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1St Source (SRCE)
NASDAQ:SRCE
US Market
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1St Source (SRCE) AI Stock Analysis

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SRCE

1St Source

(NASDAQ:SRCE)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(11.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial profitability/returns and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a decent dividend). Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, while weaker top-line/FCF momentum and modest dilution risk from expanded equity plans keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high operating and net margins indicate the bank converts revenue to profits efficiently relative to peers. Durable margin structure supports internal capital generation, funds dividend payments and reinvestment, and provides a buffer against cyclical credit stress over the next 2-6 months.
Negative Factors
Top-line Weakness
Declining revenue signals pressure on core lending or fee businesses and limits scope for margin expansion. If trend persists, it could force tighter expense management or slower balance sheet growth, reducing long-term earnings momentum and strategic investment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability
Sustained high operating and net margins indicate the bank converts revenue to profits efficiently relative to peers. Durable margin structure supports internal capital generation, funds dividend payments and reinvestment, and provides a buffer against cyclical credit stress over the next 2-6 months.
Read all positive factors

1St Source (SRCE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

1St Source Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients. Its consumer ban...
How the Company Makes Money
1st Source primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between interest and fees collected on interest-earning assets—mainly commercial loans, consumer loans (incl...

1St Source Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and returns (TTM net margin ~26%, EBIT margin ~34%, ROE ~12.9%) and solid cash conversion (FCF to net income ~0.99). Offsetting this, TTM revenue declined (-3.38%) and free cash flow fell sharply versus the prior period (-31.3%), signaling weaker near-term momentum.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue602.72M600.00M570.32M507.53M385.08M354.86M
Gross Profit427.02M421.93M374.66M363.40M341.49M341.03M
EBITDA217.66M214.03M183.42M177.14M175.87M178.88M
Net Income160.71M158.27M132.62M124.93M120.51M118.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.11B9.06B8.93B8.73B8.34B8.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.30B1.59B1.02B1.70B1.86B1.92B
Total Debt383.45M340.71M325.05M397.39M302.94M309.44M
Total Liabilities7.79B7.74B7.75B7.66B7.42B7.13B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.27B1.11B989.57M864.07M916.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow209.89M213.03M181.49M181.96M173.15M163.88M
Operating Cash Flow210.47M223.12M194.07M187.94M175.53M166.76M
Investing Cash Flow-261.56M-154.22M-276.61M-358.29M-784.87M-598.56M
Financing Cash Flow-52.92M-73.87M77.91M177.22M206.95M713.94M

1St Source Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price74.65
Price Trends
50DMA
71.41
Positive
100DMA
68.98
Positive
200DMA
65.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
58.76
Neutral
STOCH
78.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRCE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 74.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.95, above the 50-day MA of 71.41, and above the 200-day MA of 65.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRCE.

1St Source Risk Analysis

1St Source disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 1St Source reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

1St Source Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.61B11.139.35%3.38%2.41%3.01%
76
Outperform
$1.78B10.5112.89%2.37%4.51%14.48%
76
Outperform
$1.63B11.8211.95%2.89%31.27%45.08%
68
Neutral
$1.91B17.346.38%1.82%-3.22%-5.50%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
$2.12B33.844.87%12.80%
59
Neutral
$2.11B7.2710.12%1.19%-5.09%-24.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRCE
1St Source
73.95
15.30
26.08%
GABC
German American Bancorp
43.27
6.46
17.54%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
44.86
9.62
27.30%
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
45.99
14.89
47.88%
STEL
Stellar Bancorp
37.47
11.22
42.75%
CLBK
Columbia Financial
20.36
6.16
43.38%

1St Source Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
1st Source highlights Q1 2026 strategy and digital growth
Positive
May 1, 2026
1st Source Corporation’s executive team has released an investor presentation for the first quarter of 2026 that highlights the bank’s diversified business mix, growing renewable energy financing platform, and expanding digital capabil...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
1st Source Shareholders Approve Expanded Equity Compensation Plans
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
At its April 23, 2026 annual meeting, 1st Source Corporation shareholders approved amendments to three key compensation plans, shifting the Executive Incentive Plan and Strategic Deployment Incentive Plan from formula-based issuance limits to fixe...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
1st Source Chair Undergoes Treatment, Affirms Business Stability
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026
On February 23, 2026, Executive Chairman Christopher J. Murphy III informed shareholders that he is undergoing treatment for recurring bladder cancer and will work remotely and remain out of public contact for at least the next nine weeks. Murphy ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026