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SI-Bone Inc (SIBN)
NASDAQ:SIBN

SI-Bone (SIBN) AI Stock Analysis

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SI-Bone

(NASDAQ:SIBN)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$20.50
▲(17.68%Upside)
SI-Bone exhibits strong revenue growth and technical performance with bullish indicators, complemented by positive earnings call updates. However, profitability challenges, particularly ongoing net losses, and valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio present significant risks. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on growth potential, but investors should remain mindful of profitability and cash flow issues.
Positive Factors
Earnings
SIBN delivered strong top- and bottom-line results, including impressive year-over-year growth in active surgeons and surgeons performing more than one procedure type.
Product Launch
The launches of its Granite 9.5 and TNT product have exceeded expectations, showing promising engagement with interventional spine doctors.
Regulatory Approval
SIBN has received FDA Breakthrough Device Designation for its new Pelvic Fracture Fixation System, exceeding launch expectations and making SIBN the only public company in its industry granted three BDDs.
Negative Factors
Market Pressures
Despite market pressures, SIBN is considered to be in good standing, with a target multiple maintained at ~3x (EV/26E revenue) implying a price target of $19.

SI-Bone (SIBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SI-Bone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSI-BONE, Inc., a medical device company, develops implantable devices used to solve musculoskeletal disorders of the sacropelvic anatomy in the United States and internationally. It offers iFuse, a minimally invasive surgical implant system to address sacroiliac joint dysfunction and degeneration, adult deformity, and pelvic ring traumatic fractures. The company also provides iFuse-3D, a titanium implant that combines the triangular cross-section of the iFuse implant with the proprietary 3D-printed porous surface and fenestrated design; and iFuse-TORQ, a set of 3D-printed threaded implants designed to treat fractures of the pelvis and for minimally invasive sacroiliac joint fusion. It markets its products primarily with a direct sales force, as well as through distributors. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySI-Bone generates revenue primarily through the sale of its iFuse Implant System, which is used by orthopedic surgeons and neurosurgeons in minimally invasive procedures to treat sacroiliac joint dysfunction. The company's revenue model is centered around direct sales to hospitals and surgical centers, as well as through partnerships with distributors in various regions. Key revenue streams include the sale of the iFuse Implant System and any associated instrumentation or accessories required for the surgical procedure. Additionally, SI-Bone invests in clinical research and development to expand the applications of its technology, which can contribute to revenue growth by broadening the market for its products. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers and institutions also play a role in enhancing the adoption and utilization of their solutions, further driving revenue.

SI-Bone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, increased physician engagement, and improved gross margins, but also acknowledged challenges such as ongoing net losses, slow international revenue growth, and pending regulatory decisions. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with strong operational performance but mindful of external conditions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Worldwide revenue for the quarter reached $47.3 million, representing approximately 25% growth. U.S. revenue was $44.8 million, reflecting approximately 27% growth.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company delivered positive adjusted EBITDA of approximately $0.5 million compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $4 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Significant Increase in Physician Engagement
Over 1,400 US physicians performed procedures using SI-BONE's products, marking a 27% increase in the physician base.
New Product Launch and Development
SI-BONE plans to launch a new SI joint fusion solution in Q1 2026 and is developing a third breakthrough device targeting a pressing need in spine surgery.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margin rate for the quarter was 79.7%, an improvement of nearly 80 basis points.
Increased Product Adoption
Notable adoption of the iFuse Bedrock Granite 9.5, with a 69% growth in four implant Granite cases compared to the prior year.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Narrowed but Still Present
Net loss narrowed to $6.5 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $10.9 million, or $0.27 per diluted share.
International Revenue Lagging
International revenue in the first quarter was only $2.5 million, indicating a slower growth compared to the U.S. market.
Potential Impact of Macroeconomic Conditions
The company is mindful of macroeconomic conditions and has taken a prudent approach in their outlook for the year.
Pending Regulatory and Reimbursement Decisions
CMS has indicated the need for additional time to analyze the data with respect to SI-BONE's request for reassignment of Granite procedures to a higher severity reimbursement category.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, SI-BONE provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and future outlook. The company reported a robust worldwide revenue of $47.3 million for the first quarter of 2025, marking a 24.9% increase, with U.S. revenue growing by 26.6%. The company achieved an impressive gross margin of 79.7%, up by nearly 80 basis points, and reported positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.5 million. SI-BONE's active physician base expanded by 27%, and procedure volume grew by 27.3% in the U.S. The company also updated its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $193.5 million to $197.5 million, reflecting anticipated year-over-year growth of 16% to 18%. The guidance also suggests an improvement in full-year gross margin expectations to 78%. With positive adjusted EBITDA already achieved and plans for further territory expansion, SI-BONE remains optimistic about its ability to reach free cash flow by 2026.

