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Assertio Therapeutics Inc (ASRT)
NASDAQ:ASRT
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Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT) AI Stock Analysis

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ASRT

Assertio Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ASRT)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(25.00% Upside)
Assertio Therapeutics' overall score is driven by its financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow concerns. However, the earnings call provided a positive outlook with strong sales growth in key products, which partially offsets the financial weaknesses. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market position, and valuation metrics highlight the company's current financial struggles.
Positive Factors
Rolvedon Sales Growth
The significant increase in Rolvedon sales demonstrates Assertio's ability to expand its market share and enhance revenue streams, supporting long-term growth.
Leadership Change
The appointment of a new CEO with a strong track record in specialty pharmaceuticals is expected to drive strategic growth and operational efficiency.
Cash Flow Improvement
The significant improvement in cash flow indicates enhanced financial health, providing more resources for investment and strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenues highlight challenges in maintaining market competitiveness and could impact long-term financial stability.
Indocin Sales Decline
The decline in Indocin sales due to generic competition poses a risk to Assertio's revenue base and market position in pain management.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues indicate structural challenges in cost management and pricing power, affecting long-term financial health.

Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Assertio Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssertio Therapeutics, Inc. (ASRT) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapeutics for patients with pain and other neurological disorders. The company operates primarily in the pharmaceutical sector, with a product portfolio that includes prescription medications designed to address unmet medical needs in pain management and neurological conditions. Assertio aims to enhance patient outcomes through its proprietary formulations and targeted therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssertio Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products. The company markets its approved medications through various channels, including wholesalers, pharmacies, and healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include sales from its flagship products as well as royalties and licensing fees from collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, Assertio may engage in partnerships or collaborations that provide upfront payments and milestone payments tied to the achievement of specific development or commercial objectives, further contributing to its earnings.

Assertio Therapeutics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Assertio Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented significant growth in Rolvedon sales and market share, alongside strategic product advancements, contributing to a strong financial position. However, challenges such as the decline in Indocin sales due to generic competition and temporary cash flow impacts from sales pull-forwards were noted, alongside costs related to the decommercialization of Otrexup.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Rolvedon Sales Surge
Rolvedon net product sales were $38.6 million for the third quarter of 2025, up from $15 million in the prior year quarter due to the pull-forward of 2 quarters of sales. This contributed to an adjusted EBITDA of $20.9 million, up from $4.4 million in the prior year quarter.
Sympazan Sales Growth
Sympazan net product sales grew to $2.8 million for the third quarter of 2025, up from $2.6 million in the prior year quarter, driven by higher volume.
Strong Financial Position
GAAP net income for the third quarter was $11.4 million compared to a loss of $3 million in the prior year. Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $93.4 million as of September 30, 2025.
Market Share and Demand Growth
Assertio achieved a 43% market share in the clinic Medicare Part B segment for Rolvedon in the third quarter, with a 42% year-to-date demand growth compared to the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Indocin Sales Decline
Indocin sales were $4.8 million in the third quarter, down from $5.7 million in the prior year, reflecting impacts from generic competition.
Temporary Cash Flow Decrease
The pull-forward of Rolvedon sales is expected to result in a temporary decrease in operating cash flow in the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026.
Decommercialization of Otrexup
The decommercialization of Otrexup impacted the company negatively, contributing to nonrecurring costs in SG&A expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Assertio Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company's updated guidance was discussed, reflecting significant financial metrics. Rolvedon net product sales reached $38.6 million, a notable increase from $15 million in the prior year, driven by the pull-forward of sales through wholesale distribution channels. This strategy was implemented to maintain patient supply during Rolvedon's transition to a consolidated commercial labeler. The company reported a third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $20.9 million, up from $4.4 million in the previous year. Total product sales amounted to $49.5 million, compared to $28.7 million in the prior year, primarily due to Rolvedon's performance. Sympazan net product sales also saw growth, reaching $2.8 million, up from $2.6 million. Assertio's full-year 2025 guidance was narrowed, anticipating product sales between $110 million and $112 million and adjusted EBITDA between $14 million and $16 million, considering factors like Rolvedon's pull-forward and Indocin's generic competition impact.

Assertio Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Assertio Therapeutics is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues. Despite improvements in cash flow generation, negative net income and return on equity highlight the need for strategic changes. The balance sheet is stable, but overall financial health requires attention for long-term viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Assertio Therapeutics has experienced declining revenue over recent periods, with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.6% in the TTM. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a relatively strong gross profit margin of 67.87% in the TTM, the overall income statement reflects financial instability and a need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in the TTM, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and a need to improve profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth, with a remarkable increase of 183.97% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses. However, the sustainability of this cash flow improvement remains uncertain given the negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.35M124.96M152.07M156.23M111.01M106.28M
Gross Profit93.62M85.73M125.05M137.49M95.18M86.40M
EBITDA899.00K-24.48M-222.45M72.53M38.78M-3.20M
Net Income-28.43M-21.58M-331.94M109.63M-1.28M-28.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets319.77M284.73M286.42M413.91M326.55M303.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.43M100.05M73.44M64.94M36.81M20.79M
Total Debt39.17M40.27M40.91M67.27M75.87M89.60M
Total Liabilities213.97M163.65M148.42M188.19M224.13M247.76M
Stockholders Equity105.80M121.08M138.00M225.72M102.41M55.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.33M26.41M48.98M78.32M5.47M-65.58M
Operating Cash Flow13.33M26.41M49.60M78.60M5.52M-65.57M
Investing Cash Flow-12.57M-48.91M3.10M-42.67M-18.52M512.80M
Financing Cash Flow-246.00K-350.00K-44.20M-7.79M29.03M-468.55M

