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Salzgitter (SZGPY)
OTHER OTC:SZGPY

Salzgitter (SZGPY) AI Stock Analysis

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SZGPY

Salzgitter

(OTC:SZGPY)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-6.05% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/25/26
Overall score reflects weak financial performance (losses and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These risks are partially offset by attractive valuation metrics (low P/E and very high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Salzgitter's operations span primary steelmaking, downstream processing and trading, creating multiple revenue streams and customer touchpoints. This vertical and channel diversity supports durable demand capture, higher-value sales and customer stickiness across cycles over months.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and margin deterioration
Multi-year revenue decline and the swing to negative EBIT reflect weakening demand or pricing power. Persistently falling top line and squeezed margins undermine scale economics and investment capacity, raising the risk of prolonged underperformance without structural recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Salzgitter's operations span primary steelmaking, downstream processing and trading, creating multiple revenue streams and customer touchpoints. This vertical and channel diversity supports durable demand capture, higher-value sales and customer stickiness across cycles over months.
Read all positive factors

Salzgitter (SZGPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Salzgitter Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Salzgitter AG is a leading German steel and technology company that operates primarily in the steel production sector. The company is involved in the manufacturing of a wide range of steel products, including flat steel, long steel, and tubes, whi...
How the Company Makes Money
Salzgitter makes money primarily by producing and selling steel and steel-based products and by distributing steel through its trading operations. A major revenue stream comes from selling steel products (e.g., flat and long products) to industria...

Salzgitter Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook for Salzgitter, with strong performance in the Technology segment and effective cost reduction measures being positive aspects. However, these are counterbalanced by challenges in the steel production segment due to weak demand and prices, as well as negative impacts from derivatives and ongoing market uncertainties. The sentiment remains cautious with an emphasis on strategic management and future growth opportunities.
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of Technology Segment
The Technology segment, particularly KHS, foresees a record year with an EBT well above EUR 100 million. Order intake is also significantly above last year, driven by the success of Plasmax technology, especially in India, and expansion into Africa and the Americas.
Negative Updates
Weak Steel Demand and Prices
The steel production segment has been impacted by low demand and weak prices, with revenues flat and sales and earnings down due to low prices and weak demand for heavy plate.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Performance of Technology Segment
The Technology segment, particularly KHS, foresees a record year with an EBT well above EUR 100 million. Order intake is also significantly above last year, driven by the success of Plasmax technology, especially in India, and expansion into Africa and the Americas.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the analyst conference call for Salzgitter Group's first half of 2025, the company outlined several key metrics and guidance for the rest of the year. The management expects sales to be in the range of EUR 9 billion to EUR 9.5 billion, with EBITDA projected between EUR 300 million and EUR 400 million. The pretax results are anticipated to fall between minus EUR 100 million to zero, while the return on capital employed (ROCE) is expected to slightly increase year-on-year. Additionally, the company reported a healthy equity ratio of 42.2% and a net financial debt projected to be around minus EUR 1.2 billion by year-end. Despite facing challenges such as low steel demand and fluctuating raw material prices, Salzgitter Group is focusing on cost-saving measures, aiming to achieve EUR 500 million in total cost savings by 2028, with EUR 48 million already realized in the first half of 2025. The company also emphasized its commitment to the decarbonization program, SALCOS, and urged policymakers to create a supportive regulatory environment for the steel industry in Europe.

Salzgitter Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak. The income statement shows a swing from profits (2021–2023) to losses (2024–2025) with negative EBIT, and cash flow quality has deteriorated with deeply negative free cash flow in 2024–2025 despite positive operating cash flow. The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with moderate leverage, but rising debt alongside losses reduces flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.63B10.01B10.79B12.55B9.77B
Gross Profit439.06M3.17B3.37B4.16B3.54B
EBITDA43.22M478.60M624.00M1.44B1.12B
Net Income-71.27M-352.20M200.10M1.08B581.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.48B10.47B10.50B11.10B10.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B1.00B939.70M988.40M791.50M
Total Debt2.22B1.76B1.30B1.70B1.51B
Total Liabilities6.05B6.02B5.67B6.25B6.90B
Stockholders Equity4.42B4.44B4.83B4.84B3.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-628.09M-560.30M140.20M154.00M-14.00M
Operating Cash Flow399.97M408.40M892.00M596.50M329.40M
Investing Cash Flow-665.46M-677.40M-430.50M-367.70M-366.60M
Financing Cash Flow349.06M331.90M-498.30M11.30M146.30M

Salzgitter Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.79
Price Trends
50DMA
5.61
Negative
100DMA
4.90
Negative
200DMA
3.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
35.31
Neutral
STOCH
28.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SZGPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.15, below the 50-day MA of 5.61, and above the 200-day MA of 3.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SZGPY.

Salzgitter Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$5.10B61.646.07%-16.81%-67.68%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$6.92B10.0410.54%1.02%-1.61%-81.36%
61
Neutral
$6.66B29.292.53%2.92%-2.53%-36.08%
53
Neutral
$1.78B22.6011.57%1.78%-0.75%-13.51%
50
Neutral
$2.64B-22.70-1.68%0.53%-7.78%-0.92%
45
Neutral
$1.66B-5.92-13.62%-5.79%-5.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SZGPY
Salzgitter
4.39
1.82
70.82%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
62.41
14.65
30.67%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.50
0.60
20.81%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
31.48
5.11
19.38%
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.29
-0.45
-25.86%
WS
Worthington Steel, Inc.
35.01
8.99
34.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026