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Commercial Metals Company (CMC)
NYSE:CMC
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Commercial Metals Company (CMC) AI Stock Analysis

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CMC

Commercial Metals Company

(NYSE:CMC)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(9.18% Upside)
Commercial Metals Company's stock score is driven by a positive earnings call sentiment and strong technical indicators, suggesting bullish momentum. However, the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, and financial performance shows pressure on profitability and cash flow. The company's strategic acquisitions and growth initiatives provide a positive outlook, but increased leverage poses a risk.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Foley Products is expected to enhance CMC's precast platform, increasing EBITDA margins and providing synergies, which will strengthen its market position and financial profile long-term.
Strong Financial Performance
Strong financial performance with significant earnings growth indicates robust operational efficiency and market demand, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Positive Market Outlook
A positive outlook for construction markets driven by infrastructure and energy projects suggests sustained demand for CMC's products, supporting future revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Increased leverage following acquisitions could strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth indicates potential issues in cash generation, which could limit investment capacity and impact long-term growth initiatives.
Profitability Pressure
Decreased net profit margins suggest challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial health and shareholder returns.

Commercial Metals Company (CMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commercial Metals Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and services in the United States, Poland, China, and internationally. The company processes and sells ferrous and nonferrous scrap metals to steel mills and foundries, aluminum sheet and ingot manufacturers, brass and bronze ingot makers, copper refineries and mills, secondary lead smelters, specialty steel mills, high temperature alloy manufacturers, and other consumers. It also manufactures and sells finished long steel products, including rebar, merchant bar, light structural, and other special sections, as well as semi-finished billets for re-rolling and forging applications. In addition, the company provides fabricated steel products used to reinforce concrete primarily in the construction of commercial and non-commercial buildings, hospitals, convention centers, industrial plants, power plants, highways, bridges, arenas, stadiums, and dams; sells and rents construction-related products and equipment to concrete installers and other businesses; and manufactures and sells strength bars for the truck trailer industry, special bar steels for the energy market, and armor plates for military vehicles. Further, it manufactures rebars, merchant bars, and wire rods; and sells fabricated rebars, wire meshes, fabricated meshes, assembled rebar cages, and other fabricated rebar by-products to fabricators, manufacturers, distributors, and construction companies. The company was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCMC generates revenue primarily through the sale of steel and metal products produced at its steel mills and fabrication facilities. Key revenue streams include the sale of rebar, wire rod, and other structural steel products to construction and manufacturing sectors. Additionally, CMC earns revenue from its recycling operations, where it processes scrap metal and sells it to various end markets. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and customers, which help ensure a steady supply of raw materials and a consistent demand for its products. Market dynamics, such as fluctuations in steel prices and demand from construction projects, significantly influence CMC's earnings.

Commercial Metals Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment with significant achievements such as the acquisition of Foley Products Company, strong financial performance, and a positive outlook for the construction markets. However, there are challenges related to increased leverage and seasonal impacts on profitability.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of Foley Products Company
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) announced the acquisition of Foley Products Company, which is expected to add a best-in-class business with industry-leading margins to CMC's portfolio. This acquisition, along with CPMP, will create a high-quality, large-scale platform in the precast industry.
Record Safety Performance
Fiscal 2025 was the safest year in CMC's history, marking the third consecutive year of record safety performance.
Strong Financial Performance
CMC reported fiscal fourth quarter 2025 net earnings of $151.8 million, a 46% increase compared to the prior year period. Adjusted earnings for the quarter totaled $155 million, up from $97.4 million in the prior year period.
Improved North American Steel Group Margins
CMC's North American Steel Group achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $239.4 million for the fourth quarter, marking an 18% increase compared to the prior year period.
Positive Outlook for Construction Markets
CMC anticipates strong demand driven by infrastructure, non-residential construction, and energy projects, supported by over $2 trillion of corporate investments announced in calendar 2025.
Negative Updates
Seasonal and Maintenance Impacts
CMC anticipates a decline in financial results for the Emerging Businesses Group due to normal seasonality and scheduled maintenance outages in the Europe Steel Group, which are expected to weigh on profitability.
Increased Leverage
Following the acquisitions of Foley and CPMP, CMC's net debt is expected to increase to approximately 2.7 times trailing twelve-month adjusted combined EBITDA, above the long-term target of two times.
Company Guidance
During Commercial Metals Company's Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Year End Earnings Call, the company provided detailed guidance, focusing on its strategic growth initiatives and financial outlook. The company announced plans to acquire Foley Products Company, following its recent acquisition of CPMP, which will enhance its precast platform and increase its projected annual run-rate synergies to approximately $25 to $30 million of EBITDA by year three. The acquisitions are expected to be immediately accretive to Commercial Metals Company's earnings and cash flow per share, with the combined precast operations projected to generate around $250 million in adjusted EBITDA in calendar 2025, with margins exceeding 34%. The company's strategy aims to drive sustainable improvements in margins, earnings, cash flow, and capital returns, while reducing volatility. Additionally, the company anticipates capital spending of approximately $600 million for fiscal 2026, with a significant portion allocated to completing the construction of its West Virginia micro mill. The acquisition-related capital expenditure and integration efforts are expected to be strategically significant to Commercial Metals Company's financial profile, with a focus on deleveraging post-acquisition to return to a net leverage target of two times within 18 months.

