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Helen Of Troy (HELE)
NASDAQ:HELE

Helen Of Troy (HELE) AI Stock Analysis

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HELE

Helen Of Troy

(NASDAQ:HELE)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-2.48% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/09/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance, driven by sharp TTM earnings deterioration and revenue pressure, with only partial support from positive cash flow. The earnings call reinforced near-term risk via lowered EPS guidance, tariff/pricing headwinds, and leverage/inventory pressures, while technical indicators show only modest stabilization and valuation support is limited due to loss-making results and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Brand portfolio & product innovation
A diversified portfolio with clear brand-level wins and ongoing new product launches supports durable shelf presence, retailer relationships, and pricing/mix improvement. Strong brand performance (e.g., Olive & June sales) signals repeatable revenue drivers that can sustain recovery and premium positioning over months.
Resilient gross margins
Sustained mid-to-high 40% gross margins provide a structural buffer against cost inflation and temporary volume weakness. Even with lower sales, a healthy gross margin preserves gross profit dollars and enables margin recovery as sourcing improvements and pricing take effect, supporting long-term earnings potential.
Cash generation and DTC growth
Positive free cash flow despite tariff-related outflows and strong 21% organic B2C growth indicate durable cash generation and successful direct-to-consumer channel expansion. This supports liquidity and higher-margin sales mix, helping fund innovation and working-capital needs during a multi-quarter recovery.
Negative Factors
Revenue and profitability deterioration
Sustained revenue declines and a swing to steep TTM losses (net margin roughly -36%) reflect structural demand or mix weaknesses. This materially reduces internal reinvestment capacity, risks asset impairments, and lengthens the recovery timeframe unless growth and margin levers consistently reaccelerate over multiple quarters.
Tariff & supply‑chain headwinds
Large, persistent tariff costs and import disruptions create structural cost pressure and interrupt pricing realization. Even with mitigation plans, the added complexity of supplier diversification and delayed pricing hurts margins and product availability, producing multi-quarter headwinds to sustained profitability and mix improvement.
Elevated inventory & leverage
High inventory and increased net leverage tie up liquidity and raise solvency risk if losses persist. Working-capital strain and near-term leverage covenant reliefs reduce optionality for strategic investments, while excess inventory risks margin-reducing promotions or write-downs that can worsen returns over several quarters.

Helen Of Troy (HELE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Helen Of Troy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHelen of Troy Limited provides various consumer products in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Home & Outdoor, Health & Wellness, and Beauty. The Home & Outdoor segment offers food preparation tools and gadgets, storage containers, and organization products; coffee makers, grinders, manual pour overs, and tea kettles; household cleaning products, shower organization, and bathroom accessories; feeding and drinking products, child seating products, cleaning tools, and nursery accessories; insulated water bottles, hydration packs, drinkware, mugs, food containers, lunch containers, insulated totes, soft coolers, and accessories; and technical and outdoor sports packs, travel packs, luggage, daypacks, and everyday packs. The Health & Wellness segment provides thermometers, blood pressure monitors, pulse oximeters, nasal aspirators, and humidifiers; faucet mount water-filtration systems and pitcher-based water filtration systems; and air purifiers, heaters, fans, and humidifiers. The Beauty segment offers grooming brushes, tools, and decorative hair accessories; and shampoos, liquid hair styling, and treatment and conditioning products, as well as hair appliances. The company sells its products through mass merchandisers, drugstore chains, warehouse clubs, home improvement stores, grocery and specialty stores, beauty supply and e-commerce retailers, wholesalers, and various types of distributors, as well as directly to consumers under the OXO, Good Grips, Hydro Flask, Soft Works, OXO tot, OXO Brew, OXO Strive, OXO Outdoor, Osprey, PUR, Honeywell, Braun, Vicks, Drybar, Hot Tools, Revlon, and Bed Head brands. Helen of Troy Limited was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in El Paso, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyHelen of Troy generates revenue through the sale of its consumer products across several key categories, including beauty tools and appliances, health and wellness products, and home goods. The company primarily operates on a direct-to-consumer model as well as through wholesale distribution to retailers and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include product sales from its owned brands, licensing agreements, and partnerships with retailers. Additionally, Helen of Troy invests in marketing and product development to strengthen its brand presence and drive consumer demand, contributing to its overall earnings.

