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BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND)
NYSE:LND

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) AI Stock Analysis

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LND

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas

(NYSE:LND)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
â–Ľ(-4.37% Downside)
LND's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company faces significant profitability challenges and operational inefficiencies, reflected in its financial statements. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend with weak market sentiment. Valuation is also a concern due to negative earnings, although the dividend yield offers some compensation.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Compliance
Commitment to regulatory compliance enhances transparency and investor confidence, strengthening market position and stakeholder trust.
Dividend Allocation
Significant dividend allocation reflects strong shareholder returns and financial health, supporting long-term investor confidence.
Real Estate Strategy
Successful asset sales demonstrate effective real estate strategy, enhancing capital efficiency and supporting financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue indicates challenges in market demand and sales execution, potentially impacting long-term growth and profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth and low conversion of income to cash suggest liquidity issues, risking operational stability and investment capacity.
Increased Leverage
Rising leverage can strain financial resources, limiting flexibility and increasing risk if not managed effectively.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades AgrĂ­colas engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and sale of rural properties suitable for agricultural activities in Brazil. The company operates through six segments: Real Estate, Grains, Sugarcane, Cattle Raising, Cotton, and Other. It is involved in the cultivation of soybean, corn, sorghum, and cotton, as well as sugarcane; and production and sale of beef calves after weaning. The company has 17 farms in 6 Brazilian states and 1 farm in Paraguay with a total area of 223,551 hectares of own lands and 51,747 hectares of leased lands. It also imports and exports agricultural products and inputs; purchases, sells, and/or rents properties, land, buildings, and real estate in rural and/or urban areas; provides real estate brokerage services; and manages third-party assets. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Sao Paulo, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrasilAgro generates revenue primarily through the sale of agricultural products cultivated on its owned and managed properties. The company benefits from the appreciation of its land assets, which can be sold or leased to other agricultural operators, thereby creating additional income streams. Key revenue sources include direct sales of crops, leasing agricultural land to third parties, and strategic partnerships with agribusiness firms to enhance operational efficiencies and market access. The company also capitalizes on favorable market conditions and price fluctuations in the agricultural commodities sector to optimize its earnings.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook with strong financial performance and strategic achievements offset by climate-related challenges and commodity price volatility. While operational resilience was emphasized, ongoing challenges in planting and cost management were significant concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a net income of BRL 97.5 million and adjusted EBITDA from operational revenues, including significant contributions from the Alto Taquari Farm.
Operational Achievements
1.6 million tonnes harvested in the quarter, with positive performances in soy and sugarcane contributing significantly to revenues.
Commodity Price Recovery
Increase in sugarcane prices by 21%, soy by 3%, and corn by 5%, reflecting a recovery in commodity markets.
Strong Sugarcane Productivity
Sugarcane productivity exceeded budgeted expectations with a tonnage of 85 TCH, contributing to strong company performance.
Strategic Sales and Revenue
Land sales including the Taquari Farm generated BRL 199 million in revenue, contributing to a gross result significantly.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Crop Planting
Delayed start in soy plantations in Mato Grosso due to weather, affecting potential yields and operational timelines.
Corn Planting and Margins
Reduced corn planting area due to previously low expected margins, though recent price recoveries are noted.
Cotton Price Decline
Significant drop in cotton prices, impacting revenue from cotton sales.
Climate Impact on Sugarcane
Sugarcane productivity impacted by regional droughts, with future harvests potentially affected by climatic uncertainties.
High Cost of Capital
Increased cost of capital posing challenges for expansion and investment in new areas.
Company Guidance
During the AGRO3.SA earnings call for Q1 2025, various guidance metrics were discussed by the executives. The company's net income was reported at BRL 97.5 million, with an adjusted EBITDA stemming partly from the Phase 2 sale of the Alto Taquari Farm, generating BRL 525 million at a price of BRL 1,100 per hectare for a total of 2,694 hectares. Operationally, BrasilAgro harvested 1.6 million tonnes, with a significant focus on soy and sugarcane. The company is projected to finish the harvest with approximately 180,000 hectares planted. Sugarcane yields averaged 85 tons per hectare, exceeding budget expectations. The company sold approximately 40% of its soy at $11.46 and maintained a hedge strategy with 31% ethanol sales at BRL 2,600. The total receivables were BRL 900 million, reflecting strong financial management. The executives also highlighted a reduction in the cost per ton of soy and sugarcane, attributing it to lower input prices and improved logistics. Moreover, dividends of BRL 1.96 per share were announced, emphasizing a consistent return to shareholders. Overall, the call underlined BrasilAgro's strategic resilience and effective management amid agricultural and market challenges.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces profitability challenges with declining revenue and negative profit margins. Despite moderate leverage and a stable equity base, operational inefficiencies are evident. However, there is a positive sign of cash generation improvement with strong free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -13.53% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, and the net profit margin is negative, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also turned negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 in the TTM period. The return on equity has turned negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 142.51% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential challenges in translating profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.06B1.02B1.20B1.37B716.05M
Gross Profit380.54M215.55M311.89M393.74M775.92M-35.82M
EBITDA222.51M105.07M338.91M421.73M787.98M436.83M
Net Income12.46M138.02M226.87M268.54M520.10M317.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.83B3.84B3.61B3.51B3.35B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments236.22M159.82M193.89M412.04M530.36M1.06B
Total Debt1.33B1.31B1.04B871.97M702.19M862.18M
Total Liabilities1.72B1.66B1.43B1.31B1.13B1.25B
Stockholders Equity2.10B2.18B2.18B2.20B2.22B2.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow232.49M59.33M11.02M94.95M154.34M132.52M
Operating Cash Flow304.73M139.31M79.42M155.73M205.18M151.23M
Investing Cash Flow-170.66M-106.68M-27.85M55.04M-89.73M-214.01M
Financing Cash Flow-72.97M-60.70M-265.80M-261.06M-737.80M954.86M

