Ball (BALL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $15.26B
• Dividend Yield: 1.45%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.63M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.67
• Revenue Growth: -9.79%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 16,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 59
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.76
• Shares Outstanding: 277,417,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,422,036
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,626,449
• PEG Ratio: -1.44
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.59
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -11.83
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.61
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.50
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.57
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.79
• 1Y Price Target: $60.83
• Price Target Upside: 10.74% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $57.00 ▲(3.77%Upside)

Ball Corporation's overall stock score reflects a balance between strong earnings growth and robust volume increases, offset by concerns about financial leverage and valuation. The company's optimistic future guidance and strategic initiatives to navigate challenges also positively impact the score.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

Ball Corp reaffirmed its guidance of 11-14% EPS growth, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance.

Leadership Stability

The appointment of Daniel Rabbitt as interim CFO brings someone with significant experience at Ball Corp, suggesting stability during the transition.

Shareholder Returns

BALL is on track to return over $1.5 billion to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases in 2025.

Negative Factors

Industry Challenges

The beverage can industry could face mounting multi-year headwinds, including potential volume impacts from changes in SNAP benefits and other factors.

Leadership Changes

Investors might be surprised by the news of CFO Howard Yu stepping down after only a short time in the role.

Market Expectations

The current share price is seen as pricing in a high probability of achieving EPS targets in 2025 and beyond, which is viewed as optimistic given macro conditions.

Ball Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Beverage Packaging, North and Central America; Beverage Packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa; Beverage Packaging, South America; and Aerospace. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It also develops spacecraft, sensors and instruments, radio frequency systems, and other technologies for the civil, commercial, and national security aerospace markets, as well as offers defense hardware, antenna and video tactical solutions, civil and operational space hardware, and systems engineering services. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and tests satellites, remote sensors, and ground station control hardware and software; and provides launch vehicle integration and satellite operational services. Further, it offers target identification, warning, and attitude control systems and components; cryogenic systems and associated sensor cooling devices; star trackers; and fast-steering mirrors to the government agencies or their prime contractors. Additionally, the company manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.

How the Company Makes Money

Ball Corporation makes money primarily through two main revenue streams: the packaging segment and the aerospace segment. The packaging business, which constitutes the majority of Ball's revenue, involves the production and sale of aluminum cans and bottles to beverage companies, food producers, and household product manufacturers. The demand for eco-friendly and recyclable packaging options has bolstered Ball's business, making it a preferred supplier for leading global brands. The company's aerospace segment generates revenue through the development and sale of aerospace components and systems, providing services such as satellite and sensor technologies to government agencies, including NASA and the U.S. Department of Defense. Significant partnerships with key players in both the packaging and aerospace industries also contribute to Ball's revenue, enabling the company to secure long-term contracts and expand its market presence.

Ball Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ball Corporation shows stable revenue growth with consistent operating margins. However, increased financial leverage and declining net income raise concerns about profitability and financial risk. Cash flow performance is mixed, with strong operating cash flows but challenges in free cash flow generation.

Income Statement

Ball's TTM revenue growth is modest, increasing from $11.795 billion to $12.037 billion. However, EBIT margin improved from 10.03% to 10.97%, and net profit margin is at 4.17% TTM, which is lower than the previous annual report. While gross profit margin decreased to 19.32% TTM, EBITDA margin remained steady, indicating stable operating performance.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.22, indicating higher leverage compared to previous periods. The equity ratio stands at 30.50%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. However, ROE dropped significantly in the TTM period due to lower net income, posing potential risks in financial stability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 1.39 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is negative, though better compared to prior periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.57 TTM suggests moderate conversion of earnings to cash.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
12.04B	11.79B	14.03B	15.35B	13.81B	11.78B
	Gross Profit
2.33B	2.44B	2.67B	2.58B	2.73B	2.46B
	EBIT
1.32B	1.18B	1.43B	1.27B	1.42B	1.22B
	EBITDA
1.54B	1.46B	1.96B	1.88B	1.98B	1.62B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
502.00M	4.01B	707.00M	719.00M	878.00M	585.00M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
449.00M	885.00M	695.00M	548.00M	563.00M	1.37B
	Total Assets
18.04B	17.63B	19.30B	19.91B	19.71B	18.25B
	Total Debt
6.72B	5.67B	8.57B	8.95B	7.74B	7.80B
	Net Debt
6.27B	4.79B	7.87B	8.40B	7.17B	6.43B
	Total Liabilities
12.47B	11.70B	15.47B	16.38B	16.03B	14.91B
	Stockholders Equity
5.50B	5.86B	3.77B	3.53B	3.69B	3.34B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
286.00M	-369.00M	818.00M	-1.37B	34.00M	319.00M
	Operating Cash Flow
697.00M	115.00M	1.86B	283.00M	1.76B	1.43B
	Investing Cash Flow
-496.00M	5.00B	-1.05B	-768.00M	-1.64B	-1.18B
	Financing Cash Flow
-1.42B	-4.79B	-662.00M	485.00M	-894.00M	-602.00M

Ball Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 54.93
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BALL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.44, above the 50-day MA of 51.16, and below the 200-day MA of 56.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BALL.

Ball Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PKG	76 Outperform	$17.75B	20.65	20.07%	2.53%	9.47%	19.37%
SLGN	74 Outperform	$5.87B	20.34	14.52%	1.46%	1.99%	-5.30%
CCK	73 Outperform	$11.64B	21.49	21.30%	1.04%	0.90%	34.40%
BERY	67 Neutral	$7.83B	14.54	21.42%	1.73%	-8.26%	10.64%
BALL	65 Neutral	$15.26B	29.19	8.23%	1.45%	-9.79%	―
Sector *	63 Neutral	$6.98B	11.41	2.80%	4.24%	2.68%	-24.94%
AMCR	60 Neutral	$21.30B	16.58	20.71%	5.52%	-2.29%	24.05%

Ball Corporate Events

Ball Corporation Announces CFO Departure and Interim Appointment

Ball Corporation announced the departure of its Chief Financial Officer, Howard Yu, effective June 30, 2025, under a mutual agreement. Yu will receive severance benefits and his stock awards will continue to vest as per the company’s policies. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Daniel Rabbitt has been appointed as interim CFO, bringing extensive experience from his role as Senior Vice President at Ball and his previous position as CFO and Co-Founder of Mountain Union Telecom, LLC.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Completes €850 Million Senior Notes Offering

On May 19, 2025, Ball Corporation completed its public offering of €850 million in Senior Notes due 2032, which are senior unsecured obligations guaranteed by its domestic subsidiaries. This financial move is expected to impact the company’s debt structure and provide flexibility in its financial operations, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Announces €850M Senior Notes Offering

On May 12, 2025, Ball Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering of €850 million in 4.250% Senior Notes due 2032, expected to close on May 19, 2025. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and potential strategic investments, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.