Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)
NYSE:SVV
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Savers Value Village Inc.
(NYSE:SVV)
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (below long-term moving averages with negative MACD) and a mixed financial profile (thin profitability and meaningful leverage). Offsetting these, the latest earnings call was relatively positive with reaffirmed guidance, solid U.S. performance, and improving profitability in Canada, while valuation metrics are not supportive due to a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong U.S. Sales & Comparable Store Growth
Sustained double-digit U.S. net sales growth and mid-single-digit comps indicate durable demand in the company’s largest market. Broad-based category and regional gains imply structural customer adoption, supporting repeatable cash generation and scalable retail economics over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material leverage (net ~2.5x) constrains financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to revenue or margin shocks. Although deleveraging is underway, residual debt levels limit capacity for opportunistic investment or cushioning during downturns until net leverage meaningfully falls below targeted levels.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong U.S. Sales & Comparable Store Growth
Sustained double-digit U.S. net sales growth and mid-single-digit comps indicate durable demand in the company’s largest market. Broad-based category and regional gains imply structural customer adoption, supporting repeatable cash generation and scalable retail economics over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors
Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.22B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.15M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.75
Revenue Growth10.20%
EPS Growth-7.90%
CountryUS
Employees22,700
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.14
Shares Outstanding153,986,160
10 Day Avg. Volume1,024,391
30 Day Avg. Volume1,146,440
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.94
Price to Book (P/B)3.40
Price to Sales (P/S)0.88
P/FCF Ratio30.44
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.52
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.08
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.59
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.56
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$13.44Price Target Upside55.53% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)0.5
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.78B
Savers Value Village Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Savers Value Village, Inc. sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It operates stores under the Savers, Value Village, Village des Valeurs, Unique, and 2nd Avenue banners. The company purchases s...
How the Company Makes Money
SVV primarily makes money by purchasing secondhand goods in bulk from third parties and reselling those items at retail prices in its thrift stores. Its core revenue stream is retail sales to consumers of donated/secondhand merchandise (e.g., appa...
Savers Value Village Inc. Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted multiple strong operational and financial positives: robust U.S. sales (11.2% growth, 6.4% comps), meaningful adjusted EBITDA ($44M, 11% margin), successful Canadian profit improvement (+$6M and +310 bps margin expansion), early and broad rollout of ABP Lite (~85% fleet) and initial AI deployments tied to a large loyalty base (~6M members, ~73% of sales). Management reaffirmed full-year guidance and repeated confidence in a multi-year store expansion strategy (~25 new stores). Headwinds included a small GAAP loss, modest adjusted net income, higher SG&A and preopening expenses, a Canada comp decline of 0.6% (partly Easter-affected), weather and fuel cost pressure, FX-driven Q2 reported headwind, and a net leverage ratio of 2.5x. Overall, the positives—especially strong U.S. performance, improved profitability in Canada, margin recovery, innovation progress, and reaffirmed guidance—outweigh the near-term challenges.Positive Updates
Total Net Sales Growth
Total net sales increased 8.9% year-over-year to $403 million in Q1; on a constant-currency basis net sales increased 6.9% and comparable store sales increased 3.5%.
Negative Updates
Canada Comparable Store Sales Decline
Canadian comparable store sales decreased 0.6% in Q1 (management cites ~70 basis points impact from an early Easter and otherwise sluggish macro conditions in key Southern Ontario markets).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Total Net Sales Growth
Total net sales increased 8.9% year-over-year to $403 million in Q1; on a constant-currency basis net sales increased 6.9% and comparable store sales increased 3.5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed unchanged fiscal 2026 guidance: net sales $1.76–$1.79 billion; comparable store sales +2.5% to +4.0%; net income $66–$78 million (EPS $0.41–$0.48); adjusted net income $73–$85 million (adjusted EPS $0.45–$0.53); adjusted EBITDA $260–$275 million; capital expenditures $125–$145 million; ~25 new store openings (over 20 in the U.S.); assumed net interest expense ≈ $50 million and effective tax rate ≈28% (≈27% for adjusted net income); and weighted average diluted shares ≈163 million. For Q2 they expect total revenue growth 100–200 basis points lower than Q1 due to FX, constant‑currency revenue and comp sales similar to Q1, Q2 adjusted EBITDA growth similar to Q1, six new store openings in the quarter, and full‑year preopening expenses roughly flat at $14–$16 million.Savers Value Village Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.71B | 1.68B | 1.54B | 1.50B | 1.44B | 1.20B |
| Gross Profit | 1.16B | 1.33B | 867.87M | 846.00M | 837.30M | 729.66M |
| EBITDA | 194.03M | 184.99M | 186.77M | 203.00M | 244.79M | 174.16M |
| Net Income | 22.10M | 22.64M | 29.03M | 53.12M | 84.72M | 83.39M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.02B | 2.01B | 1.89B | 1.87B | 1.86B | 1.22B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 61.61M | 85.90M | 149.97M | 179.96M | 112.13M | 97.92M |
| Total Debt | 700.01M | 673.05M | 1.30B | 1.29B | 1.26B | 803.94M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.59B | 1.58B | 1.46B | 1.49B | 1.63B | 1.04B |
| Stockholders Equity | 430.45M | 435.58M | 421.68M | 376.06M | 227.34M | 185.43M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 58.94M | 48.64M | 28.40M | 82.77M | 59.26M | 135.22M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 185.06M | 167.28M | 134.28M | 175.16M | 169.43M | 175.76M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -127.36M | -118.47M | -80.52M | -92.36M | -110.50M | -263.17M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -71.81M | -116.02M | -76.63M | -17.04M | -40.22M | 53.00M |
Savers Value Village Inc. Technical Analysis
Negative
8.64
Price Trends
8.00
Negative
9.05
Negative
10.07
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.32
Positive
34.33
Neutral
11.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.04, above the 50-day MA of 8.00, and below the 200-day MA of 10.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SVV.
Savers Value Village Inc. Risk Analysis
Savers Value Village Inc. disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Savers Value Village Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Savers Value Village Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $1.32B | 28.14 | 12.85% | ― | 10.02% | 26.46% | |
62 Neutral | $1.29B | 40.31 | -100.45% | 3.35% | 2.27% | -1.23% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $1.20B | 7.84 | 22.86% | ― | 0.77% | 2.73% | |
57 Neutral | $1.22B | -55.24 | 5.19% | ― | 10.20% | -7.90% | |
57 Neutral | $553.59M | -16.18 | -36.11% | ― | 10.25% | 70.25% | |
47 Neutral | $857.06M | ― | -194.88% | ― | 13.18% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.