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Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS)
NYSE:DKS

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) AI Stock Analysis

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DK

Dick's Sporting Goods

(NYSE:DKS)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$218.00
▲( 30.37% Upside)
Dick's Sporting Goods demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins, which are the most significant factors contributing to the score. The technical analysis shows some caution with current indicators, although the stock has attractive valuation metrics. The earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic growth initiatives and potential expansion opportunities, enhancing the company's future outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Benefits
The acquisition of Foot Locker is expected to be accretive to EPS in the first full fiscal year post-close, excluding one-time costs.
Market Expansion
The acquisition doubles the total addressable market to $300 billion globally, with 3,300 stores across 26 countries.
Vendor Relationships
The acquisition may enhance Dick's Sporting Goods' negotiating leverage with vendors, potentially leading to procurement savings and improved advertising and media buying terms.
Negative Factors
Antitrust Concerns
Concerns about potential antitrust issues arise due to the retail-retail nature of the acquisition, which could complicate the merger process.
Integration Challenges
Integration risks are present due to different formats and customer profiles, which may dampen discretionary athletic spend in a slowing macroeconomic environment.
Strategic Risks
The transaction is discouraged due to strategic risks associated with Foot Locker's format, promotional banners, and underinvestment, along with a rise in leverage.

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dick's Sporting Goods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a sporting goods retailer primarily in the eastern United States. The company provides hardlines, including sporting goods equipment, fitness equipment, golf equipment, and hunting and fishing gear products; apparel; and footwear and accessories. It also owns and operates Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Field & Stream, Public Lands, Going Going Gone!, and other specialty concept stores; and DICK'S House of Sports and Golf Galaxy Performance Center, as well as GameChanger, a youth sports mobile application for video streaming, scorekeeping, scheduling, and communications. The company sells its product through e-commerce websites and mobile applications. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 730 DICK'S Sporting Goods stores. The company was formerly known as Dick'S Clothing and Sporting Goods, Inc. and changed its name to DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. in April 1999. DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Coraopolis, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyDick's Sporting Goods generates revenue primarily through the sale of sporting goods and related products in its retail stores and online platform. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of branded apparel, footwear, and equipment from well-known brands, as well as its own private-label products. Dick's leverages strategic partnerships with major brands to offer exclusive products and enhanced customer experiences. Additionally, the company benefits from its loyalty program, which encourages repeat purchases and customer retention. Seasonal sales, promotional events, and a strong e-commerce presence also contribute significantly to its overall revenue.

Dick's Sporting Goods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dick's Sporting Goods demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage and strong return on equity, while cash flow management is solid. However, there is room for improvement in free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dick's Sporting Goods exhibits strong profitability with robust gross and net profit margins. The company has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory over the years, with the most recent year showing a growth rate of 3.53%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations and good earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40, suggesting a balanced approach to financing. The return on equity is strong at 36.44%, which is a positive indicator of profitability. The equity ratio of 30.57% points to a stable capital structure, though slightly lower equity coverage may pose a risk if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow growth has been volatile, but the company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.13, demonstrating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.44 indicates room for improvement in converting profits into free cash flow, but overall cash flow management is solid.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
13.44B12.98B12.37B12.29B9.58B
Gross Profit
4.83B4.55B4.28B4.71B3.05B
EBIT
1.47B1.28B1.46B2.03B741.48M
EBITDA
1.97B1.73B1.81B2.37B1.05B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.17B1.05B1.04B1.52B530.25M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.69B1.80B1.92B2.64B1.66B
Total Assets
10.46B9.31B8.99B9.04B7.75B
Total Debt
4.49B4.26B4.21B4.51B3.15B
Net Debt
2.80B2.46B2.28B1.87B1.49B
Total Liabilities
7.26B6.69B6.47B6.94B5.41B
Stockholders Equity
3.20B2.62B2.52B2.10B2.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
509.27M939.91M557.81M1.31B1.33B
Operating Cash Flow
1.31B1.53B921.88M1.62B1.55B
Investing Cash Flow
-796.56M-614.68M-392.89M-343.98M-224.16M
Financing Cash Flow
-626.13M-1.04B-1.25B-287.72M260.06M

Dick's Sporting Goods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price167.22
Price Trends
50DMA
190.62
Negative
100DMA
209.16
Negative
200DMA
209.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.47
Positive
RSI
36.06
Neutral
STOCH
1.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DKS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 167.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 188.80, below the 50-day MA of 190.62, and below the 200-day MA of 209.63, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DKS.

