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Senseonics Holdings Inc (SENS)
:SENS

Senseonics Holdings (SENS) AI Stock Analysis

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Senseonics Holdings

(NYSE MKT:SENS)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▲( 0.00% Upside)
Senseonics Holdings shows promise with revenue growth and strategic partnerships, but is hindered by negative profitability, high debt, and valuation challenges. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, yet operational and financial risks remain significant.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Physicians captured in our sample set expect the US CGM category to expand 20%+ over the next two years, which is ahead of the estimated combined +17-18% forecast from market leaders Abbott Laboratories and Dexcom.
Product Competitiveness
The company's Eversense 365 platform is the only FDA-approved implantable CGM that is cleared for continuous blood glucose monitoring for 12 months, which compares to an average of 10-14 days for competing platforms that are worn externally.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Ascensia Diabetes Care now markets E365 to more than 2,400 annual prescribers, with the majority being new prescribers.
Negative Factors
Financial Concerns
SENS shares are considered expensive as they trade at a high multiple of projected sales and the company is burning cash, increasing the risk of dilution.
Market Competition
There is skepticism about SENS's ability to gain traction in the CGM market against established competitors, despite the 365-day indication.
Regulatory and Commercial Risks
Risks to our investment thesis include regulatory requirements for additional clinical studies and a commercialization strategy dependent on partner ADC’s success.

Senseonics Holdings (SENS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Senseonics Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSenseonics Holdings, Inc., a medical technology company, develops and commercializes continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for people with diabetes in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's products include Eversense and Eversense XL, which are implantable CGM systems to measure glucose levels in people with diabetes through an under-the-skin sensor, a removable and rechargeable smart transmitter, and a convenient app for real-time diabetes monitoring and management for a period of up to six months. It serves healthcare providers and patients through a network of distributors and strategic fulfillment partners. The company has a collaboration agreement with the University Hospitals Accountable Care Organization. Senseonics Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Germantown, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneySenseonics Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Eversense CGM system and related products. The company's revenue model involves direct sales to healthcare providers and distribution partnerships that facilitate the availability of its CGM systems in various markets. Key revenue streams include the initial purchase of the CGM system components and ongoing sales of consumables like sensors and transmitters required for continuous monitoring. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers, distribution partners, and insurers also contribute to its earnings by expanding market reach and facilitating reimbursement processes for patients.

Senseonics Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Senseonics Holdings faces significant financial challenges, including continuous losses and high leverage. While revenue shows slight growth, profitability remains a major concern with negative margins across the board. The balance sheet's negative equity and high debt levels indicate financial instability, and the cash flow statement reflects ongoing liquidity issues. The company must focus on improving operational efficiency and financial health to enhance its financial standing.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Senseonics Holdings has shown minimal revenue growth with a slight increase in total revenue from $22.39M in 2023 to $22.47M TTM. However, profitability metrics are concerning: Gross Profit Margin is low at 2.37%, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating the company is operating at a significant loss. The Net Profit Margin is also negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a notably high Debt-to-Equity ratio due to negative equity, suggesting financial instability. The Return on Equity is not applicable due to negative equity. Additionally, the equity ratio is inverted due to negative stockholders' equity, highlighting potential financial distress. The balance sheet reveals a capital structure heavily reliant on debt.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, but there is a slight improvement in free cash flow from -$70.51M in 2023 to -$62.70M TTM. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is not favorable at 0.77, indicating cash flow issues. However, financing activities have provided some cash influx, albeit this may not be sustainable long-term.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
22.47M22.39M16.39M13.68M4.95M21.30M
Gross Profit
533.00K3.09M2.73M-811.00K-17.37M-19.45M
EBIT
-74.84M-75.60M-68.63M-57.18M-79.13M-130.66M
EBITDA
-69.91M-48.01M161.81M-284.51M-157.86M-99.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-78.62M-60.39M142.12M-317.78M-191.02M-126.23M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
74.60M109.46M144.01M129.91M18.00M95.94M
Total Assets
100.44M138.22M177.67M198.93M35.92M132.60M
Total Debt
60.63M47.78M74.65M63.30M62.70M119.22M
Net Debt
-13.97M-27.93M38.86M29.84M44.69M23.29M
Total Liabilities
116.99M64.77M180.25M384.46M180.00M141.45M
Stockholders Equity
-16.55M73.45M-2.58M-185.53M-144.08M-8.85M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-62.70M-70.51M-66.62M-56.29M-67.60M-137.09M
Operating Cash Flow
-60.47M-70.16M-66.31M-56.08M-67.42M-136.05M
Investing Cash Flow
32.84M89.71M26.88M-148.75M-181.00K-1.04M
Financing Cash Flow
26.83M20.37M41.76M220.08M-10.13M96.24M

Senseonics Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.50
Price Trends
50DMA
0.64
Negative
100DMA
0.74
Negative
200DMA
0.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
34.01
Neutral
STOCH
6.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SENS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.62, below the 50-day MA of 0.64, and below the 200-day MA of 0.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SENS.

