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Symbotic
(NASDAQ:SYM)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(7.10% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/07/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid scaling, minimal debt, and strong recent free cash flow) and a positive earnings update with improving profitability and solid guidance/backlog. These positives are tempered by weak technical trend signals (trading below key moving averages) and an unfavorable valuation read from the negative P/E and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained TTM free cash flow around $1.14B indicates the business can internally fund deployments, R&D, and tuck-in M&A without heavy reliance on external financing. Over 2–6 months this underpins strategic optionality, liquidity to absorb timing swings, and the ability to invest in next‑gen product rollouts.
Negative Factors
Thin net margins
Net margin near 2.4% and operating margin roughly breakeven at scale leave profitability highly sensitive to cost swings, project timing, and mix. Over 2–6 months this exposes earnings to volatility from deployment timing, pricing adjustments, and one‑off OpEx items, constraining durable earnings quality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained TTM free cash flow around $1.14B indicates the business can internally fund deployments, R&D, and tuck-in M&A without heavy reliance on external financing. Over 2–6 months this underpins strategic optionality, liquidity to absorb timing swings, and the ability to invest in next‑gen product rollouts.
Read all positive factors
Symbotic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Shows where Symbotic earns its sales by country or region, revealing concentration risk, exposure to different economic cycles, and near-term growth opportunities from international expansion. Useful for assessing how currency, trade or local customer demand could affect revenue and long-term market reach.
Shows where Symbotic earns its sales by country or region, revealing concentration risk, exposure to different economic cycles, and near-term growth opportunities from international expansion. Useful for assessing how currency, trade or local customer demand could affect revenue and long-term market reach.
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The Fly
The FlySymbotic (SYM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$25.30B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.77M
Price to Earnings (P/E)436.6
Beta (1Y)2.59
Revenue Growth19.98%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees2,000
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIndustrial - Machinery
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.10
Shares Outstanding129,873,380
10 Day Avg. Volume1,218,430
30 Day Avg. Volume1,773,201
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.26
Price to Book (P/B)25.60
Price to Sales (P/S)2.52
P/FCF Ratio7.19
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$66.09Price Target Upside64.61% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering12
EPS Forecast (FY)0.55
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.80B
Symbotic Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Symbotic Inc. (SYM) designs and deploys automated robotics and software systems for warehouse and distribution center operations, primarily focused on high-throughput pallet and case handling for large retailers, grocers, and consumer goods compan...
How the Company Makes Money
Symbotic makes money primarily by selling and deploying warehouse automation systems and by providing ongoing software and support tied to those systems. Its revenue model generally includes: (1) System sales and deployment revenue: The core of Sy...
Symbotic Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple material positives: strong top-line growth (22% YoY), a return to GAAP profitability, adjusted EBITDA more than doubling year-over-year, high-growth software and services revenue, expanding deployments, a large $22.5 billion backlog, and strategic technology and tuck-in acquisitions supporting broadened addressable markets. Headwinds highlighted included timing-driven cash decline, modest backlog adjustments and pricing resets, a multi-quarter timeline for converting micro-fulfillment opportunities at scale, some lumpiness in revenue per deployment, and a cautious near-term margin outlook due to OpEx timing. Overall, the fundamentals and growth drivers appear robust and management signaled clear levers to continue margin expansion, outweighing the transitory operational and timing challenges.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Fiscal Q3 revenue of $721 million, up 22% year-over-year and up 7% sequentially, near the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Cash Balance Decline (Timing)
Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $1.7 billion from $2.0 billion last quarter, driven primarily by timing of cash receipts related to project starts and project-related cash usage.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Fiscal Q3 revenue of $721 million, up 22% year-over-year and up 7% sequentially, near the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Symbotic guided Q4 FY26 revenue of $700–780 million and adjusted EBITDA of $100–105 million. For context, Q3 FY26 results were revenue $721M (+22% YoY, +7% QoQ), adjusted EBITDA $95M (vs. $45M in Q3 FY25), GAAP net income $55M (vs. $21M net loss a year ago), systems revenue $671M (+20% YoY, +6% QoQ), software $13M (+57% YoY), and operations services $37M (+49% YoY); the company started 11 new deployments in the quarter (bringing deployments to 77, 56 operational with 4 turned operational in Q3), reported a backlog of $22.5B (~15% expected to convert in the next 12 months), cash & equivalents of $1.7B (down from $2.0B), GAAP operating expenses of $128M and combined adjusted R&D+SG&A of $85M, and reiterated that full‑year adjusted EBITDA should be more than double last fiscal year while expecting Q4 free cash flow to be positive and further margin inflection as next‑gen storage rolls out.Symbotic Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
89
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.65B | 2.25B | 1.79B | 1.18B | 593.31M | 251.91M |
| Gross Profit | 571.41M | 422.61M | 279.10M | 209.50M | 99.65M | 10.45M |
| EBITDA | 60.55M | -48.53M | -60.07M | -189.85M | -133.10M | -117.82M |
| Net Income | 12.62M | -16.94M | -13.49M | -23.87M | -79.00M | -122.31M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.52B | 2.40B | 1.58B | 1.05B | 631.26M | 280.54M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.75B | 1.24B | 727.31M | 545.51M | 353.46M | 156.63M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 31.68M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 2.39B | 1.92B | 1.19B | 1.05B | 562.32M | 1.39B |
| Stockholders Equity | 708.77M | 221.32M | 197.23M | 82.00K | 7.18M | -1.11B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 737.26M | 787.91M | -102.45M | 209.47M | -166.20M | 97.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 836.26M | 866.94M | -58.08M | 230.79M | -148.25M | 109.57M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -271.89M | -350.74M | 156.48M | -299.46M | -17.95M | -12.17M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 428.62M | 668.00K | 371.04M | -24.10M | 362.45M | 0.00 |
Symbotic Technical Analysis
Neutral
40.15
Price Trends
42.05
Negative
47.79
Negative
53.84
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.33
Positive
48.81
Neutral
53.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.27, below the 50-day MA of 42.05, and below the 200-day MA of 53.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SYM.
Symbotic Risk Analysis
Symbotic disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Symbotic reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Symbotic Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $31.24B | 32.86 | 9.46% | 0.09% | 7.85% | 88.74% | |
69 Neutral | $25.30B | 436.64 | 2.21% | ― | 19.98% | ― | |
68 Neutral | $48.54B | 40.89 | 33.32% | 1.18% | 11.27% | 25.32% | |
67 Neutral | $27.19B | 24.18 | 15.00% | 1.03% | 7.56% | -49.98% | |
64 Neutral | $10.28B | 16.06 | 17.13% | 1.69% | -2.15% | 8.39% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | $27.21B | 18.28 | -27.26% | 2.36% | 5.24% | 2.75% |
* Industrials Sector Average
SYM
Symbotic
40.03
-5.71
-12.48%
DOV
Dover
203.62
24.98
13.98%
PNR
Pentair
63.31
-43.31
-40.62%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
429.69
84.34
24.42%
IR
Ingersoll Rand
79.99
0.39
0.49%
OTIS
Otis Worldwide
72.19
-12.84
-15.10%
Symbotic Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Symbotic Delivers Strong Q3 Results and Profitability Gains
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Symbotic reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 results for the period ended June 27, 2026, posting revenue of $721 million, a 22% year-over-year rise, and net income of $55 million versus a net loss of $21 million a year earlier. A...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.