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Tucows (TCX)
:TCX

Tucows (TCX) AI Stock Analysis

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Tucows

(NASDAQ:TCX)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(0.70%Upside)
Tucows' stock score is primarily constrained by financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage. Positive technical analysis and strategic corporate changes provide some balance, suggesting potential for future improvement if financial issues are addressed.

Tucows (TCX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tucows Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTucows Inc. provides network access, domain name registration, email, mobile telephony, and other Internet services in Canada, the United States, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Fiber Internet Services, Mobile Services, and Domain Services. The Fiber Internet Services segment provides fixed high-speed Internet access services to individuals and small businesses primarily through the Ting website, and other billing solutions to small internet service providers. The Mobile Services segment offers mobile phones and retail telephony services; and professional services, including implementation, training, consulting, and software development and modification services, as well as operates Mobile Services Enabler platform that provides network access, provisioning, and billing services. The Domain Services segment provides wholesale and retail domain name registration services; portfolio services; and value-added services, such as hosted email, Internet security services, Internet hosting, WHOIS privacy, publishing tools, and other value-added services for end-users under the OpenSRS, eNom, Ascio, and Hover brands. The company was formerly known as Infonautics, Inc. and changed its name to Tucows Inc. in August 2001. Tucows Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTucows Inc. generates revenue through several key streams. The primary revenue source is its domain services business, which includes both wholesale and retail domain registration services. Through OpenSRS, Tucows provides domain registration and management services to resellers, generating income from domain registrations, renewals, and associated services. Hover, its retail arm, directly caters to consumers needing domain registration and management services. Another significant revenue stream is from Ting, the company's MVNO, which provides mobile phone services with a focus on flexible, pay-as-you-go billing models. Tucows earns revenue from subscriptions, data usage, and other mobile-related services. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships that enhance service offerings and expand its customer base, though specific partnerships are not detailed here.

Tucows Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 14.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced perspective with significant revenue growth and positive financial performance, particularly in Tucows Domains and Wavelo. However, these achievements are tempered by Ting's restructuring costs and operating losses, as well as a notable net loss for the quarter.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Financial Performance
2024 marked the fourth consecutive year of consolidated revenue growth, with a 19% year-over-year gross profit expansion and more than doubling of annual Adjusted EBITDA to nearly $35 million. Excluding Ting, Adjusted EBITDA was $57.4 million, representing a 126% increase from $15.5 million in 2023.
Tucows Domains Revenue and Margin Growth
Tucows Domains grew revenue to $65.7 million in Q4, up 6% from the previous year, and gross margin increased by 8% to $20.3 million. Domain Services' Adjusted EBITDA was $11.6 million in Q4, up 8% year-over-year.
Wavelo's Positive Financial Metrics
Wavelo's revenue for 2024 was $39.9 million, with gross margin at $38.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $13.8 million, outperforming guidance and showing an increase from $10.6 million last year.
Ting's Subscriber and Revenue Growth
Ting reported $15.7 million in revenue for Q4, a 14% increase year-over-year, driven by a 17% increase in subscribers to 50,700. Gross Margin increased 40% to $11.0 million.
Record Debt Repayment
Tucows repaid $16.5 million on the syndicated bank loan in 2024, reducing interest expense and improving financial leverage.
Negative Updates
Ting's Operating Losses and Restructuring Costs
Ting faced a $28.2 million one-time restructuring and impairment charge related to its capital efficiency plan, contributing to a net loss of $45.3 million for the quarter.
Wavelo's Quarterly Revenue Decline
Wavelo's quarterly revenue for Q4 was $9.9 million, down 1.9% from Q3, with gross margin down 6.5% from the previous quarter.
Net Loss and Adjusted EPS Decline
The company reported a net loss of $45.3 million for Q4, with an Adjusted EPS loss of $1.43 per share, primarily due to one-time charges associated with Ting.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Tucows demonstrated strong financial performance with a 7.1% increase in total revenue to $93.1 million and a notable 403% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $12.8 million. The company reported a consolidated revenue growth for the year and a 19% increase in gross profit. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to nearly $35 million, excluding Ting, with total EBITDA reaching $57.4 million. Tucows Domains saw revenue rise by 6.2% to $65.7 million, with an 8% increase in gross margin to $20.3 million, and Adjusted EBITDA up 7.8% to $11.6 million. Wavelo reported a year-over-year revenue increase to $39.9 million, with a significant Adjusted EBITDA growth of 41% to $13.8 million, exceeding guidance. Ting's revenue grew 14% to $15.7 million, with a gross margin increase of 40% to $11 million and a narrowed Adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.5 million in Q4. The company also repaid $16.5 million on its syndicated bank loan and authorized a $40 million stock buyback program for 2025. Looking ahead, Tucows anticipates a 75% growth in Adjusted EBITDA for 2025, driven by continued progress in operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives across its business segments.

