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Newell Brands (NWL)
NASDAQ:NWL
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Newell Brands (NWL) AI Stock Analysis

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NWL

Newell Brands

(NASDAQ:NWL)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
â–²(3.93% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/02/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (sharp sales decline, ongoing losses, and high leverage with thin free cash flow). Technicals are a positive offset with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive momentum. Valuation is mixed (high dividend yield but negative P/E), while the earnings call outlook is cautiously constructive on margins and cash flow but constrained by tariffs and a soft near-term sales/EPS profile.
Positive Factors
Innovation & Brand Momentum
A sizable innovation pipeline with measured share gains (Graco) and a successful Yankee Candle relaunch indicate durable brand and product momentum. Sustained new-product activity and demonstrable retail wins support longer‑term revenue stabilization and improved mix, which can uplift margins over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue & Negative Earnings
A steep multi-quarter revenue decline and persistent net losses erode operating leverage and reduce internal funding for growth. Continued top‑line weakness undermines margin recovery efforts and lengthens the runway required to restore sustainable profitability absent durable demand improvement or outsized cost savings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Innovation & Brand Momentum
A sizable innovation pipeline with measured share gains (Graco) and a successful Yankee Candle relaunch indicate durable brand and product momentum. Sustained new-product activity and demonstrable retail wins support longer‑term revenue stabilization and improved mix, which can uplift margins over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

Newell Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Shows the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsNewell Brands' Home and Commercial Solutions segment shows a recovery trend after a challenging 2023, aligning with the company's strategic focus on innovation and distribution gains. Despite the Outdoor and Recreation segment's continued struggles, the Learning and Development segment remains resilient, supported by strong innovation and tariff-related advantages. The earnings call highlights operational improvements, with a notable rise in gross margin and a promising innovation pipeline, although challenges persist with core sales decline and tariff impacts. The company anticipates sequential sales improvement in late 2025, driven by strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:The Fly

Newell Brands (NWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newell Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Newell Brands Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, and distributes consumer and commercial products worldwide. It operates in five segments: Commercial Solutions, Home Appliances, Home Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreatio...
How the Company Makes Money
Newell Brands primarily makes money by selling branded consumer products to retail customers (e.g., mass merchants, home improvement retailers, office supply retailers, sporting goods retailers), distributors/wholesalers, and through e-commerce. R...

Newell Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 06, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and structural progress (margin expansion, stronger innovation pipeline, supply‑chain de‑risking, productivity targets and improved cash guidance) against continued top‑line pressure driven by tariffs, category weakness and near‑term shipment timing that depresses Q1. Management provided concrete mitigation actions and constructive 2026 targets, but material tariff headwinds and full‑year core sales guidance that is flat to modestly down leave the story mixed.
Positive Updates
Improved Q4 Profitability and EBITDA Growth
Q4 normalized gross margin 33.9% (up 70 bps YoY) and normalized operating margin 8.7% (up 160 bps YoY). Q4 normalized EBITDA increased nearly 12% to $241 million and Q4 cash generation was roughly $160 million.
Negative Updates
Top‑Line Pressure — 2025 Sales Declines
Full‑year 2025 net sales $7.2 billion (down 5% YoY) and core sales decreased 4.6% YoY; Q4 net sales $1.9 billion (down 2.7% YoY) and Q4 core sales declined 4.1%.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Improved Q4 Profitability and EBITDA Growth
Q4 normalized gross margin 33.9% (up 70 bps YoY) and normalized operating margin 8.7% (up 160 bps YoY). Q4 normalized EBITDA increased nearly 12% to $241 million and Q4 cash generation was roughly $160 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Newell initiated 2026 guidance calling for full‑year net sales down 1% to up 1% with core sales down 2% to flat (assumes ~2% category decline but expects to outpace categories and gain share), normalized operating margin 8.6%–9.2% (midpoint ≈ +50 bps vs 2025), normalized EPS $0.54–$0.60, and normalized gross margin roughly flat; the company models total 2026 gross cash tariff impact of ~$130M and total gross P&L tariff impact of ~$150M (≈$0.30 EPS headwind, quarterly build: ~$0.065 Q1 & Q2, $0.09 Q3, $0.08 Q4). Management expects its productivity program to deliver >$75M of year‑over‑year savings and lower overheads by ~100 bps, plans to increase A&P (Q4 2025 A&P = 6.5% of sales; A&P up 50 bps vs three years), targets operating cash flow $350M–$400M (midpoint ≈ 40% above 2025 operating cash flow of $264M), budgets CapEx of $200M (vs historical ≈ $250M), assumes ~$20M of higher interest expense and an effective tax rate in the high‑teens, and expects net leverage to decline by about 0.5x toward investment‑grade; Q1 guidance is a headwind quarter: net sales down 5% to 3% (-5% to -3%), core sales down 7% to 5% (-7% to -5%), normalized operating margin 2.5%–3.5% and normalized EPS (‑$0.12) to (‑$0.08).

Newell Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals remain pressured: revenue is down sharply (TTM -23.6%) and net income is still negative (about -$281M). Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~2.3x; total debt ~$5.4B) while profitability is weak, though gross margin has held (~34%) and cash flow is still positive (TTM operating cash flow $244M; free cash flow $19M), albeit much lower than prior years.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.19B7.20B7.58B8.13B9.46B10.59B
Gross Profit2.44B2.43B2.55B2.44B2.83B3.36B
EBITDA368.00M331.00M358.00M107.00M688.00M1.34B
Net Income-281.00M-285.00M-216.00M-388.00M197.00M622.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.86B10.71B11.00B12.16B13.26B14.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments201.00M203.00M198.00M332.00M287.00M440.00M
Total Debt5.52B5.65B5.12B5.47B6.01B5.51B
Total Liabilities8.52B8.32B8.25B9.05B9.74B10.11B
Stockholders Equity2.34B2.39B2.75B3.11B3.52B4.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.00M17.00M237.00M646.00M-584.00M595.00M
Operating Cash Flow244.00M264.00M496.00M930.00M-272.00M884.00M
Investing Cash Flow-166.00M-164.00M-151.00M-199.00M343.00M-268.00M
Financing Cash Flow-85.00M-101.00M-451.00M-664.00M-232.00M-1.14B

Newell Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.33
Price Trends
50DMA
4.09
Positive
100DMA
3.98
Positive
200DMA
4.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
65.56
Neutral
STOCH
91.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.69, above the 50-day MA of 4.09, and below the 200-day MA of 4.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NWL.

Newell Brands Risk Analysis

Newell Brands disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newell Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newell Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$1.87B18.995.52%3.15%-3.76%148.09%
65
Neutral
$22.16B25.5117.45%1.38%2.22%29.40%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
$69.97B26.46475.13%2.67%4.26%-27.12%
54
Neutral
$10.78B16.812826.17%5.05%-3.69%10.26%
51
Neutral
$1.72B-10.96-11.10%7.76%-4.11%-14.23%
49
Neutral
$887.99M-23.40-5.14%3.51%-5.30%-196.78%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWL
Newell Brands
4.05
-1.66
-29.03%
CHD
Church & Dwight
93.51
0.62
0.67%
CLX
Clorox
89.11
-41.34
-31.69%
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
87.44
1.73
2.01%
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings
80.64
15.60
23.98%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
19.27
-8.39
-30.34%

Newell Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Newell Brands Adopts 2026 Incentive and Bonus Programs
Positive
Feb 13, 2026
On February 9, 2026, Newell Brands’ board committee approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan, which grants key employees, including named executive officers, annual equity awards split evenly between performance-based and time-based restri...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2026