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Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)
NYSE:SVV
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Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) AI Stock Analysis

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SVV

Savers Value Village Inc.

(NYSE:SVV)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(9.24% Upside)
The overall stock score of 73 reflects strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors. Financial performance is solid but cautious due to leverage risks and profitability challenges. High valuation limits upside potential, but the company's growth and expansion plans provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Savers delivered a strong second quarter, building on first-quarter momentum with both top- and bottom-line beats.
Growth Potential
The deeper value of this model is the long runway for store growth, with a competitively advantaged, for-profit resale model that is levered to positive trends in both the growing popularity of second-hand goods and evergreen appeal of value to the U.S. consumer.
Market Position
Savers is the only scaled for-profit thrift retailer, and the broader resale market is poised to grow at a low-double-digit pace over the next five years.
Negative Factors
Canadian Market Challenges
A weaker Canadian market drove overall comp negative in 2024 and compressed margins along with an increase in the number of new stores.
Inflationary Risks
The largest risk here is any broader weakness in spending in lower income cohorts, which could be brought on by a higher inflationary environment as certain tariffs remain.
Profitability Concerns
The company reduces its FY25 EPS estimate due to the detrimental impact to profitability from the new store ramp and additional FX pressure from CAD depreciation.

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Savers Value Village Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSavers Value Village Inc. (SVV) operates as a for-profit, global thrift retailer offering unique second-hand merchandise across a range of categories, including clothing, accessories, and household goods. The company serves diverse communities through its network of thrift stores, providing an affordable shopping alternative while promoting sustainability by extending the life cycle of products.
How the Company Makes MoneySavers Value Village Inc. generates revenue primarily through the resale of donated goods. The company partners with various nonprofit organizations that collect and supply donated items, which are then sold in SVV's thrift stores. Revenue is earned by offering these items at affordable prices to consumers. In addition to selling donated goods, the company may also purchase excess inventory from retailers and manufacturers at a discount, further diversifying its product offerings. Partnerships with nonprofit organizations are a critical component of SVV's business model, as they help ensure a steady supply of merchandise while supporting charitable causes.

Savers Value Village Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong sales growth in the U.S. and improvements in Canada, with a significant increase in the revenue and earnings outlook. However, challenges such as profit margin impacts in Canada, increased costs, and economic uncertainties were noted. Overall, the positive aspects, including the strong consumer engagement and expansion plans, outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Sales Growth
Sales in the U.S. business grew 10.5% with comparable store sales up 6.2%, highlighting strong execution and consumer response.
Canadian Sales Improvement
Canadian business delivered 2.6% comparable store sales growth, marking a third consecutive quarter of improvement despite economic challenges.
Loyalty Program Milestone
Reached over 6 million total active members in the loyalty program, showcasing consumer engagement.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Generated nearly $69 million of adjusted EBITDA, approximately 16.5% of sales, indicating strong financial performance.
Increased Revenue and Earnings Outlook
Raised revenue and earnings outlook for 2025 based on strong first-half results.
Successful New Store Openings
Opened 4 new stores in the quarter, with plans to open 25 new stores by the end of 2025, contributing to growth opportunities.
Negative Updates
Canadian Profit Margin Impact
Higher production levels in Canada impacted profit margins, expected to normalize over the coming quarters.
Currency Exchange Impact
Stronger Canadian dollar affected sales, with limited short-term earnings impact due to hedging.
Increased Cost of Merchandise
Cost of merchandise sold as a percentage of net sales increased by 270 basis points to 44.8%, primarily due to higher processing levels in Canada and new stores.
Challenges in Canadian Economic Environment
Ongoing economic challenges in Canada, including elevated unemployment and inflation affecting consumer confidence.
Company Guidance
During Sabre's Value Village second-quarter conference call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong performance in the first half of 2025. Total net sales increased by 7.9% to $417 million, with U.S. sales growing by 10.5% and Canadian sales by 3.4%. The company reported a comparable store sales growth of 6.2% in the U.S. and 2.6% in Canada. Sabre opened four new stores and plans to open 25 new stores by the end of the year. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of nearly $69 million, accounting for approximately 16.5% of sales. The guidance for the full year 2025 has been raised, with net sales expected to reach between $1.67 billion and $1.69 billion, and adjusted EBITDA projected between $252 million and $267 million. Additionally, Sabre's loyalty program reached a milestone of over 6 million active members. The company emphasized ongoing investments in new store growth and operational improvements to sustain long-term growth, with a targeted store-level contribution margin of 20%.

