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Berry Global Group Inc (BERY)
NYSE:BERY

Berry Global Group (BERY) AI Stock Analysis

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Berry Global Group

(NYSE:BERY)

67Neutral
Berry Global Group's stock score reflects stable financial performance with efficient cash management, though revenue contraction and high leverage present challenges. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend with potential short-term caution. Valuation metrics show the stock is reasonably priced, with a modest dividend yield enhancing investor appeal. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Berry Global reported F1Q25 results that were modestly above estimates, with adjusted EBITDA of $378M beating consensus expectations.
Market Expansion
Overall volume increased 2% year-over-year as market conditions improved, with notable growth in Consumer Packaging – North America led by food, beverage, and foodservice markets.
Merger and Acquisition
Berry has agreed to be acquired in an all-stock transaction by Amcor with Amcor owning 63% of the new entity and Berry 37%.
Negative Factors
Guidance
Despite the 1Q upside, Berry Global trimmed their FY25 EBITDA guidance to $1.73B-$1.79B from prior $1.77-$1.83B.
Segment Performance
The Flexibles segment reported a modest decline in EBITDA year-over-year, falling short by $2M or approximately 2%.
Stock Price Volatility
Berry Global's stock price will continue to fluctuate with Amcor’s stock price due to the all-stock deal.

Berry Global Group (BERY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Berry Global Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBerry Global Group, Inc. (NYSE: BERY) is a global manufacturer and marketer specializing in plastic packaging products. Headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, Berry Global operates in the Consumer Packaging, Engineered Materials, and Health, Hygiene & Specialties sectors. The company offers a diverse range of products, including containers, closures, films, tapes, and nonwoven specialty materials, serving industries such as healthcare, personal care, food and beverage, and industrial applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyBerry Global Group generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of its extensive array of plastic packaging products and engineered materials. The company operates through three main segments: Consumer Packaging, Engineered Materials, and Health, Hygiene & Specialties. In the Consumer Packaging segment, Berry Global provides products such as containers, closures, and dispensing systems, which are critical to the food, beverage, and personal care industries. The Engineered Materials segment focuses on the production of specialty films and tapes used in a variety of industrial applications. Meanwhile, the Health, Hygiene & Specialties segment delivers nonwoven specialty materials catering to personal care, healthcare, and filtration markets. Berry Global's revenue is bolstered by its global footprint and strategic partnerships with major consumer goods companies, which provide stability and growth opportunities in various market conditions. Additionally, the company's focus on sustainability and innovation in product design and materials enhances its competitive edge and market appeal.

Berry Global Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Berry Global Group demonstrates stable profitability and efficient operations, though it faces challenges with revenue contraction and high leverage. The company effectively manages cash flows, which supports its operational needs despite the high debt levels. Future performance will depend on managing leverage and reigniting revenue growth.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Berry Global Group's income statement reveals moderate profitability and margin stability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin stands at 18.8%, while the net profit margin is 5.5%. The company experienced a revenue decline of 8.3% compared to the previous year, which could indicate demand fluctuations or competitive pressures. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 9.9% and 13.7%, respectively.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.0, reflecting significant debt levels. The return on equity (ROE) is a strong 24.8%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profit. The equity ratio is 19.2%, indicating lower reliance on equity financing, which could pose risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a robust cash generation capability with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.8 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0. The free cash flow decreased slightly compared to the previous period, but the company still maintains a solid cash position to support operations and investments.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.23B12.26B12.66B14.49B13.85B11.71B
Gross Profit
2.11B2.25B2.31B2.37B2.50B2.41B
EBIT
1.11B937.00M1.08B1.24B1.29B1.18B
EBITDA
1.54B937.00M1.97B2.02B2.20B2.12B
Net Income Common Stockholders
615.00M516.00M609.00M766.00M733.00M559.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
483.00M1.09B1.20B1.41B1.09B750.00M
Total Assets
12.88B16.61B16.59B16.96B17.88B16.70B
Total Debt
7.45B8.85B9.51B9.26B9.46B10.70B
Net Debt
6.96B7.75B8.30B7.84B8.37B9.95B
Total Liabilities
10.41B13.01B13.37B13.76B14.70B14.61B
Stockholders Equity
2.48B3.61B3.22B3.20B3.18B2.09B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
609.00M854.00M926.00M876.00M904.00M947.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.08B1.41B1.61B1.56B1.58B1.53B
Investing Cash Flow
-157.00M-572.00M-776.00M-483.00M-511.00M-316.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-921.00M-965.00M-1.07B-704.00M-741.00M-1.22B

Berry Global Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.58
Price Trends
50DMA
68.73
Negative
100DMA
68.26
Negative
200DMA
65.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
47.83
Neutral
STOCH
27.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BERY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.93, below the 50-day MA of 68.73, and above the 200-day MA of 65.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BERY.

