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Shiseido Company (SSDOY)
OTHER OTC:SSDOY
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Shiseido Company (SSDOY) AI Stock Analysis

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SSDOY

Shiseido Company

(OTC:SSDOY)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(28.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability (net loss, low operating margins, negative ROE) and volatile free-cash-flow trends despite positive cash generation. Technicals are mixed with neutral-to-soft momentum, and valuation is a further headwind due to a high P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound & gross margin
An +81.5% TTM revenue rebound coupled with a ~77% gross margin indicates durable demand recovery and meaningful pricing power in premium categories. High gross margins give structural capacity to fund marketing, R&D and channel investment, supporting sustained product and brand initiatives over months.
Negative Factors
Persistent net losses
A negative TTM net margin (~-3.7%) signals that accounting losses persist despite revenue recovery. Sustained losses constrain retained earnings, limit capacity to return capital, and imply the company must maintain structural margin improvement to convert top-line gains into durable shareholder value over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue rebound & gross margin
An +81.5% TTM revenue rebound coupled with a ~77% gross margin indicates durable demand recovery and meaningful pricing power in premium categories. High gross margins give structural capacity to fund marketing, R&D and channel investment, supporting sustained product and brand initiatives over months.
Read all positive factors

Shiseido Company (SSDOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shiseido Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Shiseido Company, Limited (SSDOY) is a leading global cosmetics company headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Founded in 1872, Shiseido operates in the beauty and personal care sector, focusing on skincare, makeup, and fragrance products. The company's p...
How the Company Makes Money
Shiseido primarily makes money by selling beauty and personal-care products under its brand portfolio, generating revenue when products are purchased by consumers through retail and online channels or sold to wholesale and distribution partners. K...

Shiseido Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in cost management and structural reforms leading to improved profitability. However, these were countered by notable challenges such as declining net sales, underperformance in key markets like the Americas, and increased risks associated with Drunk Elephant. While the company is making strides in market share expansion and cost reductions, the sales decline and regional challenges present substantial hurdles.
Positive Updates
Core Operating Profit Exceeds Expectations
For H1, core operating profit was JPY23.4 billion, an increase of JPY4.1 billion YoY, exceeding expectations and achieving over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales for H1 were JPY469.8 billion, with an underlying growth rate of minus 6%, primarily due to weakness in China Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Core Operating Profit Exceeds Expectations
For H1, core operating profit was JPY23.4 billion, an increase of JPY4.1 billion YoY, exceeding expectations and achieving over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Shiseido Company Limited's 2025 Q2 earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance across various metrics. The half-year results showed net sales amounting to JPY469.8 billion, with a decline of 6% due to challenges in China Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant brands. Despite this, core operating profit reached JPY23.4 billion, exceeding expectations by JPY4.1 billion YoY, and representing over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion. The company emphasized its focus on structural reforms and financial discipline, achieving a 1.5 percentage point improvement in the cost of goods sold ratio. Marketing investments decreased by JPY2.7 billion, while personnel expenses saw a JPY15 billion reduction. Shiseido also maintained high profitability in challenging regions like Travel Retail, achieving a core operating profit margin of 22.1%. For the full year, the company remains committed to reaching a core operating profit of JPY36.5 billion, despite risks to net sales, by accelerating reforms and cost management. Free cash flow turned positive at JPY17.5 billion, and the company plans to further its global cost structure transformation, aiming for a JPY25 billion reduction in 2025. The guidance also noted potential impairment risks in the Americas, with specific challenges highlighted for the Drunk Elephant brand.

Shiseido Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue rebound (~+81.5%) and very high gross margin (~77%) support the business profile, and operating cash flow/free cash flow remain positive. Offsetting this, the company is still loss-making (TTM net margin ~-3.7%), operating margins are low (TTM EBIT margin ~2.2%), ROE is negative (~-6.8%), and free cash flow has been volatile with sharply negative TTM FCF growth.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue986.86B1.02T990.59B973.04B1.07T1.04T
Gross Profit758.02B779.02B753.19B713.36B744.16B772.21B
EBITDA49.55B93.50B80.80B114.10B129.77B111.44B
Net Income-36.71B-42.65B-10.81B21.75B34.20B46.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.28T1.27T1.33T1.26T1.31T1.18T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.18B91.90B126.86B126.64B137.53B172.06B
Total Debt348.38B414.78B363.16B280.98B297.19B190.98B
Total Liabilities647.28B646.42B677.21B615.11B681.91B611.93B
Stockholders Equity609.39B601.17B632.47B618.75B604.26B546.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.78B68.64B-2.31B33.35B-19.47B30.43B
Operating Cash Flow109.58B115.22B48.40B89.03B46.73B122.89B
Investing Cash Flow-30.33B-45.53B-83.74B-35.54B-41.31B63.74B
Financing Cash Flow-41.76B-80.99B23.36B-75.64B-52.42B-176.22B

Shiseido Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.17
Price Trends
50DMA
19.92
Negative
100DMA
18.84
Negative
200DMA
17.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
32.57
Neutral
STOCH
3.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSDOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.93, below the 50-day MA of 19.92, and below the 200-day MA of 17.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SSDOY.

Shiseido Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.89B16.7719.50%3.80%1.87%2.00%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$3.00B28.632.48%16.73%3.11%
54
Neutral
$28.29B73.12-6.29%1.30%0.71%71.47%
52
Neutral
$1.72B-1.08-15.12%-3.57%-32.30%
51
Neutral
$7.17B38.29-6.80%0.81%1.69%-867.39%
47
Neutral
$780.62M-23.40-4.17%3.51%-5.30%-196.78%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSDOY
Shiseido Company
17.95
2.10
13.23%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
78.20
15.54
24.80%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
90.27
-36.66
-28.88%
COTY
Coty
1.95
-2.91
-59.88%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
16.94
-9.69
-36.39%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
50.72
-28.34
-35.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026