.50M21.60M-135.40M-21.00M-24.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-49.10M-94.20M56.70M-55.30M-70.00M

Avanos Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.31
Price Trends
50DMA
13.13
Negative
100DMA
14.51
Negative
200DMA
17.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
43.26
Neutral
STOCH
31.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.64, below the 50-day MA of 13.13, and below the 200-day MA of 17.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVNS.

Avanos Medical Risk Analysis

Avanos Medical disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avanos Medical reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
New or increased tariffs or other trade restrictions could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. Q4, 2024

Avanos Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$783.25M-15.96%22.60%41.26%
66
Neutral
$515.94M-11.33%31.28%-81.86%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-44.09%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
52
Neutral
$569.26M45.80-36.78%1.34%-530.36%
52
Neutral
$536.62M-29.16%25.77%49.44%
47
Neutral
$434.91M-27.82%5.85%-8.92%
BVBVS
47
Neutral
$536.40M-19.79%8.60%-42.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNS
Avanos Medical
12.31
-7.89
-39.06%
OFIX
Orthofix
11.10
-3.52
-24.08%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
20.83
-13.00
-38.43%
SIBN
SI-Bone
18.38
4.66
33.97%
BFLY
Butterfly Network
2.17
1.14
110.68%
BVS
Bioventus
6.53
-0.40
-5.77%

Avanos Medical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Avanos showed strong performance in key segments like Specialty Nutrition Systems and Pain Management, along with a solid financial position. However, significant challenges remain due to tariff impacts and declines in certain product lines, which are expected to affect earnings.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of Specialty Nutrition Systems
The Specialty Nutrition Systems segment delivered above-market results, growing almost 9% organically versus the prior year, reaffirming their number one position in long-term, short-term, and neonatal enteral feeding.
Positive Growth in Pain Management and Recovery Segment
The Radio Frequency Ablation business posted near double-digit growth this quarter compared to the previous year, with increasing productivity and international expansion leveraging reimbursement tailwinds.
Solid Financial Position
Avanos reported $97 million of cash-on-hand and $107 million of debt outstanding as of March 31. They generated $19 million of free cash flow in the quarter and estimate $65 million for 2025, excluding tariffs.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on Earnings
Avanos expects approximately $15 million in incremental tariff-related manufacturing costs for the year, which could significantly impact earnings. Additional tariffs have been announced, particularly on China-origin goods.
Decline in Hyaluronic Acid and Intravenous Infusion Product Lines
These product lines declined over 30% combined during the first quarter, primarily due to continued pricing pressures.
Leadership Change Costs
The company will incur one-time executive leadership change costs during the second quarter, which were not anticipated in the initial guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Avanos Medical First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance and discussed various metrics. Avanos reported approximately $168 million in sales for the quarter, with organic sales growth of 2.8% year-over-year. The adjusted diluted earnings per share stood at $0.26, accompanied by an adjusted EBITDA of around $22 million. The adjusted gross margins were 56.7%, while SG&A expenses accounted for 43.4% of revenue. The company's strong balance sheet featured $97 million in cash and $107 million in debt as of March 31. Avanos generated $19 million in free cash flow during the quarter and aims for approximately $65 million for the full year, excluding the impact of tariffs. The Specialty Nutrition Systems segment achieved nearly 9% organic growth, while the Pain Management and Recovery segment saw normalized organic sales rise by 2.4%. However, the company projected tariff-related costs of about $15 million for the year, potentially impacting earnings, and revised its 2025 adjusted earnings per share estimate to a range of $0.75 to $0.95.

Avanos Medical Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Avanos Medical Announces Executive Departure Agreement
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Avanos Medical, Inc. and Michael C. Greiner entered into a Separation and Consulting Agreement, marking Mr. Greiner’s departure from the company. As part of the agreement, Mr. Greiner will receive a cash severance of $2,100,000, a prorated bonus for 2025, and coverage of his COBRA premiums for six months. Additionally, certain stock units granted to Mr. Greiner will vest immediately. He will also serve as an independent contractor until May 16, 2025, for which he will be compensated $50,000. The agreement includes a Full and Final Release of Claims and Covenant Not to Sue, ensuring a smooth transition and compliance with confidentiality and non-solicitation terms.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avanos Medical Announces Leadership Changes in April 2025
Neutral
Apr 18, 2025

On April 18, 2025, Avanos Medical announced the departure of Michael C. Greiner, who had served as Interim CEO and previously as CFO and Chief Transformation Officer. Greiner’s exit follows the appointment of Dave Pacitti as CEO on April 14, 2025. Greiner will receive a severance package, including a $2.1 million payment, prorated bonus, and consulting fees. Additionally, Jason M. Pickett has been appointed as Interim CFO and Treasurer, effective April 14, 2025, following Warren J. Machan’s transition to a consulting role. These leadership changes indicate a strategic shift within Avanos Medical, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder relations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avanos Medical Appoints David Pacitti as New CEO
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

On March 17, 2025, Avanos Medical announced the appointment of David Pacitti as its new Chief Executive Officer, effective April 14, 2025. Pacitti, who previously held leadership roles at Siemens Healthineers and Abbott Vascular, brings extensive industry expertise and a strategic vision to the company. His appointment is expected to drive Avanos’s next phase of growth and success, with a focus on delivering breakthrough medical device solutions and enhancing long-term value for stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.