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O-I Glass Inc (OI)
:OI

O-I Glass (OI) AI Stock Analysis

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OI

O-I Glass

(NYSE:OI)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
The overall stock score of O-I Glass is driven primarily by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, despite a challenging financial performance and unattractive valuation. The company's robust cash flow generation and strategic cost-saving initiatives support its operational stability, while technical indicators suggest bullish momentum. However, the negative P/E ratio and high leverage highlight areas of concern.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Raising the target price to $14 reflects strong first-quarter results and a reiterated outlook for 2025.
Strategic Initiatives
OI's transformation appears on track with self-help initiatives driving operational improvements that will help make OI more competitive both in glass and vs cans.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
O-I Glass's EV/EBITDA multiple has compressed due to weak volume and earnings trends, adding pressure on the company's profit and cash flow.
Tariff Uncertainty
O-I is taking a potentially conservative approach due to heightened tariff uncertainty, impacting 4.5% of sales.

O-I Glass (OI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

O-I Glass Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionO-I Glass, Inc. (OI) is a global leader in the design, production, and sale of glass containers for food and beverage products. The company operates in the manufacturing sector, primarily serving industries such as beer, wine, spirits, non-alcoholic beverages, food, and pharmaceuticals. With a commitment to sustainability and innovation, O-I Glass provides high-quality, environmentally friendly glass packaging solutions to its customers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyO-I Glass makes money through the manufacturing and sale of glass containers to a diverse range of industries, including food and beverage, which represent the majority of its customer base. The company's revenue streams primarily consist of direct sales contracts with major brands and manufacturers in these sectors. Additionally, O-I Glass benefits from long-term partnerships and supply agreements with key customers, which help ensure a steady demand for its products. The company also invests in technological advancements and sustainable practices to maintain its competitive edge and enhance its market appeal. Factors such as global production capacity, operational efficiencies, and strategic pricing contribute to O-I Glass's earnings.

O-I Glass Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 23.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a strong start to 2025 with better-than-expected earnings and significant savings from the Fit to Win program. Growth in the Americas and successful inventory reduction are positive indicators. However, challenges in Europe, the potential impact of global trade policies, and recent volume declines pose concerns. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives, but caution remains due to external uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
O-I Glass reported first quarter adjusted earnings of $0.40 per share, which exceeded management's expectations due to stronger than anticipated sales volume growth and $61 million in savings from the Fit to Win program.
Growth in the Americas
Segment operating profit improved significantly in the Americas, driven by strong demand, stable net price amid tight capacity, and $27 million in Fit to Win benefits. Shipments were up more than 4% in the Americas.
Fit to Win Program Success
The Fit to Win program generated $61 million in savings during the first quarter, exceeding initial plans. The program aims to achieve $250 million in savings in 2025 and $650 million cumulatively by 2027.
Inventory Reduction Achievements
Inventory levels were reduced by $225 million from the same time last year, with the aim to be below 50 days IDS by the end of 2025.
Reaffirmed 2025 Guidance
O-I reaffirmed its full year 2025 guidance, expecting adjusted earnings to improve by 50% to 85% from fiscal year 2024, ranging between $1.20 and $1.50 per share.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe
Results in Europe trended down due to lower net prices and temporary production downtime, which led to $58 million of unabsorbed fixed costs. This was partially offset by $20 million in Fit to Win benefits.
Impact of Global Trade Policies
Uncertainty related to new global trade policies, such as tariffs, poses potential challenges. About 4.5% of global sales volume is currently exposed to new tariffs, primarily related to imports from Europe.
Slight Volume Decline in April
Adjusted for Easter, April volumes were down about 1% to 2%, with a decline observed in Europe, particularly in segments exposed to exports such as wines and spirits.
Company Guidance
In the O-I Glass First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance on their performance and future outlook. The first quarter of 2025 saw adjusted earnings of $0.40 per share, which, although lower than the previous year, surpassed management's expectations thanks to a more than 4% increase in shipments and $61 million in savings from the Fit to Win program. The company is reaffirming its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting adjusted earnings to improve by 50% to 85% compared to 2024, with an expected range of $1.20 to $1.50 per share. Segment operating profit increased significantly in the Americas due to strategic initiatives, while Europe faced challenges with lower net prices and temporary production downtime. O-I Glass aims to achieve $250 million in savings for 2025 and $650 million by 2027 through its Fit to Win program, which focuses on cost reduction and network optimization. Additionally, the company is cautiously optimistic due to potential impacts from changing global trade policies and tariffs, with 14% of global sales volume crossing the U.S. border and 4.5% exposed to new tariffs. The company remains confident in achieving its financial goals despite these uncertainties.

