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Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID)
NYSE:SID

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) AI Stock Analysis

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SID

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional

(NYSE:SID)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-7.98% Downside)
The overall stock score of 51 reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flow, despite operational improvements and reduced leverage highlighted in the earnings call. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
The significant growth in EBITDA and improved margins demonstrate CSN's operational efficiency, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.
Leadership Restructure
The leadership restructure aims to enhance operational oversight and efficiency, potentially strengthening CSN's competitive position in key sectors.
Leverage Reduction
The reduction in leverage indicates improved financial discipline, enhancing CSN's financial stability and reducing risk from high debt levels.
Negative Factors
High Financial Expenses
Increased financial expenses can strain cash flow and limit investment capacity, impacting long-term growth and financial health.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates challenges in generating sufficient cash from operations, which can hinder investment and debt servicing capabilities.
Steel Market Challenges
Increased competition in the steel market may pressure margins and require strategic adjustments, affecting CSN's market position and profitability.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) is a Brazilian steel manufacturer and one of the largest integrated steel producers in Latin America. Founded in 1941, the company operates in various sectors, including steel production, mining, and logistics. Its core products encompass flat and long steel products, such as hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheets, in addition to iron ore and other raw materials essential for steelmaking.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of steel products, which constitute its main revenue stream. The company supplies a diverse range of flat and long steel products to various industries, including construction, automotive, and machinery. In addition to steel products, the company earns income from the mining and sale of iron ore, which is both used in its own production processes and sold to external customers. Significant partnerships with automotive and construction firms bolster its sales, while long-term contracts often provide a stable revenue base. Additionally, SID benefits from its integrated logistics operations, which facilitate transportation and reduce costs, enhancing overall profitability. Fluctuations in global steel prices and demand, as well as operational efficiencies, also play crucial roles in the company's financial performance.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CSN's earnings call highlighted significant operational achievements across its mining, cement, and logistics segments, contributing to a strong quarter despite some challenges in cash flow and the steel market. The company's strategic focus on operational efficiency and financial discipline has led to record-breaking performance and a reduction in leverage. However, challenges such as high financial expenses and competition in the steel market remain areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Operational Performance
CSN achieved historical operational records with a 26% growth in EBITDA to BRL 3.3 billion and a margin of 27%, marking a quarter-on-quarter growth of 330 basis points.
Mining Segment Milestone
CSN set a record by shipping over 12 million tons of iron ore, with sales volume increasing by 5% from the previous quarter and achieving a 57% growth in EBITDA.
Cement Segment Achievements
Cement sales volume reached the second highest in CSN's history with 3.6 million tons, achieving an EBITDA of BRL 388 million and a 29% margin, surpassing sector averages.
Logistics Segment Success
The logistics segment recorded its highest-ever freight and cargo volume on the railway network, achieving an EBITDA of BRL 550 million with a margin above 35%.
Leverage Reduction
For the third consecutive quarter, CSN reduced its leverage ratio to 3.1x, down from 3.5x at the end of the previous year.
Negative Updates
Negative Cash Flow
The adjusted cash flow was negative at BRL 815 million in Q3 2025, although it was an improvement from the previous quarter's negative BRL 1.4 billion.
Steel Market Challenges
The steel segment faced competition from imported materials, leading to a strategic shift towards competitive pricing to regain market share.
High Financial Expenses
CSN experienced higher financial expenses due to elevated interest rates, impacting its overall cash position.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, CSN reported significant financial and operational achievements. The company saw a 26% year-over-year increase in EBITDA, reaching BRL 3.3 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 27%, up 330 basis points from the previous quarter. CSN's leverage ratio decreased to 3.1x, a reduction from 3.5x at the end of the previous year, demonstrating robust financial discipline. In mining, CSN achieved a record shipment of over 12 million tons, resulting in a 57% EBITDA growth to BRL 1.9 billion and a gross margin of 44%. The steel segment experienced the lowest production costs in four years, and the cement segment witnessed a historic sales volume of over 3.6 million tons, reflecting a 29% EBITDA margin. Additionally, the logistics segment reported record EBITDA of BRL 550 million with a margin exceeding 35%, and the energy segment generated BRL 54 million in EBITDA at a 35% margin. These outcomes underscore CSN's operational excellence, cost optimization, and strategic market adaptability across its diverse business operations.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional is facing financial difficulties with declining profitability and high leverage. While there is some revenue growth, the company struggles with negative net income and cash flow challenges. The high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability, and improvements in operational efficiency and profitability are needed to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging period for Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, with a negative net profit margin of -5.23% in TTM, indicating losses. Revenue growth is modest at 1.63% TTM, but the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively stable, but lower than historical highs, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.58 in TTM, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting potential risks in financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a substantial improvement in free cash flow growth, but it remains negative, indicating cash outflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting challenges in converting income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues despite some operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.42B43.69B45.44B44.36B47.91B30.06B
Gross Profit12.45B11.70B11.30B13.31B22.07B10.94B
EBITDA6.76B6.85B8.58B10.07B23.08B9.69B
Net Income-1.56B-2.59B-318.21M1.55B12.26B3.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.93B103.91B91.53B85.35B79.38B63.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.28B24.22B17.59B13.46B19.30B13.75B
Total Debt10.00B57.10B45.26B41.55B32.57B35.80B
Total Liabilities15.67B88.45B71.84B63.54B56.00B51.75B
Stockholders Equity2.66B12.27B17.50B19.49B20.31B9.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.41B3.16B2.88B-3.33B11.93B7.89B
Operating Cash Flow2.54B8.65B7.29B2.04B14.79B9.58B
Investing Cash Flow-2.30B-1.12B-4.59B-11.45B447.93M-1.86B
Financing Cash Flow-2.13B-103.83M1.32B4.75B-8.53B1.19B

