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Newell Brands (NWL)
NASDAQ:NWL
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Newell Brands (NWL) AI Stock Analysis

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NWL

Newell Brands

(NASDAQ:NWL)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(3.99% Upside)
Newell Brands' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. While technical indicators and valuation metrics provide a mixed view, the earnings call highlights some strategic improvements and optimism for future growth. However, the company's financial constraints and market conditions remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Innovation and Distribution
Newell Brands is experiencing increased speed of relevant innovation and distribution gains in key retailers, contributing to a positive outlook.
Margin Expansion
There have been eight consecutive quarters of significant year-over-year gross margin expansion as management focuses on improving structural economics.
Operational Efficiency
The company has prioritized investment to its largest and most profitable brands, cutting the number of master brands from 80 to 55.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
The company lowered its EPS guidance mostly due to higher China tariffs that were in effect for several weeks.
Market Expectations
The market clearly doesn’t expect growth to return anytime soon given the stock’s performance year-to-date.
Sales Performance
Core sales trends showed improvement but experienced a setback with a decrease in the first half of 2025, interrupting steady progress.

Newell Brands (NWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newell Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewell Brands Inc. is a global consumer goods company that designs, manufactures, and distributes a diverse portfolio of products across multiple sectors, including home and outdoor living, writing, and baby care. The company's well-known brands include Rubbermaid, Sharpie, Elmer's, and Graco, among others. Newell operates through various segments such as Home & Outdoor Living, Learning & Development, and Baby, providing a wide range of household, office, and personal care products to consumers and businesses worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewell Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer products across various retail channels, including e-commerce, mass merchandising, and specialty stores. The company has a diversified revenue model with key streams coming from its distinct product categories, such as home organization, writing instruments, and infant products. Newell's strategy includes leveraging its strong brand portfolio and innovation in product development to drive consumer demand. Additionally, the company often engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and distributors to enhance market penetration and drive sales. Factors contributing to its earnings include brand recognition, product innovation, and effective supply chain management.

Newell Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Shows the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsNewell Brands' Home and Commercial Solutions segment shows a recovery trend after a challenging 2023, aligning with the company's strategic focus on innovation and distribution gains. Despite the Outdoor and Recreation segment's continued struggles, the Learning and Development segment remains resilient, supported by strong innovation and tariff-related advantages. The earnings call highlights operational improvements, with a notable rise in gross margin and a promising innovation pipeline, although challenges persist with core sales decline and tariff impacts. The company anticipates sequential sales improvement in late 2025, driven by strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Newell Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in margin improvement and strategic initiatives like the Yankee Candle refresh and tariff-related business wins. However, these were somewhat offset by a decline in core sales, higher tax rates, and cash flow challenges. The company remains optimistic about future sequential progress in sales and innovation-driven growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Normalized Operating Margin Improvement
Normalized operating margin increased by 10 basis points to 10.7%, marking the first time since Q3 of 2022 that all three business segments were positive. This was driven by a normalized gross margin increase of 80 basis points to 35.6%, the highest in four years.
Yankee Candle Brand Refresh
Newell Brands announced a comprehensive brand refresh for Yankee Candle, which includes a new wax formulation, modern design, and a full 360-degree marketing program.
Tariff-Related Business Wins
Newell secured incremental business in 13 of the 19 categories where they have domestic manufacturing capability, leveraging tariff-related advantages.
International Sales Growth
The international business, representing nearly 40% of total sales, delivered a sixth consecutive quarter of positive core sales growth.
Negative Updates
Core Sales Decline
Second quarter core sales declined by 4.4%, slightly below the operating plan and within guidance range. This was attributed to category softness and consumer pullback.
Higher-Than-Expected Tax Rate
The effective tax rate was 19.2%, higher than the mid-teens rate projected three months ago, which negatively impacted the quarter by $0.02 per share.
Operating Cash Flow Outflow
Operating cash flow was an outflow of $271 million versus an inflow of $64 million in the prior year, partly due to proactive inventory purchases ahead of anticipated tariff-driven cost increases.
Leverage Ratio Increase
Net leverage ratio for the quarter was 5.5x, slightly above Q2 of 2024, although a year-end leverage ratio of about 4.5x is expected.
Company Guidance
During Newell Brands' Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance that highlighted several key metrics. The normalized operating margin increased by 10 basis points to 10.7%, driven by a normalized gross margin increase of 80 basis points to 35.6%, marking the highest rate in four years. Despite a higher-than-expected tax rate, normalized earnings per share reached $0.24, at the top end of the guidance range. While second-quarter core sales declined by 4.4%, they improved to a 3.4% decline for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year. The company also updated its full-year core sales guidance to reflect category growth expectations at the low end of the prior range, with net sales expected in the top half of the range. Additionally, Newell Brands aims to expand normalized operating margins, grow normalized earnings per share by double digits on a tax-equalized basis, and increase normalized EBITDA by mid- to high single digits for the year.

