tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Evolus Inc (EOLS)
NASDAQ:EOLS
Advertisement

Evolus (EOLS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
547 Followers

Top Page

EOLS

Evolus

(NASDAQ:EOLS)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(1.69% Upside)
Evolus faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and reliance on external financing being the most critical issues. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. Despite some positive developments in product launches and international expansion, the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
The company plans to conduct strategic cost structure optimization to save at least $25M in operating expense for 2025 and expects to achieve meaningful profitability in 4Q25 and annual profitability beginning in 2026.
Market Position
Jeuveau continues to maintain a 14% market share, so the company has not seen an impact on its competitive positioning.
Product Launch
There is a positive outlook for the exciting new launch of a second product line with Evolysse.
Negative Factors
Demand Challenges
Deteriorating demand for aesthetics caught up with Jeuveau, leading to lower purchase volumes.
Financial Performance
The company reset 2025 net revenue guidance to $295-$305M from previously guided $345-$355M, with the new guide representing 11%-15% growth, down from the prior guide's 30%-33% growth.
Macroeconomic Factors
Continued tariff threats and negative macroeconomic factors are expected to weigh on consumer sentiment and aesthetics demand.

Evolus (EOLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evolus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolus, Inc. is a performance-based aesthetic company focused on delivering innovative, non-surgical aesthetic solutions to enhance beauty and confidence. The company primarily operates in the medical aesthetics sector and offers products designed to address the needs of consumers and healthcare providers. Evolus is known for its flagship product, Jeuveau, a botulinum toxin type A injectable treatment aimed at reducing the appearance of glabellar lines, commonly known as frown lines. The company focuses on providing advanced aesthetic technologies that cater to a growing market of consumers seeking non-invasive aesthetic treatments.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its aesthetic products, with Jeuveau being its main source of income. The company employs a business model that includes direct sales to licensed healthcare professionals and partnerships with aesthetic clinics. Revenue is driven by product sales and the establishment of distribution agreements with various medical aesthetic providers. Additionally, Evolus invests in marketing and promotional campaigns to raise awareness of its products among consumers and practitioners, further enhancing its sales potential. The company's focus on innovation and the expansion of its product portfolio plays a significant role in driving revenue growth and sustaining its competitive edge in the market.

Evolus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -33.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with notable achievements in the launch of Evolysse and international expansion, contrasted by significant challenges in the U.S. toxin market and a revised financial outlook due to economic headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Evolysse Launch Success
Evolysse exceeded expectations in its first quarter, generating $9.7 million in revenue and marking the strongest first-quarter filler launch in over a decade. Over 4,000 healthcare providers have been trained since its launch.
Market Share Growth
Jeuveau maintained a 14% market share in the U.S. toxin market despite a challenging environment, reflecting an increase from the full year 2024 share of 13%.
International Expansion
The company is active in 9 markets outside the U.S., covering over 70% of the international total addressable market, with a goal to achieve $100 million in international revenue by 2028.
Positive Consumer Feedback
Evolus Rewards redemptions hit a record high of over 224,000, with 65% from repeat patients, highlighting brand strength and consumer satisfaction.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Toxin Market
Jeuveau experienced its first-ever year-over-year decrease due to a sharp reduction in consumer sentiment, with procedural volumes across the U.S. toxin category decelerating further in the second quarter.
Revised Financial Outlook
Evolus revised its 2025 revenue guidance range to $295 million to $305 million, representing 11% to 15% growth over 2024, down from previous expectations.
Operating Expenses and Profitability Challenges
Non-GAAP operating loss in the second quarter was $7.9 million compared to non-GAAP operating income of $1.1 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Broader Economic Headwinds
The challenging economic environment, including consumer discretionary spending pressure, impacted demand, with expectations of further challenges ahead.
Company Guidance
During the call, Evolus provided updated guidance for 2025, revising their revenue expectations to a range of $295 million to $305 million, representing an 11% to 15% growth over 2024. They adjusted their non-GAAP operating expense guidance to $208 million to $213 million, aiming for more than $25 million in cost savings primarily from reductions in general and administrative expenses. Evolus maintained a long-term revenue target of $700 million by 2028, with a goal to achieve a 20% non-GAAP operating income margin. Despite challenges in the U.S. aesthetic toxin market, the company reported maintaining a 14% market share in the first half of 2025, up from 13% in 2024. They also noted a record high of over 224,000 Evolus Rewards redemptions, with 65% from repeat patients, indicating strong consumer satisfaction. The recent launch of Evolysse contributed $9.7 million in revenue, and its full-year revenue contribution is now expected to be 10% to 12%. The company is also focusing on international expansion, with Evolus active in nine markets outside the U.S., targeting $100 million in international revenue by 2028.

