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Surmodics (SRDX)
NASDAQ:SRDX

SurModics (SRDX) AI Stock Analysis

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SurModics

(NASDAQ:SRDX)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(0.00%Upside)
SurModics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and consistent losses. Technical indicators show neutral momentum, while valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. The recent cyber incident adds further risk, affecting the company's operational focus and investor sentiment.
Positive Factors
Legacy Assets
The value of the company’s core legacy assets is significant.
Product Expansion
The addition of the Pounce XL should only broaden and strengthen the company’s value proposition to physicians.
Regulatory Impact
If the GTCR deal is blocked, SRDX is entitled to a $50.2 million break-up fee, which could provide significant value.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Surmodics’ Q2 financial results fell short of expectations, with revenue and adjusted EPS both underperforming analyst estimates.
Regulatory Challenges
The FTC filed a complaint stating that the proposed acquisition of Surmodics by GTCR is anticompetitive, which is now in the early stages of litigation.
Revenue Decline
SRDX's revenue growth worsened to a 12% decline in F2Q25 from a 2% decline in F1Q25.

SurModics (SRDX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SurModics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSurmodics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides surface modification technologies for intravascular medical devices, and chemical components for in vitro diagnostic immunoassay tests and microarrays in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Medical Device and In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD). The Medical Device segment engages in the provision of surface modification coating technologies to enhance access, deliverability, and predictable deployment of medical devices; and drug-delivery coating technologies to provide site-specific drug-delivery from the surface of a medical device for coronary, peripheral, neuro-vascular and structural heart, and other markets, as well as design, development, and manufacturing of interventional medical devices, primarily balloons and catheters, including drug-coated balloons for peripheral arterial disease treatment and other applications. The IVD segment designs, develops, and manufactures component products and technologies for diagnostic immunoassay, as well as molecular test and biomedical research applications. This segment offers protein stabilization reagents, substrates, surface coatings, and antigens. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneySurModics generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from product sales, royalties, and research, development, and other fees. In the Medical Device segment, the company earns revenue by licensing its proprietary coating technologies to medical device manufacturers, who pay royalties based on the sales of coated products. Additionally, SurModics manufactures and sells its own medical devices, contributing to its revenue. In the In Vitro Diagnostics segment, revenue is derived from the sale of diagnostic reagents and components. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other companies also play a critical role in SurModics' business model, providing additional revenue through joint development agreements and milestone payments.

SurModics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -6.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and profitability improvements, driven by the Medical Device segment and successful product launches. However, challenges remain in the IVD segment and product gross margins. The sentiment is positive due to the significant achievements outweighing the challenges.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 18% year-over-year to $32 million, with a significant contribution from the Medical Device segment, which grew by 26% to $24.8 million.
Medical Device Segment Success
Product sales in the Medical Device segment increased by 40% year-over-year, driven by the Vascular Interventions portfolio, including SurVeil DCB, Pounce thrombectomy, and Sublime radial access products.
Profitability Improvements
Achieved an $8 million improvement from a GAAP net loss to GAAP net income and a $6.3 million increase in adjusted EBITDA.
Successful Product Launches
Completed limited market evaluations and launched Pounce venous and Pounce low profile thrombectomy systems.
Positive Cash Flow
Generated $7.4 million in cash flow from operations, driven by royalty catch-up payments and a $3.4 million cash tax refund.
Negative Updates
Decline in IVD Segment
Revenue from the in Vitro Diagnostics segment decreased by 5% to $7.1 million, primarily due to lower sales of substrate products.
Product Gross Margin Challenges
Product gross margin decreased to 60.8% from 62.6% in the prior year, affected by under absorption and production inefficiencies.
R&D Expenses Reduction
R&D expense decreased by 21% to $10.2 million, reflecting lower costs related to SurVeil DCB and timing of thrombectomy devices development.
Company Guidance
During Surmodics' second quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance and updated its guidance for the year. Total revenue for the quarter grew by 18% year-over-year to $32 million, with a notable 26% increase in the Medical Device segment to $24.8 million. Excluding the SurVeil drug-coated balloon license fee, revenue grew by 19%. The company achieved an $8 million improvement from a GAAP net loss to GAAP net income and a $6.3 million rise in adjusted EBITDA. Surmodics' cash flow from operations reached $7.4 million, bolstered by $1.4 million in royalty catch-up payments and a $3.4 million cash tax refund. For fiscal 2024, Surmodics raised its revenue guidance to $122-$124 million, indicating a 15%-17% increase excluding SurVeil license fees, and improved its non-GAAP loss per share outlook to a range of $0.67-$0.47. The company attributed its success to robust sales of its Vascular Interventions portfolio, including SurVeil, Pounce thrombectomy, and Sublime radial access products, and highlighted ongoing operational progress towards strategic objectives, such as launching new products and advancing clinical evaluations.

