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Amcor
(NYSE:AMCR)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$43.00
â–²(2.53% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/16/26
The score is driven mainly by mixed fundamentals: strong recent revenue momentum but constrained by thin/declining margins, elevated leverage, and only average cash conversion. Technicals are supportive with positive momentum, while valuation is balanced by a high dividend yield but a relatively high P/E. Earnings-call commentary adds moderate support via EPS growth and synergies, tempered by reduced free-cash-flow guidance and near-term leverage.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained top-line acceleration expands scale and bargaining power with large CPG and healthcare customers. Durable revenue growth supports long-term procurement leverage, capacity utilization and the ability to invest in higher‑value product development, aiding margin recovery and deleveraging over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Material margin erosion versus prior years reduces earnings robustness and the firm’s buffer against cost shocks. Persistent thin net margins limit cash cushion, increase sensitivity to resin inflation and make long‑term profitability dependent on sustained cost saves and successful pricing pass‑through.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained top-line acceleration expands scale and bargaining power with large CPG and healthcare customers. Durable revenue growth supports long-term procurement leverage, capacity utilization and the ability to invest in higher‑value product development, aiding margin recovery and deleveraging over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors
Amcor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and identifying areas of potential expansion or risk.
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and identifying areas of potential expansion or risk.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyAmcor (AMCR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$19.78B
Dividend Yield6.2%
Average Volume (3M)3.23M
Price to Earnings (P/E)30.3
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth64.83%
EPS Growth-48.00%
CountryUS
Employees77,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.11
Shares Outstanding462,345,700
10 Day Avg. Volume2,697,217
30 Day Avg. Volume3,228,675
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.78
Price to Book (P/B)1.25
Price to Sales (P/S)0.97
P/FCF Ratio18.03
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$47.00Price Target Upside12.06% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)4.32
Revenue Forecast (FY)$23.75B
Amcor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Amcor plc stands as a prominent global provider of packaging solutions, focusing on the creation, production, and distribution of its diverse product portfolio across Europe, North America, Latin America, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Amcor makes money primarily by selling packaging products and related services to business customers (B2B), typically large consumer packaged goods companies and healthcare manufacturers. Revenue is generated from (1) the manufacture and sale of f...
Amcor Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced strong executional achievements — notably accelerated synergy capture, accretive acquisition benefits, EPS growth, progress on divestitures and maintained margins in the core portfolio — against near‑term operating headwinds including modest volume declines, a temporary free cash flow reduction driven by higher inventory, weather impacts and inflationary resin pressure. Management reiterated guidance, deleveraging commitment and a clear plan to convert synergies and divestiture proceeds into debt reduction, but short‑term cash and working capital timing risks temper the outlook.Positive Updates
Synergy Delivery Ahead of Plan
Delivered ~$77M of synergies in Q3 and ~$170M year-to-date; now expect $270M in fiscal 2026 (ahead of initial $260M year‑1 target) and $650M cumulatively over 3 years.
Negative Updates
Volume Weakness
Overall volumes down approximately 1.5% in the quarter (comparable basis); core and noncore both down ~1.5%; healthcare and some nutrition subsegments were notable areas of softness.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Synergy Delivery Ahead of Plan
Delivered ~$77M of synergies in Q3 and ~$170M year-to-date; now expect $270M in fiscal 2026 (ahead of initial $260M year‑1 target) and $650M cumulatively over 3 years.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Amcor guided fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.98–$4.03 per share (midpoint implying roughly 12% full‑year EPS growth and >20% Q4 YoY growth), revised free cash flow to $1.5–$1.6 billion (down from $1.8–$1.9B due to holding higher‑cost inventory), and year‑end adjusted leverage of ~3.4–3.5x (Q3 adjusted leverage 3.8x) with a continued path to a 2.5–3.0x target; they expect $270M of synergies in FY26 (Q3 synergies $77M, $170M YTD, $650M cumulative over 3 years, with ~ $160M year‑1 procurement/G&A line‑of‑sight and ~$325M by FY28), fiscal 2026 capex of $850–$900M, and reiterated that Q3 results included revenue $5.9B, EBITDA $892M, EBIT $687M, adjusted EPS $0.96 (up 6% YoY), Q3 free cash outflow $39M (9‑month outflow $93M) and a quarterly dividend of $0.65; management said working‑capital timing is temporarily impacted by inventory decisions and should normalize as supply conditions stabilize.Amcor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 25.52B | 15.01B | 13.64B | 14.69B | 14.54B | 12.86B |
| Gross Profit | 4.62B | 2.83B | 2.71B | 2.73B | 2.82B | 2.73B |
| EBITDA | 3.51B | 1.77B | 1.85B | 2.13B | 1.90B | 1.92B |
| Net Income | 874.00M | 511.00M | 730.00M | 1.05B | 805.00M | 939.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 37.58B | 37.07B | 16.52B | 17.00B | 17.43B | 17.19B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.59B | 827.00M | 588.00M | 689.00M | 775.00M | 850.00M |
| Total Debt | 16.71B | 15.01B | 7.19B | 7.21B | 6.98B | 6.75B |
| Total Liabilities | 25.92B | 25.33B | 12.57B | 12.91B | 13.29B | 12.37B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.65B | 11.73B | 3.88B | 4.03B | 4.08B | 4.76B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.58B | 810.00M | 829.00M | 735.00M | 999.00M | 993.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.81B | 1.39B | 1.32B | 1.26B | 1.53B | 1.46B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.59B | -2.10B | -476.00M | -309.00M | -527.00M | -233.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.91B | 910.00M | -857.00M | -1.02B | -891.00M | -1.18B |
Amcor Technical Analysis
Positive
41.94
Price Trends
40.04
Positive
40.54
Positive
40.79
Positive
Market Momentum
0.90
Positive
58.26
Neutral
36.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMCR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.62, above the 50-day MA of 40.04, and above the 200-day MA of 40.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMCR.
Amcor Risk Analysis
Amcor disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amcor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Amcor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $20.11B | 27.62 | 15.95% | 2.42% | 7.86% | -13.88% | |
63 Neutral | $16.10B | 17.47 | 17.29% | 1.53% | 14.00% | 82.84% | |
63 Neutral | $12.24B | 17.68 | 24.33% | 1.01% | 7.06% | 35.16% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $19.78B | 30.35 | 5.80% | 6.20% | 64.83% | -48.00% | |
55 Neutral | $22.43B | 62.27 | 2.08% | 4.21% | 20.90% | -40.94% | |
46 Neutral | $19.33B | -5.78 | -20.44% | 4.69% | 25.45% | -625.24% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AMCR
Amcor
43.40
-1.14
-2.56%
BALL
Ball
60.80
3.35
5.83%
CCK
Crown Holdings
111.55
6.45
6.14%
IP
International Paper Co
36.74
-12.21
-24.94%
PKG
Packaging
227.86
30.17
15.26%
SW
Smurfit Westrock
43.59
-0.37
-0.85%
Amcor Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Amcor Announces Key Leadership Changes in Global Operations
Positive
Jun 15, 2026
On June 15, 2026, Amcor announced the retirement of Fred Stephan as Division President, Global Flexible Packaging Solutions effective June 30, 2026, with his continued service as special advisor through December 31, 2026 under a transition and ret...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Amcor Aligns Fiscal Year With Standard Calendar Reporting
Positive
May 6, 2026
On May 1, 2026, Amcor plc’s board approved a change to the company’s fiscal year, shifting from a July 1–June 30 cycle to a calendar year running January 1–December 31, and designating July 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026 as a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.