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SI-Bone Inc (SIBN)
NASDAQ:SIBN

SI-Bone (SIBN) AI Stock Analysis

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SIBN

SI-Bone

(NASDAQ:SIBN)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(1.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (strong growth, high gross margins, narrowing losses and better cash consumption) and a constructive earnings update with continued growth/profitability progress. This is tempered by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and valuation limitations due to ongoing net losses and no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth & high gross margins
Durable top-line momentum with very high gross margins signals attractive unit economics and pricing power in a niche medical-device market. Sustained revenue growth plus margin expansion underpin scalable per-procedure profitability and improve the runway to sustained GAAP profitability over months.
Expanding physician base & procedure volume
Growing active physician adoption and rising procedure counts create recurring implant demand and durable commercial moat. A broader trained surgeon base raises switching costs, increases referral flow, and supports territory-level productivity improvements that compound revenue over several quarters.
Strategic distribution deal expands addressable market
A structural commercial alliance broadens market access into high-acuity trauma centers without proportionate direct-sales buildout. This can accelerate adoption of specific product lines, improve capital efficiency of sales expansion, and allow SI-BONE to redeploy direct reps to spine and interventional markets long-term.
Negative Factors
Ongoing full-year net loss
Despite meaningful margin and EBITDA progress, sustained GAAP losses indicate the company has not fully converted operational gains into net profitability. Continued losses can erode equity over time, constrain strategic optionality, and require careful cash planning if revenue or margin trends decelerate.
Negative operating and free cash flow history
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow, despite improvement in 2025, raises structural funding risk. If the company cannot reliably convert earnings into cash, it may need external financing for growth investments, limiting flexibility and increasing sensitivity to market or reimbursement shocks.
Geographic concentration and reimbursement reliance
A highly U.S.-centric footprint concentrates regulatory, payer and competitive risk. Material upside tied to reimbursement decisions and the economics of partnerships can create structural sensitivity: adverse policy shifts or slower-than-expected reimbursement/partnership ramps would disproportionately affect growth and margins.

SI-Bone (SIBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SI-Bone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSI-BONE, Inc., a medical device company, develops implantable devices used to solve musculoskeletal disorders of the sacropelvic anatomy in the United States and internationally. It offers iFuse, a minimally invasive surgical implant system to address sacroiliac joint dysfunction and degeneration, adult deformity, and pelvic ring traumatic fractures. The company also provides iFuse-3D, a titanium implant that combines the triangular cross-section of the iFuse implant with the proprietary 3D-printed porous surface and fenestrated design; and iFuse-TORQ, a set of 3D-printed threaded implants designed to treat fractures of the pelvis and for minimally invasive sacroiliac joint fusion. It markets its products primarily with a direct sales force, as well as through distributors. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySI-Bone generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices, particularly the iFuse Implant System, to hospitals and surgical centers. The company has established a network of distribution partners and sales representatives to promote its products, which are typically sold directly to healthcare institutions. Revenue is further boosted by ongoing sales of ancillary products, including surgical instruments and accessories necessary for the implantation procedure. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers and agreements with insurance companies also facilitate reimbursement for surgical procedures, which enhances adoption and drives sales. The company invests in clinical studies to validate the efficacy of its products, thereby supporting its marketing efforts and potentially increasing its market share.

