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Shoprite Holdings Limited (SRGHY)
OTHER OTC:SRGHY

Shoprite Holdings (SRGHY) AI Stock Analysis

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SRGHY

Shoprite Holdings

(OTC:SRGHY)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(10.78% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance and a supportive earnings call featuring resilient sales/margins and strong cash generation. Offsetting factors include weaker free-cash-flow trends and elevated leverage, while technicals are mixed and valuation appears only moderately attractive.
Positive Factors
Scale & Market Reach
Extensive store network and very high customer traffic provide durable competitive advantages: buying scale, supplier leverage, and category breadth. High volumes support cost absorption, assortment depth and resilience to local shocks, sustaining long‑term gross margin and margin mix benefits.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to interest or earnings shocks. With substantial lease liabilities and capex commitments, elevated debt can constrain opportunistic investments and complicate balance‑sheet management if cash conversion weakens or regional headwinds persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & Market Reach
Extensive store network and very high customer traffic provide durable competitive advantages: buying scale, supplier leverage, and category breadth. High volumes support cost absorption, assortment depth and resilience to local shocks, sustaining long‑term gross margin and margin mix benefits.
Read all positive factors

Shoprite Holdings (SRGHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shoprite Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Shoprite Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the food retailing business in South Africa and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Supermarkets RSA, Supermarkets Non-RSA, Furniture, and Othe...
How the Company Makes Money
Shoprite Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of goods in its supermarkets and retail outlets. The company's revenue model is centered on high-volume sales and competitive pricing strategies, which attract a large customer base. K...

Shoprite Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive operational and financial picture: robust sales growth (+7.2%), maintained group margins (trading margin 5.7%; RSA supermarkets 6.2%), improving returns (ROIC >19%) and strong cash generation (ZAR 13.3bn). Digital (Sixty60) and adjacent businesses showed high growth and strategic traction, and management is tightening CapEx while continuing an active store roll‑out. Key challenges include profitability pressure in non‑RSA markets (Mozambique/Angola), IFRS16‑driven finance/depreciation cost increases, low/deflationary price environment compressing monetary growth and elevated utilities costs. On balance the positive operational momentum, margin maintenance and cash strength outweigh the regional and accounting headwinds.
Positive Updates
Solid top-line growth
Group sales grew 7.2% year-on-year, adding about ZAR 9.2 billion to reach almost ZAR 137 billion for the half year; Supermarkets RSA sales grew 7.1% to ~ZAR 115 billion with like‑for‑like sales +2.7%.
Negative Updates
Non‑RSA profitability pressure (Mozambique, Angola)
Supermarkets non‑RSA margins and profitability came under pressure: sales growth in non‑RSA was strong (+12.1% to ~ZAR 11.5 billion) but margins were hit by business interruptions in Mozambique, foreign currency shortages limiting imports, and Angola headwinds.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Solid top-line growth
Group sales grew 7.2% year-on-year, adding about ZAR 9.2 billion to reach almost ZAR 137 billion for the half year; Supermarkets RSA sales grew 7.1% to ~ZAR 115 billion with like‑for‑like sales +2.7%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided to full‑year gross margin of about 23.9%–24.2% and a realistic trading‑margin outcome of 5.7%–5.9% (medium‑term target 6%), noted the Sixty60 delivery‑cost reclassification will slightly pressure gross margin early in the year, and reiterated an effective tax rate of ~27%–28%; operationally they plan to open ~123 stores in H2 (aiming to return space growth to ~5.5%–6% after H1’s 7.3%), expect full‑year CapEx of ~ZAR7.5bn (H1 ZAR3.9bn; ~82% expansion), aim to reduce depreciation/sales to ~3% (H1 3.1%), expect electricity/water around ~2.1%–2.2% of sales (H1 2.2%), see continued inventory and working‑capital improvement after H1 cash generated from operations of ZAR13.3bn and a ZAR5.4bn positive working‑capital move, and confirmed dividend policy unchanged (1.75x of full‑year diluted HEPS from continued operations) with the share‑buyback mandate still available.

Shoprite Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income statement momentum (revenue growth and healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins) and solid ROE, but balance-sheet leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 1.85) and cash flow quality is weaker with a sharp free-cash-flow growth decline (-69.61%).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue254.38B252.70B240.72B214.96B184.08B168.03B
Gross Profit53.74B61.44B54.81B51.71B45.06B41.21B
EBITDA23.44B24.66B21.80B19.68B17.25B15.78B
Net Income7.40B7.58B6.25B5.89B5.71B4.84B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets136.82B124.94B112.33B102.36B91.45B77.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.10B10.07B13.02B13.26B11.11B8.57B
Total Debt57.08B55.88B49.37B48.55B42.13B34.22B
Total Liabilities106.23B94.83B84.60B76.08B65.83B55.86B
Stockholders Equity30.67B30.19B27.79B26.13B25.48B21.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.37B2.98B6.11B3.12B4.78B4.76B
Operating Cash Flow23.96B10.98B13.84B9.83B9.91B7.98B
Investing Cash Flow-6.84B-7.37B-6.78B-6.23B-4.06B-653.00M
Financing Cash Flow-8.62B-4.30B-7.75B-2.85B-7.24B-9.74B

Shoprite Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.70
Price Trends
50DMA
16.19
Positive
100DMA
16.15
Positive
200DMA
15.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
53.83
Neutral
STOCH
90.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRGHY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.88, above the 50-day MA of 16.19, and above the 200-day MA of 15.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRGHY.

Shoprite Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$7.39B8.7417.98%2.46%-2.97%-8.57%
74
Outperform
$9.14B10.5124.87%2.25%8.19%
68
Neutral
$5.54B13.7417.66%11.09%51.51%
64
Neutral
$9.21B12.7922.98%2.45%0.29%3.65%
62
Neutral
$4.77B8.4414.20%3.23%-2.83%184.32%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$1.45B7.196.91%2.33%-6.13%-22.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRGHY
Shoprite Holdings
16.25
3.58
28.24%
GAP
Gap Inc
24.73
4.87
24.51%
KSS
Kohl's
12.90
5.42
72.37%
M
Macy's
18.10
6.75
59.53%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
64.74
14.29
28.33%
VIPS
Vipshop
14.98
2.16
16.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026