Ball (BALL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $14.71B
• Dividend Yield: 1.48%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.24M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.59
• Revenue Growth: -3.12%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 16,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.90
• Shares Outstanding: 272,148,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,065,693
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,238,193
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.87
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.43
• P/FCF Ratio: -45.64
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.54
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.83
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 12.27
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 19.79
• 1Y Price Target: $61.73
• Price Target Upside: 15.04% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: $57.00 ▲(6.22% Upside)

Ball Corporation's stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive guidance, despite challenges in certain markets. Financial performance is stable but faces risks from increased leverage and declining net income. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics indicate the stock is trading at a premium.

Positive Factors

Earnings Growth

Ball Corp reaffirmed its guidance of 11-14% EPS growth, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance.

Market Confidence

Analyst reiterates a Buy rating for Ball Corp, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance despite the recent changes.

Negative Factors

Executive Changes

Investors might be surprised by the news of CFO Howard Yu stepping down after only a short time in the role.

Industry Challenges

The beverage can industry could face mounting multi-year headwinds, including potential volume impacts from changes in SNAP benefits and other factors.

Ball Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ball Corporation (BALL) is a global leader in metal packaging for beverages, personal care products, and household goods, as well as aerospace technologies. Founded in 1880, the company operates through two primary segments: Beverage Packaging and Aerospace. Ball's Beverage Packaging segment produces aluminum cans and bottles for various beverages, including beer, soft drinks, and energy drinks, while its Aerospace segment provides innovative solutions and products for government and commercial customers, including satellites and space exploration technologies.

How the Company Makes Money

Ball Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its metal packaging products and aerospace solutions. The Beverage Packaging segment is the largest revenue driver, where the company sells aluminum cans to beverage manufacturers around the world. This segment benefits from strong demand for sustainable packaging solutions, as aluminum is widely recognized for its recyclability and environmental advantages. Additionally, Ball has established long-term contracts with major beverage brands, providing stable revenue streams. The Aerospace segment contributes to earnings through contracts with government and commercial entities, delivering high-tech products and services that often include research and development components. Partnerships with leading companies in the aerospace industry further enhance Ball's capabilities and revenue potential. Overall, Ball's focus on sustainability, innovation, and strong customer relationships underpin its financial success.

Ball Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ball shows stable revenue growth with consistent operating margins, but increased financial leverage and declining net income raise concerns about profitability and financial risk. Cash flow performance is mixed, with strong operating cash flows but challenges in free cash flow generation.

Income Statement

Ball's TTM revenue growth is modest, increasing from $11.795 billion to $12.037 billion. However, EBIT margin improved from 10.03% to 10.97%, and net profit margin is at 4.17% TTM, which is lower than the previous annual report. While gross profit margin decreased to 19.32% TTM, EBITDA margin remained steady, indicating stable operating performance.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.22, indicating higher leverage compared to previous periods. The equity ratio stands at 30.50%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. However, ROE dropped significantly in the TTM period due to lower net income, posing potential risks in financial stability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 1.39 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is negative, though better compared to prior periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.57 TTM suggests moderate conversion of earnings to cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.40B	11.79B	12.06B	13.37B	13.81B	11.78B
Gross Profit	1.85B	2.44B	2.31B	2.25B	2.73B	2.46B
EBITDA	1.15B	1.45B	1.76B	1.70B	1.98B	1.63B
Net Income	556.00M	4.01B	707.00M	719.00M	878.00M	585.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	18.61B	17.63B	19.30B	19.91B	19.71B	18.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	296.00M	885.00M	695.00M	548.00M	563.00M	1.37B
Total Debt	7.03B	5.67B	8.57B	8.95B	7.74B	7.80B
Total Liabilities	13.33B	11.70B	15.47B	16.38B	16.03B	14.91B
Stockholders Equity	5.21B	5.86B	3.77B	3.53B	3.69B	3.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	796.00M	-369.00M	818.00M	-1.37B	34.00M	319.00M
Operating Cash Flow	916.00M	115.00M	1.86B	283.00M	1.76B	1.43B
Investing Cash Flow	-753.00M	5.00B	-1.05B	-768.00M	-1.64B	-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.52B	-4.79B	-662.00M	485.00M	-894.00M	-602.00M

Ball Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 53.66
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BALL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.16, below the 50-day MA of 56.50, and below the 200-day MA of 54.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BALL.

Ball Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PKG	75 Outperform	$17.69B	19.62	20.51%	2.55%	8.98%	25.81%
AMCR	72 Outperform	$22.29B	17.35	20.71%	5.26%	-2.29%	24.05%
CCK	71 Outperform	$11.81B	21.30	20.64%	1.02%	2.07%	32.37%
SLGN	69 Neutral	$4.96B	16.46	14.54%	1.68%	5.49%	-1.01%
Sector *	67 Neutral	¥271.27B	14.33	6.84%	2.52%	5.08%	-22.38%
BALL	61 Neutral	$14.71B	25.24	9.59%	1.48%	-3.12%	―

Ball Corporate Events

Ball Corporation Announces $750M Senior Notes Offering

On August 7, 2025, Ball Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement for a $750 million public offering of 5.500% Senior Notes due 2033. The offering is expected to close on August 14, 2025, and the proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt refinancing or repayment. The company plans to repay outstanding borrowings under its credit facilities using a portion of the proceeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Announces CFO Departure and Interim Appointment

Ball Corporation announced the departure of its Chief Financial Officer, Howard Yu, effective June 30, 2025, under a mutual agreement. Yu will receive severance benefits and his stock awards will continue to vest as per the company’s policies. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company. Daniel Rabbitt has been appointed as interim CFO, bringing extensive experience from his role as Senior Vice President at Ball and his previous position as CFO and Co-Founder of Mountain Union Telecom, LLC.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Completes €850 Million Senior Notes Offering

On May 19, 2025, Ball Corporation completed its public offering of €850 million in Senior Notes due 2032, which are senior unsecured obligations guaranteed by its domestic subsidiaries. This financial move is expected to impact the company’s debt structure and provide flexibility in its financial operations, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.

Ball Corporation Announces €850M Senior Notes Offering

On May 12, 2025, Ball Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering of €850 million in 4.250% Senior Notes due 2032, expected to close on May 19, 2025. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and potential strategic investments, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BALL) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ball stock, see the BALL Stock Forecast page.