SI-Bone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong operational and financial performance with record revenue, meaningful physician adoption gains, first full-year positive adjusted EBITDA, positive free cash flow in Q4, multiple reimbursement wins, product launches and a strategic distribution partnership. Remaining challenges include a still-present full-year net loss, conservative 2026 guidance reflecting product and partnership ramp timing, expected modest gross margin compression due to capacity investments, and limited international scale. On balance, the positives (high growth, improving profitability, cash generation, reimbursement wins and product pipeline momentum) significantly outweigh the risks and execution/timing uncertainties.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue and Strong Growth
Worldwide revenue for 2025 was $200.9 million, a 20.2% year-over-year increase, with fourth quarter revenue of $56.3 million up 15%.
Robust U.S. Adoption and Procedure Growth
U.S. revenue grew 20.6% for the year to $191.1 million driven by a 22% increase in procedure volume; Q4 U.S. revenue was $53.5 million, up 13.9%, and U.S. 2-year stack revenue grew 20.7% (90 bps acceleration vs. Q3).
Expanding Physician Base and Commercial Productivity
Record 1,640 physicians performed procedures in Q4 (addition of 250 physicians, +18% YoY). Over 1,640 active physicians in Q4 and >2,400 U.S. physicians performing nearly 22,000 procedures in 2025. Annual revenue per territory was $2.1 million, +18% YoY, and 13th consecutive quarter of double-digit territory productivity growth.
First Full Year Positive Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Improvement
Delivered positive adjusted EBITDA of $8.9 million for full year 2025 (versus a $5.1 million adjusted EBITDA loss in 2024), a roughly $14 million year-over-year improvement. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $5.1 million, a 176.2% improvement with a 9.1% adjusted EBITDA margin.
Improved Profitability and Narrowing Net Loss
Q4 net loss narrowed to $1.6 million ($0.04 per diluted share) versus $4.5 million prior-year quarter. Full-year net loss narrowed 38.8% to $18.9 million ($0.44 per diluted share).
Positive Free Cash Flow and Strong Liquidity
Exited 2025 with $147.8 million cash and equivalents (up $2.1 million from Q3). Generated positive free cash flow in Q4 of ~ $0.5 million and full-year cash consumption improved to $2.2 million from $16 million in 2024.
Significant Reimbursement and Regulatory Wins
Secured NTAP for iFuse TORQ TNT and TPT for iFuse Bedrock Granite; Medicare OBL reimbursement for INTRA X increased by 17% effective Jan 1, 2026. Granite benefits from TPT with a $0 device offset (100% facility-reported cost reimbursement).
Product Innovation and Pipeline Momentum
Launched INTRA Ti (alpha launch) and expect commercialization of a third breakthrough device in late 2026 (510(k) filing targeted in Q3). iFuse Bedrock Granite outpaced deformity market growth; iFuse TORQ TNT saw a 50% increase in physician adoption in Q4.
Strategic Commercial Partnership
Entered a strategic partnership with Smith & Nephew to expand trauma reach into Level 1 and Level 2 trauma centers, accelerating penetration of TORQ/TNT and freeing direct sales to focus on spine and interventional markets.
Guidance Showing Continued Growth
2026 revenue guidance of $228.5M to $232.5M implying 14% to 16% YoY growth, with expected gross margin approximately 78% and OpEx growth ~12.5%; company expects increased adjusted EBITDA and continued progress toward free cash flow goals.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Net Loss and Modest Profitability
Although improved, the company still reported a full-year net loss of $18.9 million in 2025; positive adjusted EBITDA ($8.9M) is small relative to revenue scale and 2026 EBITDA guidance was not quantified specifically.
Conservative 2026 Guidance vs. 2025 Traction
Guidance of 14%–16% revenue growth for 2026 is a deceleration from 20.2% in 2025, reflecting prudence around timing of product ramp, partnerships and reimbursement tailwinds.
Gross Margin Compression Expected in 2026
2026 gross margin guidance ~78% is ~100–160 basis points below Q4/Q1 exit levels (Q4 gross margin 79%, FY 79.6%); company cited non-cash depreciation from expanded surgical capacity and ASP pressure from procedure mix as drivers.
Timing and Execution Risk on New Product Ramps
INTRA Ti is in alpha with adoption expected to ramp through 2026; third breakthrough device filing and commercialization are subject to FDA timing and may not contribute materially until late 2026/2027.
International Business Remains Small
International revenue was $9.8 million for full year 2025 (about 4.9% of total revenue); Q4 international revenue was $2.9 million (+38.8% YoY) but overall geographic concentration remains heavily U.S.-weighted (~95% of revenue).
Reliance on Reimbursement and Policy Changes
A portion of the commercial upside is contingent on reimbursement actions (NTAP, TPT, APC changes). Future performance could be affected if policy environment shifts or if expected reimbursement-driven volume does not materialize.
Limited Short-Term Visibility on Partnership Economics
Smith & Nephew partnership is expected to ramp starting as early as March, but financial terms and margin impact per transferred sale were not disclosed, leaving near-term P&L implications uncertain.
Company Guidance
SI‑BONE guided 2026 worldwide revenue of $228.5–$232.5 million (14%–16% growth year‑over‑year), driven by high‑teens U.S. procedure volume growth and with revenue expected to be weighted to the second half of the year; management expects annual gross margin of ~78%, operating expenses to grow ~12.5% at the midpoint to fund new product launches, a 10‑territory sales expansion and R&D, an increase in adjusted EBITDA versus 2025 (2025 adjusted EBITDA was $8.9M with a 9.1% Q4 margin), and to remain on track to deliver improved free cash flow (Q4 2025 free cash flow ≈ $0.5M) while exiting 2025 with $147.8M in cash.

