Amcor (AMCR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $18.97B
• Dividend Yield: 6.32%
• Average Volume (3M): 23.56M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.37
• Revenue Growth: 28.41%
• EPS Growth: -35.50%
• Country: US
• Employees: 41,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.19
• Shares Outstanding: 2,308,359,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 34,698,808
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 23,564,464
• PEG Ratio: -0.77
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.25
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.97
• P/FCF Ratio: 18.03
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.78
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.95
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.26
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.96
• 1Y Price Target: $10.27
• Price Target Upside: 24.94% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.8
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $23.20B

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $9.00 ▲(9.49% Upside)

Amcor's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, indicating robust growth potential and operational efficiency. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and high leverage poses a risk in a rising interest rate environment. The attractive dividend yield supports the valuation score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Robust revenue growth indicates strong demand and market expansion, supporting long-term business sustainability and competitive positioning.

Synergy Realization

Successful synergy realization enhances operational efficiency and cost savings, contributing to improved profitability and competitive advantage.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation provides financial flexibility for reinvestment, debt reduction, and shareholder returns, supporting long-term growth.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

Elevated leverage can increase financial risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting financial stability and flexibility.

Volume Decline

Declining volumes, particularly in key segments, could signal weakening demand and may pressure future revenue growth and market share.

Profitability Challenges

Modest profitability indicates potential inefficiencies or cost pressures, which could hinder long-term earnings growth and shareholder value.

Amcor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Amcor (AMCR) is a global leader in packaging solutions, providing a wide range of products and services to various industries, including food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical, and personal care sectors. With a strong focus on sustainability and innovation, Amcor specializes in flexible and rigid packaging, including bags, pouches, containers, and films, designed to meet the diverse needs of its customers while minimizing environmental impact.

How the Company Makes Money

Amcor generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaging products, which are divided into flexible and rigid segments. The company serves a diverse customer base across multiple sectors, allowing it to capitalize on various market demands. Flexible packaging products, such as pouches and films, often have higher margins compared to rigid packaging, contributing significantly to the company's profitability. Amcor also benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with key clients, providing stability in revenue streams. Additionally, the company's focus on sustainability attracts environmentally conscious brands, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential. Strategic acquisitions and investments in innovative packaging technologies have also played a crucial role in expanding Amcor's product offerings and geographical reach, thereby bolstering its earnings.

Amcor Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Amcor demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, as evidenced by healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the company faces challenges with profitability and high leverage, as indicated by the modest net profit margin and elevated debt-to-equity ratio. Strong cash flow generation provides a buffer, but the reliance on debt financing could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment.

Income Statement

Amcor's income statement shows strong revenue growth of 15.94% in the TTM, indicating robust demand and market expansion. The gross profit margin is stable at 18.88%, while the net profit margin is modest at 3.40%, suggesting room for improvement in cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. However, the decline in net income from previous years highlights potential profitability challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.28, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. Return on equity is moderate at 8.78%, showing decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio stands at 31.55%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with a reliance on debt financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 31.54% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.62, indicating strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.84 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is not translating into free cash flow, which could impact future investments.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.40B	15.01B	13.64B	14.69B	14.54B	12.86B
Gross Profit	3.30B	2.83B	2.71B	2.73B	2.82B	2.73B
EBITDA	2.26B	1.77B	1.85B	2.13B	1.90B	1.92B
Net Income	582.00M	511.00M	730.00M	1.05B	805.00M	939.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	37.15B	37.07B	16.52B	17.00B	17.43B	17.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	825.00M	827.00M	588.00M	689.00M	775.00M	850.00M
Total Debt	2.83B	15.01B	7.19B	7.21B	6.98B	6.75B
Total Liabilities	25.42B	25.33B	12.57B	12.91B	13.29B	12.37B
Stockholders Equity	11.72B	11.73B	3.88B	4.03B	4.08B	4.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.54B	810.00M	829.00M	735.00M	999.00M	993.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.53B	1.39B	1.32B	1.26B	1.53B	1.46B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.17B	-2.10B	-476.00M	-308.00M	-510.00M	-228.00M
Financing Cash Flow	1.03B	910.00M	-857.00M	-1.01B	-886.00M	-1.18B

Amcor Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 8.22
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMCR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.10, above the 50-day MA of 8.15, and below the 200-day MA of 8.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMCR.

