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Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS)
NYSE:DKS

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) AI Stock Analysis

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DKS

Dick's Sporting Goods

(NYSE:DKS)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$243.00
▲(15.68% Upside)
Dick's Sporting Goods exhibits strong revenue growth and strategic expansion, particularly with the acquisition of Foot Locker. However, challenges such as declining profit margins, cash flow pressures, and transitional issues with Foot Locker weigh on the score. The stock's valuation and dividend yield provide some support, but technical indicators suggest caution. Overall, the company is positioned for growth but must address operational and financial challenges to enhance investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent increase in comparable sales indicates strong consumer demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Strategic Expansion
Expanding the House of Sport locations enhances market presence and diversifies revenue streams, contributing to sustained growth.
Full-Year Outlook Raised
Raising the full-year outlook reflects management's confidence in ongoing operational improvements and market conditions, supporting future performance.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Declining profit margins indicate pressure on profitability, which could affect long-term financial health if not addressed through cost management.
Cash Flow Pressures
Significant reduction in free cash flow suggests challenges in cash generation, potentially impacting the company's ability to fund growth initiatives.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility in capital allocation and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dick's Sporting Goods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a sporting goods retailer primarily in the eastern United States. The company provides hardlines, including sporting goods equipment, fitness equipment, golf equipment, and hunting and fishing gear products; apparel; and footwear and accessories. It also owns and operates Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Field & Stream, Public Lands, Going Going Gone!, and other specialty concept stores; and DICK'S House of Sports and Golf Galaxy Performance Center, as well as GameChanger, a youth sports mobile application for video streaming, scorekeeping, scheduling, and communications. The company sells its product through e-commerce websites and mobile applications. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 730 DICK'S Sporting Goods stores. The company was formerly known as Dick'S Clothing and Sporting Goods, Inc. and changed its name to DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. in April 1999. DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Coraopolis, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDick's Sporting Goods generates revenue primarily through the sale of sporting goods and apparel. The company operates on a retail business model, which includes direct sales from its physical stores and its e-commerce platform. Key revenue streams include sales of athletic footwear, sports apparel, equipment for sports such as basketball, soccer, and outdoor activities like camping and fishing. Additionally, Dick's Sporting Goods has partnerships with various brands, allowing them to offer exclusive products and promotions. The company also benefits from private label brands, which contribute to higher margins. Seasonal promotions, events, and loyalty programs further enhance customer engagement and drive sales, contributing significantly to overall earnings.

Dick's Sporting Goods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Comparable Sales Percentage
Comparable Sales Percentage
Measures sales growth at existing stores, indicating the company's ability to increase revenue without opening new locations. It reflects customer loyalty and operational efficiency.
Chart InsightsDick's Sporting Goods has shown a steady recovery in comparable sales since early 2023, with a notable uptick in late 2024. This aligns with their strategic initiatives, including digital and in-store investments, and the anticipated benefits from acquiring Foot Locker. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and increased SG&A expenses, the company remains optimistic, projecting 1-3% same-store sales growth for 2025. The acquisition is expected to enhance global market participation and drive cost synergies, potentially offsetting challenges like higher tax rates and increased inventory levels.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dick's Sporting Goods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While DICK'S Sporting Goods shows strong performance and strategic growth, challenges with the newly acquired Foot Locker, particularly in terms of declining sales and inventory issues, suggest a transitional phase. The company is optimistic about turning Foot Locker around by 2026.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong DICK'S Business Performance
DICK'S Sporting Goods reported a 5.7% increase in comparable sales for Q3, building on a 4.3% increase last year and a 1.9% increase in 2023. Gross margin expanded by 27 basis points, and non-GAAP EPS increased to $2.78 from $2.75 in the prior year's quarter.
House of Sport Expansion
DICK'S opened 13 new House of Sport locations in Q3, the most in a single quarter, bringing the total to 35 nationwide. This expansion is part of a strategic focus on real estate and store portfolio growth.
Raising Full-Year Outlook
DICK'S raised its full-year outlook for the business, now expecting comp sales growth of 3.5% to 4% and EPS in the range of $14.25 to $14.55.
Successful Integration of Foot Locker
Despite initial challenges, DICK'S is confident in the long-term value of the Foot Locker acquisition, with plans for it to be accretive in 2026, supported by a new management team and a focus on operational excellence.
Negative Updates
Foot Locker's Negative Performance
Foot Locker's pro forma comp sales for the full third quarter declined 4.7%, with a significant 10.2% decline internationally. DICK'S plans to aggressively purge underperforming assets and expects Q4 margin rate for Foot Locker to be down between 1,000 to 1,500 basis points.
Inventory Challenges at Foot Locker
Foot Locker is dealing with unproductive inventory and plans to take markdowns to clear it out by the end of the year, which will impact gross margins.
Company Guidance
During the DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and updates on recent performance metrics. The DICK'S business achieved a 5.7% increase in comparable sales, contributing to a consolidated net sales growth of 36.3% to $4.17 billion. The gross margin for the DICK'S business expanded by 27 basis points, with a non-GAAP EPS of $2.78, up from $2.75 the previous year. DICK'S raised its full-year outlook, expecting comp sales growth between 3.5% and 4%, and EPS ranging from $14.25 to $14.55. The acquisition of Foot Locker, completed on September 8, contributed approximately $931 million to sales, though it reported a 4.7% decline in pro forma comp sales. Foot Locker's Q4 gross margin is expected to decline between 1,000 to 1,500 basis points as DICK'S focuses on clearing unproductive inventory. Despite current challenges, DICK'S anticipates Foot Locker's business to be accretive to EPS in fiscal 2026, excluding one-time costs, supported by operational improvements and strategic merchandising initiatives.

