Greif Class A (GEF) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.36B
• Dividend Yield: 3.2%
• Average Volume (3M): 259.51K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 77.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.84
• Revenue Growth: -17.63%
• EPS Growth: -80.32%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 25,996,487
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 331,509
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 259,509
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.97
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.72
• P/FCF Ratio: -33.25
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.42
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.02
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.69
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 9.64
• 1Y Price Target: $66.25
• Price Target Upside: -3.99% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.38
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $4.36B

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: $71.00 ▲(2.90% Upside)

Greif Class A's overall score reflects strong strategic repositioning and financial health improvements, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, high valuation concerns and declining revenue and cash flow trends weigh on the score. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, but overbought conditions may limit immediate upside potential.

Positive Factors

Cost Optimization

The successful cost optimization program enhances profitability and operational efficiency, providing a durable competitive advantage in cost management.

Debt Reduction

Debt reduction strengthens the balance sheet, lowering financial risk and increasing flexibility for strategic investments and growth.

Strong Cash Flow

Robust cash flow growth supports ongoing operations, debt servicing, and shareholder returns, ensuring long-term financial stability.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue Growth

Persistent revenue decline indicates challenges in market demand, potentially impacting future profitability and growth prospects.

High Leverage

High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, affecting long-term stability.

Market Demand Challenges

Ongoing market demand challenges may pressure pricing and volumes, hindering revenue growth and operational performance.

Greif Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging segment produces and sells industrial packaging products, including steel, fiber, and plastic drums; rigid and flexible intermediate bulk containers; closure systems for industrial packaging products; transit protection products; water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers; and various services, such as container life cycle management, filling, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services to chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, petroleum, industrial coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, mineral product, and other industries. This segment also offers flexible intermediate bulk containers and related services to the agriculture, construction, and food industries. The Paper Packaging & Services segment produces and sells containerboards, corrugated sheets and containers, and other corrugated and specialty products to customers in the packaging, automotive, food, and building products markets; and produces and sells coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and recycled fiber. This segment's corrugated container products are used to ship various products, such as home appliances, small machinery, grocery products, automotive components, books, and furniture, as well as various other applications. The Land Management segment engages in harvesting and regeneration of timber properties; and sale of timberland and special use properties. As of October 31, 2021, this segment owned approximately 175,000 acres of timber properties in the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.

How the Company Makes Money

Greif generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its packaging products to a wide range of industries. The company's core revenue comes from the manufacturing and distribution of industrial containers, including steel and plastic drums, which are essential for the safe transportation and storage of hazardous and non-hazardous materials. Additionally, Greif earns revenue from its IBC solutions and related packaging services. Significant partnerships with major companies in the chemicals, food, and pharmaceutical sectors bolster its sales, while Greif's focus on sustainability and innovation helps attract new business. The company's ability to provide comprehensive packaging solutions, coupled with its global manufacturing footprint, allows it to capitalize on various market opportunities and maintain a steady revenue stream.

Greif Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greif Class A shows strong profitability with a net profit margin of 21.36% and a stable balance sheet with reduced debt levels. However, declining revenue by 17.54% and negative free cash flow growth of -125.2% pose significant risks.

Income Statement

Greif Class A has shown a declining revenue trend with a significant drop of 17.54% in the latest year. However, the company maintains a strong net profit margin of 21.36% in the most recent year, indicating effective cost management. Historical EBIT and EBITDA margins have been stable, but recent declines in revenue growth are concerning.

Balance Sheet

The company has managed to reduce its debt levels, as seen in the decreasing debt-to-equity ratio from 2.43 in 2020 to 1.47 in 2024. Return on equity has been strong historically, although it has shown some decline in recent years. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a stable financial position.

Cash Flow

Cash flow performance has been mixed, with a concerning negative free cash flow growth of -125.2% in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential challenges in converting earnings into cash. Historical free cash flow to net income ratios have been strong, but recent trends suggest potential liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.66B	3.93B	4.33B	5.22B	6.35B	5.56B
Gross Profit	1.02B	871.50M	892.15M	1.15B	1.29B	1.09B
EBITDA	495.40M	396.00M	534.44M	834.10M	803.50M	805.70M
Net Income	885.10M	840.00M	265.96M	359.20M	376.70M	390.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.77B	5.77B	6.65B	5.96B	5.47B	5.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	256.70M	256.70M	197.70M	180.90M	147.10M	124.60M
Total Debt	1.39B	1.39B	3.07B	2.54B	2.18B	2.52B
Total Liabilities	2.72B	2.72B	4.40B	3.85B	3.66B	4.22B
Stockholders Equity	2.91B	2.91B	2.08B	1.95B	1.76B	1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	55.30M	-85.20M	169.50M	435.90M	474.50M	248.70M
Operating Cash Flow	245.80M	58.60M	356.00M	649.50M	657.50M	396.00M
Investing Cash Flow	1.77B	1.68B	-658.30M	-670.20M	-28.20M	46.80M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.98B	-1.73B	324.30M	69.70M	-531.00M	-422.90M

Greif Class A Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 69.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.05, above the 50-day MA of 61.59, and above the 200-day MA of 59.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.

Greif Class A Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SEE	71 Outperform	$6.08B	15.35	40.42%	1.94%	-1.22%	-0.76%
SLGN	68 Neutral	$4.32B	13.88	14.58%	1.96%	11.10%	6.54%
GEF	67 Neutral	$3.36B	77.48	2.08%	3.20%	-17.63%	-80.32%
SON	63 Neutral	$4.27B	4,464.95	6.39%	4.87%	8.31%	-99.39%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
AMBP	56 Neutral	$2.43B	-301.49	―	9.90%	10.34%	87.86%
OI	54 Neutral	$2.25B	-15.62	-10.92%	―	-2.82%	65.31%

Greif Class A Corporate Events

Greif Class A Reports Q4 2025 Financial Results

On November 6, 2025, Greif, Inc. held a conference call to discuss its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, which ended on September 30, 2025. The company reported a significant decrease in net income for both the two-month fourth quarter and the eleven-month fiscal year, primarily due to tax-related expenses and the divestment of its containerboard business. Despite these challenges, Greif achieved a 7.4% increase in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter and a 10.9% increase for the fiscal year. The company also completed the sale of its timberlands business and announced plans for cost optimization and share repurchases, reflecting confidence in its future earnings potential.