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O-I Glass (OI)
NYSE:OI
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O-I Glass (OI) AI Stock Analysis

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OI

O-I Glass

(NYSE:OI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-6.79% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
OI scores below average primarily due to weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline, sizable losses, and a highly leveraged balance sheet), which raises risk despite positive operating/free cash flow. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock trading below key moving averages, though oversold indicators temper the downside. The earnings call adds some support via cost-savings execution, strong Americas performance, and solid liquidity/no near-term maturities, but Europe-driven setbacks and reduced guidance keep the overall score restrained.
Positive Factors
Americas operating strength
Strong Americas execution provides a durable earnings anchor within O-I’s regional portfolio. Higher margins despite volume pressure indicate pricing, mix, productivity and operating discipline can support profitability.
Negative Factors
Severe earnings and revenue pressure
The sharp top-line contraction and large loss indicate weak current earnings quality and limited margin protection. A sustained recovery depends on rebuilding volume, pricing and utilization across the manufacturing network.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Americas operating strength
Strong Americas execution provides a durable earnings anchor within O-I’s regional portfolio. Higher margins despite volume pressure indicate pricing, mix, productivity and operating discipline can support profitability.
Read all positive factors

O-I Glass Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Revenue split across regions reveals where O‑I earns most of its sales and where it's vulnerable to local demand swings, currency moves, and regional beverage or food market trends. Heavy concentration in a single geography increases sensitivity to that area's economic cycles, energy prices, and regulatory changes.
Chart InsightsRevenue is concentrated in the Americas (the stability engine) while Europe drives the volatility and recent profit compression; Asia has effectively disappeared from reported geography (a reporting/divestiture shift) and Other is shrinking. Management’s Fit to Win gains, hedged European gas exposure, and Americas‑heavy new account wins underpin expected H2 volume recovery, but persistent European price and energy risk keeps near‑term upside to consolidated margins constrained.
Data provided by:The Fly

O-I Glass (OI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

O-I Glass Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
O-I Glass, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, is dedicated to the manufacturing and global distribution of glass packaging. The company primarily furnishes glass containers to businesses in the food and beverage industries across the Americas...
How the Company Makes Money
O-I makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling glass containers (bottles and jars) to customers, with revenue recognized from the sale and delivery of finished glass packaging products. Its key revenue stream is container sales into major ...

O-I Glass Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced clear operational and commercial progress — notably in the Americas, Fit to Win savings, new business wins (~2% of volume), stable liquidity, and plant-level energy improvements — against material near-term headwinds centered in Europe (sharp profit decline, lower prices, higher energy costs, furnace and restructuring disruptions), a steep drop in adjusted EPS, a goodwill impairment, and a lowered 2026 outlook. Management emphasized that the issues in Europe are transitional, reaffirmed the strategy, and realigned targets for 2026 and 2027 while keeping longer-term goals intact. Given the mix of strong execution in parts of the business and significant Europe-driven setbacks, the overall tone is cautious with confidence in medium-term recovery but acknowledgement of near-term challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Americas Performance
Americas net sales ~$949M (up ~1% YoY) with segment operating profit up 22% YoY to $165M; margins expanded ~300 basis points to 17.4% — the highest Q2 profit in the Americas in the past 10 years despite a single furnace event and a 7% volume decline.
Negative Updates
Sharp Decline in Adjusted Earnings Per Share
Adjusted EPS fell to $0.09 in Q2 2026 versus $0.53 in prior year (a decline of $0.44 per share, roughly an 83% decrease), driven primarily by lower net price in Europe and an unusually high adjusted tax rate that reduced results by $0.18 per share.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Americas Performance
Americas net sales ~$949M (up ~1% YoY) with segment operating profit up 22% YoY to $165M; margins expanded ~300 basis points to 17.4% — the highest Q2 profit in the Americas in the past 10 years despite a single furnace event and a 7% volume decline.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company narrowed 2026 guidance to adjusted EBITDA of $1.0–$1.1 billion (and removed adjusted earnings guidance because the effective tax rate is highly sensitive), expects roughly $200 million of Fit to Win savings in 2026 and at least $650 million over three years (with >$400 million already delivered since launch and $85 million YTD despite ~$30 million of direct inefficiencies and ~$45 million total disruption impact), and realigned 2027 targets to adjusted EBITDA of $1.2–$1.3 billion (including at least $150 million of incremental Fit to Win next year) while still maintaining the longer‑term $1.45 billion objective; management also cited Q2 net sales of about $1.7 billion (down ~2% YoY), shipments down ~4.5% YoY with June volumes flat, Americas segment operating profit of $165 million (up 22%, margin ~17.4%), Europe segment operating profit of $6 million (vs. $90 million prior), liquidity of $1.5 billion with no maturities until 2028, and that new business wins (~2% of annual volume) should contribute ~1–1.5% annualized run‑rate in H2 and ~2% in 2027.