Commercial Metals Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Commercial Metals Company exhibits a stable yet challenging financial performance. While revenue levels are maintained, profitability and cash flow generation are under pressure. The balance sheet shows improved leverage management, but shareholder returns have declined.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Commercial Metals Company has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The revenue growth rate has been inconsistent, with a slight decline in recent years. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable, but net profit margins have decreased significantly from 2022 to 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline, indicating pressure on operating efficiency. Overall, while the company has maintained revenue levels, profitability has been under strain.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Commercial Metals Company reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased significantly from 2022 to 2025, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio has remained stable, showing a balanced asset structure. Overall, the company has managed its debt levels well but needs to focus on improving shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges for Commercial Metals Company. The free cash flow growth rate has been negative in recent years, indicating potential issues in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting less cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also declined, pointing to reduced cash efficiency. Overall, the company needs to enhance its cash flow generation to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.80B7.80B7.93B8.80B8.91B6.73B
Gross Profit1.22B1.22B1.36B1.81B1.86B1.11B
EBITDA438.92M438.92M963.93M1.38B1.74B753.53M
Net Income84.66M84.66M485.49M859.76M1.22B412.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.17B7.17B6.82B6.64B6.24B4.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B1.04B857.92M592.33M672.60M497.75M
Total Debt1.35B1.35B1.19B1.15B1.50B1.07B
Total Liabilities2.98B2.98B2.52B2.52B2.95B2.34B
Stockholders Equity4.19B4.19B4.30B4.12B3.29B2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow312.25M312.25M575.44M737.44M250.32M44.31M
Operating Cash Flow715.07M715.07M899.71M1.34B700.31M228.47M
Investing Cash Flow-346.78M-346.77M-323.00M-835.23M-684.72M-162.13M
Financing Cash Flow-183.44M-183.44M-313.76M-599.48M165.31M-109.39M

Commercial Metals Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.86
Price Trends
50DMA
59.74
Positive
100DMA
57.73
Positive
200DMA
52.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.80
Negative
RSI
69.55
Neutral
STOCH
91.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.23, above the 50-day MA of 59.74, and above the 200-day MA of 52.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMC.

Commercial Metals Company Risk Analysis

Commercial Metals Company disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Metals Company reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commercial Metals Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.62B23.685.84%-16.81%-67.68%
73
Outperform
$7.54B13.144.80%7.03%-16.69%585.38%
71
Outperform
$6.62B13.175.21%3.15%-2.53%-36.08%
69
Neutral
$7.42B90.101.99%1.08%-1.61%-81.36%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
$2.23B-5.50-10.50%-5.79%-5.30%
53
Neutral
$7.00B-27.16%-6.76%-255.94%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMC
Commercial Metals Company
66.86
5.46
8.89%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs
12.29
<0.01
0.08%
GGB
Gerdau SA
3.48
0.13
3.88%
SIM
Grupo Simec SA De CV
28.99
1.58
5.76%
SID
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional
1.64
-0.29
-15.03%
TX
Ternium SA
38.43
8.72
29.35%

