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Newell Brands (NWL)
NASDAQ:NWL

Newell Brands (NWL) AI Stock Analysis

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NWL

Newell Brands

(NASDAQ:NWL)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
â–¼(-1.69% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, sustained losses, and high leverage with uneven cash flow). Offsetting factors include improving near-term technical momentum and a high dividend yield, while the earnings call adds a mixed outlook: margin/cash targets and productivity initiatives are positives, but tariffs, soft sales guidance, and a weak Q1 weigh on confidence.
Positive Factors
Well-known brand portfolio and diversified channels
Newell’s broad portfolio of well-known consumer brands sold across mass, specialty and e-commerce channels provides structural demand resilience, retailer access, and marketing leverage. Strong brand equity supports enduring shelf presence and higher win rates for new product launches and distribution.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage (net leverage ~5.1x)
Net leverage near 5.1x and debt exceeding equity materially constrain financial flexibility. High leverage raises interest cost sensitivity, limits the company’s ability to fund strategic initiatives or absorb extended sales weakness, and increases execution risk until leverage sustainably declines.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Well-known brand portfolio and diversified channels
Newell’s broad portfolio of well-known consumer brands sold across mass, specialty and e-commerce channels provides structural demand resilience, retailer access, and marketing leverage. Strong brand equity supports enduring shelf presence and higher win rates for new product launches and distribution.
Read all positive factors

Newell Brands (NWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newell Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Newell Brands Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, and distributes consumer and commercial products worldwide. It operates in five segments: Commercial Solutions, Home Appliances, Home Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreatio...
How the Company Makes Money
Newell Brands primarily makes money by selling branded consumer products to retail customers (e.g., mass merchants, home improvement retailers, office supply retailers, sporting goods retailers), distributors/wholesalers, and through e-commerce. R...

Newell Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Shows the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsNewell Brands' Home and Commercial Solutions segment shows a recovery trend after a challenging 2023, aligning with the company's strategic focus on innovation and distribution gains. Despite the Outdoor and Recreation segment's continued struggles, the Learning and Development segment remains resilient, supported by strong innovation and tariff-related advantages. The earnings call highlights operational improvements, with a notable rise in gross margin and a promising innovation pipeline, although challenges persist with core sales decline and tariff impacts. The company anticipates sequential sales improvement in late 2025, driven by strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:The Fly

Newell Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 06, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and structural progress (margin expansion, stronger innovation pipeline, supply‑chain de‑risking, productivity targets and improved cash guidance) against continued top‑line pressure driven by tariffs, category weakness and near‑term shipment timing that depresses Q1. Management provided concrete mitigation actions and constructive 2026 targets, but material tariff headwinds and full‑year core sales guidance that is flat to modestly down leave the story mixed.
Positive Updates
Improved Q4 Profitability and EBITDA Growth
Q4 normalized gross margin 33.9% (up 70 bps YoY) and normalized operating margin 8.7% (up 160 bps YoY). Q4 normalized EBITDA increased nearly 12% to $241 million and Q4 cash generation was roughly $160 million.
Negative Updates
Top‑Line Pressure — 2025 Sales Declines
Full‑year 2025 net sales $7.2 billion (down 5% YoY) and core sales decreased 4.6% YoY; Q4 net sales $1.9 billion (down 2.7% YoY) and Q4 core sales declined 4.1%.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Improved Q4 Profitability and EBITDA Growth
Q4 normalized gross margin 33.9% (up 70 bps YoY) and normalized operating margin 8.7% (up 160 bps YoY). Q4 normalized EBITDA increased nearly 12% to $241 million and Q4 cash generation was roughly $160 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Newell initiated 2026 guidance calling for full‑year net sales down 1% to up 1% with core sales down 2% to flat (assumes ~2% category decline but expects to outpace categories and gain share), normalized operating margin 8.6%–9.2% (midpoint ≈ +50 bps vs 2025), normalized EPS $0.54–$0.60, and normalized gross margin roughly flat; the company models total 2026 gross cash tariff impact of ~$130M and total gross P&L tariff impact of ~$150M (≈$0.30 EPS headwind, quarterly build: ~$0.065 Q1 & Q2, $0.09 Q3, $0.08 Q4). Management expects its productivity program to deliver >$75M of year‑over‑year savings and lower overheads by ~100 bps, plans to increase A&P (Q4 2025 A&P = 6.5% of sales; A&P up 50 bps vs three years), targets operating cash flow $350M–$400M (midpoint ≈ 40% above 2025 operating cash flow of $264M), budgets CapEx of $200M (vs historical ≈ $250M), assumes ~$20M of higher interest expense and an effective tax rate in the high‑teens, and expects net leverage to decline by about 0.5x toward investment‑grade; Q1 guidance is a headwind quarter: net sales down 5% to 3% (-5% to -3%), core sales down 7% to 5% (-7% to -5%), normalized operating margin 2.5%–3.5% and normalized EPS (‑$0.12) to (‑$0.08).

Newell Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Underlying financials are challenged: multi-year revenue declines and a shift from profits (2021–2022) to sustained losses (2023–2025). Leverage is elevated (debt exceeding equity; net leverage ~5.1x per the call), while cash generation has been volatile and weakened materially in 2025 despite prior periods of positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.20B7.58B8.13B9.46B10.59B
Gross Profit2.43B2.55B2.44B2.83B3.36B
EBITDA331.00M358.00M107.00M688.00M1.34B
Net Income-285.00M-216.00M-388.00M197.00M622.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.71B11.00B12.16B13.26B14.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments203.00M198.00M332.00M287.00M440.00M
Total Debt5.65B5.12B5.47B6.01B5.51B
Total Liabilities8.32B8.25B9.05B9.74B10.11B
Stockholders Equity2.39B2.75B3.11B3.52B4.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.00M237.00M646.00M-584.00M595.00M
Operating Cash Flow264.00M496.00M930.00M-272.00M884.00M
Investing Cash Flow-164.00M-151.00M-199.00M343.00M-268.00M
Financing Cash Flow-101.00M-451.00M-664.00M-232.00M-1.14B

Newell Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.56
Price Trends
50DMA
4.25
Negative
100DMA
3.90
Negative
200DMA
4.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
32.31
Neutral
STOCH
24.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.05, below the 50-day MA of 4.25, and below the 200-day MA of 4.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NWL.

Newell Brands Risk Analysis

Newell Brands disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newell Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newell Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$22.34B27.6217.16%1.38%1.45%42.04%
68
Neutral
$1.75B12.425.52%3.15%-5.21%1.96%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$68.52B-429.64431.59%2.67%-0.05%2.49%
56
Neutral
$12.67B19.521502.49%5.05%-9.35%123.06%
52
Neutral
$937.60M-3.021.62%3.51%-1.34%-73.59%
49
Neutral
$1.49B-5.46-10.89%7.76%-5.88%90.23%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWL
Newell Brands
3.56
-2.55
-41.75%
CHD
Church & Dwight
94.38
-10.56
-10.07%
CLX
Clorox
104.76
-32.59
-23.73%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
85.49
-4.33
-4.82%
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings
75.34
7.26
10.67%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
20.07
-8.86
-30.62%

Newell Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Newell Brands Adopts 2026 Incentive and Bonus Programs
Positive
Feb 13, 2026
On February 9, 2026, Newell Brands’ board committee approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan, which grants key employees, including named executive officers, annual equity awards split evenly between performance-based and time-based restri...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026