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Reynolds Consumer Products Inc (REYN)
:REYN

Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) AI Stock Analysis

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Reynolds Consumer Products

(NASDAQ:REYN)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$25.00
▲(14.57%Upside)
Reynolds Consumer Products displays strong financial health and attractive valuation metrics, contributing positively to its stock score. However, technical analysis indicates potential short-term headwinds, and mixed earnings call outcomes highlight challenges such as retailer destocking and tariff impacts. Strategic investments and refinancing provide a positive outlook for long-term shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Leadership Initiatives
CEO Mr. Huckins’ initiatives and investments are considered the right move.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
Full-year guidance has been revised lower and Q2 guidance came in below expectations.
Volume and Margin Challenges
The current environment presents another hurdle for sustainable volume growth and margin stability.

Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Reynolds Consumer Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionReynolds Consumer Products (REYN) is a leading provider of household products renowned for its iconic brands such as Reynolds Wrap, Hefty, and Alcan. The company operates primarily within the consumer goods sector, offering a diverse range of products including aluminum foil, disposable tableware, waste bags, and other kitchen essentials. Reynolds Consumer Products is committed to delivering high-quality, innovative solutions that cater to everyday household needs, making it a staple in homes across North America.
How the Company Makes MoneyReynolds Consumer Products generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of its extensive portfolio of household goods. The company's primary revenue streams are derived from its core product categories, which include cooking products like aluminum foil and parchment paper, waste and storage bags under the Hefty brand, and disposable tableware. Reynolds employs a retail distribution model, partnering with major grocery chains, mass merchandisers, and e-commerce platforms to ensure widespread availability of its products. Additionally, the company engages in strategic partnerships and licensing agreements to expand its market reach and enhance brand visibility, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with strong innovation and category outperformance countered by significant challenges from retailer destocking, tariff impacts, and lowered EBITDA guidance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Category Outperformance
Reynolds Consumer Products outperformed its categories by 2 points at retail, capturing share in household foil, waste bags, food bags, and non-foam disposable tableware without an increase in promotional spend compared to the previous year.
Innovation and Product Launches
Notable product introductions include Hefty Press to Close food bags, new scents for Hefty Fabuloso waste bags, Hefty Compostable cutlery, and Reynolds Kitchen Air Fryer cups.
Strong Balance Sheet and Strategic Investments
The company employed its strong balance sheet to invest in high-return growth and margin expansion programs, focusing on growth, margin expansion, and a more stable earnings growth model.
Successful Term Loan Refinancing
Reynolds successfully refinanced its term loan facility in March, extending the maturity of its debt and enhancing financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Retailer Destocking Impact
The company faced unanticipated headwinds from retailer destocking, which negatively affected net revenues and is not expected to reverse in the near term.
Decline in Retail Revenues
Retail revenues were $28 million below the first quarter of 2024, reflecting later Easter timing, retailer destocking, and declines in the foam category.
Tariff and Cost Headwinds
Reynolds faces $100 million to $200 million in annualized cost headwinds due to direct and indirect tariff impacts, affecting commodities like aluminum and requiring pricing adjustments to offset these costs.
Lowered EBITDA Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 was lowered by $20 million due to lower expected retail volumes, despite unchanged revenue guidance.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call, Reynolds Consumer Products provided guidance for the fiscal year, expecting net revenues to decrease slightly compared to 2024. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to range from $650 million to $670 million, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $1.54 and $1.61. The company anticipates a 2% to 5% decline in second-quarter net revenues compared to the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA between $155 million and $165 million and adjusted EPS from $0.35 to $0.39. Despite headwinds from retailer destocking and tariffs, Reynolds aims to offset these challenges through pricing strategies and cost reductions. The company remains focused on growth, margin expansion, and deploying capital for high-return investments.

Reynolds Consumer Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reynolds Consumer Products shows a well-rounded financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite some slowing in revenue growth, the company maintains robust margins and an effective balance sheet. The company's ability to generate free cash flow and manage leverage effectively is a positive indicator of financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Reynolds Consumer Products has demonstrated a solid revenue base with a slight decline in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is healthy at 26.5%, and the net profit margin stands at 9.2%, indicating a stable earning capacity. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 14.7% and 17.3%, respectively. Although revenue growth has slowed in recent periods, the company maintains strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company exhibits a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83, indicating balanced leverage. The equity ratio is stable at 43.9%, reflecting a solid equity position. The return on equity is robust at 15.8%, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds. There is moderate risk from debt levels, but overall, the balance sheet is solid with a consistent equity base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Reynolds demonstrates strong cash flow management with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.33, reflecting effective conversion of net income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.06, indicating good free cash flow generation relative to earnings. The company has successfully grown its free cash flow by 75.1% from the previous year, showcasing a strong cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.66B3.69B3.76B3.82B3.56B3.26B
Gross Profit964.00M978.00M942.00M776.00M811.00M973.00M
EBITDA648.00M678.00M636.00M531.00M587.00M685.00M
Net Income335.00M352.00M298.00M258.00M324.00M363.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.84B4.93B4.78B4.93B4.81B4.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.00M137.00M115.00M38.00M164.00M312.00M
Total Debt1.74B1.78B1.89B2.16B2.16B2.28B
Total Liabilities2.72B2.73B2.80B3.06B3.06B3.11B
Stockholders Equity2.12B2.14B1.98B1.87B1.76B1.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow316.00M369.00M540.00M91.00M169.00M176.00M
Operating Cash Flow446.00M489.00M644.00M219.00M310.00M319.00M
Investing Cash Flow-130.00M-120.00M-110.00M-128.00M-141.00M-143.00M
Financing Cash Flow-392.00M-346.00M-457.00M-217.00M-317.00M34.00M

Reynolds Consumer Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.82
Price Trends
50DMA
22.22
Negative
100DMA
22.94
Negative
200DMA
25.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
50.40
Neutral
STOCH
74.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REYN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.50, below the 50-day MA of 22.22, and below the 200-day MA of 25.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for REYN.

Reynolds Consumer Products Risk Analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Reynolds Consumer Products reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Reynolds Consumer Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$6.07B21.0314.52%1.41%1.99%-5.30%
73
Outperform
$4.59B13.7116.30%4.22%-0.97%1.45%
SOSON
71
Outperform
$4.59B30.235.54%4.54%-4.58%-61.14%
SESEE
68
Neutral
$4.77B15.6843.40%2.44%-2.45%-16.55%
65
Neutral
€21.52B12.887.21%3.39%0.31%-40.22%
GPGPK
64
Neutral
$6.64B10.7920.62%2.00%-6.28%-7.43%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products
21.77
-4.55
-17.29%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
22.02
-3.05
-12.17%
SEE
Sealed Air
32.46
-1.26
-3.74%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
56.67
14.61
34.74%
SON
Sonoco Products
46.51
-0.37
-0.79%

Reynolds Consumer Products Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Reynolds Consumer Products Announces Leadership Changes
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Reynolds Consumer Products announced the resignation of Rachel Bishop, President of Hefty Tableware, effective June 30, 2025. The company has appointed Ryan Clark as her successor and Carlen Hooker as the new Chief Commercial Officer, effective June 16, 2025. These leadership changes aim to accelerate the company’s strategy for revenue growth, market share gains, and margin expansion. The appointments are expected to strengthen the company’s operations and drive long-term value for customers and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (REYN) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Reynolds Consumer Products stock, see the REYN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2025