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Ball (BALL)
NYSE:BALL

Ball (BALL) AI Stock Analysis

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BALL

Ball

(NYSE:BALL)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▼(-3.90% Downside)
Ball Corporation's overall stock score reflects moderate financial performance and bearish technical indicators, tempered by a positive outlook from recent earnings and corporate events. The company's strategic initiatives and operational improvements offer potential upside, but cash flow challenges and market pressures remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
Acquiring Benepack's European facilities enhances Ball's geographic footprint and production capacity, strengthening its market position in Europe.
Leadership Changes
New leadership can drive strategic shifts and operational improvements, potentially enhancing Ball's long-term growth and market competitiveness.
Financial Flexibility
Securing $3.5 billion in credit facilities increases financial flexibility, supporting strategic initiatives and sustainable growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which can hinder investment in growth and operational improvements.
Higher Interest Expenses
Increased interest expenses reduce net earnings, impacting profitability and potentially limiting funds available for reinvestment.
Tariff Challenges
Ongoing tariff challenges can increase costs and disrupt supply chains, affecting Ball's competitive position and operational efficiency.

Ball (BALL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ball Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBall Corporation (BALL) is a global leader in metal packaging solutions for beverages, food, and household products. Founded in 1880, the company operates in various sectors, including aluminum packaging, aerospace, and technology. Ball primarily focuses on manufacturing aluminum cans and containers, which are widely used in the beverage industry, spanning carbonated soft drinks, beer, and energy drinks, as well as food and personal care products.
How the Company Makes MoneyBall Corporation generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of aluminum beverage cans and containers. Its core revenue streams include the sale of aluminum cans to beverage manufacturers, which account for a significant portion of its income. Additionally, the company earns revenue from the sale of food cans and other packaging solutions. Ball also benefits from long-term contracts with major beverage brands, which provide a steady flow of income. The company's operations are further supported by its commitment to sustainability, as it focuses on recycling and sustainable practices, attracting partnerships with environmentally conscious brands. Furthermore, Ball's aerospace segment contributes to its earnings through contracts with government and commercial clients for space-related services and products.

Ball Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue From Contracts with Customer
Revenue From Contracts with Customer
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Ball Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant volume growth and shareholder returns. However, challenges such as higher interest expenses, tariff impacts, and mix headwinds were noted. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a positive outlook for 2025.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Beverage Can Volume Growth
Beverage can volumes grew by 4.2%, driven by strong performance in energy drinks and nonalcoholic beverages.
Comparable Operating Earnings Increase
Comparable operating earnings increased by 5.1%, showcasing effective cost management and higher volume performance.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $1.27 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends as of the call.
EMEA Strong Performance
EMEA region saw a 14.8% increase in segment comparable operating earnings due to mid-single-digit volume growth.
Positive Outlook for 2025
The company expects to deliver 12% to 15% comparable diluted EPS growth and record adjusted free cash flow by year-end.
Negative Updates
Higher Interest Expense
Third quarter net earnings were partially offset by higher interest expense and lower interest income.
Challenges in Brazilian Market
The Brazilian market underperformed due to weather-related softness, though a recovery is expected in the fourth quarter.
Ongoing Tariff Challenges
Navigating Section 232 tariffs and geopolitical uncertainties continues to be a challenge for North American operations.
Mix Headwinds in North America
Product mix shifts toward lower-margin categories impacted operating leverage in North America.
Company Guidance
In the Ball Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance with several key metrics highlighted. Beverage can volumes grew by 4.2%, while comparable operating earnings increased by 5.1%, and comparable diluted earnings per share rose by 12.1%. The company returned $1.27 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Furthermore, Ball Corporation aims for a 12% to 15% growth in comparable diluted EPS for 2025. Segment-wise, North and Central America saw a 3.5% increase in comparable operating earnings driven by strong volume growth, particularly in energy drinks and nonalcoholic beverages. In EMEA, segment comparable operating earnings surged by 14.8% due to robust mid-single-digit volume growth. South America recorded a 2.6% increase in segment comparable operating earnings, supported by strong performance in Argentina, despite challenges in Brazil. The company anticipates its 2025 global volume growth to exceed the long-term 2% to 3% range, with all segments expected to perform in line with or ahead of long-term targets. For the entire year, Ball Corporation expects a 22% effective tax rate on comparable earnings and $320 million in interest expense. The company remains focused on operational excellence and long-term shareholder value.

