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Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS)
NYSE:DKS

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) AI Stock Analysis

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Dick's Sporting Goods

(NYSE:DKS)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$205.00
▲(15.99%Upside)
Dick's Sporting Goods is well-positioned with strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and strategic growth initiatives. The acquisition of Foot Locker and credit facility bolster future prospects, despite some technical and macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Acquisition benefits
The acquisition of Foot Locker is expected to strengthen brand partnerships and enhance omnichannel capabilities.
Earnings
The acquisition of Foot Locker is expected to be accretive to future earnings per share, suggesting a positive financial impact.
Financial performance
Strong F1Q results were driven by growth in ticket and traffic, indicating positive business performance.
Negative Factors
Acquisition challenges
The pending acquisition of Foot Locker will prove to be a distraction to the leadership, despite management's claims to the contrary.
Acquisition complexity
The FL acquisition introduces a layer of complexity.
Investor sentiment
The stock is net down near the entire value of the proposed FL acquisition since the announcement, with investors skeptical of hurting the momentum in the core business.

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dick's Sporting Goods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a sporting goods retailer primarily in the eastern United States. The company provides hardlines, including sporting goods equipment, fitness equipment, golf equipment, and hunting and fishing gear products; apparel; and footwear and accessories. It also owns and operates Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Field & Stream, Public Lands, Going Going Gone!, and other specialty concept stores; and DICK'S House of Sports and Golf Galaxy Performance Center, as well as GameChanger, a youth sports mobile application for video streaming, scorekeeping, scheduling, and communications. The company sells its product through e-commerce websites and mobile applications. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 730 DICK'S Sporting Goods stores. The company was formerly known as Dick'S Clothing and Sporting Goods, Inc. and changed its name to DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. in April 1999. DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Coraopolis, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDick's Sporting Goods generates revenue through the sale of sporting goods and related products via its physical retail stores and online platform. Its key revenue streams include the sale of athletic apparel, footwear, and equipment for various sports and outdoor activities. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with major brands, exclusive product lines, and its own private-label products, which often carry higher margins. Additionally, Dick's Sporting Goods invests in marketing and loyalty programs to drive customer engagement and repeat purchases, further contributing to its earnings.

Dick's Sporting Goods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
DICK'S Sporting Goods had a strong first quarter with notable sales growth, strategic acquisitions, and e-commerce expansion. However, challenges such as macroeconomic uncertainties, increased SG&A expenses, and higher tax rates were highlighted. The company remains optimistic about future growth and the benefits of the Foot Locker acquisition.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Performance
DICK'S Sporting Goods reported a consolidated sales increase of 5.2% to $3.17 billion with Q1 comps increasing 4.5%. This represents a 9.8% two-year comp stack and a 13.4% three-year comp stack.
Foot Locker Acquisition
DICK'S announced plans to acquire Foot Locker, expanding their reach to over 3,200 stores worldwide. The acquisition is expected to be accretive to EPS in the first full fiscal year post-close.
E-commerce Growth
The company delivered strong e-commerce growth in Q1, outpacing total company growth, driven by investments in technology and marketing.
Game Changer and DICK'S Media Network
Game Changer had over 6.5 million unique active users in Q1, a 28% year-over-year increase. The DICK'S Media Network continues to deliver strong growth.
Gross Margin Expansion
First quarter gross margin expanded by 41 basis points due to higher merchandise margins.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Concerns
The company is operating in an increasingly complex macroeconomic environment with shifting trade policies and a cautious consumer mindset.
SG&A Expense Deleverage
SG&A expenses increased 7% to $791.2 million and deleveraged 42 basis points compared to last year's non-GAAP results.
Higher Tax Rate
The Q1 tax rate grew from 19.6% last year to approximately 24%, impacting earnings.
Inventory Increase
Quarter-end inventory levels increased by 12% compared to last year, which may pose challenges.
Company Guidance
During the DICK'S Sporting Goods First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company shared guidance for the fiscal year 2025. They reaffirmed their expectations for same-store sales growth in the range of 1% to 3%, with earnings per share (EPS) anticipated to be between $13.80 and $14.40. The company expects a gross margin improvement of approximately 75 basis points at the midpoint. DICK'S plans to invest strategically in digital, in-store, and marketing initiatives while maintaining a strong inventory position. They reported a 5.2% increase in consolidated sales to $3.17 billion and a 4.5% increase in comparable store sales. The company also highlighted the expected accretive impact of their planned acquisition of Foot Locker, anticipating meaningful cost synergies and enhanced global market participation.

