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Snam SpA (SNMRY)
OTHER OTC:SNMRY

Snam SpA (SNMRY) AI Stock Analysis

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SNMRY

Snam SpA

(OTC:SNMRY)

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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
â–¼(-2.17% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/06/25
Snam SpA's overall stock score of 62 is primarily driven by mixed financial performance, with strong profitability margins offset by revenue decline and high leverage. Positive technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, while an attractive valuation with a reasonable P/E ratio and solid dividend yield adds support. Financial health remains the most significant concern, warranting caution despite technical and valuation strengths.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
The increase in adjusted EBITDA reflects Snam's ability to maintain operational efficiency and profitability, supporting long-term financial stability.
LNG Import Growth
The significant growth in LNG imports enhances Snam's market position and supports its role in meeting energy demands, indicating robust business model adaptation.
Sustainable Financing
The successful bond issuance underscores Snam's commitment to sustainable financing, enhancing its financial flexibility and aligning with global energy transition trends.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Despite debt reduction efforts, high debt levels could limit financial flexibility and pose risks if interest rates rise, impacting long-term financial health.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Regulatory uncertainty could affect Snam's future financial performance and strategic planning, posing challenges to revenue stability and investment decisions.
Revenue Growth Challenges
Declining revenue growth indicates potential market challenges and could pressure Snam's ability to sustain its market position and profitability over time.

Snam SpA (SNMRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Snam SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSnam S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of natural gas transport and storage infrastructure in Italy. The company operates through Natural Gas Transportation, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Regasification, and Natural Gas Storage segments. It provides natural gas transportation and dispatching services with approximately 32,700 kilometers of high-and medium-pressure gas pipelines; and owns and manages LNG regasification plants. The company also offers natural gas storage services through an integrated group of infrastructure comprising deposits, wells, gas treatment and compression plants, and the operational dispatching systems; and operates nine storage concessions, including five in Lombardy, three in Emilia-Romagna, and one in Abruzzo. In addition, it engages in the lease and maintenance of fibre optic telecommunications cables, as well as provides integrated services in the natural gas mobility sector; energy efficiency solutions for residential, industrial, tertiary, and public administration sectors; and management of biogas and biomethane plants. Further, the company offers engineering and project management services; and supervision of infrastructure planning activities. It also operates in Albania, Saudi Arabia, Austria, China, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, France, Greece, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The company was formerly known as Snam Rete Gas S.p.A. and changed its name to Snam S.p.A. in January 2012. Snam S.p.A. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in San Donato Milanese, Italy.
How the Company Makes MoneySnam generates revenue primarily through its regulated activities in gas transportation, which involves the operation of a vast network of pipelines that transport natural gas across Italy and into other European markets. The company earns fees for transporting gas, which are set by regulatory authorities. Additionally, Snam operates storage facilities and earns revenues from the storage of natural gas, charging customers for the capacity used. Another significant revenue stream comes from regasification terminals, where liquefied natural gas (LNG) is converted back to gas for distribution. Snam also engages in partnerships with other energy companies and participates in projects aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and supporting renewable energy integration, which can further contribute to its earnings. The company's financial performance is supported by long-term contracts and regulated pricing mechanisms, providing a stable revenue base.

Snam SpA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, significant growth in LNG imports, and strategic progress in sustainable financing and high storage levels. However, challenges remain with the ongoing regulatory uncertainty and the pending acquisition in Germany. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and financial stability outweigh the concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Gas Demand
Gas demand in Italy rose by 2% compared to the same period last year, with significant growth in the thermoelectric sector and a sharp increase in exports, highlighting the importance of gas-fired power generation.
Significant Increase in LNG Imports
LNG imports rose by 38% year-on-year, contributing to over 30% of Italy's gas imports, driven by the full return to operation of the OLT terminal and the start-up of the new terminal in Ravenna.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 6.6% year-on-year to EUR 2.227 billion, and adjusted net income grew double-digit to EUR 1.096 billion, driven by higher regulatory revenues and contributions from associates.
Successful Bond Issuance
Snam issued its first U.S. dollar multi-branch sustainability-linked bond totaling $2 billion and EUR 1 billion of EU Green bond, highlighting progress in sustainable financing.
Interim Dividend Increase
The Board approved an interim dividend for 2025 of EUR 0.1208 per share, representing a 4% increase compared to the previous year.
High Storage Levels
Italy's storage levels reached 92%, well above the European average, with further improvement to around 95%, ensuring preparedness for the winter season.
Improved Net Debt and Cost of Debt
Net debt was reduced to EUR 17.4 billion, with the average cost of debt remaining stable at 2.6%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in German Acquisition
The foreign direct investment clearance for the OGE acquisition in Germany is still ongoing, with uncertainty around the final decision as the long stop date approaches.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Uncertainty remains around the WACC update for 2026 and other regulatory components, which could impact future financial performance.
LNG Volume Guarantees
Concerns regarding the need for guaranteed volumes for LNG terminals, as current levels are only at 64%, impacting investment confidence.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Snam provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance for the first nine months of 2025 and revised its full-year guidance. Notably, the company reported a 6.6% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching EUR 2.227 billion, and a double-digit growth in adjusted net income to EUR 1.096 billion, fueled by higher EBITDA and contributions from associates. Snam also highlighted a significant rise in LNG imports by 38% year-on-year, supported by operational LNG terminals, contributing to Italy's 92% gas storage levels, which surpass the European average. The guidance for 2025 was updated, with EBITDA projected at EUR 2.950 billion and net income at EUR 1.420 billion, reflecting regulatory impacts and strong cash flow management. Investment activities include approximately EUR 1.8 billion in CapEx, and the interim dividend was increased by 4% to EUR 0.1208 per share. The company also underscored its strategic focus on energy transition, with substantial progress in CCS projects and a robust energy transition backlog, while maintaining a stable cost of debt at 2.6%.

