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SI-Bone Inc (SIBN)
NASDAQ:SIBN
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SI-Bone (SIBN) AI Stock Analysis

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SIBN

SI-Bone

(NASDAQ:SIBN)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(8.28% Upside)
SI-Bone's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by ongoing profitability challenges and bearish technical indicators. The company's robust financial structure and strategic initiatives provide a foundation for future growth, but current valuation and cash flow issues present risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
SIBN's 2Q25 revenue beat consensus and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance.
Operational Efficiency
SIBN delivered an impressive Q beating top- and bottom-line expectations, including a second consecutive quarter of adj. EBITDA positivity.
Product Launches
SIBN is seeing growing engagement across its callpoints while the launches of its Granite 9.5 and more recently its TNT product continue to support momentum.
Negative Factors
Market Penetration
SIBN estimates a combined TAM of nearly $4B, yet noted given its most recent guide currently only penetrates this TAM by ~5%, emphasizing the significant growth opportunity.
Revenue Guidance
Management continues to take a prudent approach to guidance, which should allow for upside in the second half of 2025.
Seasonality
SIBN achieved adjusted EBITDA despite seasonality, suggesting operational efficiency.

SI-Bone (SIBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SI-Bone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSI-Bone, Inc. is a medical device company focused on transforming the treatment of sacroiliac joint disorders. The company is primarily engaged in the development and commercialization of innovative surgical implants and technologies designed to provide relief for patients suffering from chronic pain related to these disorders. SI-Bone's core products include the iFuse Implant System, which is utilized in minimally invasive surgical procedures to stabilize the sacroiliac joint, thus alleviating pain and improving functionality for patients. The company operates within the orthopedic and spinal surgery sectors, targeting both hospitals and outpatient facilities.
How the Company Makes MoneySI-Bone generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices, specifically the iFuse Implant System, which is marketed to hospitals and surgical centers. The company employs a direct sales force and also collaborates with independent distributors to reach a wider customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of surgical implants, instruments, and related consumables used in procedures. Additionally, SI-Bone may benefit from partnerships with healthcare providers and payers that facilitate the adoption of its products, as well as from ongoing training and support services provided to surgeons and medical staff. The company may also explore opportunities for reimbursement from insurance providers, which can enhance its revenue potential.

SI-Bone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.29%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates strong revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow achievements, with a robust increase in procedure volumes and physician engagement. While there are some challenges such as delayed regulatory clearance in Europe and expected cash usage in the second half, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record U.S. Revenue Growth
U.S. revenue grew approximately 23%, supported by a 25% increase in procedure volumes, reaffirming robust underlying demand across target markets.
Continued Profitability and Cash Flow Breakeven
Third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and achieving cash flow breakeven ahead of the original timeline.
Strong Physician Engagement
A record 1,440 U.S. physicians performed procedures, representing a 25% increase over the prior year period.
Successful International Launch
The launch of iFuse TORQ in Europe is expected to accelerate growth across international markets.
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin was 79.8%, expanding by 80 basis points year-over-year, driven by improved manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Delayed TORQ Regulatory Clearance in Europe
Revenue growth in Europe was impacted by later-than-expected regulatory clearance for TORQ, affecting the timing of initial cases.
Cash Flow Usage Expected in Second Half
Despite achieving cash flow breakeven in Q2, a modest cash consumption is expected in the second half due to planned increases in surgical capacity.
Company Guidance
During the SI-BONE Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided extensive guidance on its financial outlook and strategic priorities. SI-BONE reported worldwide revenue of $48.6 million, reflecting a growth of 21.7% compared to the prior year, with U.S. revenue increasing by 22.8%. The company achieved its third consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, amounting to $1 million, and reached a significant cash flow milestone by achieving breakeven during the quarter. SI-BONE updated its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $195 million to $198 million, implying a year-over-year growth of approximately 17% to 18%. Gross margin for the quarter expanded by 80 basis points to 79.8%, and the company adjusted its full-year gross margin guidance to be between 78.5% and 79%. Key growth drivers included a 25% increase in U.S. procedure volumes and the successful international launch of iFuse TORQ in Europe. SI-BONE continues to focus on innovation, with plans to introduce new products targeting over 0.5 million annual procedures in the U.S., while also expanding its surgeon base, which saw a 25% increase to 1,440 U.S. physicians. The company’s strategic priorities include product innovation, commercial execution, and operational excellence, aimed at sustaining growth and profitability.

