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Ceribell, Inc. (CBLL)
NASDAQ:CBLL
US Market

Ceribell, Inc. (CBLL) AI Stock Analysis

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CBLL

Ceribell, Inc.

(NASDAQ:CBLL)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(0.50% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by strong growth and very high gross margins but constrained by persistent losses and material cash burn. Technical signals are mildly bearish (negative MACD; trading below 20/50-day averages), while valuation is limited by negative earnings and no dividend support. The earnings call adds some support via continued growth guidance, regulatory momentum, and a strong cash balance, tempered by OpEx and litigation/tariff risks.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
Sustained mid‑80s gross margins indicate durable unit economics and strong pricing/low variable costs for Ceribell’s EEG system. High margins provide flexibility to invest in sales and R&D while requiring less revenue to cover incremental cost of goods, supporting long‑term scaling.
Rapid revenue scaling
Consistent double‑digit revenue growth and recent account additions demonstrate commercial traction in hospitals and ICUs. Sustained adoption across product and subscription lines suggests a repeatable sales motion and structural demand that can drive multi‑year expansion if utilization and account adds continue.
Regulatory & TAM expansion
Multiple clearances and Breakthrough Device designation extend the platform into neonatal, delirium and LVO stroke use cases and unlock VA deployment. Regulatory validation plus FedRAMP access materially enlarges the addressable market and supports durable, multi‑indication revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Heavy cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow indicate the company must rely on external capital to fund growth. Continued cash burn over multiple quarters limits flexibility for opportunistic investments and raises dependency on financing dynamics, increasing execution risk over the medium term.
Large net losses
Substantial and widening losses mean returns on the now‑larger equity base remain negative. Until operating leverage meaningfully improves, losses will constrain reinvestment capacity, pressure cash runway, and require continued capital raises that can dilute shareholders and complicate long‑term planning.
Elevated OpEx, litigation & tariff risk
Rapidly expanding SG&A and R&D spending, combined with active ITC litigation and tariff exposure, create secular cost pressures and legal uncertainty. These factors can delay breakeven, raise cash needs, and potentially disrupt access or margins in key geographies over the coming quarters.

Ceribell, Inc. (CBLL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ceribell, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCeriBell, Inc. develops AI based point-of-care electroencephalography (EEG) technology for the detection and treatment of neurological conditions. The company develops Ceribell System, a novel, point-of-care EEG platform to address the unmet needs of patients in the acute care setting. It also offers EEG disposable headbands; and pocket-sized battery-operated recorders. The company was formerly known as Brain Stethoscope, Inc. and changed its name to CeriBell, Inc. in August 2015. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Sunnyvale, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCeribell generates revenue primarily through the sale of its EEG monitoring devices and associated services. The company has established partnerships with hospitals and healthcare systems that utilize its technology in their neurology departments. Additionally, Ceribell may offer subscription-based services for data management and analysis, enhancing patient monitoring capabilities over time. Revenue is also driven by ongoing support, maintenance services, and potential future collaborations with pharmaceutical companies focused on epilepsy treatments. Furthermore, reimbursement from insurance providers for the use of their devices plays a significant role in the company's financial model.

