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Evolus Inc (EOLS)
NASDAQ:EOLS
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Evolus (EOLS) AI Stock Analysis

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EOLS

Evolus

(NASDAQ:EOLS)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(19.24% Upside)
Evolus faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and reliance on external financing weighing heavily on its score. While technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, recent corporate changes and strategic initiatives provide some optimism. However, the immediate outlook remains cautious due to market challenges and revised guidance.
Positive Factors
Successful Product Launch
The successful launch of Evolysse indicates strong market acceptance and potential for future revenue growth, enhancing Evolus' product portfolio.
International Expansion
International expansion into nine markets strengthens Evolus' market position and diversifies revenue streams, supporting long-term growth.
New CFO Appointment
The appointment of an experienced CFO can enhance financial management and strategic execution, crucial for navigating financial challenges and growth.
Negative Factors
Financial Instability
Ongoing financial instability with negative equity and profitability challenges could hinder Evolus' ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow indicates reliance on external financing, which may limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns.
Decreased Toxin Demand
Decreased demand for Jeuveau reflects market challenges and could impact revenue growth, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain competitiveness.

Evolus (EOLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evolus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvolus, Inc., a performance beauty company, provides medical aesthetic products for physicians and their patients in the United States. It offers Jeuveau, a proprietary 900 kilodalton purified botulinum toxin type A formulation for the temporary improvement in the appearance of moderate to severe glabellar lines in adults. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvolus generates revenue primarily through the sale of its aesthetic products, with Jeuveau being its main source of income. The company employs a business model that includes direct sales to licensed healthcare professionals and partnerships with aesthetic clinics. Revenue is driven by product sales and the establishment of distribution agreements with various medical aesthetic providers. Additionally, Evolus invests in marketing and promotional campaigns to raise awareness of its products among consumers and practitioners, further enhancing its sales potential. The company's focus on innovation and the expansion of its product portfolio plays a significant role in driving revenue growth and sustaining its competitive edge in the market.

Evolus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call depicted both strong achievements, particularly with the successful launch of Evolysse and international expansion, and significant challenges, including decreased demand for Jeuveau and a challenging market environment. While there are optimistic signs for the future, such as expected improvements in demand and strategic cost optimizations, the immediate outlook is hindered by current market conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Evolysse Launch Success
Evolysse exceeded internal expectations with $9.7 million in revenue, marking the strongest first-quarter filler launch in over a decade. The product received positive feedback and achieved strong early adoption.
International Expansion
Evolus expanded its global footprint to nine markets, representing over 70% of its international total addressable market, and remains on track to achieve $100 million in international revenue by 2028.
Consumer Loyalty Program Performance
Evolus Rewards redemptions hit a record high of over 224,000, with 65% coming from repeat patients, indicating strong brand loyalty and consumer satisfaction.
Market Share Growth
Jeuveau maintained a 14% market share in the first half of the year, reflecting an increase over the full year 2024 share of 13%, despite market challenges.
Negative Updates
Decreased Toxin Demand
Jeuveau experienced its first-ever year-over-year decrease, with overall procedural volumes in the U.S. toxin market declining for three consecutive quarters.
Revised Revenue Guidance
Revenue guidance for 2025 was revised to $295 million to $305 million, representing an 11% to 15% growth over 2024, down from previous expectations.
Challenging Market Environment
The market environment was described as one of the most challenging in recent years, with consumer sentiment sharply reducing and broad softness across the U.S. aesthetic toxin market.
Company Guidance
During Evolus' second-quarter earnings call, the company revised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $295 million to $305 million, indicating an 11% to 15% growth over 2024. This adjustment reflects current U.S. market trends and a strategic realignment of their operating model to enhance profitability. Despite reporting a year-over-year revenue decrease for Jeuveau due to a challenging market environment, Evolus remains optimistic, projecting a total net revenue of $700 million by 2028 with non-GAAP operating income margins of 20%. The company also highlighted the successful launch of Evolysse, which generated $9.7 million in its first-quarter revenue, and reported strong performance internationally despite domestic challenges. Evolus plans to achieve positive non-GAAP operating income by Q4 2025 and annual profitability in 2026 by implementing strategic cost optimizations, resulting in more than $25 million in operating expense savings for 2025.

