Smurfit Westrock (SW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $18.90B
• Dividend Yield: 4.82%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.98M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.98
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 100,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.47
• Shares Outstanding: 522,125,060
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,315,107
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,982,697
• PEG Ratio: -0.90
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.20
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.02
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.22K
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.88
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.22
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 6.47
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 8.73
• 1Y Price Target: $53.60
• Price Target Upside: 49.80% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $36.00 ▲(0.61% Upside)

Smurfit Westrock's overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly in North America and Latin America. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high relative to peers. The strong dividend yield provides some compensation for valuation concerns.

Positive Factors

Synergy Realization

Achieving significant synergies post-merger enhances operational efficiency and cost savings, strengthening long-term profitability.

Strong Financial Performance

Robust sales and EBITDA growth indicate effective business strategies and market position, supporting sustainable financial health.

Strategic Investment

Investing in new machinery boosts production efficiency and capacity, aligning with future growth and competitive positioning.

Negative Factors

Capacity Rationalization

Reducing capacity may impact revenue and market share, posing risks to maintaining competitive edge and meeting demand.

Increased Input Costs

Higher input costs can squeeze margins, challenging cost management and profitability in the long term.

Uncertain Demand Outlook

Uncertain demand due to external factors can hinder revenue stability and growth, affecting strategic planning and forecasts.

Smurfit Westrock Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Smurfit Westrock (SW) is a leading global provider of paper-based packaging solutions, specializing in the production of containerboard, corrugated containers, and other packaging products. The company operates in various sectors, including e-commerce, food and beverage, and consumer goods, offering innovative and sustainable packaging solutions that cater to diverse customer needs. With a robust manufacturing footprint and a commitment to sustainability, Smurfit Westrock aims to deliver high-quality products while minimizing environmental impact.

How the Company Makes Money

Smurfit Westrock generates revenue primarily through the sale of packaging products, including corrugated containers, boxboard, and paper-based materials. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers and retailers in various industries, with a significant focus on e-commerce and food sectors. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major customers, ensuring a stable revenue base. Additionally, partnerships with logistics companies enhance their value proposition by providing integrated solutions. The emphasis on sustainability also attracts clients looking for eco-friendly packaging options, further contributing to its earnings.

Smurfit Westrock Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Smurfit Westrock demonstrates a stable financial condition with strengths in profitability and balance sheet health. The company maintains solid margins and a strong equity position, though revenue and free cash flow growth have been inconsistent. There are opportunities for improvement in revenue consistency and cash flow management to enhance overall financial performance.

Income Statement

Smurfit Westrock's income statement reflects a stable gross profit margin of approximately 20% over recent years. The net profit margin has shown improvement, reaching around 3.8% in 2024, indicating better cost management. However, the EBIT margin has seen fluctuations, with a recent decline. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with occasional declines, although there was a notable increase in 2024. Overall, the company demonstrates profitability with room for improvement in revenue growth consistency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a solid equity base, with an equity ratio of nearly 40% in 2024, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.06, signaling manageable leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) has been decent at approximately 4.6% in 2024, though it has decreased compared to prior years. While the company's financial position is stable, there is potential to enhance ROE and further optimize leverage.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a significant drop in free cash flow growth in 2024, indicating increased capital expenditure. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong, suggesting efficient cash generation. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting the need for careful cash management. Despite challenges, the company's ability to generate operating cash flow remains robust.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	29.10B	20.38B	10.95B	12.62B	10.48B	8.53B
Gross Profit	5.49B	4.05B	2.77B	3.06B	2.35B	2.87B
EBITDA	4.07B	2.74B	1.79B	2.13B	1.57B	1.37B
Net Income	718.09M	307.93M	747.28M	965.65M	704.64M	545.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	45.57B	43.76B	14.05B	12.46B	11.70B	10.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	851.00M	855.00M	1.00B	785.41M	854.32M	891.00M
Total Debt	14.11B	13.60B	4.13B	3.74B	3.75B	3.28B
Total Liabilities	27.11B	26.37B	7.88B	7.47B	7.31B	6.51B
Stockholders Equity	18.43B	17.36B	6.16B	4.98B	4.38B	3.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	801.87M	17.00M	630.00M	503.00M	468.06M	901.55M
Operating Cash Flow	2.95B	1.48B	1.56B	1.43B	1.17B	1.53B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.04B	-2.11B	-931.00M	-1.02B	-1.19B	―
Financing Cash Flow	-953.80M	607.00M	-479.00M	-431.00M	-16.55M	―

Smurfit Westrock Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 35.78
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.85, below the 50-day MA of 39.00, and below the 200-day MA of 42.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SW.

Smurfit Westrock Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PKG	76 Outperform	$18.31B	20.57	19.68%	2.46%	7.30%	15.31%
CCK	74 Outperform	$11.18B	12.00	34.10%	1.07%	2.94%	893.70%
AMCR	72 Outperform	$19.86B	25.18	7.44%	6.02%	28.41%	-35.50%
SW	65 Neutral	$18.90B	25.46	4.11%	4.82%	―	―
BALL	62 Neutral	$13.30B	18.57	11.74%	1.67%	2.87%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
IP	42 Neutral	$20.78B	―	-4.65%	4.70%	25.91%	-316.17%

Smurfit Westrock Corporate Events

Smurfit Westrock Files Quarterly Report for Q3 2025

Smurfit Westrock plc has filed its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ending September 30, 2025, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing provides stakeholders with updated financial and operational insights, reinforcing the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

Smurfit Westrock Announces Total Voting Rights

Smurfit Westrock, a company involved in the packaging industry, announced its total voting rights as of October 31, 2025. The company’s issued share capital comprises 522,186,327 Ordinary Shares, each with a nominal value of $0.001, and it holds no shares in treasury. This announcement is relevant for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority’s rules.

Smurfit Westrock Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results

Smurfit Westrock PLC is a leading global provider of paper-based packaging solutions, operating across 40 countries with a workforce of approximately 100,000 employees. The company is recognized for its extensive reach and innovative product offerings in the packaging industry.

Smurfit Westrock’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Performance Amid Challenges

Smurfit Westrock’s recent earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment, highlighting robust financial performance and successful synergy initiatives, particularly in North America and Latin America. However, the company also acknowledged challenges such as weak demand in Europe and volume declines in North America, alongside operational issues in Latin America.

Smurfit Westrock Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results

Smurfit Westrock reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales of $8,003 million and a net income of $245 million. The company demonstrated significant operational improvements, particularly in North America, and maintained robust performance in EMEA, APAC, and Latin America. Despite a challenging demand environment, Smurfit Westrock’s strategic focus on value over volume and innovation has led to improved returns and a positive outlook for future growth. The company announced a quarterly dividend and plans to optimize its system with additional economic downtime in the fourth quarter.

Smurfit Westrock Announces Total Voting Rights Update

Smurfit Westrock announced its total voting rights as of September 30, 2025, with an issued share capital consisting of 522,171,580 Ordinary Shares. This figure is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

Smurfit Westrock Announces Total Voting Rights Update

Smurfit Westrock announced its total voting rights, revealing that as of August 31, 2025, the company’s issued share capital consists of 522,144,179 Ordinary Shares, each with a nominal value of $0.001. This announcement is significant for shareholders as it provides the necessary denominator for calculating their interest changes under the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority’s rules.