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Delcath Systems (DCTH)
NASDAQ:DCTH

Delcath Systems (DCTH) AI Stock Analysis

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DCTH

Delcath Systems

(NASDAQ:DCTH)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(10.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial strength (stronger balance sheet and positive 2025 cash generation) and a generally positive outlook/catalyst backdrop (2026 revenue guidance and CHOPIN publication). These are offset by weak technical momentum and a demanding valuation (very high P/E), plus a key data-quality risk around the reported 2025 revenue figure and higher planned operating expenses.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Debt near zero and materially stronger equity provide a durable financial buffer to fund commercialization, R&D and site expansion without immediate external financing. This reduces solvency risk and gives management flexibility to execute multi-quarter growth and clinical plans.
Improved cash generation
Positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 represent a structural turnaround from prior multi-year cash burn, supporting internal funding for growth and R&D. Combined with ~ $91M cash on hand and no debt, the company has runway to scale centers and absorb planned spending increases.
Procedure-driven revenue and high gross margins
High gross margins and procedure-linked revenue imply strong unit economics and pricing power for Hepzato kits. Durable margin structure supports scalability as the REMS-certified center base grows and recurring procedure volumes drive sustained revenue per treatment over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Top-line data quality risk
Anomalous reporting (zero revenue despite gross profit) undermines confidence in the reported growth and margin improvements. This complicates forecasting, investor and payer trust, and makes it harder to assess whether the 2025 profitability turnaround is durable or partly an accounting/data issue.
Rising operating expenses
Planned large increases in R&D and SG&A will pressure near-term EBITDA and require execution to generate proportional revenue or clinical progress. If adoption or trial timelines slip, higher operating spend could erode the recent cash flow gains and force tougher capital-allocation tradeoffs.
Commercial & clinical execution dependency
Revenue scaling depends on guideline influence, center activations, referrals and timely trial/ publication outcomes. Delays in adoption, elevated adverse events or slow referral development can materially slow procedure growth and push expected revenue gains further into the back half of 2026 or beyond.

Delcath Systems (DCTH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Delcath Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDelcath Systems, Inc., an interventional oncology company, focuses on the treatment of primary and metastatic liver cancers in the United States and Europe. The company's lead product candidate is HEPZATO KIT, a melphalan for injection/hepatic delivery system to administer high-dose chemotherapy to the liver while controlling systemic exposure and associated side effects. Its clinical development program for HEPZATO is the FOCUS clinical trial for patients with metastatic hepatic dominant Uveal Melanoma to investigate objective response rate in metastatic uveal melanoma. It also provides HEPZATO as a stand-alone medical device under the CHEMOSAT Hepatic Delivery System trade name for Melphalan or CHEMOSAT for medical centers to treat a range of liver cancers in Europe. Delcath Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyDelcath Systems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary medical devices and associated consumables, which are essential for its Hepatic Perfusion System. The company also pursues partnerships with healthcare institutions and pharmaceutical companies to expand the reach of its technology and enhance its product offerings. In addition to device sales, Delcath may generate revenue through clinical trial collaborations and potential licensing agreements for its technology. As the company seeks to gain regulatory approvals and expand its market presence, successful commercialization of its products and therapies will be crucial to its financial performance.

