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Evolus Inc (EOLS)
NASDAQ:EOLS

Evolus (EOLS) AI Stock Analysis

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Evolus

(NASDAQ:EOLS)

Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▼(-1.53%Downside)
Evolus faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and valuation concerns being the most impactful factors. However, strategic execution, strong revenue growth, and improved financial flexibility through recent corporate events provide some positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Evolus reported global net revenue of $68.5M in 1Q25, a 15.5% increase from 1Q24, driven primarily by higher volumes and market share gains.
Market Performance
Jeuveau significantly outperformed the overall toxin market and the leading toxin Botox to further grow its market share.
Product Launch
There is a positive outlook for the exciting new launch of a second product line with Evolysse.
Negative Factors
Executive Changes
CFO Sandra Beaver will be resigning from the company and Evolus has initiated the process to identify a successor.
Macroeconomic Concerns
Some investors may be concerned with the macro trends, given the significant volatility in the capital markets, consumer sentiment, and tariffs noise.

Evolus (EOLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evolus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolus, Inc. (EOLS) is a performance beauty company that focuses on delivering innovative aesthetic products. The company's flagship product, Jeuveau, is a prescription medicine used in facial aesthetics to improve the appearance of moderate to severe frown lines between the eyebrows, also known as glabellar lines. Evolus specializes in the self-pay aesthetic market, emphasizing the millennial consumer segment through its contemporary branding and digital marketing strategies.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its aesthetic product, Jeuveau, to healthcare providers and practitioners who administer the treatment to patients. The company leverages a competitive pricing strategy to capture market share in the aesthetic neurotoxin market, traditionally dominated by larger players. Additionally, Evolus's revenue model benefits from its direct sales force, which works closely with aesthetic professionals to drive product adoption and usage. Strategic partnerships with partners such as Daewoong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., which manufactures Jeuveau, contribute to the company's supply chain efficiency and product availability. Evolus also engages in promotional activities and loyalty programs aimed at both healthcare providers and end consumers to enhance product visibility and drive sales.

Evolus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Evolus reported strong revenue growth and a successful product launch, with significant customer engagement and financial repositioning. However, challenges include reduced market growth expectations, tariff impacts, and increased operating expenses. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic execution and market share gains indicate a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit Revenue Growth
Evolus reported a 15.5% revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025, achieving $68.5 million in revenue, supported by a strong commercial engine and market share gains.
Successful Launch of Evolysse
Evolus launched its new product, Evolysse, in April 2025, which has shown strong early momentum and exceeded expectations in terms of clinician interest and early ordering activity.
Increased Customer Engagement
Evolus added 675 new purchasing accounts, reaching a total of more than 16,000 accounts. The company's loyalty program achieved a record with over 220,000 redemptions.
Positive Financial Repositioning
Evolus successfully refinanced its debt facility, reducing borrowing costs by 350 basis points and adding $100 million in incremental available capacity.
International Growth
International revenue contributions increased and are expected to continue outpacing US growth, validating strong growth trajectory outside the US.
Negative Updates
Reduced Market Growth Expectations
Evolus reduced its 2025 toxin market growth expectation to low single digits due to slower market growth and a cautious market environment.
Impact of Tariffs
Evolysse is subject to a 10% tariff, expected to increase to 20%, impacting cost of goods sold. The estimated tariff impact is less than $2 million for 2025.
Increased Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter increased to $61.8 million, up from $54.9 million in the previous quarter, reflecting investments in growth and commercial expansion.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Evolus reported $68.5 million in revenue, marking a 15.5% increase from the previous year, as they gained market share despite a slower overall market growth. The company launched Evolysse Form and Evolysse Smooth in the U.S., transitioning to a multi-product company and driving engagement with their "Drop the F Word" campaign, which encourages a shift in terminology from "filler" to "hyaluronic acid." Evolus reaffirmed their 2025 revenue guidance of $345 million to $355 million, predicting over 30% annual growth. They noted a strong customer base with 675 new accounts added, and over 220,000 loyalty program redemptions, 65% from existing consumers. The company's non-GAAP operating expenses were between $230 million and $240 million, and Evolus is on track to achieve profitability by the end of 2025.

