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Silgan (SLGN)
NYSE:SLGN

Silgan Holdings (SLGN) AI Stock Analysis

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SLGN

Silgan Holdings

(NYSE:SLGN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(5.28% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong and improving free cash flow but weakened by a sharp 2025 revenue decline and elevated leverage. Technicals are supportive (uptrend with positive MACD) though momentum is stretched (RSI/Stoch high). Guidance points to modest 2026 improvement, but higher interest expense and a softer Q1 outlook temper the near-term profile.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained FCF growth (≈+33% in 2025) demonstrates durable cash generation from operations. This supports ongoing CapEx for high-return dispensing investments, funds dividends and deleveraging, and provides flexibility to absorb working-capital swings or fund strategic initiatives over the next 2–6 months.
High‑value DSC Segment
Dispensing & Specialty Closures' rise to >50% of adjusted EBITDA and record margins shifts Silgan toward higher-margin, innovation-driven products. Durable organic volume growth and outsized new-product win rates improve earnings quality and reduce exposure to cyclical metal-container demand over the medium term.
Successful M&A and Cost Programs
Achieved M&A integration and cost-savings synergies indicate management executes strategic deals and captures planned benefits. Realized synergies boost margins, enable scalable production for new contracts, and lower structural operating costs, making future profitability less reliant on short-term volumes.
Negative Factors
Top-line Contraction
A ~20.7% revenue drop in 2025 signals material demand or mix deterioration that erodes operating leverage. Lower net margins versus prior years reduce earnings resilience; until volume trajectories stabilize, margin recovery and predictable earnings could remain pressured over the next several quarters.
Elevated Leverage
Debt at ~1.9x equity (down from ~2.8x in 2020 but still high) constrains strategic optionality. Elevated absolute debt raises refinancing and covenant sensitivity and makes the company more exposed to rising rates or weaker cash conversion, limiting M&A capacity and amplifying downside risk over a multi‑quarter horizon.
Rising Interest Expense
A step-up in interest cost (~$205M guidance) following note maturities materially reduces net income and free cash flow. Higher fixed financing costs will crowd capital allocation (CapEx, dividends, deleveraging) and increase earnings sensitivity to modest operating setbacks in the 2–6 month timeframe.

Silgan Holdings (SLGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Silgan Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSilgan Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells rigid packaging for consumer goods products in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Dispensing and Specialty Closures, Metal Containers, and Custom Containers. The Metal Containers segment manufactures and sells steel and aluminum containers for food products, such as pet food, vegetables, soups, proteins, tomato based products, adult nutritional drinks, fruits, and other miscellaneous food products, as well as general line metal containers primarily for chemicals. The Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment offers a range of metal and plastic closures, and dispensing systems for use in food, beverage, health care, garden, home, personal care, and beauty products, as well as capping/sealing equipment and detection systems. The Custom Containers segment manufactures and sells custom designed and stock plastic containers for use in personal care and health care; food and beverage; household and industrial chemical; pharmaceutical; pet food and care; agricultural; automotive; and marine chemical products. This segment also provides plastic thermoformed barrier and non-barrier bowls, and trays for food products, such as soups, other ready-to-eat meals, and pet food products; and plastic closures, caps, sifters, and fitments, as well as thermoformed tubs for food, household, and personal care products, including soft fabric wipes. The company markets its products primarily through direct sales force, as well as through a network of distributors and an online shopping catalog. Silgan Holdings Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneySilgan Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaging products across various industries. The company’s key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of metal containers, closures, and plastic packaging. Silgan typically enters long-term supply agreements with major consumer goods companies, providing a stable revenue base. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies in its manufacturing processes. Strategic partnerships with leading brands enhance its market position, while the growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions further drives revenue growth. Fluctuations in raw material costs and changes in consumer preferences also play significant roles in influencing the company’s earnings.