Delcath Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial trajectory: strong volume growth (>40%), record full-year revenue, full-year profitability and materially improved adjusted EBITDA, a healthy cash position and no debt. These positives are balanced against meaningful near-term challenges — notably substantial planned increases in R&D and SG&A spending, quarter-level adjusted EBITDA softness, seasonality and site-capacity variability, and uncertainty around the 340B pricing mix and clinical trial timelines. The company positions CHOPIN publication and expanded commercial/medical field teams as key catalysts expected to accelerate adoption in the back half of 2026, but timing and execution risks remain.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Volume and Record Revenue
Over 40% procedure volume growth in 2025 and record full-year revenue of $85,200,000 (Hepzato $78.8M, ChemoSAT $6.4M). Q4 Hepzato revenue was $19.0M vs $13.7M prior-year quarter (+~39%).
Profitability and Cash Position
Full-year 2025 net income of $2.7M (compared to a $26.4M loss in 2024) and positive full-year adjusted EBITDA of $25.1M (vs an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.5M in 2024). Ended year with ~$91M in cash and investments, no debt, no outstanding warrants, and positive operating cash flow (Q4 operating cash flow $8.3M; full-year $22.5M).
Commercial Footprint Expansion
Operating 28 active REMS-certified treatment centers and targeting 40 active treatment centers by 2026. Early-2026 new patient starts per site per month ~0.75 (vs full-year 2025 average 0.5), and average treatments per patient remains ~4 cycles.
Encouraging Clinical Data Catalyst (CHOPIN)
CHOPIN investigator-initiated Phase 2 data reportedly show statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvements in 1-year PFS, OS and ORR when sequencing Hepzato with ipilimumab/nivolumab versus PHP alone; publication expected imminently and cited as a key commercial and guideline-influence catalyst.
Strong Gross Margins and ASP Guidance
Reported gross margins of 85% in Q4 and 86% for the full year. 2026 guidance projects gross margins between 84%–87% and an expected average selling price of around $175,000 per Hepzato kit (approx. 10% discount to published list price).
Clinical Development Progress
mCRC trial: on track to activate nearly all targeted ~26 sites by mid-2026 with interim data targeted for late 2027. mBC program targeting activation of ~15 sites by late 2026. Company evaluating additional combination immune checkpoint inhibitor trials (build plans in 3–6 months).
Capital Allocation Actions
Repurchased 628,572 common shares for $6.0M under an approved $25M buyback program, demonstrating shareholder-return activity alongside investment in growth.
Negative Updates
Rising Operating Expenses
Full-year SG&A increased to $43.0M from $29.6M in 2024 (+~45%). Full-year R&D rose to $29.2M from $13.9M in 2024 (+~111%). Company expects R&D to increase nearly 90% in 2026 and SG&A to increase nearly 50% in 2026 (Q1 alone +30%–40% vs Q4).
Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Q4 2025 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $2.4M, down from $4.6M in the same quarter last year (decline of ~48%), indicating near-term margin/expense pressure despite full-year improvement.
Seasonality and Site-Level Capacity Variability
Pronounced seasonality expected in Q3 (summer) with potential flat to modest growth quarter-to-quarter due to limited REMS-certified staffing at sites; small changes in ultra-orphan patient numbers can materially affect per-site volumes.
Uncertainty Around 340B Mix and Pricing Impact
Guidance assumes an average ~10% effective discount (ASP ~$175,000), but realized pricing can fluctuate quarter-to-quarter due to concentrated customer base and variable 340B eligibility; company previously expected larger discounts and warned of mix-driven variability.
Clinical Enrollment and Timeline Risks
Device clinical trials are operationally complex; mCRC interim readout not expected until late 2027 and mBC site activation/completion timelines could delay expected R&D outcomes. Company noted it may take 3–6 months to finalize combination trial build plans.
Dependence on CHOPIN Publication and Uptake
Near-term commercial momentum and guideline influence are tied to imminent CHOPIN publication and subsequent adoption; timing is not guaranteed and the revenue benefit is expected to materialize more in the back half of 2026.
Competitive Trial Headwinds and Referral Challenges
Competitive clinical trials previously absorbed patients (IDEA and other trials), creating headwinds; majority of uveal melanoma patients are diagnosed/managed outside PHP centers, requiring referral network development which is ongoing and adds execution risk.
Company Guidance
The company guided to at least $100.0M in total 2026 revenue (implying >20% Hepzato Kit procedure volume growth and >10% ChemoSAT growth), with an expected average selling price of ~$175,000 per Hepzato kit (≈10% below published list price of $189,100) and forecast gross margins of 84–87% (Q4/2025 GM 85%, FY2025 GM 86%); key operational metrics used for modeling include 28 active REMS-certified treatment centers today (targeting ~40 by 2026), average treatments per patient ≈4, new patient starts per site/month averaging 0.5 in 2025 and ~0.75 in the first two months of 2026, an inter-treatment interval of roughly 7–8 weeks, and anticipated Q3 seasonality (flat to modest growth Q2→Q3 with stronger second-half activations). On the expense and liquidity side, management expects R&D to rise nearly 90% in 2026 (FY2025 R&D $29.2M vs $13.9M in 2024) and SG&A to increase nearly 50% (FY2025 SG&A $43.0M vs $29.6M in 2024; Q1 SG&A +30–40% vs Q4 then ~15% QoQ), while FY2025 results included record revenue of $85.2M, net income $2.7M (vs a $26.4M loss in 2024), adjusted EBITDA $25.1M (vs a $2.5M loss in 2024), Q4 adjusted EBITDA $2.4M, operating cash flow Q4 $8.3M and FY $22.5M, approximately $91M in cash & investments, no debt or outstanding warrants, and 628,572 shares repurchased for ~$6.0M under a $25.0M buyback program; clinical site targets include ~26 CRC trial sites by mid‑2026 and 15 mBC sites by late‑2026.

