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Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID)
NYSE:SID
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Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) AI Stock Analysis

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SID

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional

(NYSE:SID)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional faces significant financial and technical challenges, with high leverage and negative net income impacting its financial health. However, operational improvements and a high dividend yield offer some positive aspects. While the earnings call provided a boost with strategic progress and debt reduction, the overall outlook remains cautious due to bearish technical signals and ongoing profitability issues.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America. It operates in five segments: Steel, Mining, Logistics, Energy, and Cement. The company offers flat steel products, such as high, medium, low carbon, micro-alloyed, ultra-low-carbon, and interstitial free slabs; hot-rolled products, including heavy and light-gauge hot-rolled coils and sheets; cold-rolled products comprising cold-rolled coils and sheets; galvanized products; tin mill products that consist of flat-rolled low-carbon steel coils or sheets; and profiles, channels, UPE sections, and steel sleepers for the distribution, packaging, automotive, home appliance, and construction industries. It primarily explores for iron ore reserves at Casa de Pedra and Engenho mines located in the city of Congonhas; and limestone and dolomite at the Bocaina mine located in the city of Arcos in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil, as well as produces tin. In addition, the company operates railway and port facilities; produces and sells cement to construction material stores, home centers, concrete producers, construction companies, mortar industries, and cement artifact producers; and generates electric power from its thermoelectric co-generation and hydroelectric power plants. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional operates as a subsidiary of Vicunha Aços S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income is the production and sale of steel products, including flat and long steel, which are supplied to industries like automotive and construction. The company also profits from its mining operations by extracting and selling iron ore, a crucial raw material for steel production. Additionally, SID has diversified into logistics, providing railway and port services that support its mining and steel activities. Its cement division contributes to earnings by utilizing slag, a byproduct of steel production, to manufacture cement. Lastly, the energy segment helps reduce operational costs and provides additional revenue through the generation and sale of electric power. Strategic partnerships and investments in infrastructure and technology also play a significant role in enhancing the company's profitability.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, such as EBITDA growth, debt reduction, and strong performance in segments like steel and cement. However, challenges such as a drop in mining EBITDA, negative cash flow, and pressure from imported steel products were also significant. The company is actively working on strategies to navigate these challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EBITDA Growth in All Segments Except Mining
CSN reported an EBITDA of BRL 2.6 billion with a margin of 23.5%, an increase of 5% and 1.4 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Debt Reduction Achievements
CSN reduced gross debt by BRL 5.7 billion in the quarter, moving leverage below 7 points year-over-year.
Record Sales in Mining
The mining segment achieved the second-highest sales in history with 11.8 million tons sold.
Strong Steel Performance
Despite competition, steel prices were 4.5% higher compared to the second quarter of 2024, leading to a 79% year-on-year EBITDA increase.
Cement Segment Growth
Cement sales volume grew by 8% with a 10% net revenue increase compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Logistics Segment Record
Logistics EBITDA reached BRL 519 million with a margin of 44.1%.
Energy Segment Surge
Energy segment EBITDA was fivefold higher than the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Mining EBITDA
Despite high sales volumes, mining EBITDA dropped by 36% due to a drop in iron ore prices.
Negative Cash Flow
Adjusted cash flow was negative by BRL 1.4 million, impacted by increased investments and financial expenses.
Challenges with Imported Steel
The market faced intense competition from imported materials, impacting domestic sales and market share.
Pressure from Imported Products
CSN faced significant challenges due to a flood of imported steel products, affecting market dynamics.
Operational Challenges in Long Steel
Sales of long steel fell by 12% due to aggressive pricing in the market.
Company Guidance
During CSN's earnings call for the second quarter of 2025, the company reported a significant financial performance with an EBITDA of BRL 2.6 billion and a 23.5% margin, marking a 5% increase and a 1.4 percentage point expansion from the first quarter of 2025. The company highlighted a substantial reduction in gross debt by BRL 5.7 billion, lowering leverage to under 7 points compared to the previous year. Despite a drop in mining EBITDA due to iron ore price corrections, the steel segment showed resilience amidst heightened competition, achieving a 79% year-on-year increase in EBITDA and a 10.8% margin. Cement sales volumes grew by 8% quarterly, with a 10% net revenue increase, resulting in a 2.3 percentage point rise in profitability. The logistics segment achieved a new EBITDA record of BRL 519 million, with a 44.1% margin, driven by robust rail performance and the Tora acquisition. Overall, CSN's diversified operations and strategic investments contributed to its robust financial results, positioning the company for future growth amid market challenges.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's financial performance is mixed with significant challenges. The income statement shows declining revenue and a negative net income, reflecting profitability issues. The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.14, suggesting financial risk. However, positive operating cash flow indicates some resilience, despite free cash flow pressures.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The income statement shows a decline in revenue from the previous periods with a negative net income. The gross profit margin for the TTM period is 26.7%, while the net profit margin is -4.9%, indicating a challenging operational environment. EBIT and EBITDA margins are at 9.6% and 17.9% respectively, showing some operational efficiency, but not enough to offset the losses. Continued negative net income highlights profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.14, indicating significant leverage which may pose risks in volatile markets. Stockholders' equity as a percentage of total assets is 13.1%, suggesting moderate financial stability. The return on equity is not calculable due to negative net income, showing a need for improvement in generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive at 8.1 billion, but free cash flow has seen a decline compared to the previous year, indicating pressure on liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to negative net income. The company has managed to maintain some cash flow strength despite overall profitability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.69B43.69B45.44B44.36B47.91B30.06B
Gross Profit11.78B11.70B11.30B13.31B22.07B10.94B
EBITDA8.23B7.28B8.58B10.07B23.08B9.69B
Net Income-2.34B-2.59B-318.21M2.17B12.26B3.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.07B103.91B91.53B85.35B79.38B63.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.16B24.22B17.55B13.45B19.30B13.73B
Total Debt52.64B57.75B45.59B41.61B33.12B35.80B
Total Liabilities83.43B88.45B71.84B63.54B56.00B51.75B
Stockholders Equity14.69B12.27B17.50B19.49B20.31B9.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-211.06M3.16B2.88B-3.33B13.57B7.89B
Operating Cash Flow5.61B8.65B7.29B2.04B16.43B9.58B
Investing Cash Flow-1.76B-1.12B-4.59B-11.45B447.93M-1.86B
Financing Cash Flow-1.02B-103.83M1.32B4.75B-8.53B1.19B

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.38
Price Trends
50DMA
1.46
Negative
100DMA
1.54
Negative
200DMA
1.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
43.81
Neutral
STOCH
24.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SID, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.45, below the 50-day MA of 1.46, and below the 200-day MA of 1.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SID.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Risk Analysis

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Cement is a perishable product and failure to carefully store and distribute it may result in losses for our cement subsidiary and us. Q4, 2023

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$6.05B174.090.88%1.33%-5.64%-93.26%
70
Neutral
$6.28B10.744.89%8.44%-10.20%-152.18%
68
Neutral
$4.74B13.1510.49%-18.58%-35.32%
66
Neutral
$5.83B10.665.77%3.56%-6.55%-37.93%
61
Neutral
$9.73B6.73-0.14%3.11%2.72%-42.86%
57
Neutral
$4.73B-25.79%-12.14%-4329.00%
50
Neutral
$1.80B-15.57%16.63%-10.77%-191.87%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.38
-0.66
-32.35%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
9.56
-3.17
-24.90%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
54.02
2.08
4.00%
GGB
Gerdau SA
2.99
-0.09
-2.92%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
27.62
-0.94
-3.29%
TX
Ternium SA
32.00
0.58
1.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025