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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH)
NASDAQ:SPWH
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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) AI Stock Analysis

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SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse

(NASDAQ:SPWH)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(3.81% Upside)
Sportsman's Warehouse's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flows, which weigh heavily on the score. Despite some positive signals from the earnings call and technical analysis, the negative valuation and financial performance are the most impactful factors.
Positive Factors
Same-Store Sales Growth
Consistent same-store sales growth indicates strong customer retention and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term revenue stability.
E-commerce Expansion
Growth in e-commerce, especially with BOPUS, enhances market reach and customer convenience, aligning with digital retail trends.
Gross Margin Improvement
Improved gross margins reflect better cost management and pricing strategies, which are crucial for long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Increased leverage heightens financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting future investment and growth opportunities.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows indicate operational inefficiencies and could hinder the company's ability to fund growth initiatives.
Net Loss Increase
Rising net losses highlight ongoing profitability challenges, which may affect investor confidence and long-term financial health.

Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sportsman's Warehouse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) is a leading retailer specializing in outdoor sporting goods and equipment, primarily catering to enthusiasts of hunting, fishing, camping, and other outdoor recreational activities. Founded in 1986, the company operates a chain of retail stores across the United States, offering a wide range of products including firearms, ammunition, fishing gear, camping supplies, and apparel. Sportsman's Warehouse is dedicated to providing quality products and exceptional customer service to outdoor enthusiasts of all skill levels.
How the Company Makes MoneySportsman's Warehouse generates revenue primarily through the sale of outdoor sporting goods and equipment in its retail stores and online platform. The company's key revenue streams include sales of firearms, fishing tackle, camping gear, and outdoor clothing. Additionally, Sportsman's Warehouse benefits from seasonal sales spikes related to hunting and fishing seasons, which drive increased demand for specific products. The company also engages in promotions and loyalty programs that encourage repeat purchases. Partnerships with various outdoor brands and manufacturers allow Sportsman's Warehouse to offer exclusive products and promotions, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

Sportsman's Warehouse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook driven by consecutive quarters of sales growth, strong performance in key categories like hunting and fishing, and improved gross margins. However, challenges remain with the camping department's underperformance, increased net losses, and a strategic but significant increase in inventory levels. Despite these challenges, strategic initiatives and category growth provide a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consecutive Quarter of Comp Store Sales Growth
Achieved a 2.1% increase in same-store sales compared to the previous year, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth.
Strong Performance in Key Categories
Hunting and shooting sports department grew by 4%, while fishing increased by 10.9% compared to last year.
Ammunition Sales Growth
Ammunition sales increased by 10% in the quarter, with average unit retail up in low single digits.
E-commerce Expansion
E-commerce sales grew by 3% over last year, with over 70% of online transactions fulfilled through the buy online pick up in store (BOPUS) program.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin for the quarter was 32%, an 80 basis point improvement compared to Q2 last year.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter improved to $8.3 million, compared to $7.4 million in the second quarter of last year, a 20 basis point improvement as a percentage of net sales.
Negative Updates
Disappointing Camping Sales
Camping department sales were down 10% compared to last year due to the elimination of slow-moving categories.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for the quarter was $7.1 million, compared to a net loss of $5.9 million in the second quarter of last year.
Inventory Increase
Total inventory at the end of Q2 was $443.5 million, compared to $363.4 million in the same period last year, due to a strategic decision to ensure readiness for the fall hunting season.
Lower Average Unit Retail in Firearms
Average unit retail for firearms declined by 4%, despite an increase in unit sales.
Company Guidance
During the Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting a strategic focus on key growth areas despite ongoing macroeconomic challenges. They achieved a 2.1% increase in same-store sales and reported net sales of $393.9 million, up 1.8% from the previous year. The company experienced a gross margin improvement of 80 basis points to 32% despite a 40 basis point drag from increased freight expenses. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $8.3 million, a 20 basis point improvement as a percentage of net sales. Looking ahead, they raised the lower end of their full-year net sales outlook to reflect flat growth and maintained the top end at a 3.5% increase, with adjusted EBITDA guidance between $33 million and $45 million. The focus remains on profitable sales growth, margin improvement, and efficient inventory management, anticipating ending the year with lower total inventory and generating positive free cash flow.

Sportsman's Warehouse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sportsman's Warehouse faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While the company has managed to maintain a stable gross profit margin, the overall financial health is weakened by operational inefficiencies and increased reliance on debt.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sportsman's Warehouse has experienced a significant decline in revenue over the past few years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 0.43% following several periods of negative growth. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable at around 31%, but the net profit margin has turned negative, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also deteriorated, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows increasing leverage, with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 2.75, up from 1.34 in 2023. This high leverage poses a risk, especially with negative return on equity (ROE) of -16.57%, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio has decreased, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.49, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.20B1.29B1.40B1.51B1.45B
Gross Profit376.25M370.47M383.41M460.24M490.30M476.45M
EBITDA23.45M21.65M13.67M89.84M203.38M172.10M
Net Income-37.42M-33.06M-29.00M40.52M108.47M91.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets948.85M852.10M886.21M858.96M840.58M660.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80M2.83M3.14M2.39M57.02M65.53M
Total Debt506.76M477.20M481.74M393.45M343.20M264.31M
Total Liabilities739.97M616.40M621.65M565.85M526.41M456.16M
Stockholders Equity208.89M235.70M264.56M293.11M314.17M204.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-54.57M19.59M-27.63M-16.72M-75.08M219.06M
Operating Cash Flow-36.52M34.15M52.27M46.79M-21.63M238.82M
Investing Cash Flow-18.02M-14.48M-79.89M-60.59M-53.45M-26.23M
Financing Cash Flow53.78M-19.98M28.38M-40.84M66.57M-148.75M

Sportsman's Warehouse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.89
Price Trends
50DMA
3.12
Negative
100DMA
3.01
Negative
200DMA
2.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.46
Neutral
STOCH
17.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPWH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.03, below the 50-day MA of 3.12, and above the 200-day MA of 2.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPWH.

Sportsman's Warehouse Risk Analysis

Sportsman's Warehouse disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sportsman's Warehouse reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sportsman's Warehouse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$20.47B15.9334.98%2.08%2.70%4.58%
74
Outperform
$852.77M33.0512.77%38.40%32.42%
73
Outperform
$3.32B9.3417.87%1.00%-2.20%-17.95%
59
Neutral
$7.37B59.45-14.58%2.38%-38.88%
48
Neutral
$116.83M-16.56%-2.92%-8.22%
46
Neutral
$33.00M-0.34-68.63%-8.04%-263.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse
2.89
0.44
17.96%
BGFV
Big 5 Sporting Goods
1.44
-0.56
-28.00%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
219.88
19.24
9.59%
LQDT
Liquidity Services
27.51
5.43
24.59%
ETSY
Etsy
66.39
14.55
28.07%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
50.71
-4.29
-7.80%

Sportsman's Warehouse Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sportsman’s Warehouse Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Sportsman’s Warehouse announced the appointment of Jennifer Fall Jung as the new Chief Financial Officer and Secretary, effective August 18, 2025. She succeeds Jeff White, who will transition to a consulting role until September 9, 2025. Ms. Fall Jung brings over 25 years of experience in the consumer goods industry, having held significant financial roles at companies like The Duckhorn Portfolio, Funko, Inc., and The Gap, Inc. Her leadership is expected to be instrumental in executing the company’s long-term financial and strategic plans. The transition is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership team and enhance its market position.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025