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Avanos Medical (AVNS)
NYSE:AVNS

Avanos Medical (AVNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Avanos Medical

(NYSE:AVNS)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(1.21%Upside)
Avanos Medical's overall stock score reflects significant financial performance challenges, with declining revenues and net losses weighing heavily. The technical analysis indicates neutral to bearish sentiment, while the negative valuation metrics further impact the score. Despite some positive segment performances, tariff impacts and product line declines add risks.
Positive Factors
Business Performance
Avanos Medical posted a moderate quarterly beat on both the top and bottom lines, with a strong quarter from its Digestive Health business.
Strategic Developments
AVNS recorded some positive developments during the quarter, which include completing the divestiture of its respiratory health business, exceeding internal expectations on its Trident U.S. market launch, as well as improving its capital position.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Market Conditions
Management's initial full-year 2025 guidance was light of Street expectations, calling for flat to slight declines in both revenue and earnings, reflecting a challenging market environment for some of its product categories, currency headwinds, and other macro factors.
Hyaluronic Acid Business
The hyaluronic acid injection business continues to be a sore spot with ongoing pricing pressures highlighted as a key factor underpinning the company’s below-Consensus initial 2025 guidance.

Avanos Medical (AVNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avanos Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvanos Medical, Inc. (AVNS) is a medical technology company that operates primarily within the healthcare sector, focusing on the development and production of medical devices designed to address various clinical needs. The company's core products and services are centered around pain management and chronic care, offering solutions such as non-opioid pain therapies and products for digestive health, respiratory health, and surgical care. Avanos is dedicated to improving patient outcomes and enhancing quality of life through innovative and clinically effective products.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvanos Medical generates revenue through the sale of its medical devices and related services. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to hospitals, healthcare providers, and other medical facilities that utilize its products for patient care. Key revenue streams include sales from its pain management products, such as COOLIEF, a radiofrequency treatment for chronic pain, and ON-Q, a non-opioid pain relief system. Additionally, the company earns income from its chronic care offerings, including enteral feeding tubes and respiratory health products. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers, ongoing product innovation, and a focus on non-opioid solutions are significant factors contributing to Avanos' earnings.

Avanos Medical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Avanos showed strong performance in key segments like Specialty Nutrition Systems and Pain Management, along with a solid financial position. However, significant challenges remain due to tariff impacts and declines in certain product lines, which are expected to affect earnings.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of Specialty Nutrition Systems
The Specialty Nutrition Systems segment delivered above-market results, growing almost 9% organically versus the prior year, reaffirming their number one position in long-term, short-term, and neonatal enteral feeding.
Positive Growth in Pain Management and Recovery Segment
The Radio Frequency Ablation business posted near double-digit growth this quarter compared to the previous year, with increasing productivity and international expansion leveraging reimbursement tailwinds.
Solid Financial Position
Avanos reported $97 million of cash-on-hand and $107 million of debt outstanding as of March 31. They generated $19 million of free cash flow in the quarter and estimate $65 million for 2025, excluding tariffs.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on Earnings
Avanos expects approximately $15 million in incremental tariff-related manufacturing costs for the year, which could significantly impact earnings. Additional tariffs have been announced, particularly on China-origin goods.
Decline in Hyaluronic Acid and Intravenous Infusion Product Lines
These product lines declined over 30% combined during the first quarter, primarily due to continued pricing pressures.
Leadership Change Costs
The company will incur one-time executive leadership change costs during the second quarter, which were not anticipated in the initial guidance.
Company Guidance
During the Avanos Medical First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance and discussed various metrics. Avanos reported approximately $168 million in sales for the quarter, with organic sales growth of 2.8% year-over-year. The adjusted diluted earnings per share stood at $0.26, accompanied by an adjusted EBITDA of around $22 million. The adjusted gross margins were 56.7%, while SG&A expenses accounted for 43.4% of revenue. The company's strong balance sheet featured $97 million in cash and $107 million in debt as of March 31. Avanos generated $19 million in free cash flow during the quarter and aims for approximately $65 million for the full year, excluding the impact of tariffs. The Specialty Nutrition Systems segment achieved nearly 9% organic growth, while the Pain Management and Recovery segment saw normalized organic sales rise by 2.4%. However, the company projected tariff-related costs of about $15 million for the year, potentially impacting earnings, and revised its 2025 adjusted earnings per share estimate to a range of $0.75 to $0.95.

