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Shiseido Company (SSDOY)
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Shiseido Company (SSDOY) AI Stock Analysis

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SSDOY

Shiseido Company

(OTC:SSDOY)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▲(5.93% Upside)
Shiseido's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While cost management improvements are a positive, profitability challenges and declining sales in key markets weigh heavily on the score. The stock's valuation further suggests potential overvaluation given current earnings.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Effective cost management and structural reforms have improved profitability, positioning Shiseido for better financial performance in the long term.
Market Share Expansion
Market share expansion in key regions indicates strong brand presence and competitive positioning, supporting future revenue growth.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive free cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction, strengthening long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Net Sales Decline
Declining net sales, particularly in key markets, pose challenges to revenue growth and could impact future profitability if not addressed.
Challenges with Drunk Elephant
Underperformance of Drunk Elephant highlights brand-specific challenges that may require strategic adjustments to mitigate financial risks.
Americas Underperformance
Underperformance in the Americas market indicates regional challenges that could hinder overall growth if not effectively managed.

Shiseido Company (SSDOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shiseido Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShiseido Company, Limited engages in the production and sale of cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company offers fragrances; makeup products; skincare and body care products; and hair care and styling products, as well as hair color and perm solutions for hair salons. It also engages in the restaurant and food, and retail businesses; and operates beauty salons. In addition, the company operates and supports SABFA, a professional hair makeup training school. It sells its products through department stores, specialty stores, and drug stores. The company was founded in 1872 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShiseido generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beauty and personal care products across multiple channels, including department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, and direct sales. Key revenue streams include skincare, makeup, and fragrance segments, with skincare being the largest contributor. The company invests heavily in research and development to create innovative products that drive consumer interest and demand. Strategic partnerships with retailers and collaborations with influencers enhance brand visibility and sales. Additionally, Shiseido has expanded its presence in emerging markets, which contributes to its growth and profitability.

Shiseido Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in cost management and structural reforms leading to improved profitability. However, these were countered by notable challenges such as declining net sales, underperformance in key markets like the Americas, and increased risks associated with Drunk Elephant. While the company is making strides in market share expansion and cost reductions, the sales decline and regional challenges present substantial hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core Operating Profit Exceeds Expectations
For H1, core operating profit was JPY23.4 billion, an increase of JPY4.1 billion YoY, exceeding expectations and achieving over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion.
Structural Reforms Yield Positive Results
The company implemented structural reforms and cost management strategies that resulted in improved profitability despite declining net sales, including a JPY13.2 billion increase in core operating profit in Japan.
Successful Cost Reductions
Realized JPY13.5 billion in cost reduction benefits in H1, with a full-year target increased to JPY25 billion, and a two-year target increased to JPY50 billion.
Market Share Expansion
The company expanded its market share in fragrances in Japan, Asia Pacific, and Europe, and achieved growth in China and Travel Retail in Q2 despite prior challenges.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow turned positive at JPY17.5 billion, improving from a negative figure in Q1 due to higher profit before tax and other factors.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales for H1 were JPY469.8 billion, with an underlying growth rate of minus 6%, primarily due to weakness in China Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant.
Challenges with Drunk Elephant
Drunk Elephant's performance fell far short of expectations, contributing to underperformance in the Americas, with risk of impairment losses increasing.
Americas Underperformance
The Americas market maintained YoY growth but fell short of expectations in Q2, with core operating profit dropping JPY3.3 billion due to sales decline.
Inbound Market Slowdown in Japan
The inbound market in Japan slowed down, with consumer purchases turning negative in Q2, impacting sales despite profitability improvements.
Sales Risks in H2
There are risks to achieving sales targets in H2, particularly in Japan and the Americas, with the potential for flat sales growth instead of the originally planned 4% growth.
Company Guidance
During Shiseido Company Limited's 2025 Q2 earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance across various metrics. The half-year results showed net sales amounting to JPY469.8 billion, with a decline of 6% due to challenges in China Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant brands. Despite this, core operating profit reached JPY23.4 billion, exceeding expectations by JPY4.1 billion YoY, and representing over 60% of the full-year guidance of JPY36.5 billion. The company emphasized its focus on structural reforms and financial discipline, achieving a 1.5 percentage point improvement in the cost of goods sold ratio. Marketing investments decreased by JPY2.7 billion, while personnel expenses saw a JPY15 billion reduction. Shiseido also maintained high profitability in challenging regions like Travel Retail, achieving a core operating profit margin of 22.1%. For the full year, the company remains committed to reaching a core operating profit of JPY36.5 billion, despite risks to net sales, by accelerating reforms and cost management. Free cash flow turned positive at JPY17.5 billion, and the company plans to further its global cost structure transformation, aiming for a JPY25 billion reduction in 2025. The guidance also noted potential impairment risks in the Americas, with specific challenges highlighted for the Drunk Elephant brand.