Ball Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ball's financial performance is moderate, with stable revenue growth but significant challenges in cash flow management. The income statement shows operational efficiency, yet profitability needs improvement. The balance sheet is stable, but cash flow issues require strategic focus to enhance liquidity and shareholder value.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Ball's income statement shows a moderate performance with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.4%, indicating a slight recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin of 14.5% and net profit margin of 5.4% are relatively stable, though lower than industry leaders. The EBIT margin of 5.7% and EBITDA margin of 10.4% suggest operational efficiency, but there's room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity of 11.5% is moderate, suggesting average returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio of 29.1% shows a balanced capital structure, but there's potential risk if debt levels increase.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -62.8%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.09 indicates limited cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights cash flow management issues, requiring attention to improve liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.67B11.80B12.02B15.29B13.93B11.76B
Gross Profit1.91B1.84B1.72B1.75B2.03B1.88B
EBITDA1.82B1.46B1.76B1.88B1.98B1.62B
Net Income680.00M4.01B707.00M719.00M878.00M585.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.72B17.63B19.30B19.91B19.71B18.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments576.00M893.00M695.00M548.00M563.00M1.37B
Total Debt7.55B6.02B8.57B9.40B8.16B8.10B
Total Liabilities13.27B11.70B15.47B16.38B16.03B14.91B
Stockholders Equity5.45B5.86B3.77B3.46B3.63B3.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.00M-369.00M818.00M-1.37B34.00M319.00M
Operating Cash Flow551.00M115.00M1.86B283.00M1.76B1.43B
Investing Cash Flow-752.00M5.00B-1.05B-768.00M-1.64B-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow-652.00M-4.79B-662.00M485.00M-894.00M-602.00M

Ball Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.03
Price Trends
50DMA
48.48
Positive
100DMA
49.96
Positive
200DMA
51.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
68.05
Neutral
STOCH
93.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BALL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.42, above the 50-day MA of 48.48, and above the 200-day MA of 51.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BALL.

Ball Risk Analysis

Ball disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ball reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ball Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$18.21B20.4519.68%2.45%7.30%15.31%
73
Outperform
$19.29B24.457.44%6.15%28.41%-35.50%
73
Outperform
$12.03B12.9134.10%1.02%2.94%893.70%
68
Neutral
$4.34B13.9414.58%1.94%11.10%6.54%
67
Neutral
$3.42B78.962.08%3.13%-17.63%-80.32%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$13.95B19.4811.74%1.53%2.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BALL
Ball
52.03
-2.92
-5.31%
CCK
Crown Holdings
101.99
19.83
24.14%
GEF
Greif Class A
68.71
10.49
18.02%
PKG
Packaging
202.82
-19.54
-8.79%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
40.85
-10.45
-20.37%
AMCR
Amcor
8.29
-0.59
-6.64%

Ball Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ball Appoints Scott Vail as Chief Operations Officer
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Ball Corporation appointed Scott Vail as Chief Supply Chain and Operations Officer. Vail has extensive experience in operations and leadership roles, having previously worked at Reynolds Consumer Products and Anheuser-Busch InBev, and held significant positions at Ball since 2021. His compensation package includes a base salary, bonuses, and stock awards. This appointment is expected to strengthen Ball’s operational capabilities and enhance its market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ball Corporation Secures $3.5 Billion Credit Facilities
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Ball Corporation announced the completion of new senior secured credit facilities totaling $3.5 billion, which include a U.S. dollar revolving facility, a multicurrency revolving facility, and a U.S. dollar term loan facility maturing in 2030. These facilities, managed by Bank of America, aim to refinance existing credit facilities and support general corporate purposes, enhancing Ball’s financial flexibility to pursue strategic initiatives and sustainable growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ball Corporation Announces New CEO and Leadership Changes
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Ball Corporation announced significant leadership changes with the appointment of Ronald J. Lewis as the new Chief Executive Officer and Stuart A. Taylor II as Chairman of the Board, effective immediately. Daniel W. Fisher stepped down from his roles as CEO and Chairman, with his departure not related to any disagreements with the company. Additionally, Daniel Rabbitt was appointed as Chief Financial Officer, having served as interim CFO since May 2025. These leadership changes are expected to impact Ball’s strategic direction and operational management.

Executive/Board Changes
Ball Corporation Appoints John Panichella as Director
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Ball Corporation’s Board of Directors appointed John E. Panichella, CEO of Solenis, as a director. Panichella, with a robust background in leadership roles at companies like Ashland Inc. and General Electric Water and Process Technologies, will also serve on the Audit and Finance Committees. His election was independent, with no personal or transactional ties to existing board members or company executives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025