Dick's Sporting Goods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dick's Sporting Goods demonstrates strong revenue growth and effective equity utilization, but faces challenges with declining profit margins and cash flow generation. The high leverage requires careful management to mitigate financial risks. The company is well-positioned in terms of growth but needs to address profitability and cash flow concerns to sustain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Dick's Sporting Goods shows a strong revenue growth rate of 8.06% TTM, indicating robust sales performance. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 6.86% TTM from 8.67% in the previous annual report, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable at 35.33% TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth but with some margin compression.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.39 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. However, the return on equity is strong at 26.99% TTM, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 31.68% TTM, suggesting a balanced capital structure. The balance sheet reflects a mix of high leverage and strong equity returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has significantly declined by 69.80% TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30 TTM, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33 TTM, showing limited free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights challenges in maintaining cash flow levels.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.88B13.44B12.98B12.37B12.29B9.58B
Gross Profit5.26B4.83B4.53B4.28B4.71B3.05B
EBITDA1.73B1.97B1.77B1.84B2.37B1.09B
Net Income1.02B1.17B1.05B1.04B1.52B530.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.43B10.46B9.31B8.99B9.04B7.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments821.33M1.69B1.80B1.92B2.64B1.66B
Total Debt7.70B4.49B4.26B4.21B4.51B3.15B
Total Liabilities11.91B7.26B6.69B6.47B6.94B5.41B
Stockholders Equity5.52B3.20B2.62B2.52B2.10B2.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.39M509.27M939.91M557.81M1.31B1.33B
Operating Cash Flow1.17B1.31B1.53B921.88M1.62B1.55B
Investing Cash Flow-900.60M-796.56M-614.68M-392.89M-343.98M-224.16M
Financing Cash Flow-905.07M-626.13M-1.04B-1.25B-287.72M260.06M

Dick's Sporting Goods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price210.07
Price Trends
50DMA
217.53
Negative
100DMA
218.73
Negative
200DMA
204.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.24
Positive
RSI
45.03
Neutral
STOCH
7.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DKS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 210.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 212.57, below the 50-day MA of 217.53, and above the 200-day MA of 204.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DKS.

Dick's Sporting Goods Risk Analysis

Dick's Sporting Goods disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dick's Sporting Goods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dick's Sporting Goods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.61B9.8918.34%0.96%-0.65%-10.35%
71
Outperform
$18.71B16.7223.79%2.31%10.86%-11.63%
62
Neutral
$14.97B23.5922.49%5.30%-0.95%-48.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$13.61B66.6359.58%9.80%-46.84%
53
Neutral
$4.03B6.054.07%-1.04%-20.88%
43
Neutral
$54.64M-1.45-16.36%-1.05%-10.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
210.07
-3.66
-1.71%
BBY
Best Buy Co
71.76
-9.42
-11.60%
BBWI
Bath & Body Works
19.62
-18.41
-48.41%
SPWH
Sportsman's Warehouse
1.41
-0.88
-38.43%
CHWY
Chewy
32.27
-1.45
-4.30%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
54.93
-0.12
-0.22%

Dick's Sporting Goods Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dick’s Sporting Goods Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods declared a quarterly dividend of $1.2125 per share, payable on December 26, 2025. The company reported strong third-quarter results with a 5.7% increase in comparable sales for its Dick’s Business and raised its full-year 2025 guidance. The acquisition of Foot Locker was completed, positioning the company as a global leader in sports retail, although it anticipates future pre-tax charges related to integration costs.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dick’s Sporting Goods Completes Exchange Offer with Foot Locker
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods completed an exchange offer and consent solicitation involving Foot Locker’s 4.000% Senior Notes due 2029. This move allowed Dick’s to issue $381,932,000 in new notes, which will mature in 2029, while retiring a significant portion of Foot Locker’s existing notes. The exchange offer was not registered under the Securities Act, and Dick’s entered into a registration rights agreement to facilitate future exchanges of these notes. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to impact the company’s financial structure and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025