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Insulet (PODD)
NASDAQ:PODD
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Insulet (PODD) AI Stock Analysis

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PODD

Insulet

(NASDAQ:PODD)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$145.00
▼(-11.18% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance and constructive earnings guidance with margin/EPS leverage. Offsetting these positives are weak technicals (shares below all major moving averages) and a premium valuation (P/E ~38), plus execution risk around Type 2 retention that management is working to fix.
Positive Factors
Recurring consumables revenue
Insulet's pod-replacement model creates predictable, repeat revenue as patients refill disposable Pods. Durable recurring demand increases revenue visibility, supports working-capital planning, funds R&D and manufacturing scale, and anchors long-term cash flow so growth is driven by patient base expansion and retention.
Negative Factors
Type 2 onboarding and retention execution
Onboarding and first-90-day retention issues in type 2 customers threaten long-term recurring revenue per patient. Type 2 represents a sizable addressable market; persistent utilization gaps could permanently reduce lifetime pod demand, force higher acquisition/servicing spend, and slow the company’s revenue scale despite product-level strengths.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring consumables revenue
Insulet's pod-replacement model creates predictable, repeat revenue as patients refill disposable Pods. Durable recurring demand increases revenue visibility, supports working-capital planning, funds R&D and manufacturing scale, and anchors long-term cash flow so growth is driven by patient base expansion and retention.
Read all positive factors

Insulet Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Provides insight into which business segments are driving sales, highlighting areas of strength and potential growth within the company's operations.
Chart InsightsOmnipod is the clear growth engine—U.S. revenue shows strong multi‑year expansion but remains seasonally lumpy, while international Omnipod is accelerating faster and now meaningfully scales the business, underpinning the guidance raise. Drug Delivery is effectively immaterial and trending toward exit. Management confirms international momentum and manufacturing ramp to sustain share, but near‑term risks include seasonal timing shifts (~$10M Q1 timing impact into Q2), modest retention pressure from a growing Type‑2 mix, and one‑time correction/obsolescence costs that compress margins.
Data provided by:The Fly

Insulet (PODD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Insulet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Insulet Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells insulin delivery systems for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in the United States and internationally. The company offers Omnipod platform products comprising Omnipod 5 automated insulin...
How the Company Makes Money
Insulet primarily makes money by selling its Omnipod insulin delivery system through a recurring-consumables model. The main revenue stream is ongoing sales of disposable Omnipod pods (the wearable devices that deliver insulin and are replaced reg...

Insulet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive operational and financial performance — strong revenue, significant margin expansion, robust EPS growth, international strength, product and clinical progress, and solid liquidity — while transparently acknowledging a meaningful, addressable execution issue in onboarding and retaining type 2 customers that led to a modest downward revision to U.S. revenue outlook and a reassessment of longer-term assumptions. Management presented concrete actions (expanded customer care, sales compensation changes, sampling refinements, Omnipod Discover and data platform investments) to remediate retention and utilization in the first 90 days and expressed confidence these will translate into improved outcomes over time.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Q2 total revenue of $802 million, up 23.5% reported and 22.7% constant currency year-over-year; company delivered another quarter of strong top-line growth.
Negative Updates
Type 2 Retention and Utilization Challenges
Observed lower-than-expected utilization and retention among type 2 customers, especially pronounced in Q2; company attributes the issue to onboarding/first-90-day execution rather than product or pricing.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Q2 total revenue of $802 million, up 23.5% reported and 22.7% constant currency year-over-year; company delivered another quarter of strong top-line growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Insulet updated 2026 guidance to expect full‑year constant‑currency total company revenue growth of 20–22% and total Omnipod growth of 21–23%, with U.S. Omnipod up 17–19% and international Omnipod up 30–32% (FX expected to add ~100 bps to total/company Omnipod growth and ~300 bps to international); Q3 guidance calls for Omnipod growth of 18–20% and total company growth of 17.5–19.5% (U.S. Omnipod 14–16%, international Omnipod 28–30%) with FX headwinds of ~50 bps to Q3 totals and ~200 bps to international, management still expects ~100 bps of operating‑margin expansion in 2026, roughly $40M of net interest expense, a non‑GAAP tax rate of 20–21%, ~70M shares outstanding, adjusted EPS growth of at least 30% for the year, free cash flow modestly down versus 2025 (YTD FCF $145M) and an exit‑rate into year‑end in the mid‑teens constant‑currency that the company aims to meet or exceed in 2027 (preliminary view assumes competition but not benefits from newly deployed retention actions).

