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SOPHiA GENETICS (SOPH)
NASDAQ:SOPH
US Market

SOPHiA GENETICS (SOPH) AI Stock Analysis

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SOPH

SOPHiA GENETICS

(NASDAQ:SOPH)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(0.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/06/26
The score is held back primarily by persistent large losses, ongoing cash burn, and a weaker 2025 balance sheet with higher leverage. Offsetting these are constructive earnings-call signals—20%–22% revenue growth guidance, improving adjusted EBITDA trajectory, and strong customer/retention metrics—while technical indicators remain broadly weak despite near-oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Platform scale & volume growth
Sustained growth in analysis volume demonstrates a growing, habitual usage base and strengthens network effects: more data enhances benchmarking and AI models, driving defensibility and recurring per-sample revenue over the medium term as labs and hospitals standardize on the platform.
Customer wins and retention
Broad new-account acquisition, higher average contract values, and documented high retention (NDR expansion) indicate durable commercial momentum: enterprise and clinical adoption creates predictable recurring usage, larger account upsell potential, and a more stable revenue base over 2–6 months.
Technology & product leadership
Material platform performance gains, faster whole-genome throughput, and new multimodal products (Digital Twins) plus a research tie-up with MD Anderson create structural advantages: they lower per-sample cost, enable large-system deployments, and expand addressable use cases over time.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage and weaker equity
Material increase in leverage and a sharply reduced equity cushion weaken financial flexibility. Higher debt relative to equity increases refinancing and covenant risk, limiting the firm's ability to absorb setbacks or fund lumpy customer implementations without additional external financing.
Persistent cash burn
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows indicate the business still consumes material cash to fund growth. Even with improvement versus prior year, continued burn pressures liquidity and implies reliance on financing or dilution unless adjusted EBITDA narrows as guided.
Long, lumpy sales and implementation risk
Revenue concentration from large system rollouts and long biopharma cycles creates execution risk: delays in implementations or slower-than-expected ramping can push revenue and margin improvement out, making near-term guidance and cash-flow trajectories vulnerable to timing.

SOPHiA GENETICS (SOPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SOPHiA GENETICS Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSOPHiA GENETICS SA operates as a healthcare technology company. The company offers SOPHiA DDM platform, a cloud-based software-as-a-service platform for analyzing data and generating insights from multimodal data sets and diagnostic modalities. Its SOPHiA DDM platform and related solutions, products, and services are used by hospital, laboratory, and biopharma worldwide. SOPHiA GENETICS SA was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Saint-Sulpice, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneySOPHiA GENETICS primarily makes money by selling access to its SOPHiA DDM cloud software platform and related analytics applications to healthcare providers (e.g., clinical labs and hospitals) and life sciences customers (e.g., biopharma). Revenue is generally generated through (1) software and platform usage arrangements—commonly structured as subscription and/or usage-based fees tied to the volume of analyses performed on the platform (e.g., per-sample/per-case analysis), and (2) services and other revenue associated with implementation, support, and potentially professional services linked to deploying and operating the platform for customers. The company’s model benefits from network effects as more institutions contribute and analyze data on the platform, improving benchmarking and decision-support outputs, which can help drive recurring usage. Significant factors that can contribute to earnings include partnerships and integrations across the NGS ecosystem (e.g., relationships with sequencing and diagnostic workflow participants) that help distribution and adoption of SOPHiA’s analytics in clinical and research settings; specific partner names or commercial terms: null.

SOPHiA GENETICS Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Reveals which parts of SOPHiA GENETICS’ business—such as platform subscriptions, consumables or services—are generating sales and profits. A large share of recurring platform revenue suggests steadier cash flow and scalable growth, while dependence on one-time product sales or a single segment increases volatility and margin risk.
Chart InsightsRevenue is increasingly driven by the SOPHiA DDM platform — accelerating in 2024–25 as new customer wins and a 40% jump in data processed turn into recurring, high‑margin revenue; management’s raised guidance and 23% YoY growth validate that momentum. Workflow equipment remains tiny and lumpy, so future upside hinges on continued platform adoption and cross‑sell (not hardware). Key risks are cash burn, legal/FX headwinds and execution on the path to adjusted‑EBITDA breakeven in 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

