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Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID)
NYSE:SID
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Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) AI Stock Analysis

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SID

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional

(NYSE:SID)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(0.00% Upside)
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage, which weigh heavily on the score. The earnings call provided some optimism with strong EBITDA growth and debt reduction, but the negative cash flow and intense market competition remain concerns. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect, but the negative P/E ratio underscores profitability issues. Technical analysis shows a bearish trend, further impacting the score.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (SID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia Siderúrgica Nacional operates as an integrated steel producer in Brazil and Latin America. It operates in five segments: Steel, Mining, Logistics, Energy, and Cement. The company offers flat steel products, such as high, medium, low carbon, micro-alloyed, ultra-low-carbon, and interstitial free slabs; hot-rolled products, including heavy and light-gauge hot-rolled coils and sheets; cold-rolled products comprising cold-rolled coils and sheets; galvanized products; tin mill products that consist of flat-rolled low-carbon steel coils or sheets; and profiles, channels, UPE sections, and steel sleepers for the distribution, packaging, automotive, home appliance, and construction industries. It primarily explores for iron ore reserves at Casa de Pedra and Engenho mines located in the city of Congonhas; and limestone and dolomite at the Bocaina mine located in the city of Arcos in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil, as well as produces tin. In addition, the company operates railway and port facilities; produces and sells cement to construction material stores, home centers, concrete producers, construction companies, mortar industries, and cement artifact producers; and generates electric power from its thermoelectric co-generation and hydroelectric power plants. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1941 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional operates as a subsidiary of Vicunha Aços S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyCSN generates revenue primarily through the sale of steel products, which include flat steel (such as sheets and coils) and long steel (like bars and rods). The mining segment contributes significantly to its earnings through the extraction and sale of iron ore. Additionally, the cement division adds to the revenue stream by supplying construction materials. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with various sectors, including construction and automotive industries, which provide a consistent demand for its products. Fluctuations in global steel prices, demand from domestic and international markets, and operational efficiencies also significantly impact its earnings.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted CSN's strong performance in several segments, particularly in EBITDA growth and debt reduction. However, challenges such as the impact of iron ore prices and intense competition in the steel market were noted. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with significant achievements balanced by market challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Growth
CSN achieved an EBITDA of BRL 2.6 billion with a margin of 23.5%, an expansion of 5% and 1.4 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Deleveraging Success
The company reduced gross debt by BRL 5.7 billion this quarter, significantly lowering leverage.
Record Mining Sales
The mining segment achieved the second highest sales in history, with volumes reaching 11.8 million tons.
Steel Segment Profitability
Despite market challenges, the steel segment reported a 79% year-on-year increase in EBITDA and reached a 10.8% margin.
Cement Segment Resilience
Cement sales volumes grew by 8% quarterly, with a 10% increase in net revenue and an EBITDA margin of 24%.
Logistics and Energy Segment Achievements
The logistics segment achieved a new EBITDA record, and the energy segment saw a fivefold increase in EBITDA compared to the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Iron Ore Price Impact
The mining segment's EBITDA dropped due to a correction in iron ore prices, despite volume improvements.
Intense Competition in Steel
The steel segment faced intense competition with imported materials flooding the market, leading to a reduction in sales volumes.
Negative Cash Flow
Adjusted cash flow was negative by BRL 1.4 million, impacted by financial expenses and higher working capital consumption.
Antidumping Measures Delayed
The company's efforts in securing antidumping measures faced delays, leaving the market exposed to import pressures.
Company Guidance
During the CSN earnings call for the second quarter of 2025, several metrics highlighted the company's performance and strategic direction. CSN achieved an EBITDA of BRL 2.6 billion, with a margin of 23.5%, marking an expansion of 5% and an increase of 1.4 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2025. The company reduced its gross debt by BRL 5.7 billion, bringing leverage below 7 points compared to the previous year. Despite a drop in mining EBITDA due to lower iron ore prices, CSN maintained operational excellence with mining cash costs at less than $21 per ton. In the steel segment, a focus on value over volume amidst competitive pressures led to a 79% year-on-year increase in EBITDA, reaching a 10.8% margin for the quarter. The cement segment saw an 8% growth in sales volume and a 10% increase in net revenue, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 24%. Logistics also set a new EBITDA record at BRL 519 million, with a 44.1% margin, partly bolstered by the integration of Tora. The company's CapEx grew by 18.2% quarter-over-quarter, driven by infrastructure investments, while adjusted cash flow remained negative due to accelerated expansion projects and financial expenses. Looking forward, the company aims to continue deleveraging and enhancing cost control across its diversified portfolio to achieve its annual goals.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. The company struggles with liquidity, as evidenced by negative free cash flow growth and high debt levels. While operational margins have decreased, the company needs to address its leverage and improve cash flow management to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue with a significant decrease in revenue growth rate at -42% TTM. Gross profit margin is relatively stable at around 26-27%, but the company is experiencing negative net profit margins, indicating losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased over the years, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.14 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage suggests a lower proportion of equity in the capital structure.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth and a negative free cash flow figure TTM, highlighting liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating weak cash generation relative to reported losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but low, further emphasizing cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.69B43.69B45.44B44.36B47.91B30.06B
Gross Profit11.78B11.70B11.30B13.31B22.07B10.94B
EBITDA8.23B7.28B8.58B10.07B23.08B9.69B
Net Income-2.34B-2.59B-318.21M2.17B12.26B3.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.07B103.91B91.53B85.35B79.38B63.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.16B24.22B17.55B13.45B19.30B13.73B
Total Debt52.64B57.75B45.59B41.61B33.12B35.80B
Total Liabilities83.43B88.45B71.84B63.54B56.00B51.75B
Stockholders Equity14.69B12.27B17.50B19.49B20.31B9.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-211.06M3.16B2.88B-3.33B13.57B7.89B
Operating Cash Flow5.61B8.65B7.29B2.04B16.43B9.58B
Investing Cash Flow-1.76B-1.12B-4.59B-11.45B447.93M-1.86B
Financing Cash Flow-1.02B-103.83M1.32B4.75B-8.53B1.19B