Silgan Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strategic and operational positives — record/near-record segment results, successful integration of Vayner with run-rate synergies achieved, completion of a multiyear cost program, return to target leverage, continued organic growth in higher-value dispensing products, and robust pet food volume expansion. Headwinds include higher interest expense and tax items that reduced Q4 EPS, raw material/tariff-driven volatility, some customer destocking (largely contained) and a remaining procedural uncertainty related to a large metal containers customer bankruptcy. On balance, the company presented stronger operational performance and clear strategic momentum while acknowledging measurable near-term financial headwinds that management is addressing.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter net sales approximately $1.5 billion, up 4% year-over-year, driven by contractual pass-through of higher raw materials and favorable foreign currency translation.
Strong Segment Performance — Dispensing & Specialty Closures (DSC)
DSC (now >50% of adjusted EBITDA) delivered record sales, adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBITDA with continued EBITDA margin expansion and significant free cash flow generation; organic volumes expected to grow low- to mid-single-digit in 2026 driven by mid-single-digit dispensing product growth.
Metal Containers Volume and Earnings Strength
Metal Containers delivered positive earnings and volume trends: full-quarter volumes grew ~4% (Q4 volumes +4%) with pet food volumes up 7%; Q4 Metal Containers sales rose 11% YoY (largely raw material pass-through) and segment adjusted EBIT increased ~5% YoY, benefiting from cost management and pet-food mix.
Custom Containers Profitability and Margin Expansion
Custom Containers delivered a record year of profitability; adjusted EBIT and EBITDA margins expanded by ~150 basis points versus prior year, positioning the business for accelerated growth despite flat near-term volumes.
Successful M&A Integration and Cost Initiatives
Vayner acquisition fully integrated with run-rate synergies achieved; completed multiyear cost savings program as expected; combined innovation pipeline producing new contractual wins and commercial synergies across dispensing businesses.
Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet
Returned approximately $150 million to shareholders in 2025 and returned leverage to within target range just over a year after the Vayner acquisition; free cash flow expected of approximately $450 million in 2026 (midpoint outlook) with planned CapEx of ~$310 million to support growth.
2026 Financial Guidance — Operating Improvement
2026 adjusted EPS guidance $3.70–$3.90 versus $3.72 in 2025 (midpoint implies slight EPS improvement); company expects to exceed prior year adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBITDA at the midpoint of the range.
Operational Resilience and New Business Wins
Company highlighted market-leading innovation and customer partnerships that continue to win an outsized proportion of new product launches (e.g., 27–28 product launches cited), and reported incremental contractual business wins from combined capabilities.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EPS and Tax Headwinds in Q4
Q4 adjusted EPS $0.67, down $0.18 versus prior year driven by higher interest expense and a higher tax rate; Q4 tax rate negatively impacted by non-recurring, non-cash tax items (~3% impact in the quarter, ~0.5% for the year).
Higher Interest Expense Forward-Looking
Interest expense expected to be meaningfully higher in 2026 (guidance ~ $205 million) primarily due to maturity of 1.4% senior secured notes in April; Q1 interest expense expected around $45 million — this weighs on EPS and free cash flow despite higher operating earnings.
Customer Destocking and Volume Headwinds
Destocking impacted parts of the business: DSC experienced personal and home care destocking in Q4 (company believes DSC destocking is complete), and Custom Containers saw carryover destocking into Q1 2026; Custom Containers Q4 sales down 8% YoY due in part to exiting lower-margin business.
Raw Material Volatility and Tariff Effects
Raw material (steel/aluminum/tinplate) volatility and tariffs led to contractual pass-throughs that increased sales but create margin math effects and market volatility; company noted limited pre-buy activity and expects the pass-through to affect 2026 comparisons and margins.
Uncertainty from Major Customer Bankruptcy Proceedings
A very challenging circumstance with a long-term metal containers customer (bankruptcy/auction) required protective actions and nearly offset secondary impacts; while management believes ongoing supply relationships mitigate further near-term risk, the final outcome remains subject to procedural resolution.
Q1 2026 Near-Term Pressure
First-quarter 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $0.70–$0.80 compares to $0.82 prior year (indicating a modestly softer start); Q1 segment EBIT headwinds expected in DSC (inventory and product mix) and Custom Containers (carryover destocking).
Company Guidance
Silgan guided 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.70–$3.90 (vs. $3.72 in 2025), with interest expense of ~ $205M, an effective tax rate of ~25–26%, corporate expense of ~ $45M and a weighted average share count of ~106M; at the midpoint they expect to exceed 2025 adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBITDA. Segment-level guidance calls for total adjusted EBIT growth of low- to mid-single-digits driven by Dispensing & Specialty Closures (DSC) adjusted EBIT up low- to mid-single-digits with organic DSC volumes up low- to mid-single-digits and dispensing products up mid-single-digits; Metal Containers adjusted EBIT up low-single-digits with volumes up low-single-digits (pet food volumes + mid-single-digits and now >50% of segment volume); Custom Containers adjusted EBIT comparable with volumes roughly flat (Q1 modestly lower from carryover destocking). First-quarter 2026 adjusted EPS is guided at $0.70–$0.80 (prior Q1 $0.82) with Q1 interest of ~ $45M and a tax rate of ~25–26%; full-year free cash flow is estimated at ~ $450M with CapEx of ~ $310M to support dispensing and pet-food investments. Interest expense is expected to be above 2025 levels primarily due to the April maturity of the company’s 1.4% senior secured notes.

