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Rockwell Medical (RMTI)
:RMTI
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Rockwell Med (RMTI) AI Stock Analysis

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RMTI

Rockwell Med

(NASDAQ:RMTI)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-12.28% Downside)
Rockwell Med's overall stock score reflects a company facing profitability challenges but showing some positive signs in cash flow management and strategic initiatives. Technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. The earnings call suggests potential for future growth, but recent financial setbacks weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Market Position
The company is the largest supplier of liquid bicarbonate concentrates and the second-largest supplier of acid and dry bicarbonate concentrates for dialysis patients in the U.S.
Strategic Agreements
The new service agreement with Innovative Renal Care demonstrates RMTI's proactive approach to replacing lost revenue following the transition of its largest customer to new suppliers.
Valuation
The shares currently trade at a discount to the peer average, suggesting a compelling valuation, especially given Rockwell's strategic position in the market.
Negative Factors
Customer Transition
RMTI's largest customer, DaVita Inc., is expected to completely transition to other suppliers by the end of 2Q25, representing a significant revenue hit.
Financial Forecast
The full-year 2025 net loss forecast has widened, driven by the reduced top-line forecast and somewhat higher operating expenses.
Revenue Loss
Rockwell Medical continues to expect significant loss of revenue from what was historically its largest customer.

Rockwell Med (RMTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rockwell Med Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRockwell Medical, Inc. (RMTI) is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). The company operates primarily in the biotechnology and healthcare sectors, offering a range of products including dialysis solutions and iron replacement therapies, aimed at improving patient outcomes in renal care.
How the Company Makes MoneyRockwell Medical generates revenue through the sale of its proprietary medical products, particularly its dialysis solutions and iron therapies. The company markets these products to hospitals, clinics, and dialysis centers, primarily in the United States. Key revenue streams include direct sales of its products and potential licensing agreements with other healthcare firms. Additionally, Rockwell may benefit from partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions that facilitate the adoption of its therapies, contributing to sustained revenue growth.

Rockwell Med Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company navigating a transition period with both challenges and strategic wins. While revenue and profitability have declined due to the loss of the largest customer, Rockwell Medical has improved its cash position, secured long-term contracts, and maintained operational efficiency. The positive steps towards stabilizing the business suggest potential for future growth, but the recent financial performance remains a concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Cash Position
Rockwell Medical improved its cash position to $18.4 million from $17.3 million at the end of Q1, driven by $1.8 million in cash flow from operations.
Long-Term Contracts Established
More than 80% of Rockwell's customers are now under long-term contracts, demonstrating stability and predictability in their business model.
New Product Purchase Agreements
Entered into a multimillion-dollar purchase agreement with Innovative Renal Care, and other significant agreements with large U.S. health systems.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Investments in new equipment increased operational efficiency, stabilizing gross margins at 16% despite revenue decline.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Net sales for Q2 dropped by 38% year-over-year, primarily due to the largest customer transitioning to another supplier.
Decreased Profitability
Gross profit for Q2 2025 decreased by 45% compared to the same period in 2024, with a net loss of $1.5 million.
Loss of Major Customer
The transition of the largest customer, representing a significant portion of revenue, impacted overall financial performance.
Company Guidance
During Rockwell Medical's Second Quarter 2025 conference call, the company reiterated its guidance for the year, projecting net sales between $65 million and $70 million, with a gross margin ranging from 16% to 18%. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between negative $500,000 and positive $500,000. The company highlighted its strategic focus on securing long-term contracts, with over 80% of its customers now under such agreements, which is a significant improvement from previous years. Despite a 38% decline in second-quarter net sales year-over-year, largely due to the transition of its largest customer to another supplier, Rockwell managed to improve its cash position to $18.4 million and maintain a consistent gross margin of 16%. The company also emphasized ongoing discussions with major customers and potential expansion opportunities in the Western United States, which could significantly impact future financials.

Rockwell Med Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rockwell Med's financial performance shows mixed results. While there are improvements in cash flow and leverage, profitability remains a challenge with negative net profit margins and declining revenue. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage, but negative returns on equity persist.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rockwell Med's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin of 17.52% indicates some improvement in cost management compared to previous years. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -2.39%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue has declined by 9.99% in the TTM period, indicating a concerning trend. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are slightly negative, showing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative at -6.79%, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 57.79% suggests a reasonable level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows positive trends with a 30.95% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.32 indicates that the company is generating cash from operations, albeit at a low level. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 suggests that the company is managing its cash flow better than its net income might suggest.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue87.97M101.49M83.61M72.81M61.93M62.20M
Gross Profit15.41M17.48M8.70M4.08M-2.42M2.73M
EBITDA1.23M2.95M-4.69M-16.17M-27.80M-26.72M
Net Income-2.10M-480.00K-8.44M-18.68M-32.67M-30.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.63M59.21M52.17M46.63M48.57M77.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.42M21.60M10.94M21.49M22.44M58.68M
Total Debt14.01M13.54M13.44M16.36M28.89M23.94M
Total Liabilities22.22M26.62M30.88M32.53M46.04M43.58M
Stockholders Equity30.41M32.59M21.29M14.11M2.54M34.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.68M3.19M-9.70M-17.70M-34.06M-30.69M
Operating Cash Flow3.50M4.20M-9.41M-17.41M-33.53M-29.64M
Investing Cash Flow-6.55M-4.87M-3.04M-2.40M311.00K3.21M
Financing Cash Flow3.67M7.35M11.34M16.15M-2.18M63.32M

Rockwell Med Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.99
Positive
100DMA
1.02
Positive
200DMA
1.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
65.53
Neutral
STOCH
67.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RMTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.01, above the 50-day MA of 0.99, and below the 200-day MA of 1.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RMTI.

Rockwell Med Risk Analysis

Rockwell Med disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rockwell Med reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rockwell Med Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$75.50M-38.40%-11.42%89.01%
54
Neutral
$36.15M-8.65%-6.79%61.56%
53
Neutral
$46.08M-10.79%11.34%71.13%
51
Neutral
$7.82B-0.16-39.78%2.19%21.38%-1.56%
45
Neutral
$58.38M-291.74%-62.57%11.60%
44
Neutral
$33.12M-37.22%-66.30%50.52%
31
Underperform
$58.91M-708.34%51.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RMTI
Rockwell Med
1.14
-1.90
-62.50%
ASRT
Assertio Therapeutics
0.78
-0.50
-39.06%
DRRX
Durect
1.92
0.49
34.27%
SCYX
SCYNEXIS
0.82
-0.84
-50.60%
CPIX
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
3.29
1.91
138.41%
KALA
Kala Pharmaceuticals
9.21
3.20
53.24%

Rockwell Med Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rockwell Med Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Rockwell Medical, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of two Class I directors, approval of executive compensation, ratification of EisnerAmper LLP as the independent accounting firm, and an amendment to the 2018 Long Term Incentive Plan were all addressed, reflecting the company’s ongoing governance and strategic planning efforts.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025