O-I Glass Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured by a steep TTM revenue decline (~-61% YoY), a large TTM net loss (~$832M), and high leverage (debt ~$5.0B vs equity ~$1.35B; ~3.7x debt-to-equity). Offsetting this, cash generation is holding up better than earnings (TTM operating cash flow ~$416M; free cash flow ~$81M), suggesting some underlying resilience, but cash flow is still modest relative to the debt load.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.36B6.43B6.53B7.11B6.86B6.36B
Gross Profit942.00M1.11B1.04B1.50B1.21B1.09B
EBITDA751.00M781.00M859.00M892.00M1.50B997.00M
Net Income-1.15B-129.00M-106.00M-103.00M584.00M149.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.09B9.24B8.65B9.67B9.06B8.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments339.00M759.00M734.00M913.00M773.00M725.00M
Total Debt4.99B5.00B5.18B4.95B4.72B4.83B
Total Liabilities7.55B7.80B7.45B7.92B7.53B8.01B
Stockholders Equity383.00M1.29B1.08B1.61B1.42B720.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.00M168.00M-128.00M130.00M-385.00M289.00M
Operating Cash Flow416.00M600.00M489.00M818.00M154.00M687.00M
Investing Cash Flow-379.00M-368.00M-620.00M-683.00M-97.00M-220.00M
Financing Cash Flow-203.00M-250.00M-8.00M-27.00M6.00M-273.00M

O-I Glass Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.51
Price Trends
50DMA
8.41
Negative
100DMA
8.91
Negative
200DMA
11.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
50.19
Neutral
STOCH
87.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.06, below the 50-day MA of 8.41, and below the 200-day MA of 11.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OI.

O-I Glass Risk Analysis

O-I Glass disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. O-I Glass reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

O-I Glass Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.42B1.6483.76%0.40%-21.18%2519.53%
73
Outperform
$4.49B16.6711.69%1.77%8.43%-9.80%
71
Outperform
$4.46B4.8833.43%2.93%-24.38%43.47%
71
Outperform
$5.68B8.8718.34%3.66%12.01%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$1.26B24.0517.77%1.72%-8.73%268.62%
49
Neutral
$1.11B-1.00-107.76%-1.85%-352.80%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OI
O-I Glass
7.51
-5.75
-43.36%
GEF
Greif Class A
84.63
20.54
32.05%
MYE
Myers Industries
32.68
16.33
99.90%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
42.66
-2.68
-5.91%
SON
Sonoco Products
57.88
13.09
29.21%
TRS
Trimas
39.75
1.18
3.07%

O-I Glass Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
O-I Glass Announces Leadership Change in European Operations
Neutral
Jul 10, 2026
On July 8, 2026, O-I Glass, Inc. implemented an organizational change in its European operations, under which Emmanuelle Guérin ceased serving as Senior Vice President, Business Operations Europe, effective immediately. She remains a non-exec...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
O-I Glass Reaffirms 2026 Outlook at Investor Conference
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
O-I Glass said its CEO Gordon Hardie and CFO John Haudrich will present a capital markets update at the Wells Fargo 16th Annual Industrials and Materials Conference on June 10, 2026, outlining the company’s strategic and financial trajectory...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026