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O-I Glass (OI)
NYSE:OI
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O-I Glass (OI) AI Stock Analysis

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OI

O-I Glass

(NYSE:OI)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▼(-21.95% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue contraction, net losses, and high leverage), partially offset by improved TTM free cash flow. Technicals are also unfavorable with the stock trading well below key moving averages and negative MACD. The latest earnings call adds modest support from cost-savings execution and expected 2H volume lift, but lowered full-year guidance and Europe/energy risks keep the outlook constrained.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, Fit to Win investments, and debt reduction. Over 2–6 months this improves liquidity flexibility and lowers refinancing risk, even if cash has been volatile year-to-year.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated long-term leverage constrains strategic options, increases interest and refinancing exposure, and reduces shock absorption. Over several months, high debt-to-equity limits capacity for M&A or opportunistic investment and raises the priority of deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, Fit to Win investments, and debt reduction. Over 2–6 months this improves liquidity flexibility and lowers refinancing risk, even if cash has been volatile year-to-year.
Read all positive factors

O-I Glass (OI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

O-I Glass Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
O-I Glass, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass containers to food and beverage manufacturers primarily in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company produces glass containers for alcoholic beverages, including...
How the Company Makes Money
O-I primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling glass containers (bottles and jars) to customers in the beverage (e.g., beer, wine, spirits, and other beverages) and food (e.g., sauces, condiments, and other packaged foods) markets. Revenue...

O-I Glass Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Revenue split across regions reveals where O‑I earns most of its sales and where it's vulnerable to local demand swings, currency moves, and regional beverage or food market trends. Heavy concentration in a single geography increases sensitivity to that area's economic cycles, energy prices, and regulatory changes.
Chart InsightsAmericas and Europe are clearly the revenue engines and have rebounded recently, while Asia Pacific’s abrupt disappearance likely reflects a divestiture or reporting change rather than demand collapse. Management’s Fit to Win program and pricing have meaningfully boosted margins and offset weaker volumes in beer and wine, so geographic revenue resilience today is driven more by cost and price execution than end-market strength. Watch volume trends in beer/wine and any further geographic portfolio moves—sustained organic growth still depends on recovering volumes post-2027.
Data provided by:The Fly

O-I Glass Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: the company showed clear progress on its Fit to Win program, meaningful new business wins, solid liquidity and improving sequential volumes — particularly in the Americas — which support medium-term confidence. However, Q1 results featured a steep decline in adjusted EPS, meaningful operating profit compression driven by Europe, ongoing volume headwinds in key categories (wine and some spirits), and material near-term energy cost risk that prompted a downward revision to full-year guidance. Management emphasized that many headwinds are temporary and reiterated 2027 targets, but near-term challenges balance against the operational and commercial positives.
Positive Updates
Stable Net Sales
Net sales of $1.54 billion in Q1, essentially flat year-over-year; favorable FX largely offset slightly lower average selling prices and volume declines.
Negative Updates
Sharp Earnings Decline in Q1
Adjusted earnings per share were $0.05 in Q1 versus $0.40 in the prior year (a drop of $0.35 or approximately -87.5%), coming in below original expectations.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Stable Net Sales
Net sales of $1.54 billion in Q1, essentially flat year-over-year; favorable FX largely offset slightly lower average selling prices and volume declines.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
O-I updated 2026 guidance to adjusted EPS of $1.00–$1.50 (Q1 adjusted EPS was $0.05 vs $0.40 a year ago), with full‑year sales volumes expected to be about flat, Q2 shipments stable and low‑to‑mid single‑digit growth in 2H; Q1 net sales were $1.54B and consolidated segment operating profit was $142M (down from $209M), driven by Americas operating profit of ~$142M (stable) and Europe breakeven (down ~$68M) with a $76M net‑price decline. Fit to Win is halfway to a $750M cumulative 2027 target, delivered ~$50M gross / $35M net in Q1, and management targets at least $275M of benefits in 2026 (with ~$150M planned in 2027); 15 new account wins should add ~1.5% of sales volume starting in H2 and underpin 1–2% sustainable growth into 2027. Key macro risks: management estimates $40–60M of direct energy exposure but flags a potential $75–100M energy impact from Middle East conflict; ~75–80% of European gas is hedged at roughly €45–55/MWh (sensitivity ~€5 = ~$0.05/sh ~ $12M EBITDA; upside above €55 implies only ~$5M risk), expected full‑year tax rate ~35–40%, liquidity ~$1.5B and secured covenant headroom intact.

O-I Glass Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement quality is weak with steep TTM revenue decline (~42%) and continued net losses despite modestly positive EBIT (~4.6% margin). Balance sheet risk is elevated due to high leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.9x) and negative returns. Cash flow is the main offset, with strong TTM operating cash flow (~$771M) and positive free cash flow (~$474M), though volatility remains a concern.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.40B6.43B6.53B7.11B6.86B6.36B
Gross Profit1.03B1.11B1.04B1.50B1.21B1.09B
EBITDA776.00M781.00M859.00M892.00M1.50B997.00M
Net Income-186.00M-129.00M-106.00M-103.00M584.00M149.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.95B9.24B8.65B9.67B9.06B8.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments317.00M759.00M734.00M913.00M773.00M725.00M
Total Debt4.96B5.00B5.18B4.95B4.72B4.83B
Total Liabilities6.69B7.80B7.45B7.92B7.53B8.01B
Stockholders Equity2.26B1.29B1.08B1.61B1.42B720.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow474.00M168.00M-128.00M130.00M-385.00M289.00M
Operating Cash Flow771.00M600.00M489.00M818.00M154.00M687.00M
Investing Cash Flow-387.00M-368.00M-620.00M-683.00M-97.00M-220.00M
Financing Cash Flow-236.00M-250.00M-8.00M-27.00M6.00M-273.00M

O-I Glass Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.89
Price Trends
50DMA
12.22
Negative
100DMA
13.55
Negative
200DMA
13.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
47.92
Neutral
STOCH
53.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.53, below the 50-day MA of 12.22, and below the 200-day MA of 13.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OI.

O-I Glass Risk Analysis

O-I Glass disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. O-I Glass reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

O-I Glass Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$3.33B5.5939.51%3.19%-29.32%-9.87%
65
Neutral
$4.86B19.6130.14%4.33%17.41%167.71%
64
Neutral
$1.32B11.9216.97%0.45%1.75%405.11%
62
Neutral
$4.18B14.7816.75%1.97%10.73%4.38%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$744.70M20.0312.22%2.80%-1.26%380.51%
44
Neutral
$1.32B-11.46-12.17%-1.61%3.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OI
O-I Glass
9.11
-3.70
-28.88%
GEF
Greif Class A
65.24
14.54
28.69%
MYE
Myers Industries
20.61
9.89
92.31%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
40.55
-11.22
-21.68%
SON
Sonoco Products
49.96
8.64
20.91%
TRS
Trimas
37.02
12.94
53.75%

O-I Glass Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
O-I Glass Announces Leadership Change in Sales and Marketing
Neutral
Mar 5, 2026
On March 3, 2026, O-I Glass, Inc. announced an organizational change under which Arnaud Aujouannet would step down as senior vice president and chief sales and marketing officer, effective March 4, 2026. He will remain a non-executive employee on ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
O-I Glass Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Amid Earnings Headwinds
Negative
Feb 25, 2026
On February 25, 2026, O-I Glass said Chief Financial Officer John Haudrich would present that day at the BofA Securities 2026 Global Agriculture and Materials Conference to detail its strategy to boost shareholder value through competitiveness, co...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026