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Symbotic (SYM)
NASDAQ:SYM
US Market

Symbotic (SYM) AI Stock Analysis

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SYM

Symbotic

(NASDAQ:SYM)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(19.83% Upside)
The score is driven mainly by strong financial momentum and cash generation alongside a constructive earnings update with improving profitability and a sizable backlog. These positives are tempered by weak near-term technicals (downtrend and negative MACD) and limited valuation support given the negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Very strong operating and free cash flow provides durable funding for deployments, R&D, and M&A without heavy reliance on external financing. This cash generation supports multi‑year system rollouts, service expansion and buffers cadence volatility, improving long‑term financial flexibility.
Large, multi‑year backlog & scale
A $22.3B backlog and hundreds of systems deployed give multi‑year revenue visibility and a growing installed base that drives recurring service and software revenue. Scale in deployments also enables margin leverage and operational learning that should improve long‑term unit economics.
Rapid top‑line and services growth
Sustained revenue scaling and near‑doubling of software revenue indicate diversification toward higher‑margin, recurring software and services. Expanding software/services mix supports revenue predictability, higher lifetime customer value and long‑term margin improvement as deployments scale.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent operating profitability
Despite GAAP and adjusted gains in recent quarters, the company has not yet consistently converted growth into sustained operating earnings. Persistent negative TTM operating metrics imply earnings volatility and limit near‑term return on invested capital until margins stabilize.
Lumpy paid‑development revenue
Reliance on variable paid‑development contracts introduces quarter‑to‑quarter revenue cadence risk and modeling complexity. This lumpiness can obscure underlying system economics, making forecasting, capacity planning and margin conversion harder over the medium term.
Early‑stage prototype & acquisition uncertainty
Important strategic initiatives—including prototype conversions and the Fox Robotics integration—are early stage, so timeline and ROI remain uncertain. Delays or slower cross‑sell would postpone expected margin and TAM expansion benefits, keeping medium‑term execution risk elevated.

Symbotic (SYM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Symbotic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSymbotic Inc., an automation technology company, provides robotics and technology to improve efficiency for retailers and wholesalers in the United States. It offers The Symbotic System, a full-service warehouse automation system that reduces costs, improves efficiency, and maximizes inventory. The company is based in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneySymbotic generates revenue through the sale and deployment of its automation systems and related services. The company earns money by designing and integrating robotic systems tailored to the specific needs of its clients, which often involves long-term contracts and ongoing support and maintenance services. Key revenue streams include the initial sale and installation of automated warehouse systems, software licensing fees, and recurring revenue from maintenance and support services. Significant partnerships with major retailers and distribution companies are crucial, as they drive large-scale implementations and provide a steady stream of income. Symbotic's earnings are also influenced by the growing demand for automation in logistics, driven by the need for increased efficiency and cost savings in supply chain operations.

Symbotic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsSymbotic's revenue growth in the United States remains robust, driven by advancements in their Advanced Systems and Robotics development. Notably, Canada's revenue saw a significant spike in early 2025, suggesting new market penetration or project completions. The earnings call underscores strong operational milestones and innovative storage solutions, which are expected to support future growth despite short-term deployment adjustments. With a $22.4 billion backlog and positive customer feedback, Symbotic is positioned for continued expansion, although moderated growth is anticipated as they transition to new storage structures.
Data provided by:The Fly