SI-Bone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SI-Bone's financial statements reflect a mixed performance. Strong revenue growth and gross margins are positive indicators, but ongoing losses affect profitability. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, yet the negative ROE reflects profitability issues. Cash flow remains a concern due to negative free cash flow, indicating the need for improved cash management. Overall, while the company shows growth potential, it faces challenges in achieving profitability and positive cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 79% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative due to substantial net losses, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is robust, with a 6.8% increase from the previous year to TTM, signaling positive sales momentum. Despite this, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight persistent operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
SI-Bone's balance sheet reveals a healthy equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, suggesting low financial leverage. The return on equity remains negative due to consistent net losses, indicating a drag on shareholder returns. The equity ratio of 73.6% is strong, reflecting a solid financial structure with significant equity backing assets.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement in operating cash flow, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in converting earnings to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, reflecting cash constraints.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
176.60M167.18M138.89M106.41M90.15M73.39M
Gross Profit
139.95M132.12M109.42M90.70M79.72M64.48M
EBIT
-30.68M-35.25M-46.93M-59.61M-51.67M-38.57M
EBITDA
-18.76M-23.09M-34.45M-54.98M-49.58M-36.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-26.55M-30.91M-43.34M-62.90M-60.13M-48.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
144.41M150.04M166.02M97.29M146.98M196.43M
Total Assets
227.28M230.44M230.43M157.55M190.51M223.14M
Total Debt
37.15M37.48M38.99M39.43M40.48M39.45M
Net Debt
-4.03M2.54M5.72M18.71M-22.94M-14.13M
Total Liabilities
60.02M63.47M61.05M59.25M56.09M53.78M
Stockholders Equity
167.26M166.96M169.38M98.30M134.42M169.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-20.25M-22.92M-26.51M-51.16M-45.92M-33.22M
Operating Cash Flow
-9.77M-12.43M-18.71M-41.66M-39.53M-30.66M
Investing Cash Flow
16.91M12.62M-59.80M-2.81M51.58M-62.92M
Financing Cash Flow
1.96M1.96M90.93M2.20M-1.71M136.40M

SI-Bone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.42
Price Trends
50DMA
16.48
Positive
100DMA
16.37
Positive
200DMA
15.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Positive
RSI
42.86
Neutral
STOCH
17.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIBN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.82, above the 50-day MA of 16.48, and above the 200-day MA of 15.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SIBN.

SI-Bone Risk Analysis

SI-Bone disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SI-Bone reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SI-Bone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$778.14M-15.96%22.60%41.26%
62
Neutral
$524.11M-11.33%31.28%-81.86%
56
Neutral
$457.26M-7.22%18.81%67.41%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.27-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
49
Neutral
$437.26M-27.82%5.85%-8.92%
49
Neutral
$392.23M-161.19%1.64%16.02%
BVBVS
47
Neutral
$551.19M-19.79%8.60%-42.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIBN
SI-Bone
17.42
4.92
39.36%
OFIX
Orthofix
11.00
-1.57
-12.49%
AXGN
AxoGen
9.75
2.34
31.58%
SENS
Senseonics Holdings
0.50
0.12
31.58%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
21.16
-8.26
-28.08%
BVS
Bioventus
6.62
0.68
11.45%

SI-Bone Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SI-Bone Concludes Annual Meeting with Key Approvals
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On April 7, 2025, SI-Bone held its Annual Meeting with 89% of its common stock represented. The meeting included votes on three key proposals: the election of directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and the approval of executive compensation. All proposed directors were elected, the accounting firm appointment was ratified, and executive compensation was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIBN) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SI-Bone stock, see the SIBN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.