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Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT)
:ASRT

Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT) AI Stock Analysis

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Assertio Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ASRT)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-25.37%Downside)
The overall score reflects significant challenges in financial performance, with ongoing losses and operational inefficiencies. Technical analysis shows a neutral trend, while valuation concerns persist due to a negative P/E ratio. Earnings call insights provide some optimism with strategic initiatives, but declining sales and increased expenses remain issues.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company is generating cash and does not require additional financing, indicating a strong financial position.
Product Development
Management continues to pursue acquisitions of mature and established products, which could provide promotional synergies with Rolvedon.
Revenue Performance
Assertio reported total revenue that exceeded consensus estimates, showcasing strong performance in certain segments.
Negative Factors
Competition Risks
Risks include greater-than-anticipated levels of competition and potential failure to optimize key assets' value in non-U.S. markets.
Expense Management
Operating expenses of $34.0M exceeded our estimate of $24.8M.
Financial Challenges
The company recorded a higher-than-expected net loss for the full year 2024, highlighting financial challenges.

Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Assertio Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssertio Holdings, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, provides medicines in the areas of neurology, hospital, and pain and inflammation. Its pharmaceutical products include INDOCIN, an oral solution and a suppository form for the treatment of moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis, including acute flares of chronic disease; ankylosing spondylitis and osteoarthritis; and acute painful shoulder and gouty arthritis. It also provides CAMBIA, a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) for the treatment of migraine, nausea, photophobia, and phonophobia; Zipsor, a NSAID for relief of mild to moderate acute pain; SPRIX, a NSAID for the short term management of moderate to moderately severe pain that requires analgesia at the opioid level; and Otrexup, a single-dose auto-injector containing a prescription medicine and methotrexate that is used to treat adults with severe, active rheumatoid arthritis, and children with active polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis. The company was formerly known as Assertio Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Assertio Holdings, Inc. in May 2020. Assertio Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssertio Therapeutics generates revenue through the sale and distribution of its pharmaceutical products, which are primarily focused on pain management and central nervous system disorders. The company's revenue model is based on the commercialization of its proprietary drug formulations and strategic acquisitions of complementary assets. Assertio often partners with other pharmaceutical companies for the co-promotion and licensing of its products, expanding its market reach and enhancing its revenue streams. Additionally, Assertio may engage in strategic collaborations and licensing agreements to further bolster its product portfolio and drive sales growth.

Assertio Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments like slight outperformance in net product sales and strategic legal settlements, but also highlighted challenges such as declines in Rolvedon, Indocin, and Sympazan sales, alongside increased SG&A expenses and reduced adjusted EBITDA.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Slightly Ahead of Plan for Net Product Sales
Net product sales in the first quarter came in slightly ahead of plan at $26 million, and the company is tracking to their full-year net product sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook.
Strong Rolvedon Demand and Expanded Payer Coverage
Rolvedon results were impacted by sell-through of initial stocking activity supporting customer and volume expansion, with expectations for increased net sales and expanded payer coverage starting with Cigna.
Sympazan Prescription Growth
Sympazan prescriptions increased by 6.5% year-over-year, indicating a positive trend expected to continue.
Successful Legal Settlements
Settled multiple prior legal matters and reduced legal exposure, including a significant Department of Justice False Claims Act lawsuit and Glumetza antitrust action.
Simplified Corporate Structure
Simplified corporate holding structure by transferring assets to ATIH Industries LLC, thereby reducing legal liabilities, including opioid litigation.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Rolvedon Sales
Rolvedon sales decreased from $14.5 million to $13.1 million year-over-year, driven by lower pricing despite higher volume.
Indocin Sales Decline
Indocin net product sales were $5.5 million, down from $8.7 million due to impacts from generic competition.
Sympazan Sales Decline
Sympazan sales decreased from $2.6 million to $2.2 million, impacted by pricing and volume.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses rose to $22 million from $18.5 million, primarily due to higher legal charges.
Reduced Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $0.2 million, down from $7.4 million in the prior year, reflecting lower net sales and gross margin.
Company Guidance
During the Assertio Holdings First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company maintained its full-year guidance for net product sales and adjusted EBITDA, projecting ranges of $108 million to $123 million for net sales and $10 million to $19 million for adjusted EBITDA. In Q1 2025, Assertio reported net product sales of $26 million, slightly above their plan, with Rolvedon sales at $13.1 million and Sympazan prescriptions increasing by 6.5% year-over-year. Indocin sales were stable, though impacted by generic competition with sales at $5.5 million. The gross margin increased to 70% from 65% the previous year, and the company ended the quarter with cash and investments totaling $87.3 million. Assertio's strategy includes reducing legal exposure, simplifying corporate structure, and divesting non-core assets, which they aim to complete by the end of 2025 as part of their transformation phase.