Ceribell, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong growth story highlighted by double‑digit revenue increases (Q4 +34%, full year +36%), high gross margins (~87%–88%), important regulatory clearances (neonatal/pediatric seizure, delirium 510(k), LVO Breakthrough Device), FedRAMP High approval and an expanded TAM (~$3.5B). These operational and regulatory milestones, plus a solid cash position ($159M), provide a foundation for continued expansion. Counterbalancing these positives are elevated operating expenses (+42% YoY), an increased full-year net loss ($53.4M), tariff-driven margin pressure and near-term litigation costs tied to ITC proceedings. Management’s 2026 guidance is conservative (25%–29% growth) with modest near-term revenue contribution expected from new indications due to sales-cycle timing. On balance, the call emphasized sustained execution and sizable long-term opportunity while acknowledging expected short-term costs and timing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Q4 2025 revenue of $24.8M, up 34% year-over-year; full year 2025 revenue of $89.1M, up 36% year-over-year.
Robust Product and Subscription Momentum
Q4 products revenue $18.8M (+33% YoY) and subscription revenue $6.0M (+37% YoY). Full year products revenue $67.3M (+34%) and subscription revenue $21.7M (+41%).
High Gross Margins and Margin Resilience
Reported gross margins of 87% in Q4 and 88% for full year 2025; company expects mid-80% gross margins in 2026 after tariff mitigation and manufacturing moves.
Expanding Customer Base and Penetration Opportunity
Ended 2025 with 647 active accounts (added 32 in Q4 and 118 in 2025); company estimates <4% penetration in a $2.5B core seizure market, signaling significant runway.
Regulatory and Market Access Wins
FedRAMP High authorization unlocking access to 170 VA hospitals (pilot successful, initial VA launches in 2025); FDA clearance for neonatal and pediatric seizure detection (adds ~$400M to core market); FDA 510(k) clearance for delirium algorithm (first FDA-cleared delirium continuous monitor); FDA Breakthrough Device designation for LVO stroke monitoring.
Total Addressable Market Expanded
Management raised TAM estimate from ~$2B to over $3.5B following product clearances and broadened indications.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $159.3M as of December 31, 2025, supporting selective investments in R&D and commercial expansion.
2026 Revenue Guidance Reflects Continued Growth
Guidance of $111M–$115M for full year 2026, implying 25%–29% growth over 2025, with upside potential from later-year account momentum and new product launches.
Negative Updates
Operating Expense Expansion
Total operating expenses rose to $36.2M in Q4 2025 (+24% YoY) and $136.7M for full year 2025 (+42% YoY), driven by commercial expansion, headcount, legal and public-company costs.
Net Loss Increased (but EPS Improved)
Full year net loss grew to $53.4M in 2025 (versus $40.5M in 2024), though loss per share improved to $1.46 vs $3.39 in 2024; Q4 net loss was $13.5M (vs $12.6M).
Tariff-Related Margin Pressure and Uncertainty
Q4 gross margin dipped to 87% (from 88% prior) due to partial-quarter impact of inventory acquired after increased tariffs on China-origin products; margin guidance excludes potential policy changes from recent Supreme Court developments.
Near-Term Modest Revenue Impact from New Indications
Company expects neonate/pediatric full commercial launch in Q2 2026 but anticipates only modest 2026 revenue contribution due to multi-month sales cycles and departmental/committee approvals.
Litigation and Legal Expense Risk
Ongoing ITC patent litigation with Natus is in discovery; management expects litigation-related expenses concentrated in the first half of 2026, raising near-term G&A/legal spend.
Conservative 2026 Guidance and Execution Risk
Management articulated a conservative guidance posture (25%–29% growth) despite TAM expansion and product wins, reflecting potential execution/timing risk for broader system-level and pediatric ramps.
Incremental R&D and Stock‑Based Compensation
R&D spend expected to grow faster than other departments in 2026 and non-cash stock-based compensation anticipated to increase as public-company compensation practices continue, pressuring OpEx near-term.
Company Guidance
CeriBell guided 2026 revenue of $111–$115 million (up 25%–29% vs. 2025’s $89.1M, which grew 36% YoY), with modest near‑term contribution from a planned Q2 neonate/pediatric launch and greater upside expected in 2027; it expects gross margins in the mid‑80% range (vs. 87% in Q4 2025 and 88% for FY2025), plans to add more than the 118 accounts added in 2025 (ended 2025 with 647 active accounts after 32 Q4 adds), and to drive higher utilization from roughly 30% penetration in an installed base of >600 hospitals (core seizure market penetration <4% of a $2.5B market; TAM now ~$3.5B); guidance reflects committed VA expansion (additional VA roll‑outs not included), maintains a strong cash position (~$159M at 12/31/25), and contemplates continued product/subscription mix (FY2025: products $67.3M, subscriptions $21.7M; Q4: products $18.8M, subscription $6.0M) while expecting OpEx and legal/timing variability (Q4 OpEx $36.2M; FY OpEx $136.7M) and targeting cash‑flow breakeven over time.

Ceribell, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue scaling and exceptionally high gross margins (~83%–88%) support product economics, and leverage is modest with improved equity. However, profitability and cash generation remain weak with large net losses (2025 net margin ~-60%) and heavy ongoing cash burn (2025 operating cash flow about -$41M; negative free cash flow).
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Revenue is scaling quickly (2025 revenue up ~7.5x vs. 2024; strong multi-year expansion), and gross margins are exceptionally high (~83% to ~88%), suggesting strong product economics. However, profitability remains weak: 2025 net margin is about -60% and EBITDA margin about -66%, with losses widening in absolute dollars (net loss ~-$53M in 2025 vs. ~-$40M in 2024). Overall, strong top-line and unit economics, but the business is still far from breakeven and operating leverage has not yet shown up.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage looks modest with low debt relative to equity in 2024–2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.11–0.14), providing financial flexibility. Equity turned meaningfully positive in 2024–2025 after being negative in 2022–2023, which is a major balance-sheet improvement. The key weakness is continued negative returns on equity in 2024–2025 (losses on a now-larger equity base), meaning the stronger capitalization is not yet translating into shareholder value creation.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash burn remains heavy: operating cash flow is negative each year (about -$41M in 2025), and free cash flow is also negative (about -$42M in 2025). While free cash flow improved versus 2024 (less negative), the company is still funding operations through external capital rather than internally generated cash. A positive sign is that cash flow tracks net loss closely (free cash flow roughly in line with net income), but the overall trajectory still reflects significant ongoing cash consumption.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue82.81M89.06M65.44M45.23M25.92M
Gross Profit72.87M78.27M56.75M38.16M21.49M
EBITDA-49.12M-51.52M-37.32M-26.51M-35.06M
Net Income-52.46M-53.41M-40.45M-29.46M-37.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets199.53M195.80M225.41M58.92M86.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments168.54M159.26M194.37M34.49M68.23M
Total Debt21.34M22.28M21.96M14.20M18.22M
Total Liabilities35.44M21.28M34.25M171.17M172.86M
Stockholders Equity164.08M155.34M191.16M-112.25M-86.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.23M-41.58M-36.38M-30.14M-32.52M
Operating Cash Flow-40.16M-40.81M-35.04M-29.16M-32.00M
Investing Cash Flow-144.74M-118.14M-1.60M-1.76M-1.40M
Financing Cash Flow194.53M5.05M196.52M-2.82M49.80M