Assertio Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.84
Negative
100DMA
0.78
Positive
200DMA
0.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
50.00
Neutral
STOCH
58.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, below the 50-day MA of 0.84, and above the 200-day MA of 0.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASRT.

Assertio Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Assertio Therapeutics disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Assertio Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Assertio Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$39.79M-12.47-13.08%12.21%69.91%
50
Neutral
$69.79M-1.60-38.40%-11.42%89.01%
47
Neutral
$33.93M-8.65%-6.79%61.56%
41
Neutral
$59.66M-3.21-117.56%-93.22%36.97%
41
Neutral
$26.45M-1.11-53.29%-65.77%38.61%
41
Neutral
$20.93M-0.68-52.69%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASRT
Assertio Therapeutics
0.80
-0.12
-13.04%
TLPH
Talphera
1.27
0.38
42.70%
RMTI
Rockwell Med
1.07
-3.58
-76.99%
SCYX
SCYNEXIS
0.60
-0.69
-53.49%
CPIX
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
1.98
0.78
65.00%
COSM
Cosmos Holdings
0.73
0.03
4.29%

Assertio Therapeutics Corporate Events

Assertio Therapeutics Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 11, 2025

Assertio Therapeutics is a pharmaceutical company that specializes in offering differentiated products in the oncology, neurology, and pain management sectors, aiming to address patients’ needs through comprehensive commercial capabilities. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Assertio Therapeutics highlighted significant financial achievements and strategic advancements, including the consolidation of operations under Assertio Specialty Pharmaceuticals and the promotion of Paul Schwichtenberg to President and COO. The company reported a notable increase in Rolvedon net product sales, which rose to $38.6 million, a significant jump from the previous year’s $15.0 million, driven by both normal demand and strategic purchases by national distributors. Sympazan sales also saw an increase, while Indocin sales experienced a decline due to generic competition. The company’s gross margin slightly decreased to 72%, and SG&A expenses saw a marginal increase. Assertio’s adjusted EBITDA rose to $20.9 million, a substantial improvement from the previous year’s $4.4 million. Looking ahead, Assertio’s management remains optimistic about achieving its full-year 2025 guidance, with net product sales expected to range between $110 to $112 million and adjusted EBITDA between $14 to $16 million, reflecting the impact of strategic sales and integration efforts.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Assertio Therapeutics Promotes Paul Schwichtenberg to President
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Assertio Holdings, Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant increase in Rolvedon net product sales, which rose to $38.6 million from $15.0 million in the prior-year quarter. This growth was attributed to both normal demand and large purchases by national distributors. The company also promoted Paul Schwichtenberg to the role of President and Chief Operating Officer, effective November 3, 2025, as part of its strategic efforts to consolidate operations and enhance commercial strategies. Assertio narrowed its full-year 2025 net product sales guidance range to $110 to $112 million and adjusted EBITDA range to $14 to $16 million, reflecting the impact of the Rolvedon pull-forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASRT) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Assertio Therapeutics stock, see the ASRT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Assertio Therapeutics Announces New CEO Appointment
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Assertio Holdings announced the departure of CEO Brendan O’Grady and the appointment of Mark Reisenauer as the new CEO. This leadership transition aims to accelerate growth and enhance efficiency as the company enters 2026, with Reisenauer bringing extensive experience in oncology and specialty spaces to drive long-term value for shareholders and patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASRT) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Assertio Therapeutics stock, see the ASRT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Assertio Therapeutics Amends ROLVEDON Supply Agreement
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, a subsidiary of Assertio Holdings, and Hanmi Pharmaceutical amended their supply agreement for ROLVEDON drug substance, establishing long-term pricing with a mid-single digit percentage reduction. The amendment allows for price adjustments based on market volume and cost increases, requiring Spectrum’s consent for manufacturing changes, and mandates an annual forecasted purchase plan without minimum purchase requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASRT) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Assertio Therapeutics stock, see the ASRT Stock Forecast page.

Assertio Therapeutics’ Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Shifts
Sep 1, 2025

Assertio Therapeutics’ recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both positive developments and challenges. The company reported strong demand for its product Rolvedon and successful legal settlements, which are positive indicators. However, it also faced a decline in net product sales and decided to discontinue the commercialization of Otrexup. Despite these challenges, Assertio’s financial position remains robust, supporting future strategic transactions.

Assertio Therapeutics Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 12, 2025

Assertio Therapeutics is a pharmaceutical company specializing in the commercialization of products in oncology, neurology, and pain management, with a focus on addressing patient needs through differentiated offerings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025