Amcor Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PKG	76 Outperform	$17.92B	20.13	19.68%	2.49%	7.30%	15.31%
CCK	74 Outperform	$11.08B	11.88	34.10%	1.06%	2.94%	893.70%
AMCR	72 Outperform	$18.97B	24.01	7.44%	6.32%	28.41%	-35.50%
SW	63 Neutral	$18.90B	25.46	4.11%	4.43%	―	―
BALL	62 Neutral	$13.10B	18.29	11.74%	1.67%	2.87%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
IP	42 Neutral	$19.18B	―	-4.65%	4.86%	25.91%	-316.41%

Amcor Corporate Events

Amcor’s Earnings Call: Growth and Strategic Moves

Amcor’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amidst Challenges

Amcor Reports Strong Q1 Results and Positive Outlook

Amcor is a leading global company specializing in the development and production of responsible consumer packaging and dispensing solutions across various materials for the nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness sectors. With over 75,000 employees and operations in more than 40 countries, Amcor is recognized for its innovation and sustainability expertise.

Amcor Completes Merger with Berry Global Group

On April 30, 2025, Amcor plc completed its merger with Berry Global Group, Inc., making Berry a wholly-owned subsidiary of Amcor. This strategic move involved significant financial adjustments, including the delisting of Berry’s shares from the New York Stock Exchange and the issuance of unsecured notes by Amcor to finance the merger. The merger is expected to enhance Amcor’s market position by integrating Berry’s operations, although the actual financial impact remains to be seen.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMCR) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amcor stock, see the AMCR Stock Forecast page.

Amcor Adopts Executive Change in Control Plan

Amcor plc announced the adoption of an Executive Change in Control Severance Plan effective September 23, 2025. This plan offers ‘double trigger’ severance protections for executives, including cash severance, pro rata bonuses, accelerated equity vesting, and limited healthcare coverage, in the event of a qualifying termination related to a change in control. This move is likely to enhance executive stability and confidence during potential transitions, impacting the company’s operational continuity and stakeholder assurance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMCR) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amcor stock, see the AMCR Stock Forecast page.

Amcor’s Earnings Call: Strategic Wins and Challenges

Amcor’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strategic success and future optimism, tempered by some operational challenges. The company celebrated the successful acquisition of Berry Global and expressed confidence in its future earnings per share (EPS) and cash flow projections. However, the call also highlighted significant challenges in North American volumes and operational issues in the Beverage segment.

Amcor’s Post-Merger Financial Struggles: Unforeseen Costs and Integration Challenges

Amcor faces significant financial challenges due to the substantial costs incurred from its recent merger. These expenses include a range of non-recurring costs such as advisory fees, employee-related costs, and various administrative expenses. The ongoing integration of operations and systems between the merged entities may not immediately yield the anticipated cost savings or strategic benefits, potentially impacting Amcor’s financial performance. Additionally, unforeseen factors could further influence the total expenses and timing, complicating the company’s ability to offset these costs in the short term.

Amcor’s Strategic Moves and Financial Growth in 2025

Amcor is a global leader in consumer packaging and dispensing solutions, operating in the nutrition, health, beauty, and wellness sectors, known for its innovation and sustainability efforts. The company recently announced its fiscal 2025 Q4 results, highlighting a significant acquisition and strong financial performance. Amcor completed the all-stock acquisition of Berry Global, which has positioned it as a leader in the consumer packaging industry, with net sales reaching $5,082 million, a 43% increase excluding currency impact. Despite a GAAP net loss of $39 million due to acquisition-related costs, the adjusted EBITDA rose by 43% to $789 million. For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, Amcor reported net sales of $15,009 million, an 11% increase, with a GAAP net income of $511 million. The adjusted EBITDA for the year was $2,186 million, up 13%, and the company increased its annual dividend to 51 US cents per share. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Amcor expects adjusted EPS growth of 12-17% and free cash flow of $1.8-1.9 billion, driven by the integration of Berry Global and strategic portfolio optimization. The company remains focused on creating value for shareholders and strengthening its position as a global packaging partner.