Delcath Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet and cash flow are meaningfully improved (very low leverage, higher equity, and positive operating/free cash flow in 2025). However, the income statement quality is a concern given the unusual 2025 revenue figure (reported as zero despite substantial gross profit) and a history of multi-year losses and cash burn, making durability of the turnaround less certain.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
The company shows a sharp profitability inflection in 2025, moving from a large loss in 2024 to positive operating profit and net income. Earlier years (2020–2024) were characterized by heavy losses despite generally strong gross profitability. A key concern is that 2025 revenue is reported as zero alongside substantial gross profit, which makes margin and growth figures for that year unreliable and raises questions about the quality/consistency of the top-line data.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage has improved materially, with debt now very low relative to equity (debt-to-equity near zero in 2024–2025) and equity rising substantially versus prior years. The balance sheet is much stronger than 2021–2023, when leverage was higher and returns were deeply negative, and 2022 even showed negative equity. The main weakness is the historical volatility in equity/returns, indicating the capital base has been sensitive to operating performance and financing over time.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation strengthened significantly in 2025, with positive operating cash flow and positive free cash flow, a major reversal from persistent cash burn in 2020–2024. Free cash flow also grew strongly year-over-year in 2025, supporting improving self-funding capacity. The drawback is that cash flow quality has been inconsistent historically (multiple years of sizable negative operating and free cash flow), so sustaining the 2025 improvement is the key risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.23M37.20M2.06M2.72M3.56M
Gross Profit73.43M31.02M1.43M2.03M2.88M
EBITDA3.86M-12.18M-37.78M-33.69M-24.32M
Net Income2.70M-26.39M-47.68M-36.51M-25.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.63M76.59M38.61M17.86M33.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.04M53.23M32.45M7.67M22.80M
Total Debt936.00K1.04M10.19M15.87M16.25M
Total Liabilities12.41M7.84M22.84M23.72M21.17M
Stockholders Equity111.22M68.75M15.78M-5.86M11.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.97M-19.24M-31.31M-25.16M-22.75M
Operating Cash Flow22.52M-18.68M-31.25M-24.95M-22.60M
Investing Cash Flow-26.59M-981.00K-19.71M-209.00K-143.00K
Financing Cash Flow15.05M39.41M51.78M10.14M20.82M

Delcath Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.60
Price Trends
50DMA
9.96
Negative
100DMA
9.90
Negative
200DMA
11.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
39.41
Neutral
STOCH
19.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DCTH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.54, below the 50-day MA of 9.96, and below the 200-day MA of 11.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DCTH.

Delcath Systems Risk Analysis

Delcath Systems disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Delcath Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Delcath Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$298.82M137.163.00%251.54%
52
Neutral
$285.08M-4.00-129.29%31.94%36.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$262.83M-10.69-103.13%12.83%-19.53%
47
Neutral
$165.14M-2.93-34.75%15.19%-3.32%
43
Neutral
$101.41M-1.68-51.63%7.90%19.92%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DCTH
Delcath Systems
8.60
-5.17
-37.55%
CLPT
ClearPoint Neuro
8.84
-4.57
-34.12%
SENS
Senseonics Holdings
6.83
-7.21
-51.39%
NNOX
Nano-X Imaging
2.59
-3.44
-57.05%
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts
1.57
-7.27
-82.24%

Delcath Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Delcath Highlights CHOPIN Phase 2 Results in Uveal Melanoma
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

On March 3, 2026, Delcath Systems announced that full results from the investigator-initiated CHOPIN Phase 2 trial in metastatic uveal melanoma were published in The Lancet Oncology. The single-centre randomized study at Leiden University Medical Center evaluated percutaneous hepatic perfusion (PHP) with melphalan using Delcath’s CHEMOSAT system alone versus in combination with the immunotherapies ipilimumab and nivolumab.

The combination arm showed markedly improved outcomes, with 1-year progression-free survival of 54.7% versus 15.8%, median progression-free survival of 12.8 versus 8.3 months, and median overall survival of 23.1 versus 19.6 months, alongside higher response rates but more grade 3 or higher adverse events. Investigators and Delcath management highlighted that the superior progression-free and overall survival, enhanced hepatic control, and deeper, durable responses validate the synergy between Delcath’s liver-directed PHP and immune checkpoint inhibition, reinforcing the clinical value of the company’s platform in metastatic uveal melanoma and supporting its positioning in liver-directed oncology despite the increased toxicity profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (DCTH) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Delcath Systems stock, see the DCTH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Delcath Systems Reports Strong Preliminary 2025 Results
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Delcath Systems released preliminary, unaudited financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, reporting expected total revenue of about $20.7 million for the quarter and $85.2 million for the year, driven largely by HEPZATO KIT sales of approximately $19.0 million and $78.8 million, respectively, with CHEMOSAT contributing $1.7 million in the quarter and $6.4 million for the year. As of December 31, 2025, the company reported 25 active centers using HEPZATO KIT, approximately 34.7 million shares outstanding, positive operating cash for the quarter, $91.0 million in cash and short-term investments with no debt, and the repurchase of 628,572 common shares for $6.0 million under its $25.0 million buyback program, while highlighting roughly 140% growth in HEPZATO procedure volume in 2025 versus 2024 and new clinical and publication data supporting its percutaneous hepatic perfusion platform; management emphasized that the figures are preliminary and subject to change pending completion of the year-end audit.

The most recent analyst rating on (DCTH) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Delcath Systems stock, see the DCTH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026