Evolus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolus faces significant financial challenges despite revenue growth. The company operates at a net loss with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Its balance sheet shows negative stockholders' equity, and cash flow from operations remains negative, indicating reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Evolus has shown steady revenue growth with a notable increase in total revenue from $56.54M in 2020 to $275.02M in the TTM period ending March 2025. Despite this, the company continues to operate at a net loss, with consistently negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects significant financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity in recent periods, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the overall liabilities exceed assets, pointing to financial leverage concerns. This highlights a need for improved capitalization and risk management.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations is consistently negative, although the company has managed to reduce its cash outflows over time. The free cash flow remains negative, suggesting ongoing challenges in generating cash from operations. The company's reliance on financing activities to manage liquidity is evident.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue275.01M266.27M202.09M148.62M99.67M56.54M
Gross Profit186.27M182.30M140.53M92.73M56.14M38.24M
EBITDA-53.43M-25.00M-41.81M-60.72M-39.06M-144.75M
Net Income-56.20M-50.42M-61.69M-74.41M-46.81M-163.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets213.36M232.57M189.00M177.98M257.48M209.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.89M86.95M62.84M53.92M146.26M107.56M
Total Debt8.39M129.98M126.55M73.20M74.74M138.32M
Total Liabilities219.97M227.05M209.69M159.48M175.61M282.03M
Stockholders Equity-6.60M5.52M-20.69M18.50M-422.88M-376.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.93M-19.47M-35.63M-11.71M-34.36M-61.01M
Operating Cash Flow-23.02M-18.00M-34.01M-8.77M-33.39M-57.87M
Investing Cash Flow-5.89M-4.82M-1.63M-1.39M4.03M12.19M
Financing Cash Flow121.00K47.41M44.64M-1.52M73.05M38.35M

Evolus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.14
Price Trends
50DMA
10.19
Negative
100DMA
11.54
Negative
200DMA
12.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
40.74
Neutral
STOCH
13.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOLS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.65, below the 50-day MA of 10.19, and below the 200-day MA of 12.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EOLS.

Evolus Risk Analysis

Evolus disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evolus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evolus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$461.51M9.5125.47%10.13%-23.37%-39.03%
71
Outperform
$957.52M24.6419.23%17.17%-51.97%
63
Neutral
$891.42M-34.65%252.64%85.10%
49
Neutral
$449.06M928.57-4.92%5.35%-432.51%
48
Neutral
$415.98M-31.06%11.22%-108.58%
46
Neutral
C$190.36M-4.25-8.56%3.10%13.57%-1.98%
44
Neutral
$586.73M-949.46%25.38%15.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOLS
Evolus
9.14
-1.71
-15.76%
AVDL
Avadel Pharmaceuticals
9.20
-4.86
-34.57%
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
6.46
-0.41
-5.97%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
29.93
-2.27
-7.05%
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
3.67
0.87
31.07%
TLRY
Tilray
0.40
-1.26
-75.90%

Evolus Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Evolus Announces Board Changes and Director Elections
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Evolus, Inc. experienced significant changes in its board of directors as part of a planned transition, with Simone Blank stepping down and Albert White III joining the Audit Committee. Additionally, during the Annual Meeting of Stockholders, David Gill and Albert White III were elected as Class I Directors, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm, and the compensation of the company’s executive officers was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOLS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolus stock, see the EOLS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evolus CFO Sandra Beaver Announces Resignation
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Evolus, Inc. announced the voluntary resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Sandra Beaver, effective June 13, 2025, as she moves to a new opportunity in a private mental health and wellness technology company. The company emphasized that her departure was not due to any disagreements related to its operations or financial practices. CEO David Moatazedi acknowledged Beaver’s contributions to Evolus’ growth and success, noting the company’s strong momentum with recent product launches and record revenues. Evolus has initiated a search for her successor while its experienced finance team ensures a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOLS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolus stock, see the EOLS Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evolus Secures New $250 Million Credit Facility
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Evolus, Inc. announced an amended and restated credit facility, replacing its existing $125 million credit agreement with a new $250 million facility managed by Pharmakon Advisors, LP. This refinancing reduces the company’s interest expenses, enhances financial flexibility, and provides additional capital availability. The new agreement includes a lower interest rate and a conversion to a bullet maturity payment structure, eliminating pre-payment fees from the existing facility. This strategic move is expected to improve Evolus’ cash generation and support its commercial momentum and strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025