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SIGA Technologies Inc (SIGA)
NASDAQ:SIGA
US Market

SIGA Technologies (SIGA) AI Stock Analysis

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SIGA

SIGA Technologies

(NASDAQ:SIGA)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-26.14% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is primarily supported by strong balance sheet strength (minimal leverage) and generally healthy cash generation, but it is tempered by significant recent volatility in revenue/profitability and weak technical trend signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is moderate and the special dividend is a positive secondary factor.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Near-zero leverage provides durable financial flexibility: it lowers solvency risk, supports investments in manufacturing and readiness, and lets management bridge lumpy procurement cycles without needing external financing, preserving strategic optionality over months.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility
Large, abrupt revenue swings reflect dependency on episodic procurement and outbreak-driven demand. Such volatility hampers multi-quarter planning, makes operating leverage unpredictable, and raises execution risk for capacity and R&D investments over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Near-zero leverage provides durable financial flexibility: it lowers solvency risk, supports investments in manufacturing and readiness, and lets management bridge lumpy procurement cycles without needing external financing, preserving strategic optionality over months.
Read all positive factors

SIGA Technologies (SIGA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SIGA Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SIGA Technologies, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on the health security and infectious disease markets in the United States. Its lead product is TPOXX, an oral formulation antiviral drug for the treatment of human smallp...
How the Company Makes Money
SIGA makes money primarily by selling its antiviral TPOXX (tecovirimat) under procurement and supply arrangements, historically driven largely by government demand for national stockpiles and outbreak response. Key revenue streams include: (1) Pro...

SIGA Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial position and positive growth in product sales, driven by continued engagement with government contracts and international sales potential. However, challenges such as potential delays due to the government shutdown, questions from the EMA, and quarterly revenue fluctuations were also noted.
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
SIGA maintains a robust cash balance of $172 million with no debt, providing flexibility and enabling the company to pursue opportunities and manage risks effectively.
Negative Updates
Impact of Government Shutdown
Potential delays in CDC analysis of samples for the PEP program due to the government shutdown, impacting timelines.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Financial Position
SIGA maintains a robust cash balance of $172 million with no debt, providing flexibility and enabling the company to pursue opportunities and manage risks effectively.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SIGA Technologies reported product revenues of approximately $86 million for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, with $53 million from oral TPOXX and $26 million from IV TPOXX sales under the 19C BARDA contract, and $6 million from international oral TPOXX sales. The company highlighted a relatively quiet third quarter following a strong second quarter, which included $79 million in product revenues. Pre-tax operating income for the first nine months was about $33 million, while the third quarter saw a pre-tax operating loss of approximately $10 million. The net income for the nine months was around $29 million, equating to a fully diluted income per share of $0.40, whereas the net loss for the third quarter was about $6 million, or $0.09 per share. SIGA ended the quarter with a cash balance of $172 million and no debt, maintaining a strong financial position. The company also noted $26 million in outstanding orders from the U.S. government, expected for delivery in 2026, and ongoing strategic discussions with government and international stakeholders concerning future TPOXX procurement and development.

SIGA Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall financial quality supported by a conservative, near-zero debt balance sheet and generally positive operating/free cash flow. The score is held back by meaningful volatility, including a sharp revenue contraction and margin/cash flow declines in the latest annual period.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.60M138.72M139.92M110.78M133.67M
Gross Profit64.87M107.43M122.09M100.34M117.07M
EBITDA24.26M70.52M84.16M43.22M89.62M
Net Income23.30M59.21M68.07M33.90M69.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets219.47M244.34M254.35M195.04M214.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments154.97M155.40M150.15M98.79M103.14M
Total Debt595.17K546.82K564.01K528.17K466.83K
Total Liabilities20.65M28.53M57.49M24.88M40.41M
Stockholders Equity198.82M215.80M196.86M170.16M174.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.72M48.72M94.78M41.61M11.44M
Operating Cash Flow48.76M48.76M94.80M41.61M11.49M
Investing Cash Flow-42.45K-42.45K-21.69K0.00-50.62K
Financing Cash Flow-43.46M-43.46M-43.42M-45.96M-26.20M

SIGA Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.77
Price Trends
50DMA
5.28
Negative
100DMA
5.43
Negative
200DMA
6.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
36.48
Neutral
STOCH
7.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIGA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.55, above the 50-day MA of 5.28, and above the 200-day MA of 6.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIGA.

SIGA Technologies Risk Analysis

SIGA Technologies disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SIGA Technologies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SIGA Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$312.37M18.7811.26%-0.85%-13.50%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$411.09M12.579.59%-29.91%
49
Neutral
$557.28M-33.915.62%2.83%13.61%
49
Neutral
$306.16M17.739.56%2.24%-67.56%
48
Neutral
$497.94M-9.40195.65%-26.32%-56.54%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
4.36
-0.41
-8.60%
EBS
Emergent Biosolutions
7.96
3.57
81.32%
ESPR
Esperion
2.17
1.15
112.75%
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
2.38
-1.88
-44.13%
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics
4.08
1.61
65.18%

SIGA Technologies Corporate Events

Dividends
SIGA Technologies Declares Special One-Time Cash Dividend
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, SIGA Technologies, Inc. declared a special, one-time cash dividend of $0.60 per share of common stock, marking a return of capital to shareholders. The dividend will be paid on April 23, 2026 to investors of record as of April 7...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026