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Evolus Inc (EOLS)
NASDAQ:EOLS

Evolus (EOLS) AI Stock Analysis

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Evolus

(NASDAQ:EOLS)

43Neutral
Evolus' overall score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives, such as securing a new credit facility, which are positive factors. However, the company's ongoing financial instability, bearish technical indicators, and unattractive valuation considerably weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Market Share
Jeuveau significantly outperformed the overall toxin market and the leading toxin Botox to further grow its market share.
Product Launch
Evolysse commercial launch is starting out strong, with positive early feedback and strong interest and adoption from customers.
Revenue Guidance
Management reiterated its full year (as well as the 2028) revenue guidance.
Negative Factors
Competition
The KOLs infrequently use AbbVie’s Botox or Juvederm franchise because they have been unsuccessful in negotiating competitive pricing with the company.
Macroeconomic Concerns
Some investors may be concerned with the macro trends given the significant volatility in the capital markets, consumer sentiment, and tariffs noise.

Evolus (EOLS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Evolus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolus, Inc. is a performance beauty company dedicated to delivering breakthrough products in the aesthetic industry. Headquartered in Newport Beach, California, the company primarily operates in the healthcare sector, focusing on the development and commercialization of innovative medical aesthetic products. Evolus is best known for its flagship product, Jeuveau®, a prescription neurotoxin, which is designed to temporarily improve the appearance of moderate to severe frown lines between the eyebrows, also known as glabellar lines.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its aesthetic product, Jeuveau®. The company targets its sales efforts towards dermatologists, plastic surgeons, and aesthetic practitioners, leveraging a specialized sales force to promote its product. Jeuveau® is distributed through a network of third-party distributors and direct sales channels. A significant portion of Evolus's revenue is derived from the U.S. market, although the company is also expanding its presence internationally. In addition to direct sales, Evolus engages in strategic partnerships and distribution agreements to enhance market penetration and broaden its customer base. The company focuses heavily on branding and marketing initiatives to increase product awareness and drive demand, which are critical factors in its revenue generation strategy.

Evolus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolus shows revenue growth and improved gross profit margins but remains unprofitable with ongoing net losses. The balance sheet is weak due to low equity levels, and cash flows are negative, though improving. Focus on profitability and balance sheet strengthening is required.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Evolus has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, increasing from $34.9 million in 2019 to $264.3 million in 2024. However, the company is still facing profitability challenges, with negative net income each year. The gross profit margin has improved significantly, reflecting better cost management. Despite this, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate ongoing operational losses.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Evolus's balance sheet shows a concerning debt-to-equity ratio due to low equity levels, which have been negative in several years. The company’s total debt has decreased, but stockholders' equity remains minimal, affecting overall financial stability. Positive cash balances partially mitigate these risks, but improvements in equity are needed for stronger financial health.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Cash flow from operations remains negative, but there has been a decrease in the deficit over time, indicating potential improvements. Free cash flow is also negative, reflecting continued cash burn. However, the company has been able to secure financing to bolster cash reserves, which is crucial for operations in the short term.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
266.27M202.09M148.62M99.67M56.54M
Gross Profit
182.30M140.53M92.73M56.14M38.24M
EBIT
-34.41M-49.23M-57.58M-63.62M-68.70M
EBITDA
-25.00M-41.81M-60.72M-39.06M-144.75M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-50.42M-61.69M-74.41M-46.81M-163.01M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
86.95M62.84M53.92M146.26M107.56M
Total Assets
232.57M189.00M177.98M257.48M209.07M
Total Debt
129.98M126.55M73.20M74.74M138.32M
Net Debt
43.03M63.71M19.28M-71.51M35.76M
Total Liabilities
227.05M209.69M159.48M175.61M282.03M
Stockholders Equity
5.52M-20.69M18.50M-422.88M-376.07M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-19.47M-35.63M-11.71M-34.36M-61.01M
Operating Cash Flow
-18.00M-34.01M-8.77M-33.39M-57.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-4.82M-1.63M-1.39M4.03M12.19M
Financing Cash Flow
47.41M44.64M-1.52M73.05M38.35M

Evolus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.70
Price Trends
50DMA
11.49
Negative
100DMA
12.17
Negative
200DMA
13.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
36.63
Neutral
STOCH
7.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOLS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.92, below the 50-day MA of 11.49, and below the 200-day MA of 13.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EOLS.

