Alico (ALCO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $255.81M
• Dividend Yield: 0.6%
• Average Volume (3M): 26.67K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 33.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.38
• Revenue Growth: -4.72%
• EPS Growth: -700.99%
• Country: US
• Employees: 199
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): -2.39
• Shares Outstanding: 7,645,360
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 22,801
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 26,666
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.16
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.74
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -1.51
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -4.83
• 1Y Price Target: $35.00
• Price Target Upside: 4.54% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 47 Neutral
• Price Target: $33.00 ▼(-1.43% Downside)

Alico's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with significant challenges in revenue and profitability. While technical indicators and earnings call insights provide some positive aspects, the negative P/E ratio and ongoing operational inefficiencies weigh heavily on the score. The company's strategic transformation and strong cash position offer some hope for future improvement.

Alico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Alico Citrus, and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus segment cultivates citrus trees to produce citrus for delivery to the processed and fresh citrus markets. The Land Management and Other Operations segment owns and manages land in Collier, Glades, and Hendry Counties; and leasing of land for recreational and grazing purposes, conservation, and mining activities. As of September 30, 2021, it had 83,000 acres of land situated in eight counties in Florida, which include the Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, and Polk. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Fort Myers, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

Alico generates revenue primarily through the sale of fresh citrus fruit, particularly oranges, which are sold to various markets including juice processors, retail grocery stores, and wholesalers. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the quantity and quality of its citrus yield, influenced by factors such as weather conditions, pest management, and agricultural practices. Additionally, Alico engages in land management and real estate activities, which provide supplementary revenue streams through leasing and sales of non-core land assets. Strategic partnerships with distributors and marketers in the citrus industry also play a crucial role in expanding Alico's market reach and optimizing its sales efforts, contributing to its overall earnings.

Alico Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alico faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability in the TTM period. The balance sheet shows manageable leverage but poor return on equity, while cash flow performance is inconsistent. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash generation to stabilize its financial position.

Income Statement

Alico's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative gross profit and net profit margins in the TTM period. The company has experienced a revenue decline of over 10% in the TTM, indicating a downward trend. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and profitability, with occasional positive net margins. However, the recent negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets. Historical data indicates fluctuating debt levels and a declining equity base, which could pose future risks.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate in the TTM, indicating cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some operational cash flow strength, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is less favorable. Historical cash flow data shows inconsistent free cash flow performance, with periods of negative growth and coverage ratios.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	44.20M	46.64M	39.85M	91.95M	108.56M	92.51M
Gross Profit	-196.68M	-56.38M	6.45M	-14.77M	23.89M	17.92M
EBITDA	-61.61M	29.50M	22.86M	31.51M	29.56M	51.88M
Net Income	-156.97M	6.97M	1.83M	12.46M	34.86M	23.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	210.56M	398.72M	428.35M	409.25M	433.22M	423.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	42.07M	3.15M	1.06M	865.00K	886.00K	3.16M
Total Debt	85.23M	92.12M	128.70M	110.88M	125.31M	150.91M
Total Liabilities	93.86M	142.42M	177.98M	160.39M	185.61M	202.16M
Stockholders Equity	111.73M	251.16M	244.99M	243.74M	242.20M	216.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.45M	-48.37M	-22.91M	-14.34M	-24.73M	-21.11M
Operating Cash Flow	11.06M	-30.50M	-6.25M	6.52M	16.50M	1.05M
Investing Cash Flow	22.78M	68.18M	-4.12M	22.47M	-3.27M	9.49M
Financing Cash Flow	-118.00K	-37.98M	13.20M	-29.01M	-32.04M	-14.69M

Alico Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 33.48
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.71, above the 50-day MA of 33.21, and above the 200-day MA of 30.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALCO.

Alico Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CALM	84 Outperform	4.71B	3.90	―	8.53%	83.19%	339.22%
LND	71 Outperform	380.53M	15.90	―	6.49%	0.32%	-42.97%
LMNR	62 Neutral	270.36M	-27.58	4.02%	2.00%	-14.97%	-278.36%
AGRO	59 Neutral	824.94M	23.08	2.60%	4.32%	19.45%	-82.38%
ALCO	47 Neutral	$255.81M	32.96	-82.35%	0.60%	-4.72%	-700.99%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%

Alico Corporate Events

Alico Extends EVP’s Term with New Incentives

On July 14, 2025, Danny Sutton resigned as President of Alico Citrus, effective August 1, 2025. Additionally, Alico, Inc. amended the employment agreement with Mitch Hutchcraft, Executive Vice President – Real Estate, on July 18, 2025, extending his term through September 30, 2030, with salary and bonus adjustments. This amendment includes performance-based incentives tied to real estate project milestones, potentially impacting the company’s real estate operations and stakeholder interests.

Alico Declares Third Quarter 2025 Cash Dividend

On June 13, 2025, Alico, Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.05 per share for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. This dividend will be paid to shareholders on July 11, 2025, with a record date of June 27, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Alico Ends Orange Purchase Agreement with Tropicana

Alico, Inc. announced that on May 23, 2025, it mutually terminated its Orange Purchase Agreement with Tropicana Manufacturing Company, Inc., originally dated April 11, 2024. The termination, effective immediately, includes a mutual release clause and requires all obligations for the 2024/2025 Crop Year to be settled by July 15, 2025.