Evolus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evolus is experiencing revenue growth but continues to face significant financial challenges, including negative profitability, deficits in equity, and reliance on external financing. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and financial stability to achieve sustainable growth and profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Evolus has shown steady revenue growth with a notable increase in total revenue from $56.54M in 2020 to $275.02M in the TTM period ending March 2025. Despite this, the company continues to operate at a net loss, with consistently negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects significant financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity in recent periods, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the overall liabilities exceed assets, pointing to financial leverage concerns. This highlights a need for improved capitalization and risk management.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations is consistently negative, although the company has managed to reduce its cash outflows over time. The free cash flow remains negative, suggesting ongoing challenges in generating cash from operations. The company's reliance on financing activities to manage liquidity is evident.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue277.49M266.27M202.09M148.62M99.67M56.54M
Gross Profit185.18M182.30M140.53M92.73M56.14M38.24M
EBITDA-36.54M-25.00M-41.81M-60.72M-39.06M-144.75M
Net Income-61.99M-50.42M-61.69M-74.41M-46.81M-163.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets228.80M232.57M189.00M177.98M257.48M209.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.74M86.95M62.84M53.92M146.26M107.56M
Total Debt154.91M129.98M126.55M73.20M74.74M138.32M
Total Liabilities247.46M227.05M209.69M159.48M175.61M282.03M
Stockholders Equity-18.65M5.52M-20.69M18.50M-422.88M-376.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.21M-19.47M-35.63M-11.71M-34.36M-61.01M
Operating Cash Flow-16.55M-18.00M-34.01M-8.77M-33.39M-57.87M
Investing Cash Flow-4.63M-4.82M-1.63M-1.39M4.03M12.19M
Financing Cash Flow-4.36M47.41M44.64M-1.52M73.05M38.35M

Evolus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.29
Price Trends
50DMA
7.81
Negative
100DMA
8.87
Negative
200DMA
10.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
30.39
Neutral
STOCH
3.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EOLS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.25, below the 50-day MA of 7.81, and below the 200-day MA of 10.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EOLS.

Evolus Risk Analysis

Evolus disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evolus reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evolus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
628.70M7.6527.44%3.86%-2.60%
70
Outperform
1.57B-490.91-3.22%132.35%97.34%
65
Neutral
1.13B34.5115.62%22.61%-63.00%
54
Neutral
581.01M-39.15-3.04%-4.21%7.78%
50
Neutral
1.35B-0.52-198.52%4.10%-594.06%
43
Neutral
$406.87M-9999.00%17.15%-7.23%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EOLS
Evolus
6.29
-9.24
-59.50%
AVDL
Avadel Pharmaceuticals
16.20
3.33
25.87%
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
8.78
1.15
15.07%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
35.75
-2.46
-6.44%
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
4.58
1.76
62.41%
TLRY
Tilray
1.21
-0.48
-28.40%

Evolus Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Evolus Appoints Tatjana Mitchell as New CFO
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Evolus, Inc. announced the appointment of Tatjana Mitchell as its new Chief Financial Officer. With over 20 years of experience in strategic and operational finance, Mitchell is expected to play a crucial role in driving revenue growth and operational excellence as Evolus expands its portfolio and global footprint. Her previous roles include Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance at Experian and CFO at Zulily, where she demonstrated a strong track record in financial management and strategic execution.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Evolus Appoints New Principal Financial Officer
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Evolus appointed David Moatazedi as Principal Financial Officer, while continuing his role as President and CEO, without additional compensation. The company also announced the departure of Chief Marketing Officer Tomoko Yamagishi-Dressler, effective August 22, 2025, with severance benefits as per her employment agreement. Evolus reported a 4% increase in Q2 2025 net revenue to $69.4 million, driven by the successful launch of Evolysse™ and international growth, despite a decline in U.S. aesthetic procedures. The company expects to achieve meaningful profitability by Q4 2025 and aims for $700 million in total net revenue by 2028, leveraging its existing infrastructure and new product launches.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025