Senseonics Holdings Risk Analysis

Senseonics Holdings disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Senseonics Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our recent exchange agreements with certain holders of our 2025 Notes will result in additional dilution and could cause our stock price to decline. Q3, 2023

Senseonics Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$33.26B63.6823.72%9.11%-17.87%
63
Neutral
$2.28B30.62-19.69%7.97%-592.40%
OMOM
57
Neutral
$317.74M-86.53%-7.84%42.34%
55
Neutral
$1.38B-92.31%27.65%-28.22%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-43.89%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
50
Neutral
$380.69M-161.19%1.64%16.02%
50
Neutral
$327.10M-30.11%15.32%15.73%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SENS
Senseonics Holdings
0.50
0.06
13.64%
DXCM
Dexcom
84.51
-42.86
-33.65%
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care
20.72
-31.01
-59.95%
LIVN
LivaNova
41.88
-17.72
-29.73%
NNOX
Nano-X Imaging
5.13
-3.30
-39.15%
OM
Outset Medical
17.95
-40.10
-69.08%

Senseonics Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -32.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong positive outlook with significant revenue growth, new strategic collaborations, and successful integration initiatives. Despite a pause in the Mercy Health Systems project, the company maintains a positive trajectory with anticipated European expansion and improved financial metrics.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Net revenue grew 24% to $6.3 million in Q1 2025, compared to $5 million in the prior year period.
Eversense 365 and twiist Integration
First AID integration of Eversense 365 with twiist Automated Insulin Delivery System announced, enabling real-time readings and insulin delivery adjustments.
Collaboration with SweetSpot
New collaboration with SweetSpot enables virtual CGM monitoring, enhancing patient care and improving network-wide health outcomes.
Medicare Reimbursement Update
The 2025 physician fee schedule was updated to provide payment for the full year of Eversense, with effectiveness retroactive back to January 1.
European Launch Plans
CE Mark application filed with the notified body; European launch of Eversense 365 expected in the second half of 2025.
Improved Financial Performance
Gross profit increased to $1.5 million in Q1 2025, up from $0.3 million in the prior year period, with gross margins improving to approximately 18%.
Negative Updates
Mercy Health Systems Initiative Paused
A significant executive level restructuring at Mercy Health Systems has paused the ongoing work to drive Eversense forward, affecting expected impact in the back half of the year.
Net Loss
Net loss was $14.3 million or $0.02 loss per share in Q1 2025, compared to a net loss of $18.9 million or $0.03 loss per share in Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Senseonics Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reiterated its revenue guidance for the year, forecasting total net revenue between $34 million and $38 million. This follows a strong Q1 performance with net revenue increasing by 24% to $6.3 million compared to the prior year period. U.S. revenue contributed $4.5 million, while revenue outside the U.S. was $1.8 million. The company highlighted the successful integration of its Eversense 365 continuous glucose monitor (CGM) with Sequel's twiist automated insulin delivery system, as well as a collaboration with SweetSpot for enhanced patient care. The company plans a European launch in the latter half of 2025, pending CE Mark approval, and is also working to transition U.S. reimbursement from 180 to 365 days for the Eversense system, with many payers already on board. Gross profit for Q1 was $1.5 million, a significant increase from $0.3 million in the prior year, driven by improved margins on the 365-day product. The full-year gross margins are projected to be between 25% and 30%, with operating expenses translating into expected cash utilization between $50 million and $60 million in 2025.

Senseonics Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Senseonics Holdings Approves Director Elections and Proposals
Neutral
May 21, 2025

At the Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025, Senseonics Holdings‘ stockholders voted on three proposals. The election of four directors was approved, with all nominees elected to serve until the 2028 annual meeting. Additionally, the stockholders approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers and ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SENS) stock is a Buy with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senseonics Holdings stock, see the SENS Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Senseonics Holdings Announces Major Stock Offering Agreement
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Senseonics Holdings, Inc. announced an underwriting agreement with TD Securities and Barclays Capital to issue and sell 100,000,000 shares of common stock at $0.50 per share, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 15,000,000 shares. The expected net proceeds of approximately $45.4 million, or $52.45 million if the option is exercised, will fund the launch of Eversense 365, development of pipeline products, and general corporate purposes. The offering is part of a shelf registration and includes a concurrent private placement with Abbott Laboratories for up to $25 million. The closing is expected on May 19, 2025, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SENS) stock is a Buy with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senseonics Holdings stock, see the SENS Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Senseonics Holdings Enters Agreement with Abbott Laboratories
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Senseonics Holdings entered into a securities purchase agreement with Abbott Laboratories to sell up to $25 million of its common stock in a private placement, contingent upon the closing of a proposed public offering. This strategic move includes granting Abbott certain negotiation rights for potential future transactions, which could impact the company’s operational and market strategies. The agreement reflects Senseonics’ efforts to strengthen its financial position and explore strategic opportunities, potentially affecting stakeholders and the company’s industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SENS) stock is a Buy with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Senseonics Holdings stock, see the SENS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.