tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Newell Brands (NWL)
NASDAQ:NWL

Newell Brands (NWL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,510 Followers

Top Page

NW

Newell Brands

(NASDAQ:NWL)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(4.96%Upside)
Newell Brands' overall stock score reflects its financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, despite some operational strengths highlighted in the earnings call. The technical analysis suggests a cautious outlook, and the valuation remains pressured by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Innovation and distribution
Newell Brands is experiencing increased speed of relevant innovation and distribution gains in key retailers, contributing to a positive outlook.
Sales growth
Both the Learning & Development segment and International business, which collectively represent ~40% of sales, posted positive core sales growth for the last five consecutive quarters.
Tariff advantage
The company is tariff advantaged with more U.S.-based manufacturing facilities, which provides a competitive edge over peers who source abroad.
Negative Factors
Core sales growth guidance
Guidance was largely reiterated apart from core sales growth where the company prudently adjusted its expectation for category growth to -1% to -2%.
Stock performance
The market clearly doesn’t expect growth to return anytime soon given the stock’s performance year-to-date.
Tariff uncertainty
The company used the term ‘preliminary’ to characterize its guidance, which spooked the market due to uncertainties about tariffs.

Newell Brands (NWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Newell Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewell Brands Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, and distributes consumer and commercial products worldwide. It operates in five segments: Commercial Solutions, Home Appliances, Home Solutions, Learning and Development, and Outdoor and Recreation. The Commercial Solutions segment provides commercial cleaning and maintenance solutions; closet and garage organization products; hygiene systems and material handling solutions; and home and security, and smoke and carbon monoxide alarms products under the BRK, First Alert, Mapa, Quickie, Rubbermaid, Rubbermaid Commercial Products, and Spontex brands. The Home Appliances segment offers kitchen appliances under the Crock-Pot, Mr. Coffee, Oster, and Sunbeam brands. The Home Solutions segment provides food and home storage; fresh preserving; vacuum sealing; and gourmet cookware, bakeware, cutlery, and home fragrance products under the Ball, Calphalon, Chesapeake Bay Candle, FoodSaver, Rubbermaid, Sistema, WoodWick, and Yankee Candle brands. The Learning and Development segment offers writing instruments, including markers and highlighters, pens, and pencils; art products; activity-based adhesive and cutting products; labeling solutions; and baby gear and infant care products under the Aprica, Baby Jogger, Graco, NUK, Tigex, Dymo, Elmer's, EXPO, Graco, Mr. Sketch, NUK, Paper Mate, Parker, Prismacolor, Sharpie, Waterman, and X-Acto brands. The Outdoor and Recreation segment provides outdoor and outdoor-related products under the Campingaz, Coleman, Contigo, ExOfficio, and Marmot brands. It serves warehouse clubs, department and drug/grocery stores, mass merchants, home centers, office superstores and supply stores, contract stationers, and distributors, e-commerce, sporting goods, specialty, and travel retailers. The company was formerly known as Newell Rubbermaid Inc. and changed its name to Newell Brands Inc. in April 2016. Newell Brands Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNewell Brands generates revenue through the sale of its consumer products across various retail and online channels. The company's key revenue streams include sales to retail partners like Walmart, Amazon, and Target, as well as direct-to-consumer sales through brand-specific websites. Newell Brands also benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements, which help to expand their market reach and product offerings. The company's earnings are influenced by its ability to innovate and adapt to consumer trends, manage supply chain efficiencies, and execute effective marketing strategies to maintain brand loyalty and capture market share.

Newell Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Normalized Operating Income by Segment
Shows the profitability of each business segment, highlighting which areas are driving earnings and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsNewell Brands' Home and Commercial Solutions segment shows a recovery trend in 2024, rebounding from a dip in early 2023, while Learning and Development maintains steady performance. Outdoor and Recreation continues to struggle with negative operating income, reflecting challenges in that segment. The earnings call highlights resilience despite macroeconomic pressures, with strategic shifts to U.S. and Mexican manufacturing mitigating tariff impacts. Management's focus on operational efficiency and innovation suggests potential for improved performance, especially in the latter half of the year, despite reduced market growth expectations.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Newell Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Newell Brands shows resilience with strong strategic positioning in U.S. and Mexican manufacturing and operational efficiency improvements, despite challenges posed by new tariffs on Chinese imports and reduced market growth expectations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q1 Financial Performance
Core sales at minus 2.1% performed at the high end of guidance. Normalized gross margin increased by 150 basis points, and normalized earnings per share exceeded guidance by $0.05.
Strategic U.S. and Mexican Manufacturing Advantage
Newell Brands has significantly reduced dependency on China, with U.S. and Mexico facilities providing competitive advantage due to tariff-free production in key categories like Rubbermaid and Oster.
Operational Improvements
Gross productivity savings and pricing more than offset inflation and foreign exchange headwinds, with the gross margin improving for the seventh consecutive quarter.
Negative Updates
China Tariff Impact
An additional 125% tariff on Chinese imports poses a significant risk, particularly impacting the baby gear segment, which forms a substantial part of Newell's China imports.
Reduced Market Growth Expectations
The company lowered its market growth expectations from flat to a decline of 1% to 2% due to lower consumer confidence and muted macroeconomic forecasts.
Q1 Cash Flow Decline
Operating cash outflow was $213 million compared to a positive cash flow of $32 million in the prior year, impacted by higher bonus payouts and inventory purchases.
Company Guidance
During Newell Brands' first quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance indicating a strong start to the year with core sales down 2.1%, which was at the high end of their guidance range. The company reported an increase in normalized gross margin by 150 basis points, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of expansion, and a normalized operating margin that exceeded expectations. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Newell maintained its net sales guidance, adjusting category growth expectations to a decline of 1% to 2%, while anticipating stronger performance in the second half of the year due to product innovation and distribution gains. The company plans to mitigate the impact of a 125% China tariff, primarily affecting the baby gear segment, by leveraging domestic and Mexican manufacturing capabilities. Newell's strategy includes seizing market opportunities in tariff-advantaged categories, which are expected to offset challenges, ultimately reaffirming their full-year guidance for normalized operating margin and earnings per share.

