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TIM Group (TIIAY)
OTHER OTC:TIIAY
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TIM Group
(OTC:TIIAY)
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Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-11.03% Downside)
The overall stock score of 50 reflects significant financial challenges, including high debt and negative net income, which weigh heavily on the score. Technical analysis provides some support with potential upward momentum, but high valuation metrics and lack of dividend yield detract from the stock's attractiveness. The positive earnings call sentiment is noted but not factored into the score due to its exclusion from the weighted calculation.
TIM Group (TIIAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.40B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)696.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)118.5
Beta (1Y)0.46
Revenue Growth-9.37%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees26,282
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.00
Shares Outstanding1,532,946,700
10 Day Avg. Volume1,615
30 Day Avg. Volume696
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.04
P/FCF Ratio1.27
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.00
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.78
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.17
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.12
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$5.00Price Target Upside-11.03% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering0
TIM Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionTIM Group (TIIAY) is an Italian telecommunications company that provides a wide range of services including mobile and fixed-line telephony, broadband, and digital services. Operating primarily in Italy, TIM Group also has a presence in several other countries, focusing on delivering innovative solutions in telecommunications and IT services. The company is known for its efforts in digital transformation and has been investing in advanced network infrastructure to enhance connectivity and improve customer experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyTIM Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its mobile and fixed-line services. The company earns money by charging customers for voice and data plans, broadband subscriptions, and television services. Additionally, TIM Group capitalizes on its extensive network infrastructure by offering wholesale services to other telecom operators. Significant partnerships with technology firms and content providers also contribute to its earnings, allowing TIM to bundle services and create value-added offerings. Furthermore, the company's initiatives in digital services, such as cloud solutions and IoT applications, are emerging revenue sources that align with the growing demand for digital transformation in various sectors.
TIM Group Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid revenue and EBITDA growth, successful price adjustments, and strong performance in Brazil. However, challenges remain with equity free cash flow, pending legal outcomes, and leadership changes.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total revenues grew by 2.7% year-on-year, with service revenues increasing by 3.3%. EBITDA after lease increased by 5%.
Successful Price Adjustments
Price adjustments across Wireline and mobile customer bases were implemented, with a lower-than-expected impact on churn. This confirms the success of the volume to value strategy.
TIM Brazil Performance
TIM Brazil delivered mid-single digit top-line growth, driven by mobile service revenue. EBITDA after lease margin reached nearly 38% of revenues with year-on-year growth of 6%.
Operational Efficiency
Group CapEx intensity was below the full year target, and EBITDA after lease margin increased by 0.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year.
Negative Updates
Equity Free Cash Flow Challenges
Equity free cash flow was slightly negative in the first half at around EUR 0.1 billion, reflecting seasonal impacts and working capital dynamics.
Pending Legal Outcomes
Awaiting final court ruling on the '98 concession fee, with potential financial implications depending on the outcome.
Leadership Changes
Resignation of Chief Financial Officer Adrian Calaza and Chief Public Affairs Security and International Business Officer Eugenio Santagata, with replacements planned.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, TIM provided guidance indicating that for the first half of 2025, they are on track to meet their full-year targets, both operationally and financially. Key metrics highlighted include a year-on-year total revenue growth of 2.7%, service revenue growth of 3.3%, and an EBITDA after lease increase of 5%. CapEx was reported at EUR 0.8 billion, representing about 13% of total revenues, and equity free cash flow was slightly negative at around EUR 0.1 billion, but turned positive in Q2. The company maintains a stable net debt after lease of EUR 7.5 billion, with a leverage ratio below 2.1x. They anticipate an acceleration of domestic EBITDA in the second half, supported by price increases and operational efficiencies. Despite Adrian Calaza's upcoming departure as CFO, TIM remains focused on executing their strategy and confirms guidance for the full year, with potential for better-than-expected cash flow performance.TIM Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
TIM Group's financial statements reflect challenges in profitability and cash flow management. Despite some improvement in leverage and revenue growth, persistent negative net income and high debt levels are concerning. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and reduce debt to enhance financial stability.Income Statement
The income statement shows a declining trend in gross profit margin from 64.08% in 2020 to 42.53% in TTM 2025, indicating reduced efficiency in generating profit from revenue. Net profit margin has been negative since 2021, with a slight improvement in TTM 2025, but still negative at -2.42%. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with a minor increase of 1.38% in TTM 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some stability, but overall profitability remains a concern.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, peaking at 2.31 in 2023, indicating significant leverage. Although it has improved to 1.27 in TTM 2025, it remains a risk factor. Return on equity has been negative since 2021, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio has been stable, but the high leverage poses a potential risk to financial stability.50
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow in TTM 2025, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income.40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 13.98B | 14.44B | 16.30B | 15.79B | 15.32B | 15.80B |
| Gross Profit | 5.95B | 6.73B | 8.08B | 9.13B | 9.25B | 10.13B |
| EBITDA | 3.48B | 4.80B | 5.71B | 5.51B | 1.16B | 7.25B |
| Net Income | -96.00M | -610.00M | -1.44B | -2.92B | -8.65B | 7.22B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 36.45B | 37.66B | 62.16B | 62.03B | 69.19B | 73.23B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.88B | 4.46B | 4.97B | 5.00B | 9.15B | 5.92B |
| Total Debt | 13.37B | 14.72B | 31.55B | 31.19B | 32.10B | 29.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 23.25B | 24.30B | 44.65B | 43.30B | 47.15B | 44.39B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.86B | 11.96B | 13.65B | 15.06B | 17.41B | 26.21B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -286.00M | 402.00M | -25.00M | -1.41B | 323.00M | 1.85B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.34B | 3.25B | 3.94B | 4.89B | 4.34B | 6.55B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 6.47B | 4.94B | -4.15B | -5.33B | -5.12B | -3.08B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -6.58B | -7.41B | -456.00M | -2.87B | 3.16B | -2.01B |
TIM Group Technical Analysis
Positive
5.62
Price Trends
5.20
Positive
4.90
Positive
4.03
Positive
Market Momentum
0.13
Negative
64.92
Neutral
84.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TIIAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.32, above the 50-day MA of 5.20, and above the 200-day MA of 4.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TIIAY.
TIM Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $10.37B | 16.34 | 13.78% | 6.78% | -7.99% | 2.16% | |
74 Outperform | $18.02B | 12.81 | 17.71% | 7.07% | -5.13% | -5.90% | |
72 Outperform | $19.46B | 19.15 | 8.20% | 4.77% | -6.51% | -0.21% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
55 Neutral | $27.05B | 9.21 | -7.17% | 4.39% | 0.89% | -494.16% | |
52 Neutral | $28.41B | ― | -3.55% | 7.17% | -4.73% | -251.31% | |
50 Neutral | $12.40B | 118.51 | -1.91% | ― | -9.37% | ― |
* Communication Services Sector Average
TIIAY
TIM Group
5.62
2.98
112.88%
TLK
PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk
18.16
0.37
2.08%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
11.99
3.10
34.87%
TEF
Telefonica
4.97
0.44
9.71%
TIMB
TIM
21.34
7.46
53.75%
VOD
Vodafone
11.28
2.08
22.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.