SOPHiA GENETICS Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted meaningful commercial momentum: accelerating revenue growth, record new customer signings (124), strong implementation throughput (102), scalable platform improvements (1 PB processed, new DDM performance), improved adjusted gross margin (+140 bps to 74.2%), and strong retention/expansion metrics (NDR 115%, churn <1%). Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (20%–22% revenue growth) and a path toward improved adjusted EBITDA (guidance implying significant reduction in adjusted EBITDA loss). Offsetting these positives are persistent operating losses, higher reported operating expenses driven by FX movements (Swiss franc appreciation), litigation costs (~$1.8M), and the inherently long and lumpy nature of biopharma revenues and large customer implementations. Overall, the fundamentals and forward guidance show more strengths than weaknesses, but execution risks (implementation timing, FX, legal) remain and will be important to monitor.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Re-acceleration and 2026 Guidance
Total revenue for FY2025 was $77.3M, up 19% year-over-year. Q4 revenue was $21.7M, up 22% year-over-year. Management guided FY2026 reported revenue to $92M–$94M (20%–22% growth).
Strong Platform Usage and Volume Growth
Platform analysis volume was >105,000 in Q4 (+16% YoY) and >391,000 for FY2025 (vs 352,000 in 2024, ~11% YoY). The platform processed nearly 1 petabyte of genomic data in 2025 — nearly double the amount processed two years prior.
Customer Wins and Expansion
Signed a record 124 new customers in 2025 and implemented a record 102 new customers (29 in Q4). Total customers reached 993 globally; genomic customers were 528 as of Dec 31, 2025. Average contract value for new customers in 2025 increased 120% YoY.
Large Strategic Deals and Enterprise Adoption
Won two of the largest integrated U.S. health systems (adopting SOPHiA DDM for up to 60,000 patients annually) and landed major customers like NYU Langone. Renewed/expanded biopharma agreements including AstraZeneca and a new top-5 global pharma global commercial agreement.
Product Traction — MSK-ACCESS and MSK-IMPACT
MSK-ACCESS signed 70 customers across 29 countries (about half have completed implementation). MSK-IMPACT (and Flex) adoption continues, with 21 customers signed to MSK-IMPACT and growing clinical interest in liquid biopsy offerings.
Improving Adjusted Gross Margin and Cost Efficiency
Full-year adjusted gross margin expanded 140 basis points to 74.2% in 2025 (from 72.8% in 2024) due to compute optimizations and reductions in scrap costs, despite materially higher data volumes.
Customer Satisfaction and Retention Metrics
Net promoter score of 67, customer satisfaction over 97%, and annualized revenue churn below 1%. Net dollar retention improved to 115% in 2025 (from 104% in 2024), indicating strong expansion within accounts.
Capital and Liquidity Actions
Raised $15.5M net proceeds via ATM (weighted average price $5.12/share) and expanded credit facility with Perceptive Advisors by $25M. Cash and cash equivalents were $70.3M at year-end (not including Q1 2026 ATM proceeds of $14.4M).
Technology and Platform Improvements
New-generation SOPHiA DDM (adopted by ~1/3 of customers) delivers ~10x greater capacity per run, enables whole genome analysis in <6 hours (vs >24 hours on other systems) and can double weekly data capacity without margin impact — enabling wins of larger customers.
Strategic Product Innovation — Digital Twins and Partnerships
Launched SOPHiA DDM Digital Twins (onboarding first lung cancer users) and announced a collaboration with MD Anderson to co-develop whole transcriptome tests, positioning the company for multimodal AI growth.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Operating Losses and Adjusted EBITDA Deficit
FY2025 operating loss was $70.9M (vs $66.6M in 2024). Adjusted EBITDA loss for 2025 was $41.5M (vs $40.2M in 2024). Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss was $9.9M (vs $9.1M in Q4 2024).
High Operating Expenses and FX Headwinds
Total operating expenses rose to $123.0M in 2025 from $110.5M in 2024. Appreciation of the Swiss franc (≈14% since start of 2025) increased reported payroll and rent expenses when translated to USD, adversely impacting OpEx.
Legal and One-Time Charges
Guardant Health patent litigation generated legal expenses of ~ $1.8M (recorded and disclosed); the company incurred ~$450k in ATM-related costs in Q4. Litigation remains an uncertainty despite a UPC provisional order awarding interim costs to SOPHiA.
Q4 and Full-Year Gross Margin Pressure in Reported Metrics
Q4 reported gross margin was 67.7% (vs 68.2% in Q4 2024); Q4 adjusted gross margin was 73.9%, down 30 basis points YoY, reflecting near-term mix and FX impacts despite full-year adjusted gross margin improvement.
Biopharma Revenue Uncertainty and Long Sales Cycles
Although biopharma pipeline and agreements improved (including AstraZeneca), management noted biopharma revenue is long-cycle and not yet at a point to quantify sustainable annual contribution; select inflection expected in late 2026+/2027.
Revenue Recognition Timing and Prior-Year Comparability
Reported regional and quarter growth comps were affected by a one-time large vendor payment booked in Q4 2024, creating tougher year-over-year comparables that masked some underlying growth in reported figures.
Cash Burn and Need for Continued Discipline
Total cash burn for 2025 was $50.4M (improved 6% YoY), and Q4 cash burn was $12.3M (improved 4% YoY), but the company remains loss-making and is executing cost and headcount optimization plans to reach improved operating leverage.
Seasonality and Back-Half Weighted Growth Risk
2026 guidance assumes growth is back-half weighted as large customer implementations ramp; near-term revenue concentration risk exists if implementations or ramp timelines slip, especially for the two large U.S. health systems.
Company Guidance
SOPHiA GENETICS guided 2026 reported revenue of $92–94 million (20%–22% growth) and expects an adjusted EBITDA loss of $29–32 million (improving from a $41.5M adjusted‑EBITDA loss in 2025), driven by modest expansion in adjusted gross margin (2025 adjusted gross margin 74.2%) from cloud‑compute optimizations and a back‑half‑weighted ramp as large U.S. wins and MSK‑ACCESS/MSK‑IMPACT/Enhanced Exomes scale; management plans to hold OpEx in local currency while cutting discretionary spend and some headcount, expects ~60% of every incremental revenue dollar to drop to the bottom line, aims to approach adjusted‑EBITDA breakeven by end‑2026 and turn positive in H2‑2027, and finished 2025 with $70.3M cash plus roughly $14.4M of Q1 2026 ATM proceeds.