Tucows Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tucows exhibits financial strain with negative profitability metrics and cash flow challenges. High debt levels and negative net income contribute to financial instability. Slight revenue growth is overshadowed by operational inefficiencies and leverage concerns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement for TTM shows a negative net profit margin of -26.67% and a declining trend in EBIT margin at -13.47%, indicating significant challenges in achieving profitability. Although there is a slight revenue growth rate of 1.98% from the previous year, the overall margins are concerning, highlighting potential inefficiencies or cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42, indicating leverage risk. The equity ratio stands at 30.68%, reflecting moderate asset financing through equity. ROE is negative at -43.27%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. These factors suggest a need for careful balance sheet management.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow and a concerning free cash flow to net income ratio, reflecting cash constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating operational cash flow challenges. Free cash flow growth is slightly positive, yet the overall cash flow situation requires improvement.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
369.43M362.27M339.34M321.14M304.34M311.20M
Gross Profit
87.29M83.03M108.86M78.25M78.29M85.48M
EBIT
-49.76M-65.01M-63.65M-31.38M-8.19M6.92M
EBITDA
28.28M-1.82M-12.19M26.25M211.34M33.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-98.51M-109.86M-96.20M-27.57M3.36M5.78M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.31M56.90M92.69M23.50M9.11M8.31M
Total Assets
464.10M758.80M798.43M664.75M539.60M451.90M
Total Debt
133.45M513.12M568.29M256.01M205.75M132.67M
Net Debt
125.14M456.22M475.60M232.51M196.65M124.36M
Total Liabilities
356.69M854.10M788.55M568.09M424.50M347.20M
Stockholders Equity
107.41M-95.30M9.88M96.66M115.09M104.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-72.90M-76.20M-97.35M-117.62M-44.31M-8.43M
Operating Cash Flow
-25.32M-19.75M-4.77M19.88M29.64M36.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-46.55M-56.49M-92.58M-137.49M-101.98M-53.28M
Financing Cash Flow
47.50M44.50M178.84M132.01M73.14M5.12M

Tucows Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.86
Price Trends
50DMA
17.38
Positive
100DMA
17.46
Positive
200DMA
18.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Negative
RSI
65.22
Neutral
STOCH
68.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.06, above the 50-day MA of 17.38, and above the 200-day MA of 18.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCX.

Tucows Risk Analysis

Tucows disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tucows reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tucows Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DBDBX
75
Outperform
$8.15B19.01-60.11%0.79%0.59%
ZSZS
74
Outperform
$46.39B-2.68%25.46%49.20%
69
Neutral
$25.42B34.25245.70%7.93%-56.44%
SWSWI
68
Neutral
$3.20B28.867.87%5.03%
64
Neutral
$5.65B-22.21%13.34%13.71%
62
Neutral
$11.90B10.64-7.50%2.90%7.41%-8.19%
TCTCX
56
Neutral
$224.02M171.00%6.66%5.92%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCX
Tucows
19.86
-1.56
-7.28%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
50.23
7.71
18.13%
GDDY
GoDaddy
176.91
38.84
28.13%
ZS
Zscaler
299.86
111.03
58.80%
DBX
Dropbox
28.37
6.67
30.74%
SWI
SolarWinds
18.49
6.75
57.50%

Tucows Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tucows Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting for Key Decisions
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Tucows Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Shareholders elected directors to the Board for a one-year term and ratified Deloitte LLP as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are crucial for maintaining the company’s strategic direction and ensuring financial transparency.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tucows Nominates Five New Board Members
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Tucows Inc. announced the nomination of five new individuals for election to its Board of Directors at the upcoming Annual General Meeting on May 20, 2025. The new nominees bring diverse expertise in finance, technology, and entrepreneurship, aligning with Tucows’ mission to innovate and expand its digital infrastructure. This board refresh marks a strategic step in the company’s long-term growth plans, while also honoring the contributions of outgoing directors who have significantly shaped Tucows’ leadership and culture.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.