Symbotic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, robust YoY growth across revenue, EBITDA and software/services, GAAP profitability, a healthy cash position and strategic product/portfolio expansion (next‑gen storage, Fox Robotics). Key challenges remain primarily timing‑ and lumpy‑revenue related: paid development variability, reallocation of R&D into COGS and modeling noise from accounting changes, and several strategic initiatives (prototypes, GreenBox/Exol, Mexico and Fox cross‑sells) that are early stage and introduce near‑term conversion uncertainty. On balance the positive financial results, margin expansion and sizable backlog materially outweigh the near‑term timing and modeling uncertainties.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Top‑End Beat
Fiscal Q1 revenue of $630.0M (met top end of guidance), up 29% year‑over‑year; systems revenue grew 27% YoY to $590.0M.
GAAP Profitability and Large EBITDA Upside
GAAP net income of $13.0M in Q1 vs. net loss of $17.0M in prior year; adjusted EBITDA of $67.0M (above guidance), up from $18.0M a year ago (≈+272%), and delivered a double‑digit EBITDA margin for the first time.
Margin Expansion and Operating Leverage
Gross margin expanded sequentially and YoY across systems, software maintenance & support, and operations services; systems gross margin showed significant YoY improvement driven by structural and cost discipline initiatives.
Rapid Software and Services Growth
Software revenue nearly doubled, up 97% YoY to $10.9M; operations services revenue grew 68% YoY to $28.8M, reflecting expanding installed base and recurring revenue.
Strong Cash Position and Financing
Cash and cash equivalents increased to $1.8B from $1.2B in the prior quarter (≈+50%), supported by $424M net proceeds from a December follow‑on offering.
Product & Operational Improvements
Next‑gen storage development and paid development program progressed (Walmart micro‑fulfillment paid development produced record financial results); SIM bots improved >25% in miles driven and transactions per bot daily vs. prior year.
Deployment Momentum and Backlog
Added 10 system starts in the quarter, 57 systems now in deployment, and backlog remained robust at $22.3B (only modest change from $22.5B last quarter).
Strategic Acquisition to Expand TAM
Acquisition of Fox Robotics (autonomous forklift solutions) completed to broaden product set and open additional customer channels, particularly dock automation.
Negative Updates
Lumpy Paid Development Revenue
Paid development revenue rose to 'double digits' of total revenue in Q1 (from high single digits prior), but management cautioned this revenue stream will be lumpy and not expected to remain at Q1 levels each quarter.
Modeling Complexity from Accounting and Cost Allocations
Change in stock‑based compensation recognition (graded → straight‑line) led to retrospective recasts; portion of R&D was reclassified into cost of goods sold (paid development) creating lumpiness and modeling complexity for systems gross margin and OpEx comparability.
Near‑Term Uncertainty on Prototype Conversions
Next‑generation e‑commerce/micro‑fulfillment prototypes (including Walmart) are expected within ~12 months; conversion timing to broader commercial deployments remains uncertain and could affect near‑term revenue cadence.
Early‑Stage Returns from Fox Acquisition
Fox Robotics acquisition provides new customers (~25) and TAM expansion, but management stated near‑term revenue and margin impacts are unclear and development of cross‑sell opportunities is still early stage.
Operational Timelines Still Improving but Variable
Company continues to improve install→acceptance timelines (targeting ~10 months) though announce‑to‑completion metrics are still cited around a two‑year proxy; starts and install timing can be variable and affect sequential quarter patterns.
Backlog Slightly Lower and Potential Lumps in Starts
Backlog modestly declined to $22.3B from $22.5B QoQ and management noted potential quarter‑to‑quarter variability in new starts (tail risks toward year‑end), making quarterly cadence lumpy.
GreenBox/Exol & Mexico Sites Not Yet Fully Commercial
GreenBox/Exol new deployment and other demo/prototype sites (e.g., GreenBox site live timeline ~9–10 months, Mexico installation within ~12 months) are progressing but not yet generating full commercial revenue.
Company Guidance
Symbotic guided 2026 revenue of $650–$670 million and adjusted EBITDA of $70–$75 million, with Q3 growth expected to be similar to Q2 and a more pronounced sequential pickup in Q4. That outlook follows a strong fiscal Q1 (revenue $630M, +29% YoY; systems revenue $590M, +27% YoY; software $10.9M, +97% YoY; operations services $28.8M, +68% YoY), GAAP net income $13M, adjusted EBITDA $67M (double‑digit EBITDA margin), 10 new system starts, 57 systems in deployment (3 moved to operational), and a backlog of $22.3B; the company finished the quarter with $1.8B cash (up from $1.2B) including $424M net proceeds from a December follow‑on. Management noted systems gross‑margin expansion, adjusted operating expenses of $80M (GAAP OpEx $127M), that paid‑development revenue reached the double‑digit percentage of total revenue and will be lumpy, and emphasized continued margin leverage as scale increases (Symbotic processed >2 billion cases and logged ~200M miles in CY2025).