Silgan Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a relative strength (FCF up ~33% in 2025 and generally positive), but financial performance is held back by a sharp 2025 revenue decline (~-20.7%), lower net margins (~4.4% in 2025 vs. ~6% in 2020–2021), and still-elevated leverage (~1.9x debt-to-equity in 2025) despite improvement.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Profitability is steady for the sector, with gross margin improving from ~16.6% (2023) to ~17.7% (2025) and EBITDA margin holding in the mid-teens (about 14% in 2025). However, revenue momentum is a clear weak spot: after modest declines in 2023–2024, 2025 revenue fell sharply (about -20.7%), and net margin has trended lower versus earlier years (roughly 6% in 2020–2021 down to ~4.4% in 2025). Overall, earnings quality is acceptable, but the top-line contraction and margin compression at the net level reduce the score.
Balance Sheet
49
Neutral
Leverage remains elevated, with debt running at roughly ~1.9x equity in 2025 (and above 2x in several prior years), which limits financial flexibility. A positive offset is improving capitalization: equity has grown meaningfully since 2020, and debt-to-equity has come down from the ~2.8x range (2020) to under ~2.0x (2025). Returns on equity remain solid (low-to-mid teens recently), but the balance sheet is still burdened by high absolute debt, keeping risk higher than ideal.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: free cash flow increased strongly in 2025 (about +33%) and has generally been positive across the period. That said, cash conversion is not consistently strong—free cash flow has been well below net income in recent years (about 0.58x in 2025), suggesting working-capital swings and/or higher investment or other cash uses. Operating cash flow also covers a modest portion of debt (about 0.40 in 2025), which is helpful but not robust given the company’s leverage.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.48B5.85B5.99B6.41B5.68B
Gross Profit1.15B1.01B992.56M1.05B918.42M
EBITDA917.10M789.92M858.67M863.27M825.10M
Net Income288.40M276.38M325.96M340.85M359.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.40B8.58B7.61B7.35B7.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08B822.85M642.92M585.62M631.44M
Total Debt4.35B4.36B3.66B3.64B4.03B
Total Liabilities7.12B6.60B5.72B5.63B6.21B
Stockholders Equity2.27B1.99B1.89B1.72B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow422.70M459.09M255.79M532.65M324.50M
Operating Cash Flow729.80M721.87M482.60M748.41M556.80M
Investing Cash Flow-297.30M-1.18B-223.81M-215.60M-976.00M
Financing Cash Flow-207.50M662.52M-211.39M-569.59M648.60M

Silgan Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.44
Price Trends
50DMA
43.68
Positive
100DMA
42.04
Positive
200DMA
46.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.52
Positive
RSI
71.31
Negative
STOCH
47.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.82, above the 50-day MA of 43.68, and above the 200-day MA of 46.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SLGN.

Silgan Holdings Risk Analysis

Silgan Holdings disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Silgan Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Silgan Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$6.18B15.6140.42%1.94%-1.22%-0.76%
71
Outperform
$5.63B14.2920.01%4.33%8.31%-99.39%
63
Neutral
$5.12B17.9013.53%1.97%11.10%6.54%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$5.25B17.2413.70%3.97%0.76%-17.69%
58
Neutral
$3.59B8.1713.99%2.91%-3.93%-27.37%
56
Neutral
$2.81B-350.759.90%10.34%87.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLGN
Silgan Holdings
48.44
-5.36
-9.96%
GPK
Graphic Packaging
12.16
-14.27
-53.99%
SEE
Sealed Air
41.93
9.11
27.75%
SON
Sonoco Products
57.08
11.88
26.29%
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products
24.98
1.26
5.31%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
4.70
2.12
82.03%

Silgan Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Silgan Holdings Raises Quarterly Dividend for 22nd Year
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

On February 24, 2026, Silgan Holdings Inc. announced that its board approved a 5 percent increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.21 per share, marking the 22nd consecutive annual dividend increase since cash dividends began in 2004. The dividend will be paid on March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 17, 2026, extending the company’s record to 88 consecutive quarterly dividend payments.

The move underscores Silgan’s continued strong financial performance and stable cash generation, reinforcing its shareholder-return track record in the packaging sector. The sustained pattern of annual dividend growth and uninterrupted quarterly payouts highlights management’s confidence in the business and may enhance the company’s appeal to income-focused investors and support its standing among peers in the rigid packaging industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SLGN) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Silgan Holdings stock, see the SLGN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026