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Slc Agricola (SLCJY)
:SLCJY
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SLC Agricola SA (SLCJY) AI Stock Analysis

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SLC Agricola SA

(OTC:SLCJY)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(7.03%Upside)
SLC Agricola SA's overall stock score is underpinned by strong financial performance with efficient operations and strategic advancements highlighted in the earnings call. The attractive valuation provides a cushion despite technical indicators suggesting cautious market sentiment. High leverage and market volatilities are the main concerns that moderately temper the score.

SLC Agricola SA (SLCJY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SLC Agricola SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSLC Agricola SA (SLCJY) is a leading Brazilian agricultural company engaged primarily in the production and sale of agricultural commodities. The company operates in the agribusiness sector, focusing on the cultivation of large-scale cash crops such as soybeans, corn, and cotton. SLC Agricola leverages advanced agricultural technologies and sustainable farming practices to optimize its production processes and maintain high levels of efficiency and productivity across its extensive farmland holdings.
How the Company Makes MoneySLC Agricola SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of its agricultural products, including soybeans, corn, and cotton. The company utilizes its large-scale farming operations to produce these crops, which are then sold in both domestic and international markets. SLC Agricola capitalizes on its strategic partnerships and global supply chain to distribute its commodities effectively. Additionally, the company invests in technological advancements and sustainable practices to enhance yield and reduce costs, further boosting its profitability. The revenue streams are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, global demand, and agricultural conditions, which play a significant role in determining the company's financial performance.

SLC Agricola SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful cost management, and strategic advancements in hedging and planted area expansion. However, concerns were raised over increased leverage, market instability for cotton, and volatility in soybean and corn markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net revenue for Q1 2025 was BRL2.3 billion, a 19.1% increase compared to Q1 2024, driven by record volume invoiced. Adjusted EBITDA reached BRL943 million with a margin of 40.5%. Net income increased by 123.1% to BRL510.7 million.
Successful Cost Management
The estimated cost per hectare for the ‘24-25 harvest is projected to decline by 5.4% compared to the ‘23-24 forecast, achieving a 10% reduction in costs compared to the previous season.
Significant Advancements in Hedging
83.8% of soybean, 50.6% of corn, and 49.6% of cotton for the ‘24-25 crop have been successfully hedged, with favorable exchange rates offsetting commodity price declines.
Expansion in Planted Area
The acquisition of Sierentz Agro Brasil will allow for a 13.6% growth in planted area, with strategic diversification in the land portfolio to mitigate climate risk.
Negative Updates
Increased Leverage
Adjusted net debt rose to BRL5.2 billion, an increase of BRL1.5 billion compared to 2024, mainly due to investments and payment of crop inputs, resulting in a net debt over adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.27x.
Cotton Market Instability
Cotton prices closed April at approximately BRL0.66 per pound, reflecting global instability and a challenging macroeconomic environment. U.S. production was impacted by severe weather conditions, causing a significant reduction in output.
Challenges in the Soybean and Corn Markets
Soybean prices have been volatile due to tariffs between the U.S. and China, and the global corn market is projected to show a deficit of 1.1 million tons for the ‘25-26 season.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call, SLC Agricola provided detailed guidance and metrics on both operational and financial fronts. Cotton prices in April were around BRL0.66 per pound, with a global surplus forecast at 4.4 million bags for the '24-'25 harvest. The U.S. cotton harvest concluded at 14 million bales, below the initial 17 million estimate, due to adverse weather, while Brazil's production is expected to rise by 5.1% to 3.9 million tons. Soybean production globally is projected to exceed consumption by 10.6 million tons. The U.S. '24-'25 soybean yield was robust at 119.8 million tons, and Brazil anticipates a record 169 million tons despite early planting delays. Corn faced a 23 million ton global deficit, with Brazil's ongoing harvest showing strong demand driven by ethanol production. Financially, SLC Agricola reported a 19.1% increase in net revenue to BRL2.3 billion for Q1 '25, driven by higher soybean and cotton volumes. Adjusted EBITDA reached BRL943 million with a 40.5% margin, and net income rose by 123.1% to BRL510.7 million. The company’s cash flow was negative BRL1.4 billion due to strategic land acquisitions totaling BRL635 million. The adjusted net debt stood at BRL5.2 billion, with a net debt over adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.27x. The dividend yield was reported at 3.1% based on 2024 closing, with a historical average of 4.9% over four years. Looking ahead to the '25-'26 season, the company has made significant progress in securing inputs and hedging positions, anticipating a 13.6% growth in planted area following strategic acquisitions.

SLC Agricola SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SLC Agricola SA shows solid revenue growth and efficient operations with healthy margins. However, high leverage and declining net profit margins present potential risks, and cash flow management shows signs of strain.
Income Statement
72
Positive
SLC Agricola SA has shown resilience in its revenue growth, with a modest increase of 7.9% in the latest year, despite a dip from 2022 to 2023. The gross profit margin is healthy at nearly 29.6%, and the EBITDA margin is strong at 25.1%, indicating efficient operational management. However, the net profit margin has declined to 6.5%, showing potential concerns in cost management or increased expenses. The absence of EBIT in the latest report year is notable and should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.17, reflecting significant leverage but also implying potential risk if interest rates rise or earnings falter. The return on equity is moderate at 12.7%, indicating decent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio of 22.7% suggests limited financial flexibility, with a substantial portion of assets financed by debt.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The free cash flow decreased by 35.8% from the previous year, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.90, reflecting good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 1.30, suggesting that a significant portion of earnings is reinvested back into the business or used to manage debt obligations.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.80B7.23B9.59B6.32B4.40B
Gross Profit2.31B2.62B3.13B2.25B1.60B
EBITDA1.96B2.53B2.95B2.18B1.03B
Net Income509.41M895.60M1.27B1.06B488.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.57B15.86B14.87B12.87B8.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.98B1.61B1.24B139.78M1.60B
Total Debt8.67B7.69B6.72B5.94B3.36B
Total Liabilities13.47B10.61B9.97B9.09B5.44B
Stockholders Equity4.00B4.93B4.60B3.52B2.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow662.07M1.03B1.51B-1.31M573.08M
Operating Cash Flow1.48B1.85B1.99B435.09M784.86M
Investing Cash Flow-843.11M-856.41M-485.81M-476.19M-169.85M
Financing Cash Flow-271.15M-618.48M-409.97M-1.42B159.61M

SLC Agricola SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.27
Price Trends
50DMA
3.32
Negative
100DMA
3.27
Positive
200DMA
3.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
50.24
Neutral
STOCH
25.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLCJY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.30, below the 50-day MA of 3.32, and above the 200-day MA of 3.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SLCJY.

SLC Agricola SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
FDFDP
72
Outperform
$1.62B11.047.51%3.89%-0.64%
72
Outperform
$1.44B9.7216.24%0.81%1.90%21.37%
LNLND
71
Outperform
$364.84M6.3815.25%5.61%1.09%21.46%
70
Outperform
$1.31B13.928.87%2.37%0.91%-49.71%
BGBG
69
Neutral
$14.89B9.4310.36%3.69%-10.90%-36.54%
65
Neutral
$949.93M15.174.51%5.47%17.05%-73.53%
57
Neutral
$5.91B21.40-28.61%4.91%10.78%-34.04%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLCJY
SLC Agricola SA
3.24
-0.06
-1.82%
AGRO
Adecoagro SA
9.45
0.17
1.83%
BG
Bunge Global
75.68
-31.58
-29.44%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
34.66
11.84
51.88%
LND
BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas
3.76
-0.80
-17.54%
DOLE
Dole
13.73
0.15
1.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 19, 2025