Alico (ALCO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $269.51M
• Dividend Yield: 0.57%
• Average Volume (3M): 21.23K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.40
• Revenue Growth: -5.52%
• EPS Growth: -2194.72%
• Country: US
• Employees: 199
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): -1.11
• Shares Outstanding: 7,656,646
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 19,528
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 21,230
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.57
• Price to Sales (P/S): 6.01
• P/FCF Ratio: 18.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.18
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 7.21
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -1.73
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -7.06
• 1Y Price Target: $42.00
• Price Target Upside: 19.32% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: $34.00 ▼(-3.41% Downside)

Alico's overall stock score is driven by its challenging financial performance and unattractive valuation. However, the positive sentiment from the earnings call and strategic transformation provide some optimism. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, contributing to a moderate overall score.

Positive Factors

Strategic Transformation

Alico's strategic shift to a diversified land company positions it for sustainable long-term value creation, reducing dependency on citrus market volatility.

Development Projects

Advancement in real estate projects provides Alico with substantial growth opportunities and potential revenue streams over the next five years.

Financial Flexibility

Alico's strengthened balance sheet enhances financial flexibility, supporting future investments and operational stability through fiscal year 2027.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

The decline in revenue reflects challenges in transitioning away from citrus operations, impacting short-term financial performance.

Profitability Issues

Operational inefficiencies and profitability issues highlight the need for improved cost management and revenue diversification.

Net Loss

Significant net loss from strategic transformation reflects the financial impact of restructuring, which could strain resources in the short term.

Alico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alico, Inc. (ALCO) is a leading agricultural company primarily engaged in the cultivation and marketing of citrus fruits, particularly oranges. Based in Florida, Alico operates within the agribusiness sector, focusing on the production of high-quality citrus products for both fresh consumption and processing. The company also manages extensive agricultural land and engages in related activities such as land leasing and sales.

How the Company Makes Money

Alico generates revenue primarily through the sale of citrus fruits, including fresh oranges for the juice market and other citrus products. Key revenue streams include sales to major juice processors and wholesalers. Additionally, Alico benefits from land leasing arrangements and sales of non-core agricultural assets. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as citrus prices, crop yields, and demand fluctuations in the juice market. Strategic partnerships with processors and distributors enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

Alico Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alico's financial performance is challenged by negative profitability and revenue growth. Despite manageable leverage, the negative return on equity and profitability metrics are concerning. Cash flow improvements provide some optimism, but overall financial performance remains weak.

Income Statement

Alico's income statement reflects significant challenges, with negative gross and net profit margins in the TTM period, indicating operational inefficiencies and profitability issues. The revenue growth rate is negative, showing a decline in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting profitability concerns.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, but overall financial health is weakened by poor profitability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating limited cash available after capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	44.07M	44.07M	46.64M	39.85M	91.95M	108.56M
Gross Profit	-183.57M	-186.83M	-56.38M	6.45M	-14.77M	23.89M
EBITDA	-44.99M	-203.90M	29.50M	22.86M	31.51M	29.56M
Net Income	-147.33M	-147.33M	6.97M	1.83M	12.46M	34.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	201.53M	201.53M	398.72M	428.35M	409.25M	433.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	38.13M	38.13M	3.15M	1.06M	865.00K	886.00K
Total Debt	2.75M	2.75M	92.12M	128.70M	110.88M	125.31M
Total Liabilities	93.53M	93.53M	142.42M	177.98M	160.39M	185.61M
Stockholders Equity	103.03M	103.03M	251.16M	244.99M	243.74M	242.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	14.62M	14.62M	-48.37M	-22.91M	-14.34M	-24.73M
Operating Cash Flow	20.13M	20.13M	-30.50M	-6.25M	6.52M	16.50M
Investing Cash Flow	24.14M	24.14M	68.18M	-4.12M	22.47M	-3.27M
Financing Cash Flow	-8.78M	-8.78M	-37.98M	13.20M	-29.01M	-32.04M

Alico Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 35.20
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.13, above the 50-day MA of 33.78, and above the 200-day MA of 31.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALCO.

Alico Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VFF	76 Outperform	$417.02M	19.69	1.88%	―	-12.68%	―
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
LMNR	57 Neutral	$254.48M	―	-4.88%	2.13%	-14.97%	-278.36%
AGRO	52 Neutral	$801.95M	34.35	1.69%	4.36%	-7.37%	-84.53%
ALCO	50 Neutral	$269.51M	―	-83.19%	0.57%	-5.52%	-2194.72%
LND	48 Neutral	$360.59M	―	-1.12%	3.31%	-3.22%	-108.24%

Alico Corporate Events

Alico, Inc. Reports Strategic Transformation and Financial Results

Alico, Inc. is a Florida-based agribusiness and land management company known for its diversified land operations and strategic development projects. In its latest earnings report for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, Alico announced a net loss of $147.3 million, attributed mainly to accelerated depreciation and asset impairments as part of its strategic transformation. Despite this, the company exceeded its adjusted EBITDA and land sales guidance, reporting $22.5 million and $23.8 million respectively. Alico’s strategic shift from citrus production to diversified land management has positioned it for future growth, with significant developments like the Corkscrew Grove Villages advancing through regulatory processes. The company ended the fiscal year with strong cash reserves of $38.1 million, ensuring operational funding through 2027. Looking ahead, Alico remains focused on optimizing agricultural leasing, maintaining cost controls, and advancing its land development projects, with management expressing confidence in sustainable value creation for shareholders.

Alico Enters Agreement for Wildlife Corridor Project

On October 27, 2025, the Corkscrew Grove Stewardship District entered into an agreement with the State of Florida Department of Transportation to finance a wildlife-crossing culvert under State Road 82, as part of the Corkscrew Villages Project. This agreement marks an initial step by Alico, Inc. to implement a wildlife corridor, with significant financial commitments to support infrastructure development and potential implications for environmental management and community planning in eastern Collier County.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALCO) stock is a Hold with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alico stock, see the ALCO Stock Forecast page.

Alico Secures New Credit Agreement with MetLife

On September 29, 2025, Alico, Inc. completed a refinancing transaction involving several of its Florida-based subsidiaries. The company repaid all outstanding borrowings under a previous loan agreement with Prudential Mortgage Capital Company, terminating the Prudential Credit Agreement. Concurrently, Alico entered into an Eighth Amendment to its credit agreement with MetLife Investment Management, securing an additional $10 million in indebtedness with a maturity date of May 1, 2034. This amendment also involved changes to mortgages and loan-to-value ratio covenants, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALCO) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alico stock, see the ALCO Stock Forecast page.

Alico Announces Fourth Quarter Cash Dividend

On September 12, 2025, Alico, Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.05 per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. This dividend will be paid to shareholders of record as of September 26, 2025, with the payment expected on October 10, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALCO) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alico stock, see the ALCO Stock Forecast page.

Alico Inc. Earnings Call: Strategic Shifts and Challenges

Alico Inc. has made notable strides in its strategic transformation, as highlighted in its latest earnings call. The company is transitioning towards a diversified land company, with significant achievements in land sales and regulatory approvals. Despite facing challenges such as decreased revenue and increased losses, largely due to external factors like Hurricane Milton, Alico has managed to strengthen its cash position and remains optimistic about its future prospects.