Evolus Risk Analysis

Evolus disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evolus reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evolus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$427.93M8.8225.47%10.13%-23.37%-39.03%
73
Outperform
$971.66M24.9119.23%17.17%-51.97%
59
Neutral
$871.62M-34.65%252.64%85.10%
52
Neutral
$5.15B3.02-44.64%2.82%16.45%-0.47%
44
Neutral
$507.64M-31.06%11.22%-108.58%
43
Neutral
$625.41M-949.46%25.38%15.00%
42
Neutral
$390.71M928.57-4.92%5.35%-432.51%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOLS
Evolus
9.70
-3.72
-27.72%
AVDL
Avadel Pharmaceuticals
9.01
-6.69
-42.61%
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
5.99
-0.85
-12.43%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
30.23
-3.92
-11.48%
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
3.08
0.31
11.19%
TLRY
Tilray
0.50
-1.44
-74.23%

Evolus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -17.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Evolus reported strong revenue growth and a successful product launch, with significant customer engagement and financial repositioning. However, challenges include reduced market growth expectations, tariff impacts, and increased operating expenses. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic execution and market share gains indicate a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit Revenue Growth
Evolus reported a 15.5% revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025, achieving $68.5 million in revenue, supported by a strong commercial engine and market share gains.
Successful Launch of Evolysse
Evolus launched its new product, Evolysse, in April 2025, which has shown strong early momentum and exceeded expectations in terms of clinician interest and early ordering activity.
Increased Customer Engagement
Evolus added 675 new purchasing accounts, reaching a total of more than 16,000 accounts. The company's loyalty program achieved a record with over 220,000 redemptions.
Positive Financial Repositioning
Evolus successfully refinanced its debt facility, reducing borrowing costs by 350 basis points and adding $100 million in incremental available capacity.
International Growth
International revenue contributions increased and are expected to continue outpacing US growth, validating strong growth trajectory outside the US.
Negative Updates
Reduced Market Growth Expectations
Evolus reduced its 2025 toxin market growth expectation to low single digits due to slower market growth and a cautious market environment.
Impact of Tariffs
Evolysse is subject to a 10% tariff, expected to increase to 20%, impacting cost of goods sold. The estimated tariff impact is less than $2 million for 2025.
Increased Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter increased to $61.8 million, up from $54.9 million in the previous quarter, reflecting investments in growth and commercial expansion.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Evolus reported $68.5 million in revenue, marking a 15.5% increase from the previous year, as they gained market share despite a slower overall market growth. The company launched Evolysse Form and Evolysse Smooth in the U.S., transitioning to a multi-product company and driving engagement with their "Drop the F Word" campaign, which encourages a shift in terminology from "filler" to "hyaluronic acid." Evolus reaffirmed their 2025 revenue guidance of $345 million to $355 million, predicting over 30% annual growth. They noted a strong customer base with 675 new accounts added, and over 220,000 loyalty program redemptions, 65% from existing consumers. The company's non-GAAP operating expenses were between $230 million and $240 million, and Evolus is on track to achieve profitability by the end of 2025.

Evolus Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evolus Secures New $250 Million Credit Facility
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Evolus, Inc. announced an amended and restated credit facility, replacing its existing $125 million credit agreement with a new $250 million facility managed by Pharmakon Advisors, LP. This refinancing reduces the company’s interest expenses, enhances financial flexibility, and provides additional capital availability. The new agreement includes a lower interest rate and a conversion to a bullet maturity payment structure, eliminating pre-payment fees from the existing facility. This strategic move is expected to improve Evolus’ cash generation and support its commercial momentum and strategic initiatives.

Spark’s Take on EOLS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EOLS is a Neutral.

Evolus’s overall score reflects its strong revenue growth and profitability ahead of schedule, which are significant positives. However, ongoing unprofitability, weak technical indicators, and unattractive valuation weigh down the score. Improving financial stability and managing market challenges are critical for enhancing investor confidence.

To see Spark’s full report on EOLS stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.