Snam SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Snam SpA's financial performance is mixed. Strong profitability margins (Gross Profit Margin at 87.8%, Net Profit Margin at 35.5%) reflect operational efficiency, but revenue declined by -17.2% in 2024, signaling growth challenges. High leverage (Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.06) and negative free cash flow (-1.0 billion) raise concerns about financial stability and liquidity. The score reflects profitability strengths offset by revenue contraction and balance sheet risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Snam SpA shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin for 2024 is strong at 87.8%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, Revenue Growth declined by -17.2% from 2023 to 2024, indicating challenges in top-line expansion. Net Profit Margin improved to 35.5% in 2024 from 26.5% in 2023, and EBIT Margin is solid at 47.2%. EBITDA Margin remains high at 87.4%, showcasing operational strength. The score reflects robust profitability but is tempered by the revenue contraction.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Snam SpA's balance sheet reveals concerns about leverage. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio for 2024 is high at 2.06, indicating significant reliance on debt financing, which poses potential risks. Return on Equity (ROE) is decent at 14.1%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the Equity Ratio of 24.9% suggests a lower proportion of assets funded by equity, highlighting balance sheet vulnerability. The score reflects moderate profitability but is weighed down by high leverage.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Snam SpA's cash flow performance raises concerns. Free Cash Flow for 2024 is negative at -1.0 billion, a significant decline from -1.68 billion in 2023, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 1.44, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. However, Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative at -0.79, underscoring cash flow stress. The score is low due to negative free cash flow and limited liquidity for growth or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.82B3.55B4.29B3.52B3.29B2.77B
Gross Profit1.91B3.12B2.87B1.87B1.78B1.70B
EBITDA2.34B3.10B2.42B2.25B2.25B2.17B
Net Income674.00M1.26B1.14B671.00M1.50B1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.95B35.79B33.52B32.47B27.36B26.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.42B1.81B1.38B1.76B1.34B3.04B
Total Debt19.99B18.36B16.65B13.68B15.36B15.94B
Total Liabilities26.77B26.82B25.84B24.95B20.12B19.66B
Stockholders Equity9.14B8.93B7.63B7.47B7.20B6.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-501.00M-1.00B-1.68B2.79B94.00M431.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.68B1.81B-135.00M4.11B1.34B1.60B
Investing Cash Flow-3.13B-2.68B-2.23B-1.36B-1.64B-1.64B
Financing Cash Flow580.00M1.29B1.99B-2.32B-1.41B233.00M

Snam SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.80
Price Trends
50DMA
14.37
Positive
100DMA
13.65
Positive
200DMA
12.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
48.10
Neutral
STOCH
5.43
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNMRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.03, below the 50-day MA of 14.37, and above the 200-day MA of 12.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNMRY.

Snam SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$6.20B21.1711.62%3.07%-23.15%157.45%
67
Neutral
$29.95B16.929.20%2.15%12.91%9.86%
67
Neutral
$21.76B21.2510.23%2.69%19.62%12.87%
66
Neutral
$5.44B9.4813.39%4.01%13.94%13.93%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$7.72B6.7712.21%3.92%1.10%140.04%
62
Neutral
$24.28B11.7210.98%3.55%-7.51%31.31%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNMRY
Snam SpA
14.49
4.81
49.62%
ATO
Atmos Energy
181.03
34.65
23.67%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
53.98
7.35
15.77%
NI
Nisource
45.47
6.70
17.28%
SWX
Southwest Gas
85.83
12.97
17.80%
UGI
UGI
35.98
4.18
13.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025