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Organogenesis Holdings (ORGO)
NASDAQ:ORGO

Organogenesis Holdings (ORGO) AI Stock Analysis

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ORGO

Organogenesis Holdings

(NASDAQ:ORGO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-38.73% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held down primarily by weak cash-flow quality (negative 2025 OCF/FCF) and a materially challenged 2026 outlook from CMS-driven disruption. Technicals also point to bearish momentum (price below key moving averages, negative MACD). Offsetting factors include the 2025 profitability rebound and moderate leverage/liquidity position noted on the earnings call.
Positive Factors
Revenue & margin rebound
A sharp 2025 revenue and profitability rebound demonstrates the company’s ability to scale advanced wound-care sales and convert those sales to strong adjusted EBITDA. Durable commercial execution and higher margins provide operational leverage that can support reinvestment and buffer short-term headwinds.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Despite GAAP and adjusted profitability in 2025, operating and free cash flow turned negative, signaling poor earnings-to-cash conversion and working-capital strain. Persistent weak cash generation reduces runway, raises refinancing risk, and limits reinvestment capacity if revenue remains pressured.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & margin rebound
A sharp 2025 revenue and profitability rebound demonstrates the company’s ability to scale advanced wound-care sales and convert those sales to strong adjusted EBITDA. Durable commercial execution and higher margins provide operational leverage that can support reinvestment and buffer short-term headwinds.
Read all positive factors

Organogenesis Holdings (ORGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Organogenesis Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Organogenesis Holdings Inc., a regenerative medicine company develops, manufactures, and commercializes solutions for the advanced wound care, and surgical and sports medicine markets in the United States. The company's advanced wound care product...
How the Company Makes Money
Organogenesis makes money primarily by selling its regenerative medicine products used in wound care and surgical applications. Revenue is generated when its products are purchased and used by healthcare providers (e.g., hospitals, outpatient faci...

Organogenesis Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call highlighted an exceptional fourth quarter with record revenue, substantial margin expansion and strong adjusted EBITDA, alongside meaningful commercial and pipeline progress (ReNu, Dermagraft, Smithfield manufacturing). However, sweeping CMS policy changes and specific December CMS commentary have created significant clinician confusion and material utilization disruption that management expects will drive a meaningful revenue decline in 2026 (full-year guidance -25% to -38%, Q1 ~-50%). Rising operating expenses, inventory adjustments and a lower cash balance further accentuate near-term risks. Management is optimistic about market-share recovery in H2 2026, but the near-term outlook is materially challenged.
Positive Updates
Record Q4 Revenue Performance
Net product revenue of $225.1M in Q4, up 78% year-over-year and up 50% sequentially; results exceeded the high end of prior guidance ($162M–$187M).
Negative Updates
Material Near-Term Revenue Headwind for 2026
Company expects total net revenue to decline 25% to 38% year-over-year for full-year 2026. Guidance assumes ~50% revenue decline in Q1 2026 and H1 2026 declines ~30%–35% driven by clinician confusion and utilization impact.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Q4 Revenue Performance
Net product revenue of $225.1M in Q4, up 78% year-over-year and up 50% sequentially; results exceeded the high end of prior guidance ($162M–$187M).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Organogenesis guided that total net revenue is expected to decline 25%–38% year‑over‑year for full‑year 2026, with first‑quarter revenue down roughly 50% YoY and first‑half revenue down about 30%–35% YoY due to clinician confusion from late‑2025 CMS commentary; the company expects strong sequential recovery in Q2 and further sequential growth in Q3 and Q4, driving positive adjusted EBITDA in H2 and a high‑teens adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4. The outlook is set against a Q4 2025 base of $225.1 million in net product revenue (up 78% YoY, +50% sequential), Advanced Wound Care of $217.2 million (+83% YoY), Surgical & Sports Medicine $7.9 million (−2% YoY), Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $84.2 million (37% of revenue), GAAP net income of $43.7 million, and year‑end cash of $94.3 million with no debt and a $75 million revolver available.

Organogenesis Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a strong 2025 rebound (re-accelerating revenue growth and improved net margin), and leverage appears moderate. However, cash flow is a major weakness: 2025 operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative, signaling poor earnings-to-cash conversion and higher execution/working-capital risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue564.17M482.04M433.14M450.89M467.36M
Gross Profit415.06M366.30M326.66M345.87M353.16M
EBITDA83.32M15.76M36.03M40.32M87.00M
Net Income37.03M861.00K4.95M15.53M94.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets598.73M497.89M460.02M449.36M443.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.68M135.57M104.34M102.48M113.93M
Total Debt132.84M43.31M119.35M123.79M132.30M
Total Liabilities164.81M112.57M181.36M183.69M201.92M
Stockholders Equity433.92M385.32M278.66M265.67M241.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.46M4.18M6.55M-9.04M30.76M
Operating Cash Flow-10.31M14.21M30.92M24.86M61.98M
Investing Cash Flow-14.15M-10.03M-24.36M-33.90M-31.22M
Financing Cash Flow-17.36M27.64M-5.50M-2.20M-1.04M

Organogenesis Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.08
Price Trends
50DMA
3.40
Negative
100DMA
4.24
Negative
200DMA
4.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
24.49
Positive
STOCH
27.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.66, above the 50-day MA of 3.40, and below the 200-day MA of 4.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 24.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ORGO.

Organogenesis Holdings Risk Analysis

Organogenesis Holdings disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Organogenesis Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Organogenesis Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$355.36M18.78-0.85%-13.50%
59
Neutral
$344.74M-37.26-1.44%1.76%18.31%
53
Neutral
$418.31M12.579.59%-29.91%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$271.30M-8.30267.84%15.10%0.18%
47
Neutral
$311.31M17.739.56%2.24%-67.56%
47
Neutral
$731.91M-33.915.62%2.83%13.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
2.42
-2.08
-46.22%
EBS
Emergent Biosolutions
8.08
3.42
73.39%
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
4.96
-0.06
-1.20%
ESPR
Esperion
2.85
1.35
90.00%
EOLS
Evolus
4.17
-7.88
-65.39%
SNDL
SNDL
1.33
-0.12
-8.28%

Organogenesis Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Organogenesis Names Patrick McGuire Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Organogenesis Holdings Inc. appointed Patrick McGuire, 40, as Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer, effective immediately, elevating him from his prior role as Vice President, Corporate Controller. McGuir...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Organogenesis Extends Long-Term Leases for Key Facilities
Positive
Dec 29, 2025
On December 22, 2025, Organogenesis Inc. amended its leases for two key facilities at 65 Dan Road and 150 Dan Road in Canton, Massachusetts, extending the terms from their current expiration date of December 31, 2027 to December 31, 2032, with an ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026