Helen Of Troy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Helen Of Troy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 30, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call presents a mix of encouraging brand-level progress and product innovation (strong Olive & June sales, 21% organic B2C growth, branded product launches) alongside significant operational headwinds driven by tariffs, pricing realization challenges, margin compression, and higher leverage. Management is prioritizing revenue-led recovery, investing in innovation and talent, and pursuing supply-chain mitigation and liquidity flexibility, but near-term profit pressure and elevated inventory/leverage remain material concerns.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Outperformance vs. Internal Outlook
Consolidated net sales decreased 3.4% but were favorable to management's outlook and represented a sequential improvement compared to Q1 and Q2.
Strong Brand-Level Wins and Product Innovation
Notable brand performance from Osprey, OXO, Olive and June (Olive and June delivered ~$37.7–$38.0M in sales), Hydro Flask collaborations and multiple new launches across Home & Outdoor and Beauty & Wellness demonstrating active innovation and assortments aimed at driving future growth.
Digital Direct-to-Consumer Growth
Organic B2C revenue increased 21%, signaling meaningful momentum in direct online channels.
Free Cash Flow Despite Tariff Headwind
Reported year-to-date free cash flow of $29 million despite $58 million of incremental cash outflows related to tariffs and supplier transitions out of China.
Tariff Mitigation Progress and Supply-Chain Actions
Management is implementing supplier diversification, SKU prioritization, cost reductions and price increases; expects to reduce cost of goods sold subject to China tariffs to 25%–30% by 2026 and now expects less than a $30M tariff impact on operating income for the full year (up from prior ~$20M expectation) reflecting mitigation efforts.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity Actions
Amended credit agreement extends the leverage ratio holiday and updates the interest coverage definition to provide flexibility; at quarter end debt totaled $892M with $325M revolver availability.
Tighter FY26 Revenue Range, Showing Increased Visibility
Company tightened FY26 net sales guidance to $1.758B–$1.773B and provided narrower segment ranges: Home & Outdoor $812M–$819M and Beauty & Wellness $946M–$954M.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Organic Revenue Decline
Organic net sales declined 10.8% year-over-year, with ~3.3 percentage points (approximately $17.3M) of that decline driven by tariff-related revenue disruption including pause/cancellation of direct import orders from China and stop shipments.
Segment and Geographic Weakness
Home & Outdoor net sales decreased 6.7%; Beauty & Wellness net sales decreased 0.5% (organic beauty & wellness down 13.9% driven ~4.5 percentage points or $12.9M by tariff disruption); international sales fell 8.1%.
Margin Compression
Consolidated gross profit margin decreased 200 basis points to 46.9%; SG&A ratio increased 160 basis points and consolidated adjusted operating margin decreased 370 basis points to 12.9% (home & outdoor down 650 bps, beauty & wellness down 120 bps).
Tariff Financial Impact and Pricing Execution Issues
Year-to-date gross unmitigated tariffs reduced gross profit by $31.3M; full-year gross tariff impact expected $50M–$55M. Management increased expected operating income tariff hit (net of mitigation) to < $30M from ~ $20M, citing delayed pricing realization and 'leakage' from stop-shipments.
Earnings and Profitability Guidance Lowered
Full-year adjusted EPS guidance was lowered to $3.25–$3.75 reflecting pricing delays, consumer trade-down, less favorable mix, and higher trade & promotion expense; Q3 adjusted EPS was $1.71.
Working Capital and Leverage Pressures
Inventory rose to $505M (includes $35M incremental tariff-related costs YoY) vs. $451M a year ago; net leverage increased to 3.77x from 3.54x last quarter, driven by lower trailing EBITDA and tariff-related cash outflows.
Near-Term Margin Pressure Expected to Persist
Management expects margin pressure to continue through Q4 driven by delayed pricing realization, consumer trade-down behavior, promotional activity, and cautious retail inventory management.
Company Guidance
Management tightened FY26 revenue to $1.758–1.773 billion (Home & Outdoor $812–819M; Beauty & Wellness $946–954M) and lowered adjusted EPS to $3.25–3.75, while guiding full‑year GAAP SG&A to 38–40% and an adjusted effective tax rate of 13.4–14.7%; Q3 results showed consolidated net sales down 3.4% (organic down 10.8%), gross profit margin fell 200 bps to 46.9%, SG&A rose 160 bps, adjusted operating margin declined 370 bps to 12.9% and adjusted EPS was $1.71. Management reported YTD gross unmitigated tariff headwinds of $31.3M (full‑year gross tariff hit $50–55M) and now expects < $30M of tariff impact to operating income (vs. ~ $20M prior), is on track to cut COGS subject to China tariffs to 25–30% by 2026, and noted $58M of tariff‑related cash outflows; YTD free cash flow was $29M, inventory ended Q3 at $505M (incl. $35M incremental tariff costs YoY) with year‑end inventory guided to $475–490M (incl. ~$39M tariffs), debt at $892M with $325M revolver availability and net leverage of 3.77x; management warned of continued Q4 margin pressure, residual stop‑shipments affecting pricing realization, and modest improvements in direct import orders as they prioritize revenue recovery and targeted brand investments.