Berry Global Group Risk Analysis

Berry Global Group disclosed 11 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Berry Global Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Berry Global Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CCCCK
73
Outperform
$11.58B21.3721.30%1.01%0.90%34.40%
73
Outperform
$5.93B20.5514.52%1.39%1.99%-5.30%
SOSON
71
Outperform
$4.57B30.145.54%4.48%-4.58%-61.14%
67
Neutral
$7.83B14.5421.42%1.73%-8.26%10.64%
GPGPK
64
Neutral
$7.11B11.5420.62%1.74%-6.28%-7.43%
61
Neutral
$6.98B11.352.88%3.90%2.65%-21.84%
56
Neutral
$21.76B16.9420.71%5.35%-2.29%24.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BERY
Berry Global Group
67.58
13.10
24.05%
CCK
Crown Holdings
99.45
15.48
18.44%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
23.55
-3.34
-12.42%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
55.45
9.28
20.10%
SON
Sonoco Products
46.38
-12.29
-20.95%
AMCR
Amcor
9.44
-0.15
-1.56%

Berry Global Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant synergies and growth opportunities from the Amcor-Berry merger, emphasizing financial benefits, expanded market reach, and sustainability initiatives. However, it also notes challenges in current market conditions and potential risks associated with integration and leverage.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Synergies and Financial Benefits
The combination of Amcor and Berry is expected to generate $650 million in synergies, with annual cash flow exceeding $3 billion. The merger is anticipated to deliver over 35% EPS accretion including combined earnings and synergies.
Expansion of Market Reach and Innovation Capabilities
The merger creates a leader in consumer and healthcare packaging with over $24 billion in combined revenues and $180 million in annual R&D spending, serving more than 20,000 customers across 140 countries.
Strong Potential for Organic Growth
The combined company is expected to accelerate market growth by at least 100 basis points and improve EBITDA margins to 18% with a $4.3 billion EBITDA including synergies.
Commitment to Sustainability and Innovation
Amcor and Berry aim to achieve 100% recyclable, reusable, or compostable portfolios by 2025, with increased capabilities for post-consumer recycled materials and lightweighting.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Current Market Conditions
Amcor reports underlying consumer demand as flat to low single digits, with health care still experiencing some destocking.
High Leverage and Integration Risks
The integration of the two companies could pose challenges, with leverage expected to be at the higher end of the range, impacting the ability to pursue further acquisitions in the near term.
Company Guidance
During the investor call discussing the Amcor-Berry combination, the guidance emphasized several key metrics and strategic benefits expected from the merger. Berry shareholders will receive 7.25 Amcor shares for each Berry share, owning approximately 37% of the combined entity. The merger is projected to generate $650 million in synergies and increase annual cash flow to over $3 billion. With combined revenues surpassing $24 billion and R&D spending of $180 million annually, the new entity aims to lead in sustainable packaging solutions. Expected EBITDA margins are projected at 18% with a $4.3 billion EBITDA, and adjusted EPS accretion is anticipated to exceed 35% compared to Amcor's last 12-month stand-alone performance. The company plans to invest 4% to 5% of sales in capital expenditures to drive further growth.

Berry Global Group Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Berry Global Group Completes Merger with Amcor
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On the Closing Date, Berry Global Group, a company involved in the manufacturing sector, completed a merger with Amcor. As a result of this merger, each share of Berry common stock was converted into Amcor ordinary shares, and Berry’s stock was delisted from the New York Stock Exchange. The merger led to significant changes in Berry’s corporate structure, including the resignation of its board of directors and the appointment of new directors from Amcor. Additionally, Berry’s reporting obligations under the Securities Exchange Act were suspended.

Spark’s Take on BERY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BERY is a Neutral.

Berry Global Group’s stock score is driven by its strong cash flow and operational efficiency, offset by high leverage and declining revenue. Technical indicators show mixed signals with no clear momentum, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced with moderate income potential.

To see Spark’s full report on BERY stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Berry Global and Amcor Announce Consent Solicitations
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Berry Global Group, Inc. and Amcor plc announced the commencement of consent solicitations related to Berry’s outstanding notes, aiming to amend certain indenture provisions. This move is part of their merger plan, allowing Berry’s notes to have identical credit support to Amcor’s existing senior notes, which could impact the company’s financial structure and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.