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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH)
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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) AI Stock Analysis

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SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse

(NASDAQ:SPWH)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(7.91% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While there are some positive developments, such as the appointment of a new CFO and improvements in sales comps, these are overshadowed by ongoing operational inefficiencies and valuation concerns. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the valuation metrics are unattractive due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The solid adj. EBITDA outlook reflects a turnaround effort on cost management, with initiatives helping to keep SG&A in check and potentially increase gross margins in the future.
Earnings
SPWH reported results that were above expectations, indicating strong financial performance.
Strategy
The company's successful strategy to target value-conscious customers during the holiday season drove traffic and maintained solid margins.
Negative Factors
Consumer Environment
The consumer spending environment remains difficult, with no significant signs of positive macro trends developing.
Economic Conditions
Challenging economic conditions persist, limiting the potential for immediate growth.

Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sportsman's Warehouse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer in the United States. It offers camping products, such as backpacks, camp essentials, canoes and kayaks, coolers, outdoor cooking equipment, sleeping bags, tents, and tools; and apparel products, including camouflage, jackets, hats, outerwear, sportswear, technical gear, and work wear. The company also provides fishing products comprising bait, electronics, fishing rods, flotation items, fly fishing products, lines, lures, reels, tackles, and small boats; and foot wear products consisting of hiking and work boots, socks, sport sandals, technical footwear, trial and casual shoes, and waders. In addition, it offers hunting and shooting products, such as ammunition, archery items, ATV accessories, blinds and tree stands, decoys, firearms, firearms safety and storage products, reloading equipment, and shooting gear products; and optics, electronics, and accessories, including gift items, GPS devices, knives, lighting, optics, and two-way radios. Further, the company's stores provide archery technician services, fishing-reel line winding, bore sighting and scope mounting, and cleaning services, as well as issues hunting and fishing licenses. Additionally, it offers various private label and special make-up offerings under the Rustic Ridge, Killik, Vital Impact, Yukon Gold, Lost Creek, and Sportsman's Warehouse brands. As of May 26, 2022, the company operated through 126 stores. Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in West Jordan, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneySportsman's Warehouse generates revenue primarily through the sale of outdoor sporting goods and equipment in its retail stores and online platform. The company's key revenue streams include sales of firearms, fishing tackle, camping gear, and outdoor clothing. Additionally, Sportsman's Warehouse benefits from seasonal sales spikes related to hunting and fishing seasons, which drive increased demand for specific products. The company also engages in promotions and loyalty programs that encourage repeat purchases. Partnerships with various outdoor brands and manufacturers allow Sportsman's Warehouse to offer exclusive products and promotions, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

Sportsman's Warehouse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced outlook with notable achievements such as the first positive year-over-year sales comp in nearly four years and significant growth in e-commerce and firearms unit sales. However, these are tempered by challenges including a net loss for the quarter, increased freight expenses, and pressure from tariffs. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with improvements in key areas but remaining challenges in others.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
First Positive Year-Over-Year Sales Comp in Nearly Four Years
The company delivered its first positive year-over-year sales comp in nearly four years with first quarter sales up 2% compared to last year.
Firearms Unit Sales Growth
Firearms unit sales increased nearly 7% over last year, significantly outpacing the adjusted NICS data which declined 5.4%.
E-commerce Growth
The e-commerce business posted a positive comp, up 8% over last year, fueled by a new digital-first marketing strategy and improved omnichannel customer experience.
Fishing Category Success
The fishing category achieved positive sales comps, up 11%, validating the new merchandising strategy with a two-year comp stack growth of 12.3%.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin for the quarter was 30.4%, up 20 basis points from 30.2% a year ago, driven by favorable mix and rate improvements in the Fishing business.
SG&A Expenses Improvement
SG&A expenses were 38.2% of net sales versus 38.6% in the prior year, reflecting a focus on expense discipline and simplification of the business.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for First Quarter
Net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 was $21.3 million or negative $0.56 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $18.1 million or negative $0.48 per diluted share in the prior year.
Increased Freight Expenses
Increased freight expense tied to strategic inventory pull forward resulted in an estimated 50 basis point drag on margin in the quarter.
Pressure from Tariffs
The company faced pressure from tariffs and changes to international trade policy, which led to strategic inventory pull forward and increased expenses.
Decreased AUR for Firearms
Average unit retail (AUR) for firearms decreased 8% compared with last year as firearm customers continue to trade down.
Company Guidance
During the Sportsman's Warehouse Q1 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's strategic initiatives and financial outlook. The company reported a 2% increase in net sales to $249.1 million, marking the first positive year-over-year sales comp in nearly four years. Notably, firearm unit sales increased nearly 7% despite a 5.4% decline in adjusted NICS data, indicating market share gains. However, the Average Unit Retail (AUR) for Q1 decreased by 8% compared to the previous year. Gross margin improved slightly to 30.4% due to favorable mix and rate improvements, specifically in fishing, although it was partially offset by increased freight expenses. SG&A expenses reflected better leverage at 38.2% of net sales. The company ended Q1 with an inventory of $412.3 million, up from last year due to a strategic $20 million inventory pull-forward to mitigate tariff impacts. The full-year 2025 guidance was reiterated, with net sales expected to range from down 1% to up 3.5% compared to 2024, and adjusted EBITDA projected between $33 million and $45 million. The strategic focus includes improving inventory precision, enhancing local relevance, establishing authority in personal protection, and increasing brand awareness, all aimed at sustained profitability and growth.