Assertio Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Assertio Therapeutics is struggling with negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies. Although there is moderate leverage and some strength in cash flow generation, consistent losses and declining equity highlight ongoing financial challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Assertio Therapeutics has faced challenges in maintaining revenue growth and profitability. The Gross Profit Margin is reasonable, but the company has struggled with negative EBIT and Net Income in recent periods, indicating operational inefficiencies. Revenue has shown a declining trend, and consistent losses highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a declining Debt-to-Equity Ratio. However, there has been a decrease in Stockholders' Equity, indicating potential financial stress. The Equity Ratio is stable, but the negative Return on Equity (ROE) suggests difficulties in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flows reveal a mixed picture. While operating cash flows have been positive, indicating some capacity to generate cash from operations, free cash flow has seen fluctuations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio suggests challenges in translating profits into cash, with recent periods showing negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue119.00M124.96M152.07M156.23M111.01M106.28M
Gross Profit83.16M85.73M125.05M137.49M95.18M86.40M
EBITDA-7.97M-24.48M-222.45M72.53M38.78M-3.20M
Net Income-30.12M-21.58M-331.94M109.63M-1.28M-28.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets286.43M284.73M286.42M413.91M326.55M303.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.33M100.05M73.44M64.94M36.81M20.79M
Total Debt38.93M39.77M40.91M66.87M73.49M84.10M
Total Liabilities177.90M163.65M148.42M188.19M224.13M247.76M
Stockholders Equity108.53M121.08M138.00M225.72M102.41M55.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.36M26.41M48.98M78.32M5.47M-65.58M
Operating Cash Flow6.36M26.41M49.60M78.60M5.52M-65.57M
Investing Cash Flow-51.85M-48.91M3.10M-42.67M-18.52M512.80M
Financing Cash Flow-255.00K-350.00K-44.20M-7.79M29.03M-468.55M

Assertio Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.67
Price Trends
50DMA
0.65
Positive
100DMA
0.69
Negative
200DMA
0.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
56.19
Neutral
STOCH
59.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.65, above the 50-day MA of 0.65, and below the 200-day MA of 0.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASRT.

Assertio Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Assertio Therapeutics disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Assertio Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Assertio Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
HK$15.31B5.72-7.43%4.61%11.60%-21.06%
55
Neutral
$64.63M-25.19%-16.23%91.83%
54
Neutral
$27.96M-2.12%12.82%96.46%
50
Neutral
$51.02M-11.67%5.82%59.86%
45
Neutral
$20.69M-203.11%-41.45%40.69%
40
Underperform
$27.35M-43.47%-98.13%-129.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASRT
Assertio Therapeutics
0.67
-0.77
-53.47%
DRRX
Durect
0.67
-0.64
-48.85%
RMTI
Rockwell Med
0.82
-0.90
-52.33%
SCYX
SCYNEXIS
0.72
-1.15
-61.50%
CPIX
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
3.41
1.95
133.56%

Assertio Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock SplitBusiness Operations and Strategy
Assertio Therapeutics Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 13, 2025

At its recent Annual Meeting, Assertio Therapeutics‘ stockholders approved several key proposals, including an amendment to the 2014 Omnibus Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares available for issuance by 8,200,000. Additionally, the stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, approved executive compensation, authorized a potential reverse stock split, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions reflect strategic moves to enhance the company’s operational flexibility and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASRT) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Assertio Therapeutics stock, see the ASRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025