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O-I Glass (OI)
NYSE:OI
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O-I Glass (OI) AI Stock Analysis

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OI

O-I Glass

(NYSE:OI)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(4.81% Upside)
O-I Glass's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. However, the positive earnings call, highlighting strong Q3 performance and strategic initiatives, provides a counterbalance. Technical indicators show mixed momentum, and valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
The successful execution of the Fit to Win initiative indicates strong cost management, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Improved Financial Outlook
Raising guidance reflects confidence in strategic initiatives and market positioning, suggesting potential for sustained earnings growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Significant improvement in free cash flow enhances financial flexibility, supporting investment in growth opportunities and debt reduction.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth or weather downturns.
Declining Revenue
A substantial decline in revenue growth challenges market position and profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to stabilize and grow sales.
Volume Decline in Key Segments
Declining volumes in key segments like beer and wine highlight demand challenges, potentially impacting revenue and market share.

O-I Glass (OI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

O-I Glass Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionO-I Glass, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass containers to food and beverage manufacturers primarily in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company produces glass containers for alcoholic beverages, including beer, flavored malt beverages, spirits, and wine. It is also involved in the production of glass packaging for various food items, soft drinks, tea, juices, and pharmaceuticals. In addition, the company offers glass containers in a range of sizes, shapes, and colors. It sells its products directly to customers under annual or multi-year supply agreements, as well as through distributors. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Perrysburg, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyO-I Glass generates revenue primarily through the sale of glass containers to clients in the food, beverage, and pharmaceutical sectors. The company operates under a business-to-business (B2B) model, where it enters into contracts with customers for the supply of customized glass packaging solutions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of glass containers, as well as related services such as design and engineering support. Additionally, O-I Glass benefits from long-term partnerships with major global brands, which provide a stable demand for its products. The company also emphasizes sustainability, which enhances its brand value and can lead to increased sales as consumers and businesses increasingly prioritize eco-friendly packaging options. Factors contributing to earnings include operational efficiency, cost management, and innovations in glass manufacturing technology that reduce production costs and improve product quality.

O-I Glass Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
O-I Glass demonstrated strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, driven by strategic initiatives and cost-saving programs. While there are challenges in consumer demand, especially in the beer and wine segments, the company has effectively managed these with strategic cost-cutting and efficiency improvements. The improved 2025 outlook and successful execution of the Fit to Win program suggest positive momentum, despite macroeconomic headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Profits
Third quarter adjusted earnings were reported at $0.48 per share, exceeding both last year's performance and the company's initial plans. Segment operating profit rose by more than 60% year-over-year, and margins are up by 570 basis points.
Successful Fit to Win Initiative
The Fit to Win program contributed $75 million in savings in the third quarter and $220 million year-to-date, surpassing the original 2025 savings target. The program is expected to range between $275 million and $300 million for 2025, with a cumulative benefit of at least $650 million by 2027.
Improved 2025 Outlook
The company has raised its full-year 2025 guidance, now expecting adjusted earnings per share to nearly double versus 2024. Free cash flow is projected at $150 million to $200 million, an improvement of approximately $300 million versus last year.
Strategic Market Positioning
O-I Glass is focusing on eliminating waste, inefficiencies, and building higher-quality revenue streams. Expected annual sales volume growth post-2027 is projected at 1% to 2%.
Negative Updates
Volume Decline in Beer and Wine Segments
Overall consumer demand remained subdued, with beer and wine experiencing declines due to softer demand. Shipments in tons declined by 5% in the third quarter.
Ongoing Macroeconomic Headwinds
Short-term cyclical pressures, including inflation and elevated supply chain inventories, temporarily dampened demand. Underlying consumer consumption trends were softer, impacting sales volumes.
Environmental Liability Settlement
The company settled a legacy environmental liability, incurring a charge of over $15 million.
Company Guidance
During the O-I Glass Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company shared positive guidance and key metrics demonstrating its progress. The company reported adjusted earnings of $0.48 per share, surpassing last year’s performance, with segment operating profit rising over 60% year-over-year and margins increasing by 570 basis points. The Fit to Win initiative contributed $75 million in the third quarter and $220 million year-to-date, surpassing initial savings targets with expectations of reaching $275-$300 million for the full year. Despite challenges such as a 2% decline in sales volume, stable net sales of approximately $1.7 billion were maintained due to favorable pricing and efficiencies. Looking forward, O-I Glass expects adjusted earnings per share to nearly double versus 2024, with projected free cash flow between $150 million and $200 million for the full year. The company anticipates achieving 1%-2% annual sales volume growth post-2027, driven by strategic initiatives and market stabilization.

