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Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)
NYSE:SVV
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Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) AI Stock Analysis

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SVV

Savers Value Village Inc.

(NYSE:SVV)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(13.34%Upside)
Savers Value Village Inc. is supported by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, with robust growth in U.S. sales and expansion plans. Financial performance shows solid revenue growth but also leverage risks and profitability challenges. The valuation is high, suggesting potential overvaluation concerns.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Savers delivered a strong second quarter, building on first-quarter momentum with both top- and bottom-line beats.
Growth Potential
The deeper value of this model is the long runway for store growth, with a competitively advantaged, for-profit resale model that is levered to positive trends in both the growing popularity of second-hand goods and evergreen appeal of value to the U.S. consumer.
Store Expansion
Management sees U.S. store expansion as the largest growth opportunity and the best use of capital.
Negative Factors
Canadian Market Challenges
Earnings are depressed with margins below historical levels following an acceleration in store growth and softer Canada segment performance.
Operating Costs
SG&A dollars implied by current estimates would suggest expectations for a step back in operating costs versus the first quarter, which we believe is unlikely.
Profitability Impact
The company reduces its FY25 EPS estimate due to the detrimental impact to profitability from the new store ramp and additional FX pressure from CAD depreciation.

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Savers Value Village Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSavers Value Village Inc. (SVV) operates as a for-profit, global thrift retailer offering unique second-hand merchandise across a range of categories, including clothing, accessories, and household goods. The company serves diverse communities through its network of thrift stores, providing an affordable shopping alternative while promoting sustainability by extending the life cycle of products.
How the Company Makes MoneySavers Value Village Inc. generates revenue primarily through the resale of donated goods. The company partners with various nonprofit organizations that collect and supply donated items, which are then sold in SVV's thrift stores. Revenue is earned by offering these items at affordable prices to consumers. In addition to selling donated goods, the company may also purchase excess inventory from retailers and manufacturers at a discount, further diversifying its product offerings. Partnerships with nonprofit organizations are a critical component of SVV's business model, as they help ensure a steady supply of merchandise while supporting charitable causes.

Savers Value Village Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.18%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook. The company reported strong sales growth, particularly in the U.S., with improvements in Canada. The expansion of new stores and the loyalty program are positive signs. However, there are some challenges with increased costs and pressure on profit margins, particularly related to new store growth and operations in Canada.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Sales Growth
Sales in the U.S. grew by 10.5% with comparable store sales up 6.2%, driven by both transactions and average basket size.
Canadian Sales Improvement
The Canadian business showed a 2.6% increase in comp store sales, marking the third consecutive quarter of sequential improvement.
Store Expansion and Performance
Opened 4 new stores in the quarter and expect to open 25 new stores in 2025, with new stores performing in line with expectations.
Loyalty Program Growth
Reached over 6 million total active members in the loyalty program.
Revenue and Earnings Guidance Raised
Based on first half results, the company raised its revenue and earnings outlook for 2025.
Technology and Innovation
Rollout of automated book processing expanded to supply nearly 50% of the fleet.
Negative Updates
Increased Cost of Merchandise Sold
Cost of merchandise sold as a percentage of net sales increased by 270 basis points to 44.8%, primarily reflecting higher processing levels in Canada and new stores.
Challenges with Canadian Profit Margin
Investment in processing and selection had a transitory impact on Canadian profit margin.
Impact of New Store Growth on Margins
New store growth and an increase in incentive compensation expenses impact profit margins in the near term.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Sabre's Value Village demonstrated strong financial performance and increased guidance for the full year. U.S. sales grew 10.5% with a 6.2% rise in comparable store sales, supported by both transactions and average basket size. Canadian operations showed a 2.6% increase in comp store sales, marking the third consecutive quarter of improvement. The company opened four new stores in the quarter and plans to open a total of 25 new stores in 2025. The loyalty program reached over 6 million active members. Financially, Sabre reported nearly $69 million in adjusted EBITDA, representing 16.5% of sales, and raised its revenue and earnings outlook for 2025, forecasting net sales between $1.67 billion to $1.69 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $252 million to $267 million. The company is also making investments in long-term growth, like accelerating the "2 Peaches" store conversion and introducing automated book processing to 50% of its locations.