Shiseido Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shiseido's financial performance is mixed. Strong gross margins and a solid equity base are offset by profitability challenges and operational inefficiencies. The cash flow position has improved significantly, providing a buffer against these issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Shiseido's income statement shows mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth, with a negative net profit margin of -0.14%, suggesting profitability challenges. Gross profit margin remains strong at 76.79%, indicating effective cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 2.22% and 9.94%, respectively, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.55, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.21%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio stands at 49.08%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 129.97% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.16, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, reflecting a positive cash flow position despite net income losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue978.69B990.59B973.04B1.07T1.04T920.89B
Gross Profit746.10B753.19B713.36B744.16B772.21B682.49B
EBITDA83.87B80.80B114.10B129.77B111.44B82.41B
Net Income-7.45B-10.81B21.75B34.20B46.91B-11.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.25T1.33T1.26T1.31T1.18T1.20T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.52B126.86B126.64B137.53B172.06B151.01B
Total Debt337.95B363.16B280.98B297.19B190.98B430.20B
Total Liabilities616.46B677.21B615.11B681.91B611.93B697.64B
Stockholders Equity613.94B632.47B618.75B604.26B546.09B485.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.77B-2.31B33.35B-19.47B30.43B-9.44B
Operating Cash Flow51.70B48.40B89.03B46.73B122.89B64.05B
Investing Cash Flow-44.83B-83.74B-35.54B-41.31B63.74B-70.08B
Financing Cash Flow-7.04B23.36B-75.64B-52.42B-176.22B46.88B

Shiseido Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.16
Price Trends
50DMA
16.62
Negative
100DMA
16.62
Negative
200DMA
16.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.82
Positive
RSI
31.79
Neutral
STOCH
19.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSDOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.66, below the 50-day MA of 16.62, and below the 200-day MA of 16.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SSDOY.

Shiseido Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.59B15.8019.95%3.59%3.12%9.01%
67
Neutral
$4.57B54.338.77%13.80%-25.02%
63
Neutral
$812.66M32.781.62%3.26%-1.34%-73.59%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
48
Neutral
$5.73B-9.34%0.87%-0.41%-3130.74%
47
Neutral
$2.92B-9.96%-5.68%-358.36%
46
Neutral
$33.90B-20.73%1.48%-6.36%-554.84%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSDOY
Shiseido Company
14.04
-3.76
-21.12%
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies
94.71
18.57
24.39%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
80.83
-53.02
-39.61%
COTY
Coty
3.34
-4.17
-55.53%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
17.49
-19.69
-52.96%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
76.66
-50.75
-39.83%

Shiseido Company Corporate Events

Shiseido’s Earnings Call: Mixed Outlook Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for Shiseido Company, Limited Sponsored Adr presented a mixed outlook. While the company celebrated achievements in cost reduction and market share expansion, it also faced significant challenges, including declining net sales and the underperformance of key brands like Drunk Elephant. The sentiment of the call reflected a balance between strategic advancements and operational hurdles, particularly in the Americas and Japan markets.

Shiseido Reports Mixed Results Amid Global Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

Shiseido Company, Limited is a leading global cosmetics company based in Japan, specializing in beauty and personal care products. It operates primarily in the cosmetics industry, with a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, aiming to become a ‘Personal Beauty Wellness Company.’

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025