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.63
Price Trends
50DMA
1.63
Negative
100DMA
1.54
Positive
200DMA
1.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
46.85
Neutral
STOCH
45.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SID, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.67, below the 50-day MA of 1.63, and above the 200-day MA of 1.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SID.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Risk Analysis

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Cement is a perishable product and failure to carefully store and distribute it may result in losses for our cement subsidiary and us. Q4, 2023

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$5.03B22.075.84%-16.81%-67.68%
70
Neutral
$7.72B93.641.99%1.04%-1.61%-81.36%
68
Neutral
$7.31B12.734.80%7.25%-16.69%585.38%
67
Neutral
$6.86B13.825.21%2.99%-2.53%-36.08%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
$7.53B-3.89-27.16%-6.76%-255.94%
51
Neutral
$2.21B-8.04-10.50%-5.79%-5.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.63
0.13
8.67%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
13.22
3.76
39.75%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
69.49
19.69
39.54%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.65
0.75
25.86%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
26.00
-1.66
-6.00%
TX
Ternium SA
37.22
10.80
40.88%

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Corporate Events

CSN Transfers Majority of MRS Logística Stake to Mining Subsidiary for R$3.35 Billion
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, CSN’s board approved and executed a reorganization of its stake in rail operator MRS Logística S.A. by selling up to 11.17% of MRS’s capital to its mining subsidiary CSN Mineração (CMIN) for a total of up to R$3.35 billion, a move that shifts the rail asset from the parent to the mining arm while keeping the investment within the group. The first transaction, completed on December 18, 2025, transferred a 9.17% interest in MRS to CMIN for R$2.75 billion, and a second, already approved transaction for an additional 2% stake for R$600 million remains subject to customary regulatory and legal approvals; after these steps, CSN will retain only common shares equivalent to 13.69% of MRS’s voting capital, still bound by the existing shareholders’ agreement, signaling an internal capital reallocation and potential operational alignment between its mining and logistics businesses without fully exiting the rail concession.

CSN Announces Executive Leadership Restructure to Bolster Operations
Dec 17, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional approved the election of two new executive directors, Tufi Daher Filho for Infrastructure and Logistics and Augusto César Ferreira Lara for Steel Production, as part of a restructured Executive Board with unified terms of office lasting two years. This decision reflects strategic leadership adjustments aimed at strengthening operational oversight and efficiency in the company’s core sectors, potentially enhancing its competitive positioning in the steel and logistics industries.

CSN Reports Financial Position Changes in November 2025
Nov 20, 2025

On November 2025, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional released its balance sheet showing a decrease in cash and cash equivalents from December 2024 to September 2025. This financial update indicates a shift in the company’s liquidity position, which may impact its operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

CSN Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with First Profitable Quarter
Nov 10, 2025

On November 4, 2025, CSN reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net revenue of R$ 11,794 million, a 10.3% increase from the previous quarter. This growth was driven by the mining segment due to higher iron ore prices, improved cement sales, and increased logistics activities. The company achieved a net income of R$ 76 million, marking its first profitable quarter of the year, attributed to operational improvements and favorable exchange rate impacts. The adjusted EBITDA reached R$ 3,319 million, reflecting a robust performance across its diversified operations, although the steel segment faced challenges from imported materials.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025