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.66
Price Trends
50DMA
3.65
Positive
100DMA
3.67
Positive
200DMA
3.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
61.08
Neutral
STOCH
82.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, above the 50-day MA of 3.65, and below the 200-day MA of 3.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LND.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Risk Analysis

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.51B3.1148.69%10.53%65.80%197.95%
64
Neutral
$1.72B21.973.95%3.34%1.11%414.23%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$277.32M-1.92-83.19%0.55%-5.52%-2194.72%
52
Neutral
$1.18B35.761.69%4.40%-7.37%-84.53%
48
Neutral
$371.56M-82.20-1.12%3.39%-3.22%-108.24%
48
Neutral
$244.61M-14.76-4.88%1.99%-14.97%-278.36%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LND
BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas
3.74
0.14
3.89%
AGRO
Adecoagro SA
8.22
-1.29
-13.56%
ALCO
Alico
37.08
7.61
25.82%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
73.86
-26.85
-26.66%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
36.51
6.06
19.90%
LMNR
Limoneira Co
13.69
-8.57
-38.50%

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Corporate Events

BrasilAgro Reports Q1 Loss Amid Seasonal Challenges and Market Fluctuations
Nov 7, 2025

BrasilAgro reported a net loss of R$64.3 million for the first quarter of the 2025/2026 harvest year, ending September 30, 2025. This loss is attributed to seasonal factors, including lower commercialization of agricultural products and the absence of farm sales, which had previously bolstered results. The company’s operations were further impacted by a decrease in sugarcane sales and a negative financial result due to higher debt costs and currency fluctuations. Despite these challenges, BrasilAgro anticipates a 20% increase in production for the grain and cotton season, driven by productivity improvements and crop mix adjustments. Planting activities are progressing in various regions, although some delays have occurred due to weather conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LND) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas stock, see the LND Stock Forecast page.

BrasilAgro Updates 2025/2026 Harvest Estimates Amid Weather Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

BrasilAgro has announced updates to its agricultural operations estimates for the 2025/2026 harvest year, indicating a favorable forecast despite challenges posed by inconsistent rainfall patterns. The company has adjusted its estimates for various crops, including soybeans, corn, and sugarcane, and highlighted a significant reduction in sugarcane productivity due to adverse weather conditions and pest issues. Additionally, the sale of Fazenda Preferência in June 2025 has led to revised cattle raising estimates, impacting both area and herd size.

The most recent analyst rating on (LND) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas stock, see the LND Stock Forecast page.

BrasilAgro Approves Financials and Dividends at Shareholders’ Meeting
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, BrasilAgro held its Annual and Extraordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting, conducted digitally. The meeting approved the company’s financial statements for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, and resolved to allocate net profits of BRL 138 million, with BRL 75 million designated for dividends. The meeting also addressed amendments to the company’s bylaws and elected members to the Board of Directors and Fiscal Council, indicating a strategic focus on governance and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (LND) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas stock, see the LND Stock Forecast page.

BrasilAgro Reinforces Regulatory Compliance with SEC Report
Oct 23, 2025

On October 22, 2025, BrasilAgro announced the signing of a report in compliance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, underscoring its commitment to regulatory requirements. This step is indicative of the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and strengthen its investor relations, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (LND) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas stock, see the LND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025