Symbotic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has scaled rapidly (to ~$2.25B in FY2025) and margins improved versus early years, while cash generation is currently very strong (TTM OCF ~$853.5M; TTM FCF ~$779.7M) and leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.143). Offsetting this, operating profitability is still inconsistent with negative TTM EBIT/EBITDA and cash-flow volatility (negative in FY2024).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Top-line momentum is strong, with revenue scaling from ~$252M (2021) to ~$2.25B (FY 2025) and 6.377 growth shown in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Profitability is improving but still mixed: gross margin is healthier at ~18.4% in TTM versus very low levels in 2021, and net income turns slightly positive in TTM ($6.9M) after losses in prior annual periods. However, operating profitability remains a key weakness—TTM EBIT and EBITDA are still negative, indicating the business has not consistently converted growth into sustainable operating earnings.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Leverage appears manageable, with low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.143 in the most recent periods) and modest absolute debt in FY 2025. The equity base strengthens materially versus earlier years (notably negative equity in 2021 and near-zero equity in 2023), suggesting balance-sheet repair and improved capitalization. The main concern is that returns on equity remain negative in recent periods, reflecting that profitability has not yet caught up with the expanded capital base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a standout strength: operating cash flow is very strong in FY 2025 ($866.9M) and remains robust in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) ($853.5M), with similarly strong free cash flow ($787.9M FY 2025; $779.7M TTM). This supports reinvestment capacity and reduces financing risk. The key weakness is volatility—cash flow was negative in FY 2024—and TTM free-cash-flow growth is negative (-1.038), signaling that recent cash performance may be stabilizing or normalizing rather than accelerating.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39B2.25B1.79B1.18B593.31M251.91M
Gross Profit459.16M422.61M279.10M209.50M99.65M10.45M
EBITDA-8.90M-48.00M-60.07M-189.85M-134.39M-117.89M
Net Income-10.86M-16.94M-13.49M-23.87M-79.00M-122.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.99B2.40B1.58B1.05B631.26M280.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.82B1.24B727.31M545.51M353.46M156.63M
Total Debt51.97M55.64M0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.03B1.92B1.19B1.05B562.32M1.39B
Stockholders Equity663.77M221.32M197.23M82.00K7.18M-1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow779.73M787.91M-102.45M209.47M-166.20M97.40M
Operating Cash Flow853.45M866.94M-58.08M230.79M-148.25M109.57M
Investing Cash Flow-365.97M-350.74M156.48M-299.46M-17.95M-12.17M
Financing Cash Flow427.68M668.00K371.04M-24.10M362.45M0.00

Symbotic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price55.08
Price Trends
50DMA
60.95
Negative
100DMA
64.16
Negative
200DMA
53.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.98
Positive
RSI
42.81
Neutral
STOCH
24.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 55.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.23, below the 50-day MA of 60.95, and above the 200-day MA of 53.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SYM.

Symbotic Risk Analysis

Symbotic disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Symbotic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Symbotic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$31.30B29.2315.29%1.04%-5.24%45.69%
70
Outperform
$38.07B67.045.35%0.10%4.20%-34.47%
68
Neutral
$16.66B25.7017.48%0.96%0.83%-1.32%
68
Neutral
$44.55B45.3627.71%1.33%0.98%-7.51%
64
Neutral
$36.06B26.471.88%0.73%-15.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$32.52B-536.27-2.52%24.80%-31.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYM
Symbotic
55.08
30.61
125.07%
DOV
Dover
232.52
34.21
17.25%
PNR
Pentair
100.48
8.48
9.22%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
395.38
102.54
35.01%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
96.20
12.59
15.06%
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
93.04
-3.54
-3.67%

Symbotic Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Symbotic Delivers Strong Q1 2026 Results and Profitability
Positive
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Symbotic reported its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results for the period ended December 27, 2025, posting revenue of $630 million, a 29% year-over-year increase, and turning to a net income of $13 million from a $17 million loss a year earlier, while adjusted EBITDA rose to $67 million from $18 million. The company’s cash and equivalents reached $1.8 billion, up $574 million from the prior quarter partly due to $424 million of net proceeds from a follow-on offering, underscoring strengthened liquidity and margin expansion that support management’s view of continued growth and rising profitability as Symbotic scales deployments of its automated warehouse systems in the supply-chain technology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYM) stock is a Buy with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Symbotic stock, see the SYM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Symbotic details executive agreements and leadership compensation changes
Neutral
Jan 16, 2026

In a recent filing, Symbotic Inc. disclosed the terms of several agreements involving its subsidiary Symbotic LLC and executives Michael Dunn and James Kuffner. The agreements, dated between June 10, 2024 and June 6, 2025, include a letter of intent to Michael Dunn, an offer letter and subsequent addendum for Kuffner, and a later letter agreement concerning an apartment, underscoring ongoing executive recruitment and compensation structuring that may influence the company’s leadership stability and governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYM) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Symbotic stock, see the SYM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Symbotic Completes $425M Stock Offering
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Symbotic Inc. completed an underwritten offering of 11,500,000 shares of Class A common stock, raising approximately $425 million in net proceeds for general corporate purposes. The offering included shares sold by both the company and selling securityholders, with the company not receiving proceeds from the latter’s sales. This strategic financial move is expected to bolster Symbotic’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYM) stock is a Sell with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Symbotic stock, see the SYM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Symbotic Reports Q4 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Symbotic Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, ending September 27, 2025. The company reported a revenue increase to $618 million for the quarter, despite a net loss of $19 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising to $49 million. For the full year, revenue grew by 26% to $2,247 million, though the company faced a net loss of $91 million. Symbotic’s cash reserves increased significantly, and the company expanded into the healthcare sector by adding Medline as a customer. Looking forward, Symbotic anticipates continued growth and strong financial performance in fiscal year 2026, with expected revenue between $610 million and $630 million for the first quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYM) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Symbotic stock, see the SYM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026