Dick's Sporting Goods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dick's Sporting Goods shows strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, effective cost management, and a stable financial structure. Key strengths include a robust ROE and manageable debt. However, concerns arise from a slight decline in EBITDA margin and decreased free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dick's Sporting Goods has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue of $13.6 billion, reflecting a positive growth trajectory from previous years. The gross profit margin stands robustly at 36.0% TTM, showcasing effective cost management. Net profit margin of 8.5% TTM indicates healthy profitability. However, a slight decline in EBITDA margin from 14.7% to 13.7% TTM suggests rising operational costs that need monitoring.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Dick's Sporting Goods reveals a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.50 TTM, indicating manageable leverage levels. With a return on equity of 37.8% TTM, the company effectively generates profits from shareholders' investments. Although the equity ratio of 29.2% suggests a moderate reliance on debt, the overall financial stability remains strong.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in free cash flow from $509 million to $348 million TTM, primarily due to increased capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.09 TTM reflects adequate cash generation relative to earnings, but the decline in free cash flow growth rate raises concerns about future liquidity if capital expenditures persist at current levels.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
13.60B13.44B12.98B12.37B12.29B9.58B
Gross Profit
4.90B4.83B4.55B4.28B4.71B3.05B
EBIT
1.51B1.47B1.28B1.46B2.03B741.48M
EBITDA
1.87B1.97B1.73B1.81B2.37B1.05B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.15B1.17B1.05B1.04B1.52B530.25M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.04B1.69B1.80B1.92B2.64B1.66B
Total Assets
10.43B10.46B9.31B8.99B9.04B7.75B
Total Debt
4.57B4.49B4.26B4.21B4.51B3.15B
Net Debt
3.53B2.80B2.46B2.28B1.87B1.49B
Total Liabilities
4.27B7.26B6.69B6.47B6.94B5.41B
Stockholders Equity
3.05B3.20B2.62B2.52B2.10B2.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
348.40M509.27M939.91M557.81M1.31B1.33B
Operating Cash Flow
1.26B1.31B1.53B921.88M1.62B1.55B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.02B-796.56M-614.68M-392.89M-343.98M-224.16M
Financing Cash Flow
-880.13M-626.13M-1.04B-1.25B-287.72M260.06M

Dick's Sporting Goods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price176.74
Price Trends
50DMA
183.49
Negative
100DMA
201.19
Negative
200DMA
205.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.65
Negative
RSI
44.73
Neutral
STOCH
48.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DKS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 176.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 177.84, below the 50-day MA of 183.49, and below the 200-day MA of 205.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DKS.

Dick's Sporting Goods Risk Analysis

Dick's Sporting Goods disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dick's Sporting Goods reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dick's Sporting Goods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$121.01B58.2749.11%41.92%81.11%
78
Outperform
$7.70B7.7119.00%3.21%-5.90%-11.16%
DKDKS
77
Outperform
$14.76B12.6340.22%2.63%3.33%15.47%
ASASO
75
Outperform
$3.01B8.3320.14%1.13%-3.57%-17.43%
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.052.80%4.27%2.67%-24.92%
52
Neutral
$27.88M-39.57%39.58%-8.85%-397.36%
51
Neutral
$174.42M-4.61%6.05%29.58%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
176.74
-43.87
-19.89%
BGFV
Big 5 Sporting Goods
1.20
-1.84
-60.53%
MELI
Mercadolibre
2,371.98
812.75
52.13%
VIPS
Vipshop
14.82
0.04
0.27%
BZUN
Baozun
2.83
0.48
20.43%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
43.55
-9.78
-18.34%

Dick's Sporting Goods Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dick’s Sporting Goods Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on five proposals. The stockholders elected twelve directors, approved executive compensation, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for 2025, and approved an amendment to increase authorized shares. However, a proposal for a report on affirmative action risks was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Hold with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dick’s Sporting Goods Secures $2 Billion Credit Facility
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, DICK’S Sporting Goods entered into a new $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility with Wells Fargo Bank, replacing its existing credit agreement. This move aims to enhance financial flexibility and support the company’s operational needs. Additionally, DICK’S announced an exchange offer for Foot Locker’s senior notes as part of its anticipated acquisition of Foot Locker, Inc., which includes soliciting consents for amendments to the indenture governing these notes. This strategic acquisition is expected to strengthen DICK’S market position in the sporting goods industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Hold with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dick’s Sporting Goods Announces Quarterly Dividend
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods announced a quarterly dividend of $1.2125 per share, payable on June 27, 2025. The company reported record first-quarter sales with a 4.5% increase in comparable sales and reaffirmed its 2025 outlook. Dick’s also plans to acquire Foot Locker, aiming to become a global leader in the sports retail industry. The first quarter saw the opening of new store locations and a strong earnings performance, demonstrating the company’s operational strength and strategic momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Hold with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Dick’s Sporting Goods Announces Merger with Foot Locker
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods announced a merger agreement with Foot Locker, where Foot Locker will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Dick’s. The merger involves converting Foot Locker’s shares into cash or stock of Dick’s, with the transaction subject to various closing conditions, including shareholder approval and antitrust clearances. The merger aims to enhance Dick’s market position and operational capabilities, with potential implications for stakeholders, including changes in stock and cash considerations for Foot Locker’s shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Buy with a $252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Dick’s Sporting Goods to Acquire Foot Locker
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, DICK’S Sporting Goods announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire Foot Locker, valued at approximately $2.4 billion in equity and $2.5 billion in enterprise value. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance DICK’S global reach and drive significant value for stakeholders, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals, with an anticipated closing in the second half of 2025. Additionally, DICK’S reported a 4.5% growth in comparable sales for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a strong start to the year and positioning the company favorably for the proposed acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Buy with a $252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dick’s Sporting Goods Approves Long-Term Performance Awards
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

On March 25, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods approved the grant of long-term performance unit awards to its executive officers and certain employees, effective April 3, 2025. These awards aim to align executive compensation with the company’s financial performance, focusing on key initiatives and retaining senior leaders. The awards will vest on April 3, 2028, contingent on achieving specific performance goals during fiscal years 2025 and 2026, including metrics like total sales and eCommerce sales growth. The target values for these awards vary among executives, with potential payouts ranging from 0 to 200% based on performance metrics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.