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Dexcom (DXCM)
NASDAQ:DXCM

Dexcom (DXCM) AI Stock Analysis

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DXCM

Dexcom

(NASDAQ:DXCM)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(14.10% Upside)
Dexcom's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors. The stock's technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation remains a concern with a high P/E ratio, and recent corporate events bolster long-term strategic positioning.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Dexcom's products, enhancing long-term financial stability and market position.
Expansion of CGM Access
Expanding CGM access broadens Dexcom's market reach, potentially increasing its customer base and recurring revenue streams.
Leadership Strengthening
Strengthening leadership with experienced figures supports innovation and strategic growth, vital for long-term competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Pressure
Decreasing margins can impact profitability, necessitating efficiency improvements to sustain financial health over time.
Quality and Deployment Issues
Deployment issues can affect brand reputation and customer retention, potentially hindering market expansion efforts.
CEO Medical Leave
Leadership changes can create uncertainty, impacting strategic decision-making and potentially affecting company performance.

Dexcom (DXCM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dexcom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDexcom, Inc. is a medical device company that specializes in continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for people with diabetes. Founded in 1999 and headquartered in San Diego, California, Dexcom develops innovative technologies to help patients manage their blood glucose levels more effectively. Its core products include the Dexcom G6 and G7 CGM systems, which provide real-time glucose data and trends to users, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions about their diabetes management. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector, focusing on diabetes care and management solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyDexcom generates revenue primarily through the sale of its continuous glucose monitoring systems and related supplies. The company's main revenue streams include the sale of CGM devices, sensors, transmitters, and software applications that enhance user experience and data management. Dexcom also partners with various healthcare providers, insurance companies, and diabetes education programs to promote its products and expand its market reach. These partnerships often lead to increased adoption of Dexcom’s technology among patients and healthcare professionals. Additionally, the company benefits from recurring revenue through the ongoing sales of sensors, which are required for continuous monitoring, thereby creating a stable revenue stream. Dexcom's strategic collaborations with pharmaceutical companies and technology firms further enhance its earnings potential by integrating its solutions with other diabetes management therapies.

Dexcom Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsDexCom's U.S. and international revenues are both on an upward trajectory, with the latest quarter showing strong year-over-year growth. The earnings call highlights a 15% increase in U.S. revenue and a 16% rise internationally, driven by expanded coverage for type 2 non-insulin users and strategic launches like the 15-day G7 System. Despite a slight dip in gross margins due to supply chain investments, the company remains optimistic, projecting significant revenue growth and leveraging its cash reserves for strategic opportunities.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dexcom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
DexCom's earnings call highlighted robust revenue growth and strategic product expansions, particularly in type 2 diabetes CGM coverage, and noted the introduction of innovative products like DexCom Smart Basal. However, challenges in gross margin management and quality issues with the G7 sensor deployment were noted. The sentiment is buoyed by positive financial performance and strategic advancements, despite some operational challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
DexCom reported worldwide revenue of $1.21 billion for Q3 2025, up 22% from $994 million in Q3 2024. U.S. revenue grew by 21%, and international revenue grew by 22%, with notable performance in France and Canada.
Expansion of CGM Access
There was significant progress in CGM access, with coverage now established for nearly 6 million type 2 non-insulin lives in the U.S. This represents about half of the type 2 NIT commercial population.
Introduction of DexCom Smart Basal
DexCom Smart Basal, a titration module designed to simplify basal insulin management, is under review with the FDA and for CE Mark. It aims to improve adherence and reduce workflow for healthcare providers.
Successful Launch of Stelo
Stelo, a new product in the market for just 12 months, has surpassed $100 million in revenue and increased awareness of CGM benefits for metabolic health.
Record Earnings Per Share
DexCom reported the highest quarterly earnings per share in its history at $0.61.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
The gross margin decreased to 61.3% from 63.0% in Q3 2024, influenced by higher-than-expected scrap rates at manufacturing facilities and increased costs related to expedited shipping.
Quality and Deployment Issues
There were issues with G7 sensor deployment earlier in the year, impacting consumer perception and possibly affecting new patient starts.
Anticipated Slightly Lower 2026 Growth
DexCom anticipates that the top end of its 2026 growth range may come in slightly below current Street expectations, driven by existing coverage landscapes.
Company Guidance
During the DexCom Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance highlighted a strong financial performance with worldwide revenue reaching $1.21 billion, a 22% increase from the previous year, and organic revenue growth of 20%. U.S. revenue rose by 21% to $852 million, and international revenue grew by 22% to $357.4 million. Gross margin guidance was lowered to 61% due to higher-than-expected scrap rates, but operating income increased to $272.9 million or 22.6% of revenue. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $368.4 million, representing 30.5% of revenue. DexCom raised its annual revenue guidance to between $4.630 billion and $4.650 billion, reflecting a 15% growth rate. The company plans to offset gross margin pressures through operational expense leverage, aiming for non-GAAP operating margins of 20% to 21% and adjusted EBITDA margins of 29% to 30%.