O-I Glass Financial Statement Overview

Summary
O-I Glass faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability issues. The high leverage and negative return on equity highlight financial risks. However, the company has shown some resilience in cash flow generation, which could provide a foundation for recovery if operational efficiencies improve.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
O-I Glass has experienced a significant decline in revenue growth, with a TTM revenue drop of 40.1%. The gross profit margin is relatively stable at 16.8%, but the company is struggling with negative net profit margins, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. EBIT margins have decreased, and EBITDA is negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.21 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Despite a challenging income environment, O-I Glass has shown a remarkable improvement in free cash flow growth, with a TTM increase of 1590%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation is still a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.46B6.53B7.11B6.86B6.36B6.09B
Gross Profit1.09B1.04B1.50B1.21B1.09B972.00M
EBITDA801.00M859.00M892.00M1.50B997.00M1.09B
Net Income-145.00M-106.00M-103.00M584.00M149.00M249.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.26B8.65B9.67B9.06B8.83B8.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments556.00M734.00M913.00M773.00M725.00M563.00M
Total Debt5.12B5.18B4.95B4.72B4.83B5.14B
Total Liabilities7.79B7.45B7.92B7.53B8.01B8.48B
Stockholders Equity1.33B1.08B1.61B1.42B720.00M297.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.00M-128.00M130.00M-385.00M289.00M146.00M
Operating Cash Flow516.00M489.00M818.00M154.00M687.00M457.00M
Investing Cash Flow-423.00M-620.00M-683.00M-97.00M-220.00M93.00M
Financing Cash Flow-295.00M-8.00M-27.00M6.00M-273.00M-557.00M

O-I Glass Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.88
Price Trends
50DMA
12.53
Positive
100DMA
13.32
Negative
200DMA
12.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
56.47
Neutral
STOCH
74.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.13, above the 50-day MA of 12.53, and above the 200-day MA of 12.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OI.

O-I Glass Risk Analysis

O-I Glass disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. O-I Glass reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

O-I Glass Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$657.26M23.609.92%3.10%0.26%78.05%
66
Neutral
$4.04B12.9814.58%2.03%11.10%6.54%
65
Neutral
$2.83B4.052.08%3.73%-17.63%208.81%
63
Neutral
$3.99B4,170.106.39%5.16%8.31%-99.39%
63
Neutral
$1.29B29.566.26%0.51%11.83%67.28%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$1.98B-10.92%-2.82%65.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OI
O-I Glass
12.88
-0.49
-3.66%
GEF
Greif Class A
58.47
-8.26
-12.38%
MYE
Myers Industries
17.44
5.60
47.30%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
38.20
-15.05
-28.26%
SON
Sonoco Products
40.68
-8.27
-16.89%
TRS
Trimas
31.16
3.50
12.65%

O-I Glass Corporate Events

O-I Glass Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

O-I Glass Inc., a leading global producer of glass bottles and jars, is renowned for its sustainable packaging solutions and operates in the glass container industry. Headquartered in Perrysburg, Ohio, the company partners with major food and beverage brands worldwide.

O-I Glass Inc Shines in Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Nov 6, 2025

O-I Glass Inc’s recent earnings call revealed a strong financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, largely attributed to strategic initiatives and cost-saving programs. Despite facing challenges in consumer demand, particularly in the beer and wine segments, the company effectively managed these issues through strategic cost-cutting and efficiency improvements. The improved 2025 outlook and the successful execution of the Fit to Win program indicate positive momentum, even amidst macroeconomic headwinds.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
O-I Glass Secures $2.7 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, O-I Glass, Inc.’s subsidiary, Owens-Illinois Group, Inc., entered into an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank and other financial institutions, refinancing its previous credit agreement from 2022. This new agreement allows for up to $2.7 billion in borrowings and includes various covenants and a Secured Leverage Ratio that could impact the company’s ability to undertake additional financing or acquisitions, potentially affecting its financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (OI) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on O-I Glass stock, see the OI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025