SurModics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SurModics faces challenges with declining revenues and consistent losses, impacting profitability metrics negatively. Despite having no debt in the latest period, the company struggles with cash flow generation. The balance sheet remains robust with a high equity ratio, providing some financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 73.4%, but the net profit margin is negative due to consistent losses. The company has not achieved positive EBIT or EBITDA margins in the recent TTM period, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively stable with no total debt in the TTM period, improving the debt-to-equity ratio to zero. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid base of equity compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company has shown a decline in free cash flow, with negative free cash flow in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests some efficiency in converting net income to cash flows despite losses. Free cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable due to negative free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue121.58M126.08M132.58M99.95M105.14M94.86M
Gross Profit88.33M93.05M61.02M29.00M41.23M29.36M
EBITDA-5.79M4.73M15.15M-12.22M12.17M5.94M
Net Income-19.86M-11.54M-1.54M-27.27M4.24M1.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets163.21M178.56M185.73M158.36M194.59M168.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.15M40.11M45.35M19.00M38.87M61.10M
Total Debt0.0033.24M29.41M13.84M10.00M436.00K
Total Liabilities52.97M59.66M65.82M49.97M54.51M37.71M
Stockholders Equity110.25M118.90M119.91M108.39M140.09M131.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.44M-3.24M7.60M-20.59M9.11M10.34M
Operating Cash Flow-5.32M248.00K10.51M-17.22M15.39M14.01M
Investing Cash Flow4.15M-2.94M-6.82M6.23M-25.24M-9.07M
Financing Cash Flow-2.65M-2.95M18.41M-375.00K10.23M-4.65M

SurModics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.00
Price Trends
50DMA
28.86
Positive
100DMA
29.83
Negative
200DMA
34.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
48.72
Neutral
STOCH
55.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRDX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.23, above the 50-day MA of 28.86, and below the 200-day MA of 34.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SRDX.

SurModics Risk Analysis

SurModics disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SurModics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SurModics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$361.88M-7.46%-3.31%-199.23%
60
Neutral
HK$15.31B5.72-7.43%4.61%11.60%-21.06%
59
Neutral
$319.11M-76.21%23.22%9.54%
49
Neutral
$414.68M-16.96%-14.96%-245.49%
48
Neutral
$369.60M-161.19%1.64%16.02%
47
Neutral
$447.13M-177.29%-23.99%-100.40%
41
Neutral
$383.09M-45.73%7.54%4.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRDX
SurModics
29.00
-12.97
-30.90%
PACB
Pacific Biosciences
1.49
0.18
13.74%
CLPT
ClearPoint Neuro
11.29
5.85
107.54%
SENS
Senseonics Holdings
0.49
0.10
25.64%
VREX
Varex Imaging
8.72
-5.63
-39.23%
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts
6.09
-0.65
-9.64%

SurModics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
SurModics Faces Cyber Incident with IT Systems
Negative
Jul 2, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Surmodics, Inc. experienced a cyber incident where a threat actor gained unauthorized access to its IT systems, rendering some data and systems temporarily unavailable. The company promptly initiated containment measures, worked with third-party IT experts, and restored critical IT systems, ensuring customer orders and shipments continued without significant disruption. The company is still analyzing the scope of the data accessed but has not found evidence of data misuse. Surmodics expects its cyber insurance to cover most related expenditures, though it remains exposed to risks such as management distraction, potential litigation, and regulatory scrutiny.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRDX) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SurModics stock, see the SRDX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025