Ceribell, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.90
Price Trends
50DMA
21.26
Negative
100DMA
17.57
Positive
200DMA
16.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
43.43
Neutral
STOCH
23.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBLL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.29, below the 50-day MA of 21.26, and above the 200-day MA of 16.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CBLL.

Ceribell, Inc. Risk Analysis

Ceribell, Inc. disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceribell, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ceribell, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$351.37M1,156.981.94%251.54%
58
Neutral
$557.49M-43.13-3.36%-2.18%-30.96%
54
Neutral
$745.18M-8.81-41.42%16.04%28.91%
52
Neutral
$738.20M-13.74-59.78%
52
Neutral
$564.39M-8.09-13.95%4.14%-45.29%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBLL
Ceribell, Inc.
19.90
-5.64
-22.08%
DCTH
Delcath Systems
9.95
-4.30
-30.18%
VREX
Varex Imaging
13.47
0.38
2.90%
BFLY
Butterfly Network
2.95
-0.78
-20.91%
CTKB
Cytek Biosciences
4.36
-0.77
-15.01%

Ceribell, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ceribell Wins FDA Breakthrough Status for LVO Stroke Tool
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Ceribell announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Breakthrough Device Designation for its Large Vessel Occlusion (LVO) stroke detection and monitoring solution, which uses the company’s existing EEG hardware and an AI-based algorithm to identify LVO strokes in hospitalized patients. As a first-in-class point-of-care EEG application for LVO stroke, the designation underscores Ceribell’s strategy to extend its brain-monitoring platform to new, high-acuity indications following recent 510(k) clearances for neonatal seizure detection and delirium monitoring, and highlights the potential to improve outcomes in the sizable and often underserved in-hospital stroke population, where detection delays are associated with significantly higher mortality and long-term disability.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBLL) stock is a Hold with a $22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceribell, Inc. stock, see the CBLL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ceribell director resigns to pursue other professional ventures
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

On December 30, 2025, Ceribell, Inc. announced that director Lucian Iancovici had notified the board of his decision to resign from the Board of Directors, as well as from his roles as Chair of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee and member of the Compensation Committee, effective December 31, 2025. The company stated that Iancovici’s departure was driven by his desire to focus on other professional ventures and did not arise from any disagreement over Ceribell’s operations, policies, leadership, or financial reporting, suggesting no immediate governance dispute or operational disruption for stakeholders, while he pledged support for a smooth transition and confirmed he had no outstanding claims against the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBLL) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceribell, Inc. stock, see the CBLL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ceribell, Inc. Extends Sunnyvale Office Leases
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Ceribell, Inc. announced amendments to two of its office space leases in Sunnyvale, California. The company extended the lease at 625 N. Pastoria Ave. to January 31, 2028, with a monthly rent of $34,821, and the lease at 360 N. Pastoria Ave. to the same date, with a monthly rent of $74,147. These lease extensions indicate Ceribell’s continued commitment to maintaining its operational presence in Sunnyvale, which could provide stability and predictability for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBLL) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceribell, Inc. stock, see the CBLL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ceribell, Inc. Gains FDA Clearance for Delirium Device
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Ceribell, Inc. announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted 510(k) clearance for its proprietary delirium monitoring solution, marking it as the first FDA-cleared device for delirium screening and monitoring. This clearance enhances the Ceribell System’s capabilities as an AI-powered brain monitoring platform, addressing a significant unmet need in delirium monitoring and potentially improving patient outcomes by providing continuous, reliable evaluation. The solution’s validation through rigorous studies underscores its reliability, and the clearance follows a Breakthrough Device Designation received in 2022, highlighting its innovative impact on the healthcare industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBLL) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceribell, Inc. stock, see the CBLL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026