Dick's Sporting Goods Risk Analysis

Dick's Sporting Goods disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dick's Sporting Goods reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dick's Sporting Goods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$132.12B64.1049.11%41.92%81.11%
79
Outperform
$7.49B7.5719.00%3.16%-5.90%-11.16%
DKDKS
78
Outperform
$13.80B12.2740.08%2.62%3.53%13.86%
ASASO
71
Outperform
$2.79B7.3321.14%1.09%-3.67%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$6.84B11.222.83%3.93%2.65%-21.93%
57
Neutral
$189.87M-4.61%6.05%29.58%
47
Neutral
$24.45M-39.57%42.03%-8.85%-397.36%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DKS
Dick's Sporting Goods
167.22
-18.81
-10.11%
BGFV
Big 5 Sporting Goods
1.07
-2.10
-66.25%
MELI
Mercadolibre
2,507.83
814.26
48.08%
VIPS
Vipshop
14.36
-1.02
-6.63%
BZUN
Baozun
3.05
0.34
12.55%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
40.65
-12.19
-23.07%

Dick's Sporting Goods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 11, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -20.30%|
Next Earnings Date:May 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance for 2024 with record sales and market share growth, driven by strategic investments in new store formats, digital expansion, and product assortment. While there are challenges with increased inventory levels and SG&A expenses, the company remains optimistic about capturing market opportunities despite economic uncertainties.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Market Share Growth
For the full year 2024, Dick's Sporting Goods delivered record sales of $13.4 billion, with comps increasing 5.2% and gaining approximately 100 basis points of market share.
Strong Fourth Quarter Performance
Q4 2024 comps increased 6.4%, driven by growth in average ticket and transactions, marking the largest sales quarter in the company's history.
Footwear Segment Expansion
Footwear penetration reached 28%, a 900 basis point increase over 10 years, with 450 basis points growth in the last three years.
Strategic Growth in New Store Formats
House of Sport and Field House formats are delivering strong results, with plans to expand to 35 House of Sport and 44 Field House locations by the end of 2025.
Ecommerce and Digital Investments
Plans to accelerate ecommerce growth through technology and marketing investments, leveraging RFID technology and the Dick's app for improved customer experience.
Growth in GameChanger and Dick's Media Network
GameChanger surpassed $100 million in revenue in 2024, expected to reach $150 million in 2025, with Dick's Media Network anticipated to drive long-term sales and margin growth.
Negative Updates
Inventory Levels Increase
Year-end inventory levels increased 18% compared to last year, although clearance levels remained at historic lows.
SG&A Expense Deleveraging
SG&A expenses for Q4 increased 4.8%, resulting in a deleverage of 101 basis points due to strategic investments in technology, talent, and marketing.
Impact of Tariffs and Economic Uncertainty
Uncertainty in tariffs and macroeconomic conditions could impact future performance, although current guidance does not include potential changes in tariffs.
Company Guidance
During the Dick's Sporting Goods fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company reported record sales of $13.4 billion for the full year, with comparable sales increasing by 5.2%. The fourth quarter alone saw a comparable sales increase of 6.4%. The company's EBIT margin reached above 11%, and EPS was reported at $14.05 for the year. Dick's market share in the $140 billion U.S. sports industry increased by approximately 50 basis points, capturing just under 9% of the market. For fiscal 2025, the company expects comparable sales growth between 1% and 3%, with EPS ranging from $13.80 to $14.40. Dick's plans to invest significantly in its digital and in-store opportunities, focusing on growth in footwear, e-commerce, and the repositioning of its real estate and store portfolio. The company anticipates opening approximately 16 new House of Sport locations in 2025, with a goal of reaching 75 to 100 locations by the end of 2027.

Dick's Sporting Goods Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Dick’s Sporting Goods Announces Merger with Foot Locker
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods announced a merger agreement with Foot Locker, where Foot Locker will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Dick’s. The merger involves converting Foot Locker’s shares into cash or stock of Dick’s, with the transaction subject to various closing conditions, including shareholder approval and antitrust clearances. The merger aims to enhance Dick’s market position and operational capabilities, with potential implications for stakeholders, including changes in stock and cash considerations for Foot Locker’s shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Buy with a $252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Dick’s Sporting Goods to Acquire Foot Locker
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, DICK’S Sporting Goods announced a definitive merger agreement to acquire Foot Locker, valued at approximately $2.4 billion in equity and $2.5 billion in enterprise value. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance DICK’S global reach and drive significant value for stakeholders, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals, with an anticipated closing in the second half of 2025. Additionally, DICK’S reported a 4.5% growth in comparable sales for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a strong start to the year and positioning the company favorably for the proposed acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (DKS) stock is a Buy with a $252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dick’s Sporting Goods stock, see the DKS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dick’s Sporting Goods Approves Long-Term Performance Awards
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

On March 25, 2025, Dick’s Sporting Goods approved the grant of long-term performance unit awards to its executive officers and certain employees, effective April 3, 2025. These awards aim to align executive compensation with the company’s financial performance, focusing on key initiatives and retaining senior leaders. The awards will vest on April 3, 2028, contingent on achieving specific performance goals during fiscal years 2025 and 2026, including metrics like total sales and eCommerce sales growth. The target values for these awards vary among executives, with potential payouts ranging from 0 to 200% based on performance metrics.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dick’s Sporting Goods Announces Record Sales and Growth Plans
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

DICK’S Sporting Goods reported record sales for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, with a 6.4% growth in comparable sales for the quarter and a 5.2% increase for the year. The company plans to revise its method for determining comparable sales starting in fiscal 2025, which will now include Warehouse Sale stores after their 14th month of operation. Looking ahead, DICK’S expects continued growth in comparable sales and earnings, with strategic expansions planned for 2025, including new store openings and a focus on enhancing its eCommerce business. The board has also authorized a 10% increase in quarterly dividends and a new five-year share repurchase program of up to $3 billion.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.