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Shiseido Company (SSDOY)
OTHER OTC:SSDOY

Shiseido Company (SSDOY) AI Stock Analysis

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SSDOY

Shiseido Company

(OTC:SSDOY)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(45.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability (losses widening into 2025) despite improved revenue growth and a strong rebound in operating/free cash flow. Technicals are supportive due to a clear uptrend, but overbought signals raise near-term pullback risk. Valuation remains challenged because earnings are negative and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
Rebound in operating and free cash flow
A strong recovery to positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 provides durable internal funding for working capital, product development, and debt service. Sustained positive cash generation reduces reliance on external funding and supports strategic execution even if earnings remain volatile.
Negative Factors
Widening losses and very thin operating profit
Material deterioration to losses and very thin operating profit undermines return generation and limits reinvestment capacity. Persistent negative earnings erode ROE and could force cost cuts or strategic trade-offs, making sustainable margin recovery essential for long-term stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Rebound in operating and free cash flow
A strong recovery to positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 provides durable internal funding for working capital, product development, and debt service. Sustained positive cash generation reduces reliance on external funding and supports strategic execution even if earnings remain volatile.
Read all positive factors

Shiseido Company (SSDOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shiseido Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Shiseido Company, Limited (SSDOY) is a leading global cosmetics company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Founded in 1872, Shiseido operates in the beauty and personal care sector, focusing on skincare, makeup, and fragrance products. The company's p...
How the Company Makes Money
Shiseido generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beauty and personal care products across multiple channels, including department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct sales. Key revenue streams include skincare...

Shiseido Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in cost management and structural reforms leading to improved profitability. However, these were countered by notable challenges such as declining net sales, underperformance in key markets like the Americas, and increased risks associated with Drunk Elephant. While the company is making strides in market share expansion and cost reductions, the sales decline and regional challenges present substantial hurdles.
Positive Updates
Core Operating Profit Exceeds Expectations
For H1, core operating profit was JPY23.4 billion, an increase of JPY4.1 billion YoY, exceeding expectations and achieving over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales for H1 were JPY469.8 billion, with an underlying growth rate of minus 6%, primarily due to weakness in China Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Core Operating Profit Exceeds Expectations
For H1, core operating profit was JPY23.4 billion, an increase of JPY4.1 billion YoY, exceeding expectations and achieving over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Shiseido Company Limited's 2025 Q2 earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance across various metrics. The half-year results showed net sales amounting to JPY469.8 billion, with a decline of 6% due to challenges in China Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant brands. Despite this, core operating profit reached JPY23.4 billion, exceeding expectations by JPY4.1 billion YoY, and representing over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion. The company emphasized its focus on structural reforms and financial discipline, achieving a 1.5 percentage point improvement in the cost of goods sold ratio. Marketing investments decreased by JPY2.7 billion, while personnel expenses saw a JPY15 billion reduction. Shiseido also maintained high profitability in challenging regions like Travel Retail, achieving a core operating profit margin of 22.1%. For the full year, the company remains committed to reaching a core operating profit of JPY36.5 billion, despite risks to net sales, by accelerating reforms and cost management. Free cash flow turned positive at JPY17.5 billion, and the company plans to further its global cost structure transformation, aiming for a JPY25 billion reduction in 2025. The guidance also noted potential impairment risks in the Americas, with specific challenges highlighted for the Drunk Elephant brand.

Shiseido Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sales growth has improved and 2025 cash generation rebounded strongly, but profitability is the core weakness as losses widened into 2025 and operating profit remains very thin. Balance sheet risk is manageable due to meaningful equity, yet rising debt and negative ROE increase risk if earnings do not recover.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02T990.59B973.04B1.07T1.04T
Gross Profit779.02B753.19B713.36B744.16B772.21B
EBITDA93.50B80.80B114.10B129.77B111.44B
Net Income-42.65B-10.81B21.75B34.20B46.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27T1.33T1.26T1.31T1.18T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.90B126.86B126.64B137.53B172.06B
Total Debt414.78B363.16B280.98B297.19B190.98B
Total Liabilities646.42B677.21B615.11B681.91B611.93B
Stockholders Equity601.17B632.47B618.75B604.26B546.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.64B-2.31B33.35B-19.47B30.43B
Operating Cash Flow115.22B48.40B89.03B46.73B122.89B
Investing Cash Flow-45.53B-83.74B-35.54B-41.31B63.74B
Financing Cash Flow-80.99B23.36B-75.64B-52.42B-176.22B

Shiseido Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.17
Price Trends
50DMA
19.05
Positive
100DMA
17.17
Positive
200DMA
17.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
61.97
Neutral
STOCH
92.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSDOY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.37, below the 50-day MA of 19.05, and below the 200-day MA of 17.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SSDOY.

Shiseido Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.91B16.1719.93%3.80%3.12%9.01%
64
Neutral
$3.61B28.6310.75%13.80%-25.02%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
55
Neutral
$8.47B-21.45-6.80%0.81%-0.41%-3130.74%
52
Neutral
$980.11M-3.02-2.50%3.51%-1.34%-73.59%
50
Neutral
$1.80B-5.46-14.49%-5.68%-358.36%
47
Neutral
$25.00B58.52-4.41%1.30%-6.36%-554.84%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSDOY
Shiseido Company
20.82
5.58
36.58%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
69.12
17.00
32.62%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
90.61
-9.40
-9.40%
COTY
Coty
2.05
-2.85
-58.16%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
20.98
-6.25
-22.94%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
61.16
7.28
13.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026