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STMicroelectronics (STM)
NYSE:STM

STMicroelectronics (STM) AI Stock Analysis

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STSTMicroelectronics
(NYSE:STM)
71Outperform
STMicroelectronics faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, particularly in key sectors like automotive and industrial. While the company is making strategic advancements in technology and sustainability, inventory and underutilization issues remain significant concerns. The stock is neutrally positioned technically and is fairly valued. Overall, the cautious outlook and ongoing risks in financial and market performance result in a moderate stock score.
Positive Factors
Long-term Growth Plans
ST has ambitions to grow its auto MCU franchise and enter the AI server business in silicon photonics and stage 2 power.
Strategic Partnerships
ST is excited about its direct relationships with Auto OEMs, particularly in its MCU franchise, allowing insight into design win volumes.
Negative Factors
Inventory Challenges
The biggest culprit and cyclical headwind is excess inventory and weak demand in industrial in particular.

STMicroelectronics (STM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

STMicroelectronics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSTMicroelectronics (STM) is a global leader in the semiconductor industry, specializing in providing products and solutions for a wide range of electronics applications. The company operates in various sectors, including automotive, industrial, personal electronics, and communications equipment. Its core products encompass microcontrollers, sensors, power management devices, and analog ICs, which are integral to the functioning of modern electronic systems.
How the Company Makes MoneySTMicroelectronics generates revenue through the design, manufacture, and sale of semiconductor products. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from its diverse product portfolio, catering to multiple sectors such as automotive, industrial, and personal electronics. STM's microcontrollers and digital ICs are widely used in automotive and industrial applications, while its sensors and power management solutions are integral to consumer electronics. Additionally, STM benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading technology companies, which enhance its market reach and innovation capabilities. The company's extensive R&D efforts and its ability to deliver cutting-edge technology solutions play a crucial role in maintaining its competitive edge and driving revenue growth.

STMicroelectronics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
STMicroelectronics shows strong revenue and profit margins, reflecting operational efficiency. However, a decline in revenue growth and high capital expenditures challenge financial stability. The solid equity base is a strength, but increased leverage and negative free cash flow require attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
STMicroelectronics has demonstrated robust revenue growth over the years, although there was a decline from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin remained strong at 39.34% in 2024, despite a decrease from previous years. The net profit margin in 2024 was healthy at 11.74%, although it showed a downward trend compared to 2023. The company maintained strong EBIT and EBITDA margins of 12.63% and 28.06% respectively in 2024, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of STMicroelectronics is characterized by a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 70.52% in 2024. However, the debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.18, indicating a slight rise in leverage. The return on equity (ROE) was 8.92% in 2024, which is below the previous year's performance, suggesting a potential area for improvement.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a concerning negative free cash flow in 2024, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 1.90, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio was negative, highlighting the impact of substantial investments on cash reserves.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
13.27B17.29B16.13B12.76B10.22B
Gross Profit
5.22B8.29B7.33B5.05B3.40B
EBIT
1.68B4.61B4.53B2.45B1.23B
EBITDA
3.72B6.38B6.40B3.61B2.27B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.56B4.21B3.96B2.00B694.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.18B6.08B4.59B3.52B3.85B
Total Assets
24.74B24.45B20.99B16.41B15.31B
Total Debt
3.17B3.17B2.57B2.53B2.62B
Net Debt
885.00M-49.00M-686.00M-691.00M-389.00M
Total Liabilities
7.06B7.60B7.48B6.83B7.00B
Stockholders Equity
17.45B16.73B13.44B9.52B8.25B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-216.00M1.46B2.05B1.19B804.00M
Operating Cash Flow
2.96B5.99B5.58B3.46B2.46B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.74B-5.71B-4.98B-1.86B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow
-155.00M-267.00M-556.00M-1.37B279.00M

STMicroelectronics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.58
Price Trends
50DMA
24.72
Positive
100DMA
25.60
Negative
200DMA
30.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Positive
RSI
53.62
Neutral
STOCH
24.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For STM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.75, above the 50-day MA of 24.72, and below the 200-day MA of 30.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for STM.