Evolus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolus shows revenue growth but faces financial challenges, including negative profitability, deficits in equity, and reliance on external financing. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Evolus has shown steady revenue growth with a notable increase in total revenue from $56.54M in 2020 to $275.02M in the TTM period ending March 2025. Despite this, the company continues to operate at a net loss, with consistently negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects significant financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity in recent periods, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the overall liabilities exceed assets, pointing to financial leverage concerns. This highlights a need for improved capitalization and risk management.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations is consistently negative, although the company has managed to reduce its cash outflows over time. The free cash flow remains negative, suggesting ongoing challenges in generating cash from operations. The company's reliance on financing activities to manage liquidity is evident.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue276.81M266.27M202.09M148.62M99.67M56.54M
Gross Profit185.18M182.30M140.53M92.73M56.14M38.24M
EBITDA-52.17M-25.00M-41.81M-60.72M-39.06M-144.75M
Net Income-61.99M-50.42M-61.69M-74.41M-46.81M-163.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets228.80M232.57M189.00M177.98M257.48M209.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.74M86.95M62.84M53.92M146.26M107.56M
Total Debt183.40M129.98M126.55M73.20M74.74M138.32M
Total Liabilities247.46M227.05M209.69M159.48M175.61M282.03M
Stockholders Equity-18.65M5.52M-20.69M18.50M-422.88M-376.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.21M-19.47M-35.63M-11.71M-34.36M-61.01M
Operating Cash Flow-16.55M-18.00M-34.01M-8.77M-33.39M-57.87M
Investing Cash Flow-4.63M-4.82M-1.63M-1.39M4.03M12.19M
Financing Cash Flow-4.36M47.41M44.64M-1.52M73.05M38.35M

Evolus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.90
Price Trends
50DMA
9.25
Negative
100DMA
10.13
Negative
200DMA
11.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Positive
RSI
15.63
Positive
STOCH
6.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOLS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.80, below the 50-day MA of 9.25, and below the 200-day MA of 11.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 15.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EOLS.

Evolus Risk Analysis

Evolus disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evolus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evolus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$641.59M7.8043.61%10.13%3.86%-2.60%
75
Outperform
$1.10B33.7216.16%22.61%-63.00%
60
Neutral
$1.24B-3.63%132.35%97.34%
51
Neutral
$577.84M928.57-2.64%-4.21%7.78%
50
Neutral
AU$2.58B3.655.87%2.72%36.78%13.45%
50
Neutral
$713.91M-88.27%4.10%-594.06%
41
Neutral
$381.64M-9999.00%17.15%-7.23%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOLS
Evolus
5.90
-7.15
-54.79%
AVDL
Avadel Pharmaceuticals
12.75
-3.25
-20.31%
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
8.96
0.65
7.82%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
34.93
-0.69
-1.94%
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
4.56
2.14
88.43%
TLRY
Tilray
0.65
-1.13
-63.48%

Evolus Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Evolus Appoints New Principal Financial Officer
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Evolus appointed David Moatazedi as Principal Financial Officer, while continuing his role as President and CEO, without additional compensation. The company also announced the departure of Chief Marketing Officer Tomoko Yamagishi-Dressler, effective August 22, 2025, with severance benefits as per her employment agreement. Evolus reported a 4% increase in Q2 2025 net revenue to $69.4 million, driven by the successful launch of Evolysse™ and international growth, despite a decline in U.S. aesthetic procedures. The company expects to achieve meaningful profitability by Q4 2025 and aims for $700 million in total net revenue by 2028, leveraging its existing infrastructure and new product launches.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOLS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolus stock, see the EOLS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Evolus Announces Board Changes and Director Elections
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Evolus, Inc. experienced significant changes in its board of directors as part of a planned transition, with Simone Blank stepping down and Albert White III joining the Audit Committee. Additionally, during the Annual Meeting of Stockholders, David Gill and Albert White III were elected as Class I Directors, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm, and the compensation of the company’s executive officers was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOLS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolus stock, see the EOLS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evolus CFO Sandra Beaver Announces Resignation
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Evolus, Inc. announced the voluntary resignation of its Chief Financial Officer, Sandra Beaver, effective June 13, 2025, as she moves to a new opportunity in a private mental health and wellness technology company. The company emphasized that her departure was not due to any disagreements related to its operations or financial practices. CEO David Moatazedi acknowledged Beaver’s contributions to Evolus’ growth and success, noting the company’s strong momentum with recent product launches and record revenues. Evolus has initiated a search for her successor while its experienced finance team ensures a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (EOLS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Evolus stock, see the EOLS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025