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Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)
NYSE:SVV
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Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) AI Stock Analysis

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SVV

Savers Value Village Inc.

(NYSE:SVV)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(3.15% Upside)
The overall stock score of 59 reflects a mix of strong financial performance and strategic growth plans, tempered by high leverage, declining free cash flow, and challenging market conditions in Canada. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided a balanced outlook, with significant strengths in U.S. sales growth but offset by increased operating expenses and macroeconomic challenges in Canada.
Positive Factors
Strong U.S. Sales Growth
The robust growth in U.S. sales indicates strong market presence and consumer demand, supporting long-term revenue expansion and profitability.
New Store Openings and Expansion Plans
Strategic expansion through new store openings enhances market reach and potential revenue growth, positioning the company for future success.
Improved Financial Metrics
Strong EBITDA performance reflects efficient operations and financial health, providing a solid foundation for sustainable growth and investment.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth or weather downturns.
Declining Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow can constrain the company's ability to fund new projects, pay down debt, or return capital to shareholders.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can erode profit margins and reduce overall profitability, challenging the company's cost management strategies.

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Savers Value Village Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSavers Value Village Inc. (SVV) is a leading retailer of secondhand goods, specializing in thrift store operations across North America. The company provides a wide range of products including clothing, footwear, household items, and unique collectibles, all sourced primarily from donations. By promoting sustainability through recycling and reusing items, SVV operates both physical stores and an online platform, serving customers who seek affordable products while supporting charitable initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneySavers Value Village Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of secondhand merchandise in its thrift stores. The company acquires inventory through charitable donations, which it either sells directly or processes for resale. Key revenue streams include in-store sales, online sales of select items, and partnerships with nonprofit organizations that provide donation services. These partnerships not only enhance the volume of donated goods but also create a positive community impact, attracting customers who are conscious about sustainability. Additionally, SVV benefits from a loyal customer base that seeks value and unique products, further driving sales and profitability.

Savers Value Village Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mix of positive momentum in the U.S. market and strategic expansion plans, offset by challenges in the Canadian market and increased operating expenses. While there are clear achievements, such as strong U.S. sales growth and successful debt refinancing, the Canadian economy and certain underperforming stores present ongoing challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Sales Growth
Sales in the U.S. business grew 10.5% with comparable store sales up 7.1%, driven by both transactions and average basket size.
Progress in Canadian Market
Canadian business delivered 3.9% comparable store sales growth, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of sequential improvement.
New Store Openings and Expansion Plans
Opened 10 new stores in the quarter and expect to open 25 new stores in 2025, with plans to enter new markets such as North Carolina and Tennessee in 2026.
Improved Financial Metrics
Generated $70 million of adjusted EBITDA or approximately 16.4% of sales. Refinanced debt to significantly reduce interest expense and provide a more flexible capital structure.
Increased Active Loyalty Members
Reached approximately 6.1 million total active members in the loyalty program.
Negative Updates
Canadian Macroeconomic Challenges
The Canadian market remains challenging with high unemployment and inflation affecting performance, particularly in Southwest Ontario.
Store Closures Due to Underperformance
Closed 6 underperforming stores, including 3 Peaches stores, to be EBITDA-accretive in 2026.
Increased Operating Expenses
Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 19% to $100 million, driven by new store growth and other factors.
Impact of New Store Growth on Margins
Cost of merchandise sold as a percentage of net sales increased 80 basis points due to new store openings and higher processing costs in Canada.
Company Guidance
During the conference call, Savers Value Village provided guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2025. The company reported strong third-quarter results, with total net sales increasing by 8.1% to $427 million and adjusted EBITDA of $70 million, representing 16.4% of sales. In the U.S., net sales grew by 10.5% to $235 million, with comparable store sales increasing by 7.1%. In Canada, despite challenging macroeconomic conditions, comparable store sales improved by 3.9%. The company opened 10 new stores in the quarter and plans to open 25 new stores in 2025. They updated their full-year outlook to include net sales of $1.67 billion to $1.68 billion, comparable store sales growth of 4.0% to 4.5%, adjusted net income of $71 million to $75 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $252 million to $257 million. The guidance was adjusted primarily due to macroeconomic pressures in Canada and the underperformance of certain stores.