SI-Bone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SI-Bone exhibits strong revenue growth and gross margins, indicating positive sales momentum and effective cost management. However, persistent net losses and negative cash flow highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet is robust with low financial leverage, but negative ROE remains a concern.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 79% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains negative due to substantial net losses, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is robust, with a 6.8% increase from the previous year to TTM, signaling positive sales momentum. Despite this, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight persistent operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
SI-Bone's balance sheet reveals a healthy equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, suggesting low financial leverage. The return on equity remains negative due to consistent net losses, indicating a drag on shareholder returns. The equity ratio of 73.6% is strong, reflecting a solid financial structure with significant equity backing assets.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement in operating cash flow, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in converting earnings to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, reflecting cash constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.60M167.18M138.89M106.41M90.15M73.39M
Gross Profit139.95M132.12M109.42M90.70M79.72M64.48M
EBITDA-18.76M-23.09M-34.45M-54.98M-49.58M-36.47M
Net Income-26.55M-30.91M-43.34M-62.90M-60.13M-48.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets227.28M230.44M230.43M157.55M190.51M223.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments144.41M150.04M166.02M97.29M146.98M196.43M
Total Debt37.15M37.48M38.99M39.43M40.48M39.45M
Total Liabilities60.02M63.47M61.05M59.25M56.09M53.78M
Stockholders Equity167.26M166.96M169.38M98.30M134.42M169.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.25M-22.92M-26.51M-51.16M-45.92M-33.22M
Operating Cash Flow-9.77M-12.43M-18.71M-41.66M-39.53M-30.66M
Investing Cash Flow16.91M12.62M-59.80M-2.81M51.58M-62.92M
Financing Cash Flow1.96M1.96M90.93M2.20M-1.71M136.40M

SI-Bone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.70
Price Trends
50DMA
17.53
Negative
100DMA
16.61
Negative
200DMA
15.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Positive
RSI
39.91
Neutral
STOCH
10.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIBN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.79, below the 50-day MA of 17.53, and below the 200-day MA of 15.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIBN.

SI-Bone Risk Analysis

SI-Bone disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SI-Bone reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SI-Bone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$651.54M-4.48%17.17%72.68%
61
Neutral
$655.74M-14.18%22.93%43.83%
57
Neutral
$604.38M-0.10%5.08%99.38%
55
Neutral
$545.02M-24.63%4.84%0.85%
51
Neutral
kr6.00B8.78-28.70%2.24%51.61%19.20%
50
Neutral
$491.69M-11.49%26.08%-63.67%
46
Neutral
$385.67M-102.61%5.94%25.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIBN
SI-Bone
15.70
1.67
11.90%
OFIX
Orthofix
14.10
-2.22
-13.60%
AXGN
AxoGen
14.76
3.74
33.94%
SENS
Senseonics Holdings
0.48
0.07
17.07%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
20.09
-7.55
-27.32%
BVS
Bioventus
7.53
-0.75
-9.06%

SI-Bone Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SI-Bone Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, SI-BONE announced the retirement of Anthony Recupero, President of Commercial Operations, effective February 15, 2026, with a transition to an advisory role starting February 16, 2025. Nikolas Kerr will succeed him as Chief Commercial Officer. The company reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with a 21.7% increase in worldwide revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, highlighting the success of its innovation-driven strategy and expanding physician base. SI-BONE also raised its 2025 revenue guidance, expecting growth of 17% to 18%, underscoring its robust market position and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIBN) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SI-Bone stock, see the SIBN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SI-Bone Concludes Annual Meeting with Key Approvals
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On April 7, 2025, SI-Bone held its Annual Meeting with 89% of its common stock represented. The meeting included votes on three key proposals: the election of directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and the approval of executive compensation. All proposed directors were elected, the accounting firm appointment was ratified, and executive compensation was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIBN) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SI-Bone stock, see the SIBN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025