O-I Glass Financial Statement Overview

Summary
O-I Glass faces challenges with declining profitability and high leverage, affecting its income statement and balance sheet performance. However, strong cash flow generation provides operational stability. Improving margins and debt management could enhance financial health.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
O-I Glass shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability metrics, with significant drops in gross profit and EBIT margins over the years. The TTM data reflects a negative net income, impacting net profit margins adversely. Despite past revenue growth, recent figures indicate challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio indicating a high level of debt compared to equity. ROE has been negative recently due to net losses. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting some level of financial stability amidst high liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
O-I Glass demonstrates strong cash flow generation capabilities, with positive free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, reflecting operating efficiency. However, fluctuations in capital expenditures and free cash flow in prior years highlight potential volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.50B6.53B7.11B6.86B6.36B6.09B
Gross Profit1.00B1.04B1.50B1.21B1.09B972.00M
EBITDA741.00M859.00M892.00M1.44B949.00M1.03B
Net Income-193.00M-106.00M-103.00M584.00M149.00M249.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.73B8.65B9.67B9.06B8.83B8.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments424.00M734.00M913.00M773.00M725.00M563.00M
Total Debt5.01B4.97B5.17B4.72B4.83B5.14B
Total Liabilities7.48B7.45B7.92B7.53B8.01B8.48B
Stockholders Equity1.11B1.08B1.61B1.53B827.00M401.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.00M-128.00M130.00M-385.00M289.00M146.00M
Operating Cash Flow577.00M489.00M818.00M154.00M687.00M457.00M
Investing Cash Flow-525.00M-620.00M-683.00M-97.00M-220.00M93.00M
Financing Cash Flow-13.00M-8.00M-27.00M35.00M-273.00M-557.00M

O-I Glass Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.06
Price Trends
50DMA
13.20
Positive
100DMA
12.31
Positive
200DMA
12.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Negative
RSI
66.51
Neutral
STOCH
88.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.86, above the 50-day MA of 13.20, and above the 200-day MA of 12.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OI.

O-I Glass Risk Analysis

O-I Glass disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. O-I Glass reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

O-I Glass Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.82B20.1614.52%1.47%1.99%-5.30%
CCCCK
73
Outperform
$12.05B22.2421.30%1.00%0.90%34.40%
SESEE
68
Neutral
$4.60B15.0943.40%2.56%-2.45%-16.55%
SOSON
68
Neutral
$4.32B28.485.54%4.84%-4.58%-61.14%
OIOI
65
Neutral
$2.33B-13.85%-5.29%18.22%
GPGPK
64
Neutral
$6.34B10.3020.62%2.09%-6.28%-7.43%
61
Neutral
AU$2.78B25.795.01%5.27%2.63%-29.95%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OI
O-I Glass
15.06
4.34
40.49%
CCK
Crown Holdings
103.50
31.07
42.90%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
21.02
-4.47
-17.54%
SEE
Sealed Air
31.25
-2.04
-6.13%
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
54.40
13.15
31.88%
SON
Sonoco Products
43.82
-4.34
-9.01%

O-I Glass Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
O-I Glass CFO to Present at Wells Fargo Conference
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 11, 2025, O-I Glass‘s Chief Financial Officer, John Haudrich, is set to present at the Wells Fargo 2025 Industrials and Materials Conference, where he will reaffirm the company’s 2025 guidance. The presentation will be available via a live webcast, with a replay accessible for 90 days. This event underscores O-I Glass’s commitment to maintaining transparency with stakeholders and its strategic focus on optimizing operations and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (OI) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on O-I Glass stock, see the OI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
O-I Glass Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 14, 2025, O-I Glass, Inc. held its Annual Meeting where shareholders voted on several key proposals. All nominees for the Board of Directors were elected for a one-year term, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm, and the Fifth Amended and Restated 2017 Incentive Award Plan was approved. Additionally, the compensation for the company’s named executive officers received advisory approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (OI) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on O-I Glass stock, see the OI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025