Dexcom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dexcom exhibits a robust financial profile with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company's leverage is under control, and its return on equity is commendable. While the financial statements are generally positive, focusing on improving gross profit margins and equity ratios could further strengthen its financial standing.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dexcom's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 5% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 59% and a net profit margin of 15.96%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 13.75% and 23.12%, respectively. The consistent growth trajectory and profitability indicate a well-managed income statement, though slight declines in gross profit margin over the years suggest room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Dexcom's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.92, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 29.82%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio of 36.35% suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing. Overall, the balance sheet is solid but could benefit from a higher equity ratio to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement highlights impressive free cash flow growth of 86.04% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.01 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.73 demonstrate efficient cash conversion. While the cash flow metrics are strong, maintaining this growth trajectory will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.52B4.03B3.62B2.91B2.45B1.93B
Gross Profit2.67B2.44B2.29B1.88B1.68B1.28B
EBITDA1.22B945.70M916.70M565.30M377.50M376.80M
Net Income720.70M576.20M541.50M341.20M216.90M493.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.50B6.48B6.26B5.39B4.93B4.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.32B2.58B2.72B2.46B2.73B2.71B
Total Debt2.52B2.59B2.59B2.15B2.16B1.84B
Total Liabilities4.77B4.38B4.20B3.26B2.89B2.46B
Stockholders Equity2.73B2.10B2.07B2.13B2.04B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B630.70M511.90M304.70M53.30M276.60M
Operating Cash Flow1.45B989.50M748.50M669.50M442.50M475.60M
Investing Cash Flow-74.30M-207.50M-507.20M-521.50M-216.10M-1.02B
Financing Cash Flow-165.80M-734.80M-318.60M-552.50M10.40M912.10M

Dexcom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price65.73
Price Trends
50DMA
64.08
Positive
100DMA
70.33
Negative
200DMA
74.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.16
Negative
RSI
54.81
Neutral
STOCH
56.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DXCM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 65.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.58, above the 50-day MA of 64.08, and below the 200-day MA of 74.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DXCM.

Dexcom Risk Analysis

Dexcom disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dexcom reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dexcom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$26.12B36.5830.63%14.21%5.66%
79
Outperform
$48.21B35.5013.59%0.19%65.58%
77
Outperform
$24.71B35.8410.14%0.94%5.15%60.30%
70
Outperform
$20.80B84.5819.68%27.12%-41.72%
69
Neutral
$13.79B28.869.20%2.32%5.78%61.52%
61
Neutral
$1.45B-7.25-109.73%17.87%-57.03%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DXCM
Dexcom
65.73
-12.07
-15.51%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
83.38
9.26
12.49%
PODD
Insulet
291.51
28.16
10.69%
SNN
Smith & Nephew Snats
32.23
7.39
29.75%
STE
Steris
254.07
46.64
22.48%
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care
22.11
-12.12
-35.41%

Dexcom Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dexcom Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Dexcom‘s Board of Directors expanded to include Dr. Euan Ashley, a renowned researcher and clinician, who will serve on the Nominating and Governance Committee and the Technology Committee. This appointment, along with the planned addition of Jacob S. Leach in January 2026, is part of Dexcom’s strategic efforts to strengthen its leadership in medical technology and healthcare innovation, enhancing its capacity to advance metabolic health globally.

Executive/Board Changes
Dexcom CEO Takes Medical Leave, Interim Roles Announced
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 14, 2025, Dexcom announced that CEO and Chairman Kevin R. Sayer took a temporary medical leave of absence. Jacob S. Leach, the company’s President and COO, was appointed interim principal executive officer, while Mark Foletta was named interim chairman of the board. Both appointees will not receive additional compensation for their interim roles.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025