Commercial Metals Company Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Commercial Metals Completes Major Acquisition of Concrete Pipe
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Commercial Metals Company completed the acquisition of Concrete Pipe & Precast, LLC for $675 million, enhancing its presence in the Mid-Atlantic and South Atlantic regions. This acquisition is a significant step in CMC’s growth strategy, positioning it as a leader in the precast concrete market, and is expected to bring substantial value to its customers and shareholders.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Commercial Metals Completes $2 Billion Senior Notes Placement
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Commercial Metals Company completed a private placement of $2,000 million in senior notes to fund its acquisition of Foley Products Company, LLC. The notes, which mature in 2033 and 2035, were issued to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons and will be used for the acquisition and general corporate purposes. If the acquisition is not completed by October 15, 2026, CMC will redeem the notes at their initial issue price. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance CMC’s market position and operational capabilities in the construction sector.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Commercial Metals Announces $2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Commercial Metals Company announced a $2 billion offering of Senior Notes, with $1 billion each in 5.75% Notes due 2033 and 6.00% Notes due 2035, to fund its acquisition of Foley Products Company, LLC and for general corporate purposes. The offering is independent of the acquisition’s completion, and if the acquisition is not finalized by October 15, 2026, CMC must redeem the Notes at their initial issue price plus interest, impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Commercial Metals Announces $2B Notes for Acquisition
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Commercial Metals Company announced its intention to offer $2,000 million in senior unsecured notes to fund the acquisition of Foley Products Company, LLC. The proceeds will also cover transaction-related fees and general corporate purposes. The offering and acquisition are not contingent upon each other, but if the acquisition is not completed by October 15, 2026, the company will redeem the notes at their initial issue price plus interest. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s market position through the acquisition, potentially impacting stakeholders by expanding its operational capabilities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Commercial Metals Amends Credit Agreement for Bridge Facility
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Commercial Metals Company amended its Sixth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement to include a Second Amendment, allowing for a new Bridge Facility and modifying default provisions. This financial maneuver, involving major financial institutions, underscores the company’s strategic financial management and could impact its liquidity and operational flexibility.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Commercial Metals Announces Director Retirement
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Sarah E. Raiss, who has been a director of Commercial Metals Company since 2011, announced her decision to retire and not seek re-election at the upcoming Annual Meeting of Stockholders on January 14, 2026. Her retirement is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. Additionally, Jennifer J. Durbin, the Senior Vice President, Chief Human Resources and Communications Officer, will resign effective December 31, 2025, to pursue another opportunity.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Commercial Metals Acquires Foley Products for $1.84 Billion
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Commercial Metals Company announced a definitive agreement to acquire Foley Products Company for $1.84 billion. This acquisition is expected to significantly enhance CMC’s precast platform, positioning it as the third-largest player in the U.S. precast market. The transaction is anticipated to be immediately accretive to earnings per share and free cash flow, with expected synergies of $25 million to $30 million in EBITDA by year three. The acquisition will transform CMC’s financial profile, increasing EBITDA margins and providing a clear path to deleveraging. The deal is set to close by December 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Commercial Metals Reports Strong Q4 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Commercial Metals Company announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending August 31, 2025. The company reported strong financial performance with fourth-quarter net earnings of $151.8 million and a core EBITDA margin of 13.8%. The Emerging Businesses Group achieved record results, and the Arizona 2 micro mill generated positive adjusted EBITDA. The company also highlighted its strategic acquisitions of Foley Products Company and Concrete Pipe & Precast, which are expected to enhance its growth platform. Despite a significant after-tax charge related to litigation, CMC’s balance sheet remains robust with substantial liquidity. The company is optimistic about future growth, supported by favorable market conditions and strategic initiatives.

Dividends
Commercial Metals Declares 244th Consecutive Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Commercial Metals Company announced that its board of directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share of common stock, marking the 244th consecutive quarterly dividend. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on November 13, 2025, to stockholders recorded by the close of business on October 30, 2025, reflecting CMC’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Legal Proceedings
Commercial Metals Faces Adverse Ruling in Litigation
Negative
Sep 30, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Commercial Metals Company received an adverse ruling on its post-trial motions in the Pacific Steel Group litigation, with the court upholding a previous jury verdict in favor of Pacific Steel Group from November 5, 2024. CMC expressed disappointment with the outcome and plans to appeal the decision, emphasizing its commitment to defending its business practices and integrity.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Commercial Metals Acquires Concrete Pipe & Precast
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Commercial Metals Company announced its agreement to acquire Concrete Pipe & Precast, LLC for $675 million, aiming to expand its commercial portfolio in early-stage construction solutions. This acquisition is expected to enhance CMC’s financial profile, being immediately accretive to earnings per share and free cash flow per share, while establishing a scalable growth platform in the precast concrete industry, which is projected to outpace the broader concrete sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025