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Sonoco Products (SON)
NYSE:SON
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Sonoco Products (SON) AI Stock Analysis

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SON

Sonoco Products

(NYSE:SON)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(9.41% Upside)
Sonoco Products' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths. However, valuation concerns and neutral technical indicators moderate the overall score. The company's ability to manage macroeconomic challenges and leverage effectively will be crucial for future success.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Proceeds from the divestiture are earmarked for reducing debt towards management's target, which is seen favorably.
Earnings Potential
Maintaining a Buy rating on Sonoco is supported by valuation and potential catalysts from its portfolio transformation.
Market Position
The portfolio has been reshaped from being a collection of smaller businesses to one with two primary businesses with significant market share and a clear right to win in their respective markets.
Negative Factors
Growth and EBITDA Uncertainty
There are questions around growth and EBITDA of the new portfolio, particularly at the new European food can business.
Higher Interest Expenses
Guidance for EPS and operating cash flow was trimmed due to higher interest expenses.
Leverage Concerns
The transaction moves Sonoco's net leverage ratio to a higher level than current consensus estimates.

Sonoco Products (SON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sonoco Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSonoco Products Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells industrial and consumer packaging products in North and South America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company operates through two segments: Consumer Packaging and Industrial Paper Packaging. The Consumer Packaging segment round and shaped rigid paper containers; metal and peelable membrane ends and closures; thermoformed plastic trays and containers; printed flexible packaging; and global brand artwork management. The Industrial Paper Packaging segment provides fiber-based tubes, cones, and cores; fiber-based construction tubes; fiber-based protective packaging and components; wooden, metal, and composite wire and cable, as well as reels and spools; and recycled paperboard, corrugating medium, recovered paper, and material recycling services. Sonoco Products Company offers thermoformed rigid plastic trays and devices; custom-engineered molded foam protective packaging and components; temperature-assured packaging; injection molded and extruded containers, spools, and parts; retail security packaging, including printed backer cards, thermoformed blisters, and heat-sealing equipment; and paper amenities. The company sells its products in various markets, which include paper, textile, film, food, chemical, packaging, construction, and wire and cable. Sonoco Products Company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Hartsville, South Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneySonoco generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling a diverse range of packaging products and services. The company's revenue model includes sales from consumer packaging, which encompasses flexible and rigid packaging solutions, and industrial products, such as paperboard tubes and cores. Additionally, Sonoco earns revenue from its protective solutions segment, which provides packaging that safeguards products during shipping and handling. Significant partnerships with notable companies in various industries help secure long-term contracts and consistent revenue. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability also attracts customers seeking eco-friendly packaging solutions, further enhancing its profitability.

Sonoco Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sonoco demonstrated strong financial performance with significant growth in net sales and adjusted EBITDA, driven by successful consumer packaging and industrial segments. However, macroeconomic challenges, particularly in Europe, and higher interest expenses tempered earnings growth. The company remains focused on synergy realization and debt reduction, with promising growth initiatives set for future gains.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales grew 49% and adjusted EBITDA was up 25% with a 100 basis points expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin to 17.2%.
Consumer Packaging Segment Success
Achieved 115% growth in adjusted EBITDA due to a 10% volume/mix gain in the metal U.S. business and the Eviosys acquisition.
Industrial Segment Margin Improvement
Industrial segment grew adjusted EBITDA by 16%, with EBITDA margins expanding to 19%, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of margin improvement.
Successful Divestiture and Debt Reduction
Divested Thermoformed and Flexible Packaging, reducing net leverage ratio to below 3.8x.
Synergy Achievements
Projected $40 to $50 million in synergy savings by the end of 2025 for SMP EMEA, with a line of sight to greater than $100 million in cost savings through 2026.
New Growth Initiatives
Secured a multiyear contract with a pet food customer in Eastern Europe for up to 400 million incremental units annually.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Pressures
Impacted by global macroeconomic pressures which affected consumer and industrial demand.
European Market Challenges
Delay in the European packing season and difficult macroeconomic conditions in Europe affected performance.
Higher Interest Expense
Total adjusted earnings grew only 7% due to higher-than-expected interest expense.
Impact of Sardine Availability
Decline in sardine availability in Africa further reduced volumes for SMP EMEA.
Stranded Costs
Encountered stranded corporate costs due to divestitures, impacting the financials.
Company Guidance
In the Sonoco Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a robust performance with a 49% increase in net sales and a 25% rise in adjusted EBITDA, leading to a 100 basis points expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin to 17.2%. The Consumer Packaging segment saw a remarkable 115% growth in adjusted EBITDA, driven by 10% volume/mix gains in the U.S. metal business and the recent acquisition of Eviosys, now rebranded as Sonoco Metal Packaging EMEA. The Industrial segment also posted a 16% increase in adjusted EBITDA, with margins expanding for the seventh consecutive quarter to 19% due to favorable pricing and productivity enhancements. Despite these gains, total adjusted earnings grew by only 7%, impacted by higher-than-expected interest expenses. Looking ahead, Sonoco maintains its full-year guidance, anticipating net sales between $7.75 billion and $8 billion, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion, while targeting the lower end of its adjusted EPS range of $6 to $6.20 due to interest expense pressures.