Savers Value Village Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Savers Value Village Inc. shows strong revenue and gross profit growth. However, challenges in converting sales to net income and leverage risk from high debt-to-equity ratio warrant caution. Stable cash flow operations are a positive aspect, but focus on enhancing profitability and managing leverage is needed.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory from 2020 to the TTM period. Gross profit margin is healthy, indicating effective cost control, though there is a slight decline in EBIT and net income from the previous year. The TTM net profit margin remains modest, suggesting room for improvement in bottom-line efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a leveraged position which could pose financial risk if not managed properly. However, the equity ratio shows improvement, signaling increased shareholder investment. Return on equity has decreased, revealing that profitability relative to equity is under pressure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow generation remains stable with a positive free cash flow, though growth has slowed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient conversion of earnings to cash, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential challenges in sustaining cash reserves amid capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.55B1.54B1.50B1.44B1.20B834.01M
Gross Profit848.87M1.21B846.00M837.30M729.66M480.56M
EBITDA184.80M192.38M203.00M246.96M207.92M33.68M
Net Income24.77M29.03M53.12M84.72M83.39M-63.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B1.89B1.87B1.71B1.22B965.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.02M149.97M179.96M112.13M96.81M137.20M
Total Debt586.39M1.30B1.29B1.26B803.94M607.83M
Total Liabilities1.45B1.46B1.49B1.48B1.04B791.69M
Stockholders Equity413.81M421.68M376.06M227.34M185.43M173.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.53M28.40M82.77M59.26M135.22M10.74M
Operating Cash Flow140.50M134.28M175.16M169.43M175.76M29.91M
Investing Cash Flow-77.37M-80.52M-92.36M-110.50M-263.17M-19.17M
Financing Cash Flow-87.50M-76.63M-17.04M-40.22M53.00M36.81M

Savers Value Village Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.47
Price Trends
50DMA
10.33
Positive
100DMA
9.49
Positive
200DMA
9.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
64.49
Neutral
STOCH
65.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.28, above the 50-day MA of 10.33, and above the 200-day MA of 9.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SVV.

Savers Value Village Inc. Risk Analysis

Savers Value Village Inc. disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Savers Value Village Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Acquisitions could be difficult to identify, pose integration challenges, divert the attention of management, disrupt our business, dilute stockholder value and adversely affect our results of operations and expansion prospects. Q4, 2024
2.
If we fail to manage our growth effectively and execute our business plan, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be harmed. Q4, 2024
3.
If we are unable to extend our exclusive rights with the provider of our CPC and ABP technologies, and otherwise successfully leverage technology to automate and drive efficiencies, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be harmed. Q4, 2024

Savers Value Village Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$733.06M29.7714.01%35.78%23.49%
74
Outperform
$1.78B55.768.06%4.47%-8.19%
71
Outperform
$1.43B28.6111.97%9.09%106.50%
66
Neutral
$699.06M43.803.45%25.34%
64
Neutral
$1.32B33.01-118.80%3.01%0.98%1.84%
62
Neutral
$976.72M-69.51%-10.55%9.27%
57
Neutral
HK$24.98B3.78-1.97%5.91%-0.17%-66.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
11.47
1.49
14.93%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
23.48
3.07
15.04%
WINA
Winmark
370.74
24.02
6.93%
RVLV
Revolve Group
20.11
2.29
12.85%
TDUP
thredUP
8.47
6.74
389.60%
RERE
ATRenew Inc. Sponsored ADR
3.12
0.63
25.30%

Savers Value Village Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Savers Value Village Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Savers Value Village, Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key decisions were made. The stockholders elected Class II directors to serve until the 2028 annual meeting, ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 3, 2026, and approved the compensation for the company’s executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVV) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savers Value Village Inc. stock, see the SVV Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Savers Value Village Completes Secondary Stock Offering
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Savers Value Village, Inc. completed a secondary public offering of 15,000,000 shares of common stock, priced at $9.25 per share, by Ares Management LLC and the company’s CEO. The company also repurchased 2,258,132 shares using existing cash, without receiving proceeds from the offering, which was managed by major financial institutions including J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVV) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savers Value Village Inc. stock, see the SVV Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Savers Value Village Announces Secondary Public Offering
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Savers Value Village, Inc. announced the launch of a secondary public offering of 15,000,000 shares of its common stock, with the shares being offered by Ares Management LLC and the company’s CEO. Additionally, the company plans a concurrent repurchase of up to $20 million of these shares using its existing cash reserves. The offering, managed by major financial institutions, will not involve the company selling any of its own shares, nor will it receive proceeds from the sale. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning, as it seeks to manage its share structure and liquidity.

The most recent analyst rating on (SVV) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savers Value Village Inc. stock, see the SVV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025