SOPHiA GENETICS Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong top-line growth and solid gross margins, but the financial profile is dominated by very large operating losses and ongoing negative free cash flow. Balance-sheet flexibility weakened in 2025 as debt rose and equity declined sharply.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Revenue has grown over time (from $28.4M in 2020 to $77.3M in 2025), and gross margin remains solid (~62% in 2025). However, profitability is a major weakness: 2025 operating results remain deeply negative (EBIT about -$70.9M; net loss about -$79.0M) with net margin around -102%, showing the cost structure is still far ahead of the current revenue base. The 2025 revenue growth rate also re-accelerated versus 2024, but losses did not meaningfully narrow.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage has risen materially: total debt increased to ~$63.0M in 2025 from ~$30.0M in 2024, and debt relative to equity moved to ~1.34x (from ~0.31x). Equity also declined sharply (to ~$47.1M in 2025 from ~$96.5M in 2024), reflecting ongoing losses and reducing balance-sheet cushion. Total assets were relatively stable (~$163.5M in 2025), but negative returns on equity remain a key concern.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation remains weak with continued cash burn: 2025 operating cash flow was about -$38.0M and free cash flow about -$38.6M. There is some year-over-year improvement versus 2024 (free cash flow was about -$51.0M in 2024), but 2025 free cash flow declined versus 2024 on a growth-rate basis, suggesting volatility in the burn profile. Free cash flow roughly tracks the net loss (about 1.02x of net loss in 2025), indicating losses are not purely non-cash and still pressure liquidity over time.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.27M65.17M62.37M47.56M40.45M
Gross Profit47.81M43.94M42.91M31.25M25.22M
EBITDA-61.40M-50.76M-69.57M-81.38M-69.24M
Net Income-79.00M-62.49M-78.98M-87.45M-73.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets163.46M155.31M206.16M243.84M320.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.29M80.23M123.25M178.61M265.32M
Total Debt63.02M30.03M18.60M16.74M13.06M
Total Liabilities116.31M58.82M54.71M43.71M44.77M
Stockholders Equity47.15M96.49M151.44M200.13M275.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.59M-51.00M-57.80M-80.47M-64.61M
Operating Cash Flow-38.01M-42.82M-48.58M-70.09M-57.94M
Investing Cash Flow-10.51M-8.18M8.32M41.97M-56.93M
Financing Cash Flow34.13M11.59M-2.82M-1.57M237.77M

SOPHiA GENETICS Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.96
Price Trends
50DMA
4.88
Negative
100DMA
4.75
Positive
200DMA
4.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
56.21
Neutral
STOCH
79.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOPH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.58, above the 50-day MA of 4.88, and above the 200-day MA of 4.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOPH.