Sonoco Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sonoco Products shows moderate financial performance with stable revenue growth but low profitability margins. The high debt-to-equity ratio indicates leverage concerns, while cash flow management reveals strong operational cash generation but limited free cash flow.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Sonoco Products shows moderate performance in revenue growth and profitability. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 33.72% and net profit margin of 2.40%, reflecting a stable but low profitability profile. Revenue growth from the previous period is notable, signaling positive momentum. However, the EBIT margin of 5.97% and EBITDA margin of 8.87% suggest room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet presents a mixed financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 98.52%, signaling potential leverage concerns. Return on equity stands at 6.22%, indicating moderate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 19.41% highlights a lower reliance on equity financing, which could increase financial risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in free cash flow generation with a recent decrease. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.00 is strong and indicates efficient cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.40 shows limited free cash flow relative to earnings, suggesting constraints on liquidity and reinvestment capacity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.66B5.31B5.44B5.86B5.59B5.24B
Gross Profit1.20B1.14B1.20B1.23B1.06B1.05B
EBITDA718.37M610.97M965.41M869.63M148.19M591.93M
Net Income555.81M163.95M474.96M466.44M-85.48M207.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.97B12.51B7.19B7.05B5.07B5.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments329.80M431.01M138.90M227.44M170.98M564.85M
Total Debt705.06M7.30B3.23B3.47B1.84B1.96B
Total Liabilities8.72B10.22B4.76B5.02B3.22B3.37B
Stockholders Equity3.25B2.27B2.42B2.07B1.84B1.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow143.77M440.61M519.84M189.90M55.82M521.96M
Operating Cash Flow543.70M833.85M882.92M509.05M298.67M705.62M
Investing Cash Flow-2.36B-4.11B-619.34M-1.75B-173.49M-127.01M
Financing Cash Flow2.07B3.67B-351.99M1.33B-513.54M-162.87M

Sonoco Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.70
Price Trends
50DMA
45.95
Negative
100DMA
45.08
Positive
200DMA
45.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
46.83
Neutral
STOCH
48.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.34, below the 50-day MA of 45.95, and below the 200-day MA of 45.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SON.

Sonoco Products Risk Analysis

Sonoco Products disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sonoco Products reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sonoco Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$5.00B16.1014.85%3.99%-0.49%-13.92%
67
Neutral
$6.38B12.1917.71%2.04%-5.05%-24.52%
67
Neutral
$4.55B30.973.98%4.55%0.90%-118.86%
65
Neutral
$4.82B16.0537.35%2.40%-2.00%-18.50%
61
Neutral
$18.02B12.77-0.74%3.01%1.30%-13.03%
61
Neutral
$4.83B16.0414.54%1.78%5.49%-1.01%
58
Neutral
$2.14B-69.06%11.40%8.39%72.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SON
Sonoco Products
45.70
-6.16
-11.88%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
20.54
-8.29
-28.75%
SEE
Sealed Air
33.36
1.13
3.51%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
44.50
-4.70
-9.55%
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products
23.07
-7.86
-25.41%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
3.51
0.43
13.96%

Sonoco Products Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sonoco Products Sells ThermoSafe Unit for $725 Million
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 7, 2025, Sonoco Products Company announced the sale of its ThermoSafe business unit to Arsenal Capital Partners for up to $725 million. This transaction is part of Sonoco’s strategy to streamline its operations into two core global business segments, with the proceeds expected to reduce existing debt and support the company’s portfolio simplification and organizational streamlining efforts.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sonoco Products Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Sonoco Products Company announced the appointment of Paul Joachimczyk as Chief Financial Officer, effective June 30, 2025. Joachimczyk, who has a robust background in financial leadership across various industries, will replace Jerry Cheatham, the Interim CFO. This transition is part of Sonoco’s ongoing transformation efforts, with Joachimczyk expected to drive long-term value for shareholders through sound financial management and strong operating initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025