Alico (ALCO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $251.88M
• Dividend Yield: 0.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 21.82K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.34
• Revenue Growth: -4.72%
• EPS Growth: -700.99%
• Country: US
• Employees: 199
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): -2.39
• Shares Outstanding: 7,645,360
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 25,656
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 21,824
• PEG Ratio: 0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.85
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.57
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.41
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.18
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.74
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -1.51
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -4.83
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: $34.00 ▲(1.58% Upside)

Alico's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with declining revenue and profitability. Despite strategic progress and improved liquidity from land sales, the company's valuation remains a concern due to recent losses. Technical indicators show moderate strength, but the challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as revenue decline and increased losses, weigh heavily on the score.

Alico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alico, Inc. (ALCO) is an agricultural company primarily engaged in the production of citrus fruits, particularly oranges, in the United States. The company operates in the citrus farming sector, focusing on the cultivation, harvesting, and marketing of high-quality citrus products. Alico's operations are concentrated in Florida, where it manages extensive groves and utilizes advanced agricultural practices to optimize yield and quality. In addition to its core citrus business, Alico is involved in land management and real estate activities, enhancing its portfolio and diversifying its revenue sources.

How the Company Makes Money

Alico generates revenue primarily through the sale of fresh citrus fruit, particularly oranges, which are sold to various markets including juice processors, retail grocery stores, and wholesalers. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the quantity and quality of its citrus yield, influenced by factors such as weather conditions, pest management, and agricultural practices. Additionally, Alico engages in land management and real estate activities, which provide supplementary revenue streams through leasing and sales of non-core land assets. Strategic partnerships with distributors and marketers in the citrus industry also play a crucial role in expanding Alico's market reach and optimizing its sales efforts, contributing to its overall earnings.

Alico Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alico's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and profitability, with negative margins and inconsistent cash flow. The balance sheet shows manageable leverage but poor return on equity, indicating operational inefficiencies and cash generation issues.

Income Statement

Alico's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative gross profit and net profit margins in the TTM period. The company has experienced a revenue decline of over 10% in the TTM, indicating a downward trend. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and profitability, with occasional positive net margins. However, the recent negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets. Historical data indicates fluctuating debt levels and a declining equity base, which could pose future risks.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate in the TTM, indicating cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some operational cash flow strength, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is less favorable. Historical cash flow data shows inconsistent free cash flow performance, with periods of negative growth and coverage ratios.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	44.20M	46.64M	39.85M	91.95M	108.56M	92.51M
Gross Profit	-196.68M	-56.38M	6.45M	-14.77M	23.89M	17.92M
EBITDA	-61.61M	29.50M	22.86M	31.51M	29.56M	51.88M
Net Income	-156.97M	6.97M	1.83M	12.46M	34.86M	23.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	210.56M	398.72M	428.35M	409.25M	433.22M	423.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	42.07M	3.15M	1.06M	865.00K	886.00K	3.16M
Total Debt	85.23M	92.12M	128.70M	110.88M	125.31M	150.91M
Total Liabilities	93.86M	142.42M	177.98M	160.39M	185.61M	202.16M
Stockholders Equity	111.73M	251.16M	244.99M	243.74M	242.20M	216.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.45M	-48.37M	-22.91M	-14.34M	-24.73M	-21.11M
Operating Cash Flow	11.06M	-30.50M	-6.25M	6.52M	16.50M	1.05M
Investing Cash Flow	22.78M	68.18M	-4.12M	22.47M	-3.27M	9.49M
Financing Cash Flow	-118.00K	-37.98M	13.20M	-29.01M	-32.04M	-14.69M

Alico Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 33.47
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.38, below the 50-day MA of 33.96, and above the 200-day MA of 31.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALCO.

Alico Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
AGRO	61 Neutral	$820.94M	22.97	2.63%	4.26%	19.45%	-82.38%
LMNR	58 Neutral	$249.43M	―	-4.88%	2.16%	-14.97%	-278.36%
LND	55 Neutral	$369.88M	15.12	6.28%	3.32%	0.32%	-42.97%
VFF	54 Neutral	$334.55M	32.46	-2.13%	―	-3.53%	―
ALCO	50 Neutral	$251.88M	―	-82.35%	0.61%	-4.72%	-700.99%

Alico Corporate Events

Alico Secures New Credit Agreement with MetLife

On September 29, 2025, Alico, Inc. completed a refinancing transaction involving several of its Florida-based subsidiaries. The company repaid all outstanding borrowings under a previous loan agreement with Prudential Mortgage Capital Company, terminating the Prudential Credit Agreement. Concurrently, Alico entered into an Eighth Amendment to its credit agreement with MetLife Investment Management, securing an additional $10 million in indebtedness with a maturity date of May 1, 2034. This amendment also involved changes to mortgages and loan-to-value ratio covenants, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALCO) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alico stock, see the ALCO Stock Forecast page.

Alico Announces Fourth Quarter Cash Dividend

On September 12, 2025, Alico, Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.05 per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. This dividend will be paid to shareholders of record as of September 26, 2025, with the payment expected on October 10, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALCO) stock is a Hold with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alico stock, see the ALCO Stock Forecast page.

Alico Inc. Earnings Call: Strategic Shifts and Challenges

Alico Inc. has made notable strides in its strategic transformation, as highlighted in its latest earnings call. The company is transitioning towards a diversified land company, with significant achievements in land sales and regulatory approvals. Despite facing challenges such as decreased revenue and increased losses, largely due to external factors like Hurricane Milton, Alico has managed to strengthen its cash position and remains optimistic about its future prospects.

Alico Inc.’s Workforce Cuts: Strategic Transformation or Risky Gamble?

Alico Inc.’s recent decision to reduce its workforce as part of its Strategic Transformation plan poses significant risks that may undermine its intended outcomes. The company faces potential challenges such as the loss of institutional knowledge, decreased employee morale, and the inability to effectively redistribute responsibilities among remaining staff. Additionally, the workforce reduction could hinder Alico Inc.’s ability to pursue new opportunities due to insufficient personnel and may necessitate unplanned hiring costs. These factors, combined with the possibility of reputational damage, could adversely impact the company’s business operations and financial stability.

Alico, Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Alico, Inc. is a Florida-based agribusiness and land management company that has recently transitioned into a diversified land company, focusing on strategic land development and diversified agricultural operations.