Avanos Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avanos Medical faces significant financial challenges, with a declining revenue trend and persistent net losses negatively impacting profitability. Improved cash flows and a strong equity position provide some financial stability, but operational inefficiencies need to be addressed for better performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Avanos Medical's income statement shows a declining revenue trend, with a noticeable revenue decrease from $820M in 2022 to $689.2M TTM. The company has been operating at a loss, with negative EBIT and net income margins for TTM, indicating challenges in managing operational costs efficiently. Despite historical profitability in 2022, recent performance suggests financial struggles, potentially due to market or operational disruptions.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position, with a healthy equity ratio of 75.8% TTM. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has decreased from 0.22 in 2022 to 0.17 TTM, indicating reduced leverage. Avanos Medical maintains a stable asset base, but the declining equity and total assets since 2022 suggest potential pressures on financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Avanos Medical's cash flow indicates improved operational efficiency, with operating cash flow increasing to $134.4M TTM. The free cash flow growth is positive, showing a recovery from 2022. However, the negative investing cash flow suggests ongoing investments or capital expenditures that might impact liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows effective conversion of income into cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue689.20M687.80M673.30M820.00M744.60M714.80M
Gross Profit376.30M381.30M379.70M450.00M364.30M373.30M
EBITDA-337.80M-345.60M50.60M77.80M8.90M-2.00M
Net Income-384.60M-392.10M-61.80M50.50M6.30M-27.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.15B1.69B1.79B1.59B1.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.00M107.70M87.70M127.70M118.50M111.50M
Total Debt140.90M170.20M209.10M280.00M187.50M248.80M
Total Liabilities268.40M325.70M456.10M495.70M330.70M416.30M
Stockholders Equity839.40M828.50M1.24B1.29B1.26B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow114.00M82.90M14.60M71.60M66.30M-22.70M
Operating Cash Flow134.40M100.70M32.40M90.90M87.30M-2.50M
Investing Cash Flow-34.60M-27.50M21.60M-135.40M-21.00M-24.20M
Financing Cash Flow-77.50M-49.10M-94.20M56.70M-55.30M-70.00M

Avanos Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.35
Price Trends
50DMA
12.48
Negative
100DMA
13.47
Negative
200DMA
16.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
49.21
Neutral
STOCH
61.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.32, below the 50-day MA of 12.48, and below the 200-day MA of 16.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AVNS.

Avanos Medical Risk Analysis

Avanos Medical disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avanos Medical reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avanos Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$787.09M-15.96%22.60%41.26%
64
Neutral
$556.81M-11.33%31.28%-81.86%
52
Neutral
$7.50B0.31-61.87%2.27%17.10%1.59%
BVBVS
50
Neutral
$576.65M-19.79%8.60%-42.76%
49
Neutral
$435.69M-27.82%5.85%-8.92%
48
Neutral
$571.11M45.80-36.78%1.34%-530.36%
47
Neutral
$479.74M-29.16%25.77%49.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNS
Avanos Medical
12.35
-7.28
-37.09%
OFIX
Orthofix
11.12
-3.02
-21.36%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
22.48
-9.23
-29.11%
SIBN
SI-Bone
18.47
4.98
36.92%
BFLY
Butterfly Network
1.94
0.93
92.08%
BVS
Bioventus
7.02
0.95
15.65%

Avanos Medical Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Avanos Medical Announces Executive Departure Agreement
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Avanos Medical, Inc. and Michael C. Greiner entered into a Separation and Consulting Agreement, marking Mr. Greiner’s departure from the company. As part of the agreement, Mr. Greiner will receive a cash severance of $2,100,000, a prorated bonus for 2025, and coverage of his COBRA premiums for six months. Additionally, certain stock units granted to Mr. Greiner will vest immediately. He will also serve as an independent contractor until May 16, 2025, for which he will be compensated $50,000. The agreement includes a Full and Final Release of Claims and Covenant Not to Sue, ensuring a smooth transition and compliance with confidentiality and non-solicitation terms.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avanos Medical Announces Leadership Changes in April 2025
Neutral
Apr 18, 2025

On April 18, 2025, Avanos Medical announced the departure of Michael C. Greiner, who had served as Interim CEO and previously as CFO and Chief Transformation Officer. Greiner’s exit follows the appointment of Dave Pacitti as CEO on April 14, 2025. Greiner will receive a severance package, including a $2.1 million payment, prorated bonus, and consulting fees. Additionally, Jason M. Pickett has been appointed as Interim CFO and Treasurer, effective April 14, 2025, following Warren J. Machan’s transition to a consulting role. These leadership changes indicate a strategic shift within Avanos Medical, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025