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1.42
Positive
100DMA
1.48
Positive
200DMA
1.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
59.36
Neutral
STOCH
50.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SID, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.44, above the 50-day MA of 1.42, and below the 200-day MA of 1.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SID.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Risk Analysis

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Cement is a perishable product and failure to carefully store and distribute it may result in losses for our cement subsidiary and us. Q4, 2023

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
6.51B187.460.90%1.24%-5.64%-93.26%
71
Outperform
6.09B11.095.95%3.44%-6.55%-37.93%
70
Neutral
6.91B11.81-0.45%7.67%-16.83%0.00%
69
Neutral
4.68B13.3910.64%-18.58%-35.32%
52
Neutral
5.74B-3.40-27.59%-12.14%-4329.00%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-15.57%15.30%-10.77%-191.87%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.50
-0.44
-22.68%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
11.61
-0.26
-2.19%
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
58.17
5.27
9.96%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.11
<0.01
0.32%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
28.12
-0.43
-1.51%
TX
Ternium SA
35.19
2.54
7.78%

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Corporate Events

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Releases Interim Financial Report for June 2025
Aug 15, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional released its interim financial information for the period ending June 30, 2025. The independent auditor’s review concluded that the company’s financial statements were prepared in accordance with applicable standards and regulations, showing no discrepancies. This report provides a comprehensive overview of the company’s financial health, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors to assess its current market position and future prospects.

CSN Reduces Stake in Usiminas with Significant Share Sale
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional announced the sale of 36,235,837 common shares and 472,200 preferred shares of Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. (Usiminas), reducing its stake in Usiminas to 4.99% of both common and preferred shares. This strategic move may impact CSN’s financial positioning and influence its market strategy, as the company plans to keep stakeholders informed of any further developments.

CSN Reports 2Q25 Results with Improved Profitability Amidst Financial Pressures
Aug 1, 2025

On July 31, 2025, CSN reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a net revenue of R$ 10,693.3 million, which saw a slight decrease due to a drop in iron ore prices. Despite this, the company achieved a gross profit increase of 7.7% from the previous quarter, driven by cost reductions and an effective commercial strategy. The adjusted EBITDA rose to R$ 2,643.0 million, reflecting improved profitability despite challenges in the steel industry. However, the adjusted cash flow was negative, impacted by increased investments and high interest rates, indicating financial pressures despite operational improvements.

Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional Reduces Stake in Usiminas
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional announced the sale of 35,192,508 common shares and 27,336,139 preferred shares of Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. – Usiminas to Globe Investimentos S.A. This transaction reduced the company’s stake in Usiminas to 10.13% of common shares and 5.08% of preferred shares, totaling 7.92% of the overall share capital. This strategic move is expected to impact the company’s financial positioning and its influence in the steel market, while stakeholders await further updates.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025