STMicroelectronics Risk Analysis

STMicroelectronics disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. STMicroelectronics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

STMicroelectronics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ADADI
74
Outperform
$112.18B72.134.43%1.63%-19.28%-44.00%
STSTM
71
Outperform
$20.75B14.419.12%1.17%-23.24%-62.93%
70
Outperform
$53.55B21.4728.16%1.92%-4.99%-9.18%
TXTXN
70
Outperform
$177.37B37.5028.25%2.73%-10.72%-26.60%
68
Neutral
$31.27B102.524.71%3.12%-44.31%-86.74%
ONON
67
Neutral
$18.75B12.8018.97%-14.19%-27.42%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
STM
STMicroelectronics
25.58
-20.87
-44.93%
ADI
Analog Devices
229.47
40.90
21.69%
MCHP
Microchip
59.64
-26.04
-30.39%
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
216.77
-30.29
-12.26%
ON
ON Semiconductor
46.49
-31.13
-40.11%
TXN
Texas Instruments
195.57
28.38
16.97%

STMicroelectronics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: 3.40% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
STMicroelectronics faced a challenging FY2024 with significant declines in revenue, profitability, and market demand, particularly in the industrial and automotive sectors. While there were strategic advancements in silicon carbide, sustainability, and new product introductions, the company continues to grapple with inventory challenges and underutilization charges. The sentiment reflects a cautious outlook with plans for strategic manufacturing and cost-saving initiatives to restore growth and profitability.
Highlights
Growth in Silicon Carbide Engagement
STMicroelectronics reported strong momentum in silicon carbide design-in activities, particularly in China, with more engagement with top Chinese carmakers than any other suppliers. Revenue for silicon carbide products reached $1.1 billion for the year.
Strategic Manufacturing Initiatives
The company announced the construction of a new high-volume 200-millimeter silicon carbide manufacturing facility in Catania, Italy, and reported the launch of a program to accelerate wafer fab capacity to 300-mm silicon and 200-mm silicon carbide.
Sustainability Achievements
STMicroelectronics is on track to be carbon-neutral by 2027 and reached agreements for renewable energy use in Italy, Malaysia, and France.
New Product Introductions
Introduced new silicon carbide MOSFET technology, STM32N6 MCU series, and innovative smart sensors with edge AI processing for industrial applications.
Lowlights
Significant Revenue Decline
Net revenues for FY2024 decreased 23.2% to $13.27 billion, with a notable decline in industrial and automotive markets.
Decreased Profitability
Gross margin dropped to 39.3% from 47.9% in 2023, and operating margin fell to 12.6% from 26.7% in 2023. Net income decreased by 63% to $1.56 billion.
Inventory Challenges
Faced delayed recovery and inventory correction, particularly in Europe, with Automotive and Industrial markets showing a book-to-bill ratio below one.
Underutilization Charges Impact
Unfavorable product mix and higher unused capacity charges contributed to a decrease in gross margin, with significant underutilization expected to continue in Q1 2025.
Automotive Visibility Concerns
Automotive market visibility remains low, with a shift in orders coming with only two to three weeks' visibility.
Company Guidance
During the STMicroelectronics full-year 2024 earnings call, the company provided a detailed financial overview, highlighting several key metrics. For the fourth quarter, net revenues were $3.32 billion, decreasing 22.4% year-over-year but increasing 2.2% sequentially, with a gross margin of 37.7% and an operating margin of 11.1%. Net income for Q4 was $341 million. For the full-year 2024, net revenues decreased 23.2% to $13.27 billion, with gross and operating margins of 39.3% and 12.6%, respectively, and a net income decline of 63% to $1.56 billion. The company invested $2.53 billion in net capital expenditures and generated $288 million in free cash flow. The guidance for Q1 2025 expects revenues of $2.51 billion with a gross margin of about 33.8%. The company plans to invest $2 billion to $2.3 billion in net CapEx for 2025. STMicroelectronics also reported on business dynamics, highlighting challenges in the automotive sector and inventory corrections in industrial, with strategic shifts aimed at long-term growth in silicon carbide and microcontrollers.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.