Sportsman's Warehouse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sportsman's Warehouse is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability, with negative EBIT and net income. The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.46, and negative return on equity. Cash flow is also negative, indicating cash flow management issues. Overall, the company must address these financial inefficiencies to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a negative EBIT and net income, with a gross profit margin of 30.96% and a net profit margin of -3.01%. Revenue has decreased compared to previous years, indicating challenges in maintaining sales growth. The negative EBIT and net profit margins highlight operational inefficiencies and profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.46, indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio stands at 23.13%, suggesting moderate reliance on equity financing. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. The company's financial stability is at risk due to high debt levels and declining equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow growth, with a TTM free cash flow of -$6.49 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.24, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, reflecting insufficient cash generation to cover net losses. Cash flow management needs improvement to support operations and reduce financial strain.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.29B1.40B1.51B1.45B
Gross Profit370.47M383.41M460.24M490.30M476.45M
EBITDA21.65M13.67M89.84M203.38M172.10M
Net Income-33.06M-29.00M40.52M108.47M91.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets852.10M886.21M858.96M840.58M660.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.83M3.14M2.39M57.02M65.53M
Total Debt477.20M481.74M393.45M343.20M264.31M
Total Liabilities616.40M621.65M565.85M526.41M456.16M
Stockholders Equity235.70M264.56M293.11M314.17M204.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.59M-27.63M-16.72M-75.08M219.06M
Operating Cash Flow34.15M52.27M46.79M-21.63M238.82M
Investing Cash Flow-14.48M-79.89M-60.59M-53.45M-26.23M
Financing Cash Flow-19.98M28.38M-40.84M66.57M-148.75M

Sportsman's Warehouse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.78
Price Trends
50DMA
3.44
Negative
100DMA
2.63
Positive
200DMA
2.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
35.46
Neutral
STOCH
13.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPWH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.25, below the 50-day MA of 3.44, and above the 200-day MA of 2.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPWH.

Sportsman's Warehouse Risk Analysis

Sportsman's Warehouse disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sportsman's Warehouse reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sportsman's Warehouse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$805.91M30.9214.00%38.40%32.42%
80
Outperform
$17.89B15.9640.22%2.03%3.33%15.47%
71
Outperform
$3.58B9.9120.14%0.91%-3.57%-17.43%
65
Neutral
$6.44B50.78-39.97%2.38%-38.88%
61
Neutral
$17.42B12.39-5.41%3.12%1.53%-15.37%
49
Neutral
$32.66M-51.44%3.55%-8.04%-263.28%
49
Neutral
$108.82M-15.67%-4.92%-13.73%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse
2.78
0.70
33.65%
BGFV
Big 5 Sporting Goods
1.43
-0.47
-24.74%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
222.89
-7.31
-3.18%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
25.51
3.64
16.64%
ETSY
Etsy
64.96
10.32
18.89%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
51.21
-4.64
-8.31%

Sportsman's Warehouse Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sportsman’s Warehouse Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Sportsman’s Warehouse announced the appointment of Jennifer Fall Jung as the new Chief Financial Officer and Secretary, effective August 18, 2025. She succeeds Jeff White, who will transition to a consulting role until September 9, 2025. Ms. Fall Jung brings over 25 years of experience in the consumer goods industry, having held significant financial roles at companies like The Duckhorn Portfolio, Funko, Inc., and The Gap, Inc. Her leadership is expected to be instrumental in executing the company’s long-term financial and strategic plans. The transition is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership team and enhance its market position.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sportsman’s Warehouse Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Sportsman’s Warehouse held its annual stockholders meeting where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. Stockholders elected four board members, approved executive compensation, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent accounting firm for fiscal year 2025, indicating continued confidence in the company’s leadership and financial management.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025