Helen Of Troy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement weakness dominates: revenue has been declining and TTM profitability deteriorated sharply into steep losses, despite relatively steady gross margin. The balance sheet is mixed with concerns from negative returns and recent capital-structure shifts, while cash flow is a partial offset with positive TTM operating and free cash flow but uneven conversion historically.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Profitability and growth have deteriorated sharply. While gross margin remains relatively steady around the mid-to-high 40% range, the company moved from solid profitability in FY2024/FY2025 to steep losses in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (net margin roughly -36%), with negative operating results as well. Revenue has also trended down for several years and fell sharply in TTM, pointing to meaningful demand and/or one-time headwinds. Strength is limited to resilient gross margin, but current earnings power is weak and volatile.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Leverage and equity strength are mixed. Debt levels were moderate in prior years (debt-to-equity generally below 0.7), but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a major change in the capital structure with much lower reported debt alongside a weaker return profile (negative return on equity). Total assets and equity remain sizable, which provides some balance-sheet capacity, but the swing to negative returns raises concerns about asset quality/impairments and overall balance-sheet stability if losses persist.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is holding up better than earnings. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and free cash flow improved versus the prior period, which helps liquidity during a profit downturn. However, cash flow is not particularly strong relative to the current loss profile, and historical free cash flow has been volatile (including a very weak year in FY2023), suggesting uneven cash conversion and potential working-capital swings.
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.91B2.01B2.07B2.22B2.10B
Gross Profit841.97M914.41M948.66M899.35M953.19M927.30M
EBITDA-198.85M268.61M301.32M286.94M310.88M328.61M
Net Income-792.50M123.75M168.59M143.27M223.76M253.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.34B3.13B2.84B2.91B2.82B2.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.74M18.87M18.50M29.07M33.38M45.12M
Total Debt946.88M956.84M702.93M977.08M856.96M381.98M
Total Liabilities1.49B1.45B1.20B1.42B1.50B1.02B
Stockholders Equity852.26M1.68B1.64B1.49B1.33B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.70M83.14M269.42M33.38M62.78M215.44M
Operating Cash Flow94.79M113.21M306.07M208.24M140.82M314.11M
Investing Cash Flow-266.56M-263.09M5.45M-319.33M-438.91M-98.67M
Financing Cash Flow158.11M150.25M-322.09M106.78M286.35M-194.78M

Helen Of Troy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.92
Price Trends
50DMA
19.08
Negative
100DMA
19.66
Negative
200DMA
22.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Positive
RSI
40.08
Neutral
STOCH
19.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HELE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.77, below the 50-day MA of 19.08, and below the 200-day MA of 22.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HELE.

Helen Of Troy Risk Analysis

Helen Of Troy disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Helen Of Troy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Helen Of Troy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$30.05M15.3317.85%9.81%-18.29%-43.76%
68
Neutral
$1.81B18.315.34%3.15%-5.21%1.96%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$408.60M2.6722.00%2.39%-12.10%
52
Neutral
$1.05B-26.441.62%3.51%-1.34%-73.59%
51
Neutral
$113.86M-4.02-18.73%-13.14%57.98%
46
Neutral
$392.00M-63.90%-5.64%-577.74%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HELE
Helen Of Troy
16.92
-40.32
-70.44%
NUS
Nu Skin
8.55
0.73
9.34%
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings
77.53
2.74
3.66%
UG
United-Guardian
6.72
-2.74
-28.96%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
22.40
-7.92
-26.12%
SKIN
Beauty Health
0.89
-0.55
-38.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026