Newell Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Newell Brands faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, profitability issues, and volatile cash flow generation. Although certain balance sheet metrics provide stability, the negative net profit margins and declining EBIT margins highlight the need for improved income generation and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Newell Brands shows declining revenue with a negative growth trend in the latest TTM period compared to the previous year. The company struggles with profitability, evidenced by negative net profit margins and declining EBIT margins. Despite a slight improvement in EBIT in the TTM period, the overall financial performance remains challenging due to persistent net losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet indicates stability in terms of debt-to-equity, which remains manageable. However, the decreasing equity ratio reflects a contraction in stockholders' equity relative to total assets, suggesting a potential risk if liabilities continue to outpace asset growth. Return on equity has been negative recently, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Newell Brands exhibits volatility in cash flow generation, with a recent decrease in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio shows a more reliable conversion of accounting profits to cash, though the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights ongoing challenges in generating free cash flow amidst capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.50B7.58B8.13B9.46B10.59B9.38B
Gross Profit
2.55B2.55B2.44B2.83B3.30B3.08B
EBIT
98.00M67.00M-85.00M882.00M946.00M812.00M
EBITDA
310.00M385.00M107.00M1.12B1.45B-368.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-244.00M-216.00M-388.00M197.00M622.00M-770.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
233.00M198.00M332.00M287.00M440.00M981.00M
Total Assets
11.28B11.00B12.16B13.26B14.18B14.70B
Total Debt
5.46B5.12B5.47B5.89B5.39B6.08B
Net Debt
5.23B4.92B5.14B5.60B4.95B5.10B
Total Liabilities
8.59B8.25B9.05B9.74B10.09B10.80B
Stockholders Equity
2.69B2.75B3.11B3.52B4.09B3.87B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-8.00M237.00M646.00M-584.00M595.00M1.17B
Operating Cash Flow
251.00M496.00M930.00M-272.00M884.00M1.43B
Investing Cash Flow
-128.00M-151.00M-199.00M343.00M-268.00M-228.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-241.00M-451.00M-664.00M-232.00M-1.14B-559.00M

Newell Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.24
Price Trends
50DMA
5.20
Positive
100DMA
6.27
Negative
200DMA
7.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
45.11
Neutral
STOCH
60.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NWL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.46, above the 50-day MA of 5.20, and below the 200-day MA of 7.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NWL.

Newell Brands Risk Analysis

Newell Brands disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Newell Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Newell Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EPEPC
65
Neutral
$1.17B13.525.53%2.42%-2.11%-28.79%
64
Neutral
$620.83M5.017.45%-4.93%-23.61%
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.052.80%4.27%2.67%-24.92%
CLCLX
62
Neutral
$15.69B22.101176.27%3.96%-2.64%189.29%
61
Neutral
$4.39B40.12-10.58%-1.68%-302.11%
SPSPB
58
Neutral
$1.36B24.742.79%3.63%1.46%-95.70%
NWNWL
52
Neutral
$2.27B-8.46%5.16%-6.09%17.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NWL
Newell Brands
5.24
-1.27
-19.51%
CLX
Clorox
123.07
-10.47
-7.84%
HELE
Helen Of Troy
27.06
-72.59
-72.84%
SPB
Spectrum Brands Holdings
51.73
-35.83
-40.92%
COTY
Coty
4.73
-5.08
-51.78%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
23.16
-15.41
-39.95%

Newell Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Newell Brands Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Newell Brands held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. The stockholders elected nine nominees to the Board of Directors for a one-year term and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. They also approved the advisory resolution on executive compensation and an amendment to the 2022 Incentive Plan. However, a proposal for additional stock retention requirements for executives was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (NWL) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Newell Brands stock, see the NWL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Newell Brands Announces $1.25B Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Newell Brands Inc. announced the launch and pricing of a private offering of $1.25 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2028, with an interest rate of 8.50%. The proceeds from this offering, along with cash on hand, will be used to redeem its outstanding 4.20% senior notes due 2026. This financial maneuver is expected to close on May 22, 2025, and is aimed at optimizing the company’s debt structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.