Savers Value Village Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Savers Value Village Inc. shows strong revenue and gross profit growth. However, challenges in converting sales to net income and leverage risk from high debt-to-equity ratio warrant caution. Stable cash flow operations are a positive aspect, but focus on enhancing profitability and managing leverage is needed.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trajectory from 2020 to the TTM period. Gross profit margin is healthy, indicating effective cost control, though there is a slight decline in EBIT and net income from the previous year. The TTM net profit margin remains modest, suggesting room for improvement in bottom-line efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a leveraged position which could pose financial risk if not managed properly. However, the equity ratio shows improvement, signaling increased shareholder investment. Return on equity has decreased, revealing that profitability relative to equity is under pressure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow generation remains stable with a positive free cash flow, though growth has slowed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient conversion of earnings to cash, yet the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential challenges in sustaining cash reserves amid capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.55B1.54B1.50B1.44B1.20B834.01M
Gross Profit848.87M1.21B846.00M837.30M729.66M480.56M
EBITDA184.80M192.38M203.00M246.96M207.92M33.68M
Net Income24.77M29.03M53.12M84.72M83.39M-63.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B1.89B1.87B1.71B1.22B965.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.02M149.97M179.96M112.13M96.81M137.20M
Total Debt586.39M1.30B1.29B1.26B803.94M607.83M
Total Liabilities1.45B1.46B1.49B1.48B1.04B791.69M
Stockholders Equity413.81M421.68M376.06M227.34M185.43M173.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow36.53M28.40M82.77M59.26M135.22M10.74M
Operating Cash Flow140.50M134.28M175.16M169.43M175.76M29.91M
Investing Cash Flow-77.37M-80.52M-92.36M-110.50M-263.17M-19.17M
Financing Cash Flow-87.50M-76.63M-17.04M-40.22M53.00M36.81M

Savers Value Village Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.90
Price Trends
50DMA
10.75
Positive
100DMA
10.32
Positive
200DMA
9.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
61.80
Neutral
STOCH
71.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.41, above the 50-day MA of 10.75, and above the 200-day MA of 9.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SVV.

Savers Value Village Inc. Risk Analysis

Savers Value Village Inc. disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Savers Value Village Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Savers Value Village Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$827.78M31.8214.00%38.40%32.42%
73
Outperform
$1.58B36.4810.36%10.68%37.84%
73
Outperform
$1.78B55.618.06%4.47%-8.19%
69
Neutral
$1.02B39.585.65%27.53%
63
Neutral
$1.43B-58.93%-10.39%14.92%
61
Neutral
$17.78B13.97-5.49%3.03%1.50%-15.71%
61
Neutral
$1.59B40.00-118.80%2.45%0.98%1.84%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
11.90
2.52
26.87%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
26.30
4.54
20.86%
WINA
Winmark
461.90
113.08
32.42%
RVLV
Revolve Group
22.69
-0.30
-1.30%
TDUP
thredUP
11.20
10.29
1130.77%
RERE
ATRenew Inc. Sponsored ADR
4.67
2.38
103.93%

Savers Value Village Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Savers Value Village Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Savers Value Village, Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key decisions were made. The stockholders elected Class II directors to serve until the 2028 annual meeting, ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 3, 2026, and approved the compensation for the company’s executive officers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025