Insulet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: strong revenue growth and high profitability (TTM gross margin ~71%, operating margin ~14%). Balance sheet has improved with strong ROE (~27%) and a de-risking leverage trend, though debt is still meaningful and reported leverage metrics show some inconsistency. Cash flow is firmly positive (TTM FCF ~$384M) but conversion is uneven (FCF ~0.49x net income) and recent FCF growth dipped (~-6.8%), tempering the score.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.05B2.71B2.07B1.70B1.31B1.10B
Gross Profit2.17B1.94B1.45B1.16B805.60M752.10M
EBITDA636.90M532.30M423.70M323.60M109.00M139.60M
Net Income375.30M247.10M418.30M206.30M4.60M16.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.17B3.19B3.09B2.59B2.25B2.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments534.90M716.10M953.40M704.20M674.70M791.60M
Total Debt948.40M1.05B1.42B1.45B1.43B1.29B
Total Liabilities1.74B1.68B1.88B1.86B1.77B1.49B
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.52B1.21B732.70M476.40M556.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow298.30M377.70M305.40M70.10M-38.30M-190.80M
Operating Cash Flow511.20M569.30M430.30M145.70M119.00M-68.10M
Investing Cash Flow-248.90M-222.70M-146.20M-119.40M-191.10M-82.70M
Financing Cash Flow-845.40M-595.30M-28.10M-13.60M-40.30M40.70M

Insulet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price163.26
Price Trends
50DMA
154.97
Negative
100DMA
169.13
Negative
200DMA
226.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.89
Positive
RSI
40.91
Neutral
STOCH
35.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PODD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 163.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 158.57, above the 50-day MA of 154.97, and below the 200-day MA of 226.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PODD.

Insulet Risk Analysis

Insulet disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Insulet reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Insulet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$33.08B34.5736.19%15.54%77.43%
77
Outperform
$23.29B29.0511.27%1.18%8.37%23.94%
74
Outperform
$18.65B23.546.11%1.05%8.62%0.09%
67
Neutral
$9.91B27.0026.69%29.41%59.39%
58
Neutral
$26.14B20.1310.05%3.78%
54
Neutral
$1.59B-25.24-45.97%3.92%70.03%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PODD
Insulet
144.70
-164.93
-53.27%
DXCM
Dexcom
89.53
9.36
11.68%
PHG
Koninklijke Philips
27.05
0.92
3.52%
STE
Steris
238.23
-2.97
-1.23%
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings
97.23
-3.53
-3.50%
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care
23.44
12.34
111.08%

Insulet Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Insulet Appoints Jay Mazelsky to Board of Directors
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 24, 2026, Insulet’s board appointed Jonathan “Jay” Mazelsky as a Class II independent director, effective July 1, 2026, with plans for him to stand for election at the 2027 annual shareholders’ meeting. As a non-emp...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Insulet Issues Voluntary Correction for Defective Omnipod Pods
Negative
May 26, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Insulet announced a voluntary medical device correction for specific lots of Omnipod 5, Omnipod DASH and Omnipod Eros Pods in the U.S. and certain international markets after product monitoring uncovered a manufacturing defect tha...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Insulet Shareholders Approve Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Insulet Corporation’s board approved amended and restated bylaws that designate the Delaware Court of Chancery, or other specified Delaware courts, as the exclusive forum for certain corporate and fiduciary duty claims, whil...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026