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Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT)
:ASRT
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Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT) AI Stock Analysis