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Crown Holdings
(NYSE:CCK)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$130.00
â–²(21.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/23/26
CCK scores well overall due to solid financial performance driven by strong free cash flow and improving profitability, supported by a bullish technical setup (price above major moving averages with positive momentum). The score is moderated by balance-sheet leverage risk and a valuation that appears fair rather than discounted, despite encouraging guidance and a positive earnings-call outlook.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistently strong operating and free cash flow provides durable funds for capital expenditure, greenfield investments, buybacks and debt reduction. Over the next 2–6 months this cash generation underpins reinvestment in capacity, supports guidance for ~$900M adjusted FCF and preserves strategic optionality despite cyclical demand.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Relatively high debt versus equity increases sensitivity to rising interest costs and reduces financial flexibility for opportunistic M&A or rapid capex. Although leverage has improved, operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of total debt, meaning meaningful deleveraging would take multiple years absent aggressive paydown or earnings shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistently strong operating and free cash flow provides durable funds for capital expenditure, greenfield investments, buybacks and debt reduction. Over the next 2–6 months this cash generation underpins reinvestment in capacity, supports guidance for ~$900M adjusted FCF and preserves strategic optionality despite cyclical demand.
Read all positive factors
Crown Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue By Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Crown Holdings is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Crown Holdings is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCrown Holdings (CCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.87B
Dividend Yield1.03%
Average Volume (3M)1.20M
Price to Earnings (P/E)16.9
Beta (1Y)0.55
Revenue Growth10.76%
EPS Growth45.91%
CountryUS
Employees23,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.98
Shares Outstanding108,760,510
10 Day Avg. Volume1,312,681
30 Day Avg. Volume1,196,252
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.20
Price to Book (P/B)3.96
Price to Sales (P/S)0.96
P/FCF Ratio10.81
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$133.92Price Target Upside24.98% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering12
EPS Forecast (FY)8.36
Revenue Forecast (FY)$13.61B
Crown Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Crown Holdings, Inc. is a global enterprise dedicated to the design, production, and sale of a diverse range of packaging solutions and related machinery. Its operations span the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific, serving both consumer and indust...
How the Company Makes Money
Crown Holdings makes money mainly by manufacturing and selling packaging products to brand owners and product manufacturers under supply agreements and ongoing customer relationships. Its primary revenue stream is the sale of metal beverage cans a...
Crown Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 20, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a net-positive operational and financial picture: solid top-line and EPS beats (adjusted EPS +16%), raised full-year EPS guidance, strong cash generation and shareholder returns, improving leverage, and broad-based volume strength in Europe, Asia and North America. Offsetting items include inflationary cost pressures (exacerbated by the Middle East crisis), Latin America/Brazil softness, some segments with flat volumes, and recognition that Q2 benefited from one-time or event-driven demand (e.g., World Cup), which led management to adopt conservative assumptions for H2. Overall, the company is growing, investing in capacity, returning cash to shareholders, and prudently cautious on near-term cost and geopolitical risks.Positive Updates
Strong EPS Performance and Upgrade
Reported diluted EPS $2.23 vs $1.56 prior year; adjusted diluted EPS $2.49 vs $2.15 prior year (+16%). Company raised full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance from $7.90 to a new range of $8.30–$8.50. Q3 adjusted diluted EPS guide $2.20–$2.30.
Negative Updates
Inflationary Cost Pressures and Pass-Through Lag
Inflationary cost increases partially offset margin gains; non-metal input costs and freight running ahead of contractual cost-recovery mechanisms; company now modeling a larger H2 EPS headwind from Middle East-related inflation (~$0.07–$0.10 in H2 vs prior ~$0.05 estimate).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EPS Performance and Upgrade
Reported diluted EPS $2.23 vs $1.56 prior year; adjusted diluted EPS $2.49 vs $2.15 prior year (+16%). Company raised full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance from $7.90 to a new range of $8.30–$8.50. Q3 adjusted diluted EPS guide $2.20–$2.30.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Following a strong Q2 (reported diluted EPS $2.23 vs. $1.56; adjusted diluted EPS $2.49 vs. $2.15, +16%; net sales $3.7B), Crown raised 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to $8.30–$8.50 (prior $7.90) and expects Q3 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.20–$2.30; full‑year assumptions include net interest expense ≈$355M, average EUR/USD ≈1.16, an effective tax rate ≈25%, depreciation ≈$330M, non‑controlling interest expense ≈$150M with $110M of dividends to non‑controlling interests, capital spending ≈$550M and adjusted free cash flow of at least $900M. Management also noted Q2 share repurchases of $305M ($517M YTD), $77M of dividends paid (total H1 returns $594M), an adjusted net leverage of ~2.5x, expectation of roughly $200M of buybacks in H2, and North American full‑year can shipments forecasted +3–4% vs. 2025.Crown Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 13.26B | 12.37B | 11.80B | 12.01B | 12.94B | 11.39B |
| Gross Profit | 2.32B | 2.27B | 2.54B | 2.46B | 2.30B | 2.37B |
| EBITDA | 2.10B | 2.02B | 1.90B | 1.82B | 1.75B | 279.00M |
| Net Income | 783.00M | 734.00M | 424.00M | 450.00M | 727.00M | -560.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 14.56B | 14.27B | 13.85B | 15.03B | 14.30B | 13.86B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 656.00M | 879.00M | 1.02B | 1.40B | 639.00M | 592.00M |
| Total Debt | 6.27B | 6.17B | 6.42B | 7.70B | 7.21B | 6.46B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.19B | 10.79B | 10.62B | 12.17B | 12.01B | 11.53B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.87B | 3.00B | 2.76B | 2.41B | 1.85B | 1.91B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.18B | 1.10B | 789.00M | 660.00M | -36.00M | 89.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.71B | 1.51B | 1.19B | 1.45B | 803.00M | 905.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -470.00M | -320.00M | -12.00M | -804.00M | -642.00M | 1.51B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.48B | -1.34B | -1.53B | 116.00M | -25.00M | -2.94B |
Crown Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
107.15
Price Trends
106.40
Positive
104.05
Positive
103.04
Positive
Market Momentum
3.42
Negative
64.78
Neutral
57.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 107.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.91, above the 50-day MA of 106.40, and above the 200-day MA of 103.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCK.
Crown Holdings Risk Analysis
Crown Holdings disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crown Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Crown Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $12.87B | 16.88 | 26.54% | 1.01% | 10.76% | 45.91% | |
68 Neutral | $22.15B | 31.80 | 14.88% | 2.06% | 10.35% | -23.14% | |
64 Neutral | $4.34B | 15.68 | 15.74% | 1.77% | 8.43% | -9.80% | |
63 Neutral | $17.39B | 18.65 | 17.29% | 1.25% | 14.00% | 82.84% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | $20.87B | 31.38 | 5.80% | 5.81% | 64.83% | -48.00% | |
57 Neutral | $3.24B | 11.54 | 8.38% | 3.99% | -0.17% | -55.17% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
CCK
Crown Holdings
117.85
20.54
21.11%
BALL
Ball
64.90
8.12
14.30%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
10.73
-10.50
-49.45%
PKG
Packaging
245.84
57.41
30.47%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
39.98
-4.93
-10.97%
AMCR
Amcor
44.88
0.62
1.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.