Savers Value Village Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Savers Value Village Inc. shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, indicating effective cost management and pricing strategies. However, the company faces challenges with high leverage and declining free cash flow, which could impact its financial flexibility. Overall, the financial health is stable but requires careful management of debt and operational costs to sustain growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Savers Value Village Inc. has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.97%. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 95.48%, indicating strong pricing power or cost efficiency. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.14%, suggesting that operational costs or other expenses are impacting profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk if not managed properly. Return on equity is moderate at 8.03%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is positive and covers net income well, with a ratio of 0.54. However, free cash flow has decreased by 21.06% in the TTM, which could be a concern for future investments or debt repayments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.21, indicating that a portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.54B1.50B1.44B1.20B834.01M
Gross Profit739.69M867.87M846.00M837.30M729.66M480.56M
EBITDA161.83M192.38M203.00M246.96M178.60M66.23M
Net Income35.88M29.03M53.12M84.72M83.39M-63.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.94B1.89B1.87B1.71B1.22B965.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.55M149.97M179.96M112.13M97.92M137.20M
Total Debt1.33B1.30B1.29B1.26B803.94M607.83M
Total Liabilities1.52B1.46B1.49B1.48B1.04B791.69M
Stockholders Equity423.47M421.68M376.06M227.34M185.43M173.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.26M28.40M82.77M59.26M135.22M10.74M
Operating Cash Flow78.74M134.28M175.16M169.43M175.76M29.91M
Investing Cash Flow-81.02M-80.52M-92.36M-110.50M-263.17M-19.17M
Financing Cash Flow-103.54M-76.63M-17.04M-40.22M53.00M36.81M

Savers Value Village Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.21
Price Trends
50DMA
12.69
Negative
100DMA
11.66
Negative
200DMA
10.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
23.26
Positive
STOCH
41.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.80, below the 50-day MA of 12.69, and below the 200-day MA of 10.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.26 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SVV.

Savers Value Village Inc. Risk Analysis

Savers Value Village Inc. disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Savers Value Village Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Savers Value Village Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.43B7.8128.94%-0.38%35.78%
$1.63B36.3710.36%10.68%37.84%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$2.06B64.328.06%4.47%-8.19%
$1.44B35.942.78%3.35%1.97%
$1.06B-58.93%-10.39%14.92%
$1.34B-10.70-176.48%-13.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
9.21
-1.07
-10.41%
SBH
Sally Beauty
15.11
1.99
15.17%
WINA
Winmark
403.17
28.89
7.72%
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
10.91
6.34
138.73%
RVLV
Revolve Group
22.12
-2.84
-11.38%
TDUP
thredUP
8.79
8.24
1498.18%

Savers Value Village Inc. Corporate Events

Savers Value Village Reports Mixed Earnings Amid U.S. Growth
Nov 1, 2025

The recent earnings call of Savers Value Village Inc. showcased a blend of optimism and caution. The company is experiencing positive momentum in the U.S. market, driven by robust sales growth and strategic expansion plans. However, challenges persist in the Canadian market, compounded by increased operating expenses. Notable achievements include strong U.S. sales growth and successful debt refinancing, but the Canadian economy and some underperforming stores remain hurdles to overcome.

Savers Value Village Reports Strong Sales Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Savers Value Village, Inc. is the largest for-profit thrift operator in the U.S. and Canada, specializing in value-priced pre-owned clothing, accessories, and household goods, with a mission to promote reuse and make secondhand shopping mainstream.

Private Placements and Financing
Savers Value Village Secures New $750M Credit Agreement
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Savers Value Village Inc.‘s subsidiaries entered into a new Credit Agreement, establishing a $750 million term loan and $180 million revolving credit facility. This agreement replaces previous financial obligations and aims to enhance the company’s financial structure by securing a first-priority lien on most assets, with the term loan maturing in 2032 and the revolving facility in 2030.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVV) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savers Value Village Inc. stock, see the SVV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Savers Value Village Appoints Brian Ames to Board
Neutral
Aug 25, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Duane C. Woods resigned from the Board of Directors of Savers Value Village, Inc., along with his positions on the Nominating, Governance & Sustainability Committee and the Compensation Committee. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. Brian Ames was appointed to fill the vacancy, bringing strategic expertise and experience from consumer tech, gaming, media, climate tech, and venture capital sectors. Ames, a former Managing Director at Anthos Capital and President of Activision Blizzard Media, is recognized as an independent director under NYSE standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVV) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savers Value Village Inc. stock, see the SVV Stock Forecast page.

Savers Value Village Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

In the latest earnings call for Savers Value Village Inc., the sentiment was generally positive, with strong sales growth reported, particularly in the U.S. market. The company highlighted improvements in Canada and expressed optimism about the expansion of new stores and the success of its loyalty program. However, challenges remain, particularly with increased costs and pressure on profit margins, largely due to new store growth and operations in Canada.

Savers Value Village Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 1, 2025

Savers Value Village, Inc., a leading for-profit thrift operator in the U.S. and Canada, specializes in offering value-priced pre-owned clothing, accessories, and household goods with a mission to promote reuse and sustainability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025