Newell Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newell Brands faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. While the company maintains stable gross margins, consistent net losses and reduced cash flow generation raise concerns about long-term sustainability. The balance sheet shows high debt levels, which could limit financial flexibility.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Newell Brands has experienced declining revenues, with TTM revenue at $7.40 billion compared to $9.46 billion in 2022. The gross profit margin is approximately 34.25% for TTM, which is stable but reflects reduced operational efficiency over time. The net profit margin is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, highlighting reduced operational effectiveness.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at roughly 2.05 for TTM, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. The equity ratio is about 23.40%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. Return on equity is negative due to losses, reflecting poor shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but is constrained by high debt levels.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly over the years, with a TTM value of $161 million, down from $496 million in 2024. Free cash flow is negative, indicating cash outflows from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests operational cash generation issues, compounded by losses. These factors suggest liquidity constraints and potential challenges in sustaining operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.40B7.58B8.13B9.46B10.59B9.38B
Gross Profit2.53B2.55B2.44B2.83B3.38B3.08B
EBITDA274.00M385.00M107.00M713.00M1.35B-368.00M
Net Income-243.00M-216.00M-388.00M197.00M622.00M-770.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.51B11.00B12.16B13.26B14.18B14.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments219.00M198.00M332.00M287.00M440.00M981.00M
Total Debt5.63B5.12B5.47B6.01B5.51B6.21B
Total Liabilities8.81B8.25B9.05B9.74B10.09B10.80B
Stockholders Equity2.69B2.75B3.11B3.52B4.09B3.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-104.00M237.00M646.00M-584.00M595.00M1.17B
Operating Cash Flow161.00M496.00M930.00M-272.00M884.00M1.43B
Investing Cash Flow-159.00M-151.00M-199.00M343.00M-268.00M-228.00M
Financing Cash Flow-147.00M-451.00M-664.00M-232.00M-1.14B-559.00M

Newell Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.77
Price Trends
50DMA
5.53
Positive
100DMA
5.38
Positive
200DMA
6.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
56.15
Neutral
STOCH
68.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.37, above the 50-day MA of 5.53, and below the 200-day MA of 6.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NWL.

Newell Brands Risk Analysis

Newell Brands disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newell Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newell Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$14.72B18.46249.61%4.07%0.16%191.17%
63
Neutral
$20.84B14.73-4.08%3.07%2.70%-8.60%
62
Neutral
$1.32B20.352.98%3.19%-2.78%-17.38%
61
Neutral
$3.43B40.12-9.98%-3.68%-631.67%
58
Neutral
$1.11B17.704.12%2.50%-2.92%-43.06%
51
Neutral
$2.42B-8.42%4.85%-5.29%9.72%
49
Neutral
$531.19M5.74-23.99%-4.39%-326.42%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWL
Newell Brands
5.77
-1.19
-17.10%
CLX
Clorox
120.31
-29.60
-19.75%
HELE
Helen Of Troy
24.11
-30.00
-55.44%
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings
57.32
-32.86
-36.44%
COTY
Coty
3.93
-5.73
-59.32%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
23.96
-15.17
-38.77%

Newell Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Newell Brands Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Newell Brands held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. The stockholders elected nine nominees to the Board of Directors for a one-year term and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. They also approved the advisory resolution on executive compensation and an amendment to the 2022 Incentive Plan. However, a proposal for additional stock retention requirements for executives was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (NWL) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newell Brands stock, see the NWL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025