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Shiseido Company (SSDOY)
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Shiseido Company (SSDOY) AI Stock Analysis

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Shiseido Company

(OTC:SSDOY)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(8.49%Upside)
Shiseido Company's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, with strong gross profit margins but challenges in profitability and leverage. Technical analysis shows mixed results, with some short-term support but potential bearish trends. Valuation is a significant concern due to a negative P/E ratio and low dividend yield.

Shiseido Company (SSDOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shiseido Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShiseido Company, Limited engages in the production and sale of cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company offers fragrances; makeup products; skincare and body care products; and hair care and styling products, as well as hair color and perm solutions for hair salons. It also engages in the restaurant and food, and retail businesses; and operates beauty salons. In addition, the company operates and supports SABFA, a professional hair makeup training school. It sells its products through department stores, specialty stores, and drug stores. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShiseido Company makes money through the manufacturing, marketing, and sale of a diverse range of beauty and personal care products. Its revenue model is primarily based on direct sales through retail partnerships, online platforms, and company-owned stores. Shiseido's key revenue streams include skincare, which constitutes a significant portion of its sales, followed by makeup, fragrance, and personal care products. The company leverages its global brand portfolio and invests heavily in research and development to innovate new products and capture market trends. Strategic partnerships, endorsements, and collaborations with other fashion and beauty brands also contribute to its revenue, helping it to maintain a strong market presence and expand its consumer base worldwide.

Shiseido Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -5.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several positive achievements, including exceeding profit forecasts and growth in key regions like Japan and EMEA. However, these are tempered by significant challenges such as a dividend reduction, net income deficit, and struggles in the Americas and China. The sentiment is balanced by the company's strategic focus on structural reforms, technological advancements, and new product launches.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Core Operating Profit Forecast
Core operating profit for the full year was JPY 36.4 billion, surpassing the revised forecast of JPY 35 billion despite a challenging environment.
Significant Growth in Japan
Japan achieved JPY 28.1 billion in operating profit, significantly exceeding the target and showing 10% growth for 2 consecutive years.
Positive Growth in China and EMEA
For the first time in 5 quarters, sales in China increased. EMEA also reported steady growth with improved profitability through focused investments.
E-commerce Growth
E-commerce sales grew in the high 20% range due to brand expansion and increased digital advertising investments.
New Product Launches and Innovations
New products such as ELIXIR's Glow Serum and Shiseido's Foundation Serum drove sales, showcasing advanced technology.
Negative Updates
Reduction in Year-End Dividend
The company decided to reduce the year-end dividend from JPY 30 per share to JPY 10 per share to secure financial flexibility.
Net Income Deficit
Net income attributable to owners of the parent company was a deficit of JPY 10.8 billion due to structural reform expenses and provisions for financial expenses.
Challenges in the Americas
Sales in the Americas declined due to the delayed recovery of Drunk Elephant, and competition intensified, affecting the brand's performance.
Sluggish Consumer Spending in China and Travel Retail
Consumer spending remained sluggish in China and Travel Retail, leading to a revenue decline in these regions.
High SG&A Costs
SG&A costs remain high, and efforts are underway to reduce these costs to improve profitability.
Company Guidance
In the call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, projecting net sales of JPY 995 billion with a real growth rate of 4%, excluding foreign exchange fluctuations. They expect core operating income to reach JPY 36.5 billion, aiming for a further increase beyond this baseline. The company highlighted a strategic focus on achieving a core operating profit margin of 7% by 2026 through continuous structural reforms and investments in key brands. For 2024, core operating profit was JPY 36.4 billion, while net income was a deficit of JPY 10.8 billion, due to structural reform expenses. They anticipate significant profit growth in Japan and Americas, with a target of JPY 50 billion in Japan, supported by new product launches and organizational changes. The company aims to enhance their global earnings base by expanding structural reforms and optimizing costs, and they expect free cash flow to turn positive in 2025.

Shiseido Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shiseido Company demonstrates strong gross profit margins but struggles with profitability due to a negative net income and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, posing financial risk, although the equity ratio remains healthy. Cash flow analysis indicates issues in generating free cash flow despite strong operating cash flow.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 76% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin is negative, signaling challenges in profitability. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is modest at 1.8%, which shows limited top-line growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined compared to the previous year, pointing to increased operational costs or reduced operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.57 in 2024, reflecting rising leverage which could pose higher financial risk. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. However, the equity ratio stands at around 47.5%, suggesting a balanced asset structure despite the leverage concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow has turned negative in 2024, raising concerns about cash generation capability. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting challenges in converting profits to free cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue990.59B973.04B1.07T1.04T920.89B
Gross Profit753.19B713.36B744.16B772.21B682.49B
EBITDA80.80B92.23B129.77B130.61B80.64B
Net Income-10.81B21.75B34.20B46.91B-9.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33T1.26T1.31T1.18T1.20T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.86B126.64B137.53B172.06B151.01B
Total Debt363.16B280.98B297.19B190.98B324.30B
Total Liabilities677.21B615.11B681.91B611.93B697.64B
Stockholders Equity632.47B618.75B604.26B546.09B485.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.31B33.35B-19.47B30.43B-9.44B
Operating Cash Flow48.40B89.03B46.73B122.89B64.05B
Investing Cash Flow-83.74B-35.54B-41.31B63.74B-70.08B
Financing Cash Flow23.36B-75.64B-52.42B-176.22B46.88B

Shiseido Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.13
Price Trends
50DMA
16.81
Negative
100DMA
17.30
Negative
200DMA
18.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
39.99
Neutral
STOCH
>-0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSDOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.36, below the 50-day MA of 16.81, and below the 200-day MA of 18.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of >-0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SSDOY.

Shiseido Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$4.28B25.3622.16%2.40%10.32%18.55%
ELELF
72
Outperform
$6.16B57.7515.97%28.28%-14.79%
65
Neutral
€15.09B13.05-4.03%3.85%-1.58%-101.37%
ELEL
61
Neutral
$31.08B147.29-17.27%1.62%-3.70%-235.59%
60
Neutral
$4.33B40.12-10.58%-1.68%-302.11%
57
Neutral
$6.46B527.80-0.62%0.49%-6.59%-137.03%
44
Neutral
$460.25M5.74-23.99%-4.39%-326.42%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSDOY
Shiseido Company
16.13
-13.22
-45.04%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
86.56
-10.46
-10.78%
HELE
Helen Of Troy
22.70
-34.05
-60.00%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
130.47
9.48
7.84%
COTY
Coty
4.94
-5.02
-50.40%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
110.90
-66.62
-37.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2025