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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH)
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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) AI Stock Analysis

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SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse

(NASDAQ:SPWH)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(17.37% Upside)
Sportsman's Warehouse is facing significant financial and valuation challenges, with declining revenue, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Technical indicators are bearish, suggesting weak market momentum. Despite some positive aspects from the earnings call, such as sales growth and margin improvement, the overall outlook remains cautious due to profitability issues and strategic challenges.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Expansion
The growth in e-commerce sales, with a significant portion fulfilled through BOPUS, indicates a robust omnichannel strategy that enhances customer convenience and potentially increases market reach.
Gross Margin Improvement
The improvement in gross margin reflects better cost management and pricing strategies, which can contribute to long-term profitability despite revenue challenges.
Category Growth
Strong performance in key categories like hunting and fishing suggests targeted product offerings are resonating with customers, supporting sustained revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Rising Inventory Levels
The significant increase in inventory levels can tie up capital and pose risks if demand forecasts are inaccurate, potentially leading to markdowns and margin pressure.
Net Loss Increase
The widening net loss indicates ongoing profitability challenges, which can impact the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and manage debt obligations.
High Leverage
The increasing leverage heightens financial risk, limiting flexibility in operations and strategic investments, and could strain cash flows if interest rates rise.

Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sportsman's Warehouse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer in the United States. It offers camping products, such as backpacks, camp essentials, canoes and kayaks, coolers, outdoor cooking equipment, sleeping bags, tents, and tools; and apparel products, including camouflage, jackets, hats, outerwear, sportswear, technical gear, and work wear. The company also provides fishing products comprising bait, electronics, fishing rods, flotation items, fly fishing products, lines, lures, reels, tackles, and small boats; and foot wear products consisting of hiking and work boots, socks, sport sandals, technical footwear, trial and casual shoes, and waders. In addition, it offers hunting and shooting products, such as ammunition, archery items, ATV accessories, blinds and tree stands, decoys, firearms, firearms safety and storage products, reloading equipment, and shooting gear products; and optics, electronics, and accessories, including gift items, GPS devices, knives, lighting, optics, and two-way radios. Further, the company's stores provide archery technician services, fishing-reel line winding, bore sighting and scope mounting, and cleaning services, as well as issues hunting and fishing licenses. Additionally, it offers various private label and special make-up offerings under the Rustic Ridge, Killik, Vital Impact, Yukon Gold, Lost Creek, and Sportsman's Warehouse brands. As of May 26, 2022, the company operated through 126 stores. Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in West Jordan, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company generates revenue primarily through the sale of outdoor sporting goods, including firearms, fishing equipment, and camping gear. Its revenue model includes both in-store sales and e-commerce transactions, allowing it to reach a broader audience. Key revenue streams consist of product sales, with a focus on high-margin items such as apparel and specialized equipment. Additionally, Sportsman's Warehouse may benefit from partnerships with manufacturers for exclusive product lines, promotional events, and loyalty programs that encourage repeat purchases. Seasonal promotions and sales events also play a crucial role in driving revenue, particularly during peak outdoor activity seasons.

Sportsman's Warehouse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook driven by consecutive quarters of sales growth, strong performance in key categories like hunting and fishing, and improved gross margins. However, challenges remain with the camping department's underperformance, increased net losses, and a strategic but significant increase in inventory levels. Despite these challenges, strategic initiatives and category growth provide a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consecutive Quarter of Comp Store Sales Growth
Achieved a 2.1% increase in same-store sales compared to the previous year, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth.
Strong Performance in Key Categories
Hunting and shooting sports department grew by 4%, while fishing increased by 10.9% compared to last year.
Ammunition Sales Growth
Ammunition sales increased by 10% in the quarter, with average unit retail up in low single digits.
E-commerce Expansion
E-commerce sales grew by 3% over last year, with over 70% of online transactions fulfilled through the buy online pick up in store (BOPUS) program.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin for the quarter was 32%, an 80 basis point improvement compared to Q2 last year.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter improved to $8.3 million, compared to $7.4 million in the second quarter of last year, a 20 basis point improvement as a percentage of net sales.
Negative Updates
Disappointing Camping Sales
Camping department sales were down 10% compared to last year due to the elimination of slow-moving categories.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for the quarter was $7.1 million, compared to a net loss of $5.9 million in the second quarter of last year.
Inventory Increase
Total inventory at the end of Q2 was $443.5 million, compared to $363.4 million in the same period last year, due to a strategic decision to ensure readiness for the fall hunting season.
Lower Average Unit Retail in Firearms
Average unit retail for firearms declined by 4%, despite an increase in unit sales.
Company Guidance
During the Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting a strategic focus on key growth areas despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges. They achieved a 2.1% increase in same-store sales and reported net sales of $393.9 million, up 1.8% from the previous year. The company experienced a gross margin improvement of 80 basis points to 32% despite a 40 basis point drag from increased freight expenses. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $8.3 million, a 20 basis point improvement as a percentage of net sales. Looking ahead, they raised the lower end of their full-year net sales outlook to reflect flat growth and maintained the top end at a 3.5% increase, with adjusted EBITDA guidance between $33 million and $45 million. The focus remains on profitable sales growth, margin improvement, and efficient inventory management, anticipating ending the year with lower total inventory and generating positive free cash flow.