SI-Bone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and accelerating revenue growth with consistently high gross margins, plus materially narrowing losses and improved cash consumption in 2025. Offsetting this, operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative over the full period shown, keeping self-funding and liquidity risk elevated despite a supportive, low-leverage balance sheet.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Revenue growth remains strong and accelerating (about 9% in 2020 to ~30% in 2023, ~20% in 2024, and ~380% in 2025), and gross margin is consistently very high (~79–88%), indicating attractive unit economics. However, profitability is still negative with operating losses across all years, though losses have narrowed materially (net margin improved from roughly -63% in 2021 to about -9% in 2025). Overall: strong top-line momentum and gross profitability, but the business has not yet reached sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet appears conservatively levered, highlighted by very low debt in 2025 (debt-to-equity near zero) versus moderate leverage earlier (debt-to-equity roughly ~0.22–0.40 in 2022–2024). Equity is sizable relative to assets, providing a cushion while the company works toward profitability. The key weakness is that losses have driven negative returns on equity in prior years (where provided), which can pressure capital over time if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
32
Negative
Cash generation remains the main pressure point: operating cash flow is negative in every year shown, though the cash burn improved dramatically in 2025 (near breakeven operating cash flow versus large outflows in 2020–2024). Free cash flow is also negative throughout, and it deteriorated in 2025 versus 2024. While earnings losses are narrowing, the company still has not consistently converted improving results into positive cash flow, keeping funding and liquidity risk elevated.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue200.93M167.18M138.89M106.41M90.15M
Gross Profit159.88M132.12M109.42M90.70M79.72M
EBITDA-10.91M-23.09M-34.45M-54.98M-50.97M
Net Income-18.91M-30.91M-43.34M-61.26M-56.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets238.56M230.44M230.43M157.55M190.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.82M150.04M166.02M97.29M146.98M
Total Debt1.12M37.48M38.99M39.43M40.48M
Total Liabilities61.02M63.47M61.05M59.25M56.09M
Stockholders Equity177.53M166.96M169.38M98.30M134.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.09M-22.92M-26.51M-51.16M-45.92M
Operating Cash Flow-675.00K-12.43M-18.71M-41.66M-39.53M
Investing Cash Flow4.16M12.62M-59.80M-2.81M51.58M
Financing Cash Flow3.38M1.96M90.93M2.20M-1.71M

SI-Bone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.70
Price Trends
50DMA
17.52
Negative
100DMA
17.29
Negative
200DMA
17.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
44.28
Neutral
STOCH
42.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIBN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.61, below the 50-day MA of 17.52, and below the 200-day MA of 17.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIBN.

SI-Bone Risk Analysis

SI-Bone disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SI-Bone reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SI-Bone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$725.83M78.094.97%1.58%
56
Neutral
$693.39M-35.53-12.91%23.27%43.90%
55
Neutral
$481.99M-11.37-12.67%19.90%-57.90%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$291.53M-11.86-103.13%12.83%-19.53%
50
Neutral
$536.73M-5.71-24.60%4.31%3.26%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIBN
SI-Bone
15.70
-1.27
-7.48%
OFIX
Orthofix Medical
13.37
-3.64
-21.40%
CLPT
ClearPoint Neuro
9.80
-3.61
-26.92%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
19.22
-3.67
-16.03%
BVS
Bioventus
8.77
-1.32
-13.08%

SI-Bone Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
SI-BONE Posts Record 2025 Results and Strong 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 20, 2026, SI-BONE signed a long-term lease for roughly 50,485 square feet of space in San Jose, California, securing expansion capacity with tenant incentives that include six months of rent abatement and substantial improvement and power-upgrade allowances, and it also gained an option on adjacent space that could further increase its footprint. On February 22, 2026, the company expanded the remit of Chief Financial Officer Anshul Maheshwari to include Chief Operating Officer, and on February 23, 2026 it reported record 2025 results with worldwide revenue up 20.2% to $200.9 million, improved margins, positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow in the fourth quarter, alongside 2026 guidance calling for mid-teens revenue growth and higher profitability that underscores strengthening operating leverage and a more entrenched position in its niche orthopedic market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIBN) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SI-Bone stock, see the SIBN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
SI-BONE Reports Strong Preliminary Q4 and 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, SI-BONE announced preliminary, unaudited results indicating fourth-quarter 2025 worldwide revenue of $56.2–$56.3 million, up about 15% year on year, driven largely by U.S. revenue of $53.3–$53.4 million and an 18% increase in active U.S. physicians to roughly 1,640. For full-year 2025, worldwide revenue is expected to reach $200.8–$200.9 million, representing approximately 20% growth, with U.S. revenue of $190.9–$191.0 million growing about 21%, while cash and equivalents of roughly $147.7 million imply modest positive cash generation in the fourth quarter, underscoring solid top-line expansion and financial stability ahead of the company’s detailed earnings release expected in late February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIBN) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SI-Bone stock, see the SIBN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026