Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)
NYSE:SVV
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Savers Value Village Inc.
(NYSE:SVV)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is anchored by middling financial performance (growth and cash flow improvements, but notable margin erosion and mixed cash conversion) and a strong/constructive earnings outlook with clear targets. These are tempered by weak technicals (downtrend across moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue & cash-flow improvement
SVV has shown durable top-line growth with operating cash flow rising to $167M and free cash flow up sharply to $48.6M. Improved cash generation provides recurring funding for store growth, capital investments and deleveraging, increasing financial flexibility over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Significant net margin erosion
Net margin compression from near-7% to low single digits materially reduces the company's earnings buffer. Lower profitability weakens return on equity, limits internal funding for openings and increases vulnerability to further cost or demand shocks over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & cash-flow improvement
SVV has shown durable top-line growth with operating cash flow rising to $167M and free cash flow up sharply to $48.6M. Improved cash generation provides recurring funding for store growth, capital investments and deleveraging, increasing financial flexibility over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.16B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.36M
Price to Earnings (P/E)16.4
Beta (1Y)0.58
Revenue Growth6.45%
EPS Growth-102.30%
CountryUS
Employees22,700
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.15
Shares Outstanding155,056,720
10 Day Avg. Volume1,459,998
30 Day Avg. Volume1,357,040
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-2.94
Price to Book (P/B)3.40
Price to Sales (P/S)0.88
P/FCF Ratio30.44
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.51
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.05
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.43
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.72
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$14.38Price Target Upside91.73% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)0.49
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.78B
Savers Value Village Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Savers Value Village, Inc. sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It operates stores under the Savers, Value Village, Village des Valeurs, Unique, and 2nd Avenue banners. The company purchases s...
How the Company Makes Money
SVV primarily makes money by selling secondhand merchandise in its thrift stores. Its core revenue stream is retail sales of donated and secondhand goods (e.g., apparel and home goods) to consumers at discounted prices. A key driver of its model i...
Savers Value Village Inc. Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveyed a constructive and improving operational and financial trajectory: a clear earnings inflection with adjusted EBITDA growth, strong U.S. demand (double-digit headline growth and high single-digit comps), successful new store rollouts and an actionable innovation agenda. Headwinds remain — notably a mature/weak Canada market, merchandise and labor cost pressure, front‑loaded preopening expenses and some seasonality/calendar noise — but management provided concrete targets, a conservative Canada plan, and balance sheet actions to de‑risk the business. On balance, the positives around profitability inflection, U.S. momentum, disciplined capital allocation and long‑term margin targets outweigh the challenges outlined.Positive Updates
Inflection to Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Posted first year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth in nearly two years, generating $74M of adjusted EBITDA in the quarter with a 15.9% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking an earnings inflection driven by maturing new stores and profit contribution gains in both countries.
Negative Updates
Soft and Mature Canadian Market
Canada comparable store sales were only +0.7% in the quarter with net sales up modestly; management is taking a conservative plan for Canada (flat to low single-digit comps expected) and will significantly decelerate new store openings there, reflecting a mature and weaker near-term macro environment.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Inflection to Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Posted first year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth in nearly two years, generating $74M of adjusted EBITDA in the quarter with a 15.9% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking an earnings inflection driven by maturing new stores and profit contribution gains in both countries.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided fiscal 2026 net sales of $1.76–$1.79 billion, comparable store sales growth of 2.5%–4% (assuming mid‑single‑digit U.S. comps and flat to low‑single‑digit Canada comps and lapping a 53rd week that is ~2% headwind to total sales), net income of $66–$78 million ($0.41–$0.48 per diluted share), adjusted net income of $73–$85 million ($0.45–$0.53), adjusted EBITDA of $260–$275 million, capital expenditures of $125–$145 million, roughly 25 new store openings (20+ in the U.S.), preopening expenses of ~$14–$16 million (more front‑loaded), ~$8 million of IPO‑related stock‑based compensation (split evenly between Q1 and Q2), net interest expense of about $50 million, an effective tax rate near 28% (27% on adjusted), weighted average diluted shares of ~163 million, Q1 revenue growth expected mid‑ to high‑single digits with adjusted EBITDA roughly flat to slightly up, and management expects adjusted EBITDA growth for the year with roughly flat margins while progressing toward a long‑term target of high‑teens adjusted EBITDA margins and net leverage under 2x within a couple years.Savers Value Village Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.68B | 1.54B | 1.50B | 1.44B | 1.20B |
| Gross Profit | 1.33B | 867.87M | 846.00M | 837.30M | 729.66M |
| EBITDA | 184.99M | 186.77M | 203.00M | 244.79M | 174.16M |
| Net Income | 22.64M | 29.03M | 53.12M | 84.72M | 83.39M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.01B | 1.89B | 1.87B | 1.86B | 1.22B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 85.90M | 149.97M | 179.96M | 112.13M | 97.92M |
| Total Debt | 673.05M | 1.30B | 1.29B | 1.26B | 803.94M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.58B | 1.46B | 1.49B | 1.63B | 1.04B |
| Stockholders Equity | 435.58M | 421.68M | 376.06M | 227.34M | 185.43M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 48.64M | 28.40M | 82.77M | 59.26M | 135.22M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 167.28M | 134.28M | 175.16M | 169.43M | 175.76M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -118.47M | -80.52M | -92.36M | -110.50M | -263.17M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -116.02M | -76.63M | -17.04M | -40.22M | 53.00M |
Savers Value Village Inc. Technical Analysis
Negative
7.50
Price Trends
9.33
Negative
9.27
Negative
10.42
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.54
Negative
35.76
Neutral
40.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SVV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.82, below the 50-day MA of 9.33, and below the 200-day MA of 10.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SVV.
Savers Value Village Inc. Risk Analysis
Savers Value Village Inc. disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Savers Value Village Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Savers Value Village Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $1.54B | 34.96 | ― | 3.35% | 3.35% | 1.97% | |
67 Neutral | $1.59B | 29.01 | 12.82% | ― | 9.24% | 35.68% | |
64 Neutral | $1.29B | 7.65 | 23.43% | ― | -0.42% | 31.64% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $1.16B | 16.40 | 5.37% | ― | 6.45% | -102.30% | |
53 Neutral | $426.84M | -38.47 | -34.47% | ― | -4.90% | 50.77% | |
44 Neutral | $852.11M | -12.43 | -133.66% | ― | -4.62% | ― |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
SVV
Savers Value Village Inc.
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.