Sportsman's Warehouse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sportsman's Warehouse faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and negative cash flows. Despite maintaining a stable gross profit margin, the company's financial health is weakened by operational inefficiencies and increased reliance on debt.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sportsman's Warehouse has experienced a significant decline in revenue over the past few years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.43% following several periods of negative growth. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable at around 31%, but the net profit margin has turned negative, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also deteriorated, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows increasing leverage, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 2.75, up from 1.34 in 2023. This high leverage poses a risk, especially with negative return on equity (ROE) of -16.57%, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio has decreased, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.49, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.20B1.29B1.40B1.51B1.45B
Gross Profit376.25M370.47M383.41M460.24M490.30M476.45M
EBITDA23.45M21.65M13.67M89.84M203.38M172.10M
Net Income-37.42M-33.06M-29.00M40.52M108.47M91.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets948.85M852.10M886.21M858.96M840.58M660.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80M2.83M3.14M2.39M57.02M65.53M
Total Debt506.76M477.20M481.74M393.45M343.20M277.75M
Total Liabilities739.97M616.40M621.65M565.85M526.41M456.16M
Stockholders Equity208.89M235.70M264.56M293.11M314.17M204.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-54.57M19.59M-27.63M-16.72M-75.08M219.06M
Operating Cash Flow-36.52M34.15M52.27M46.79M-21.63M238.82M
Investing Cash Flow-18.02M-14.48M-79.89M-60.59M-53.45M-26.23M
Financing Cash Flow53.78M-19.98M28.38M-40.84M66.57M-148.75M

Sportsman's Warehouse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.13
Price Trends
50DMA
2.56
Negative
100DMA
2.88
Negative
200DMA
2.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
46.04
Neutral
STOCH
70.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPWH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.09, below the 50-day MA of 2.56, and below the 200-day MA of 2.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SPWH.

Sportsman's Warehouse Risk Analysis

Sportsman's Warehouse disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sportsman's Warehouse reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sportsman's Warehouse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$536.61M10.2579.76%8.23%-7.03%1.04%
67
Neutral
$18.60B16.6823.79%2.29%10.86%-11.63%
65
Neutral
$3.01B8.4618.42%1.04%-2.20%-17.95%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$310.57M1.38%63.65%
45
Neutral
$81.86M-16.56%-2.92%-8.22%
43
Neutral
$207.55M-67.22%-8.07%-2206.16%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse
2.13
-0.01
-0.47%
FLWS
1-800 Flowers
3.40
-4.73
-58.18%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
207.41
4.82
2.38%
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
9.22
-1.72
-15.72%
BWMX
Betterware de Mexico
14.23
2.79
24.39%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
48.22
-0.53
-1.09%

Sportsman's Warehouse Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Michael Tucci Joins Sportsman’s Warehouse Board
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Steven R. Becker resigned from the Board of Directors of Sportsman’s Warehouse Holdings, Inc., where he served as Chairperson of the Compensation Committee and a member of the Nominating and Governance Committee. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. Subsequently, on September 11, 2025, Michael Tucci was appointed as an independent director to fill the vacancy. Tucci, with over 30 years of experience in retail, including leadership roles at Rebel Capital, Rag & Bone, Coach, The Gap, and Macy’s, will serve as Chairperson of the Compensation Committee and a member of the Nominating and Governance Committee. His appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s position in the specialty retail industry and contribute to its growth and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPWH) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sportsman’s Warehouse stock, see the SPWH Stock Forecast page.

Sportsman’s Warehouse Reports Positive Earnings Outlook
Sep 6, 2025

The latest earnings call from Sportsman’s Warehouse painted a generally positive picture, with the company reporting consecutive quarters of sales growth and strong performance in key categories such as hunting and fishing. Improved gross margins also contributed to the optimistic outlook. However, challenges remain, including underperformance in the camping department, increased net losses, and a strategic but significant rise in inventory levels. Despite these hurdles, the company remains confident in its strategic initiatives and category growth, which provide a positive outlook for the future.

Sportsman’s Warehouse Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Sep 5, 2025

Sportsman’s Warehouse Holdings, Inc. is an outdoor specialty retailer that caters to a wide range of outdoor enthusiasts, offering a variety of gear and services to inspire outdoor activities. The company operates primarily in the retail sector, focusing on outdoor sports and recreation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025