Greif Class A (GEF) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.10B
• Dividend Yield: 3.35%
• Average Volume (3M): 172.84K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.79
• Revenue Growth: 5.89%
• EPS Growth: -23.91%
• Country: US
• Employees: 14,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 57
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 1.19
• Shares Outstanding: 26,129,970
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 306,161
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 172,844
• PEG Ratio: -0.73
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.18
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.61
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.23
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.56
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.77
• 1Y Price Target: $71.67
• Price Target Upside: 10.33% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: $73.00 ▲(12.38%Upside)

Greif's overall score reflects a combination of strong earnings guidance and performance, especially in polymer solutions, offset by financial concerns over high leverage and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest potential short-term risks due to overbought conditions, while a fair valuation supports a stable investment outlook.

Positive Factors

Cost Optimization

Greif is adding margin upside with its cost optimization program, targeting significant savings by year-end and more by 2027.

Financial Performance

GEF showed a strong performance in fiscal quarter two against a challenging macroeconomic environment, with shares demonstrating considerable strength since the report.

Strategic Initiatives

The sale of timberland has attracted more buyer interest than initially expected, potentially fetching a higher price and contributing to debt reduction.

Negative Factors

Guidance and Forecasts

Management continues to note that given no clear signs of a pending demand inflection, providing only low-end guidance is prudent.

Market Conditions

Expect FQ2 results to reflect challenging macro conditions, particularly affecting GEF's industrial end markets.

Market Demand

Overall volumes are a bit soft because of continued housing- and auto-related demand weakness impacting domestic Metal.

Greif Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging segment produces and sells industrial packaging products, including steel, fiber, and plastic drums; rigid and flexible intermediate bulk containers; closure systems for industrial packaging products; transit protection products; water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers; and various services, such as container life cycle management, filling, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services to chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, petroleum, industrial coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, mineral product, and other industries. This segment also offers flexible intermediate bulk containers and related services to the agriculture, construction, and food industries. The Paper Packaging & Services segment produces and sells containerboards, corrugated sheets and containers, and other corrugated and specialty products to customers in the packaging, automotive, food, and building products markets; and produces and sells coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and recycled fiber. This segment's corrugated container products are used to ship various products, such as home appliances, small machinery, grocery products, automotive components, books, and furniture, as well as various other applications. The Land Management segment engages in harvesting and regeneration of timber properties; and sale of timberland and special use properties. As of October 31, 2021, this segment owned approximately 175,000 acres of timber properties in the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.

How the Company Makes Money

Greif makes money primarily through the sale of its industrial packaging products and related services. Its revenue model is based on manufacturing and distributing a wide array of packaging solutions, including steel and plastic drums, IBCs, and paper-based packaging products. Key revenue streams for the company include direct sales to businesses across various industries requiring robust packaging solutions for transportation and storage of goods. Additionally, Greif benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major corporations, which ensure a steady demand for its products. The company also generates income from its paper and recycling operations, which involve the production and sale of containerboard and corrugated products.

Greif Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greif Class A presents a mixed financial picture. While revenue growth and stable margins are positive indicators, declining profitability and high leverage raise concerns. The company needs to manage its debt levels carefully and focus on improving cash flows to ensure financial stability in the long term.

Income Statement

Greif Class A demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a slight decline in the latest TTM period. The Gross Profit Margin remained stable, suggesting efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased due to reduced net income, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show resilience, but the decline in EBITDA in the latest TTM period is concerning.

Balance Sheet

The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased over time, reflecting higher leverage, which could pose financial risks. The Return on Equity shows a downward trend, indicating less efficient use of equity. The Equity Ratio is stable but indicates moderate dependency on debt. Overall, the balance sheet suggests a need for caution regarding debt levels.

Cash Flow

Operating and Free Cash Flows showed fluctuations, with a notable decline in Free Cash Flow in the latest TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio suggests adequate cash generation relative to profits. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is declining, pointing to potential cash flow pressure.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
5.51B	5.45B	5.22B	6.35B	5.56B	4.51B
	Gross Profit
1.09B	1.07B	1.15B	1.29B	1.09B	914.70M
	EBIT
460.40M	464.60M	605.50M	621.20M	585.20M	304.90M
	EBITDA
723.30M	727.40M	824.50M	839.20M	845.70M	601.70M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
203.50M	262.10M	359.20M	376.70M	390.70M	108.80M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
201.10M	197.70M	180.90M	147.10M	124.60M	105.90M
	Total Assets
6.59B	6.65B	5.96B	5.46B	5.82B	5.51B
	Total Debt
3.15B	3.07B	2.54B	2.17B	2.52B	2.80B
	Net Debt
2.95B	2.87B	2.36B	2.03B	2.39B	2.69B
	Total Liabilities
4.38B	4.40B	3.85B	3.65B	4.22B	4.29B
	Stockholders Equity
2.04B	2.08B	1.95B	1.76B	1.51B	1.15B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
153.60M	169.50M	435.90M	474.50M	248.70M	317.90M
	Operating Cash Flow
320.70M	356.00M	649.50M	657.50M	396.00M	454.70M
	Investing Cash Flow
-623.70M	-658.30M	-670.20M	-28.20M	46.80M	-25.20M
	Financing Cash Flow
350.70M	324.30M	69.70M	-531.00M	-422.90M	-405.30M

Greif Class A Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 64.96
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 64.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.49, above the 50-day MA of 55.23, and above the 200-day MA of 59.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.64 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.

Greif Class A Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SON	73 Outperform	$4.54B	29.91	5.54%	4.69%	-4.58%	-61.14%
SEE	71 Outperform	$4.85B	15.91	43.40%	2.48%	-2.45%	-16.55%
GEF	70 Outperform	$3.10B	18.09	9.96%	3.35%	5.89%	-23.91%
MYE	68 Neutral	$538.30M	51.45	3.69%	3.67%	3.92%	-73.64%
AMBP	68 Neutral	$2.53B	―	-69.06%	9.46%	4.42%	70.21%
OI	65 Neutral	$2.11B	―	-13.85%	―	-5.29%	18.22%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$6.94B	11.34	2.80%	4.26%	2.68%	-24.70%

Greif Class A Corporate Events

Greif Class A Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results

On June 5, 2025, Greif, Inc. reported its fiscal second quarter 2025 results, showcasing a 6.5% increase in net income and a 26.0% rise in adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company continues to make strategic progress, including the sale of its timberland business and cost optimization initiatives, positioning itself for future success and value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GEF) stock is a Buy with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greif Class A stock, see the GEF Stock Forecast page.