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Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH)
NASDAQ:SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) AI Stock Analysis

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SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse

(NASDAQ:SPWH)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(13.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, higher leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals add caution with longer-term downtrend signals despite a short-term bounce. The earnings call provides some offset via improving comps, margins, and inventory discipline, but tempered guidance and elevated SG&A keep the overall risk profile high. Valuation is difficult to support with negative earnings and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound & category strength
A large TTM revenue rebound (+58.5%) signals demand recovery and validates the company’s core merchandising mix. Durable because top-line recovery across multiple periods supports scale advantages in purchasing, vendor terms and fixed-cost absorption if sustained over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative cash flow and recurring losses
Sustained net losses and negative operating and free cash flow materially weaken internal funding ability. This increases reliance on external financing, constrains reinvestment in stores and digital initiatives, and raises the risk that operational improvements may be insufficient to restore durable cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue rebound & category strength
A large TTM revenue rebound (+58.5%) signals demand recovery and validates the company’s core merchandising mix. Durable because top-line recovery across multiple periods supports scale advantages in purchasing, vendor terms and fixed-cost absorption if sustained over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sportsman's Warehouse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer in the United States. It offers camping products, such as backpacks, camp essentials, canoes and kayaks, coolers, outdoor cooking ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of outdoor sporting goods, including firearms, fishing equipment, and camping gear. Its revenue model includes both in-store sales and e-commerce transactions, allowing it to reach a broader...

Sportsman's Warehouse Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Sportsman's Warehouse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted positive same-store sales growth and segment successes, particularly in hunting, shooting sports, and fishing. The company's strategic initiatives in e-commerce and inventory management showed promising results. However, the company faced challenges due to a tough consumer environment, increased SG&A expenses, and a revised full-year guidance reflecting macroeconomic pressures.
Positive Updates
Positive Same-Store Sales Growth
The company achieved its third consecutive quarter of positive same-store sales growth, with a 2.2% increase year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenging Market Conditions
A slowdown in sales trends was noted starting mid-October due to a prolonged government shutdown and a tough consumer environment.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Positive Same-Store Sales Growth
The company achieved its third consecutive quarter of positive same-store sales growth, with a 2.2% increase year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. reported a 2.2% increase in same-store sales, marking their third consecutive quarter of growth. Net sales reached $331.3 million, also up 2.2% year-over-year. The company achieved a gross margin of 32.8%, a 100 basis point improvement from the previous year, driven by better product margins and reduced freight expenses. SG&A expenses rose to $104.5 million, or 31.5% of net sales. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 13% to $18.6 million. Total inventory decreased by 3.2% year-over-year to $424 million. Despite macroeconomic headwinds and a challenging Q4 outlook, the company remains optimistic about finishing the year with lower inventory levels and positive free cash flow, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range between $22 million and $26 million. The company's focus remains on strategic initiatives, including inventory efficiency and disciplined cost management, to drive modest growth and improved profitability into 2026.

Sportsman's Warehouse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a strong TTM revenue rebound (+58.5%), fundamentals remain pressured: net loss of $37.1M (-3.1% net margin), rising leverage (debt-to-equity 2.64x as equity declined), and a sharp deterioration in cash generation with negative operating cash flow (-$17.7M) and free cash flow (-$39.7M). The setup is a turnaround, but current profitability and liquidity metrics are weak.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMJan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022Jan 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.20B1.29B1.40B1.51B1.45B
Gross Profit372.27M370.47M383.41M460.24M490.30M476.45M
EBITDA25.20M21.65M13.67M89.84M203.38M172.10M
Net Income-37.05M-33.06M-29.00M40.52M108.47M91.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets913.87M852.10M886.21M858.96M840.58M660.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.25M2.83M3.14M2.39M57.02M65.53M
Total Debt553.09M455.27M481.74M393.45M343.20M277.75M
Total Liabilities704.35M616.40M621.65M565.85M526.41M456.16M
Stockholders Equity209.52M235.70M264.56M293.11M314.17M204.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.67M19.59M-27.63M-16.72M-75.08M219.06M
Operating Cash Flow-17.68M34.15M52.27M46.79M-21.63M238.82M
Investing Cash Flow-21.96M-14.48M-79.89M-60.59M-53.45M-26.23M
Financing Cash Flow39.22M-19.98M28.38M-40.84M66.57M-148.75M

Sportsman's Warehouse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.32
Price Trends
50DMA
1.34
Negative
100DMA
1.55
Negative
200DMA
2.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
43.18
Neutral
STOCH
35.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPWH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.36, below the 50-day MA of 1.34, and below the 200-day MA of 2.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPWH.

Sportsman's Warehouse Risk Analysis

Sportsman's Warehouse disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sportsman's Warehouse reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sportsman's Warehouse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$629.53M0.3887.45%8.47%-7.03%1.04%
64
Neutral
$17.04B35.0119.45%2.33%10.86%-11.63%
62
Neutral
$3.45B9.7318.07%1.04%-0.65%-10.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$299.06M11.58-3.56%1.38%63.65%
47
Neutral
$198.60M0.88-67.22%-8.07%-2206.16%
44
Neutral
$48.87M2,968.40-17.05%-1.05%-10.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse
1.27
0.28
28.28%
FLWS
1-800 Flowers
3.10
-2.80
-47.46%
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
189.36
-7.42
-3.77%
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education
8.72
-1.78
-16.95%
BWMX
Betterware de Mexico
16.87
6.47
62.13%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
53.51
8.39
18.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026