SOPHiA GENETICS Risk Analysis

SOPHiA GENETICS disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SOPHiA GENETICS reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SOPHiA GENETICS Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$796.08M-72.16-7.10%50.51%50.92%
62
Neutral
$2.05B-166.38-7.41%50.50%
52
Neutral
$887.38M10.10-29.47%32.90%1.85%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$355.48M-3.99-116.98%13.66%-2.65%
48
Neutral
$161.38M-2.20-47.69%-5.30%46.01%
43
Neutral
$5.92M-8.07-8.26%-24.64%92.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
4.96
1.94
64.24%
SDGR
Schrodinger
12.02
-9.78
-44.86%
ZCMD
Zhongchao
1.54
-8.70
-84.96%
WGS
GeneDx Holdings
69.84
-34.55
-33.10%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
1.13
-1.68
-59.79%
OMDA
Omada Health, Inc.
13.51
-9.09
-40.22%

SOPHiA GENETICS Corporate Events

SOPHiA GENETICS Posts Strong 2025 Growth and Reaffirms 2026 Outlook
Mar 3, 2026

On March 3, 2026, SOPHiA GENETICS reported that fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 22% year over year to $21.7 million, while full-year 2025 revenue grew 19% to $77.3 million, with adjusted gross margin improving to 74.2% despite higher data volumes. The company’s IFRS net loss widened to $79.0 million for 2025 and adjusted EBITDA loss to $41.5 million, but management highlighted growing platform scale, record 391,000+ analyses, 528 core genomics customers, and stronger U.S. and liquid biopsy traction as key drivers toward improved operating leverage.

The company signed a record 124 new core genomics customers in 2025, secured two large U.S. integrated health systems expected to add about 60,000 analyses annually starting in the second half of 2026, and expanded collaborations with major cancer centers and biopharma partners. Supported by a higher-margin, cloud-native model, new credit capacity and ATM proceeds, SOPHiA GENETICS reaffirmed its 2026 outlook for 20–22% revenue growth to $92–94 million and a reduced adjusted EBITDA loss of $29–32 million, signaling a path toward breakeven by end-2026 and positive adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOPH) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SOPHiA GENETICS stock, see the SOPH Stock Forecast page.

SOPHiA GENETICS Expands Perceptive Credit Facility With New $25 Million Term Loan Capacity and Additional Warrants
Jan 28, 2026

On January 23, 2026, SOPHiA GENETICS SA amended its existing credit agreement with Perceptive Credit Holdings IV, LP, securing an additional $25 million in term loan commitments split into two $12.5 million tranches: a Tranche C loan that can be drawn under customary conditions and a Tranche D loan that becomes available once trailing 12‑month revenue exceeds $85 million, with both tranches carrying Term SOFR plus 6.25% interest and maturing in 2029. In connection with the amendment, the company also amended and restated a warrant certificate to grant Perceptive the immediate right to purchase 75,000 additional ordinary shares, plus further rights to acquire 100,000 shares upon any draw of the Tranche C loan and another 100,000 shares upon any draw of the Tranche D loan, reinforcing the existing lien structure under its Swiss security documents; the move provides SOPHiA GENETICS with contingent growth capital while introducing potential future equity dilution for shareholders as the warrants become exercisable over a 10‑year period.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOPH) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SOPHiA GENETICS stock, see the SOPH Stock Forecast page.

SOPHiA GENETICS Announces CEO Transition and Strong Preliminary 2025 Results
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, SOPHiA GENETICS announced a planned leadership transition, promoting President Ross Muken to Chief Executive Officer effective July 1, 2026, succeeding co-founder and current CEO Dr. Jurgi Camblong, who is expected to move into the role of Executive Chairman of the Board following the company’s June 2026 annual general meeting. The company also released preliminary, unaudited financial figures for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, indicating at least $21 million in quarterly revenue, up about 20% year over year, and approximately $77 million in annual revenue, up about 18%, alongside record activity on its SOPHiA DDM platform with more than 391,000 analyses performed in 2025; these estimates underscore continued growth in usage and revenue but remain subject to adjustment as year-end closing and audit procedures are completed.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOPH) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SOPHiA GENETICS stock, see the SOPH Stock Forecast page.

SOPHiA GENETICS Posts Strong 2025 Preliminary Results and Sets CEO Transition for 2026
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, SOPHiA GENETICS reported strong preliminary, unaudited results for 2025, with full-year revenue of about $77 million, up roughly 18% year-on-year, and more than 391,000 analyses performed on its SOPHiA DDM™ platform, including over 105,000 analyses and at least $21 million in revenue in the fourth quarter alone. The company signaled continued momentum by issuing 2026 revenue guidance of $92–94 million, implying 20–22% growth, alongside an expected adjusted EBITDA loss of $29–32 million, and outlined a significant leadership transition: President Ross Muken, a key architect of its commercial transformation since joining as CFO in 2021, will become CEO on July 1, 2026, while co-founder and current CEO Jurgi Camblong will move to the role of Executive Chairman, with long-time executive Kevin Puylaert stepping up as Chief Sales Officer in January 2026, underscoring a planned succession aimed at sustaining growth and strengthening the company’s position in AI-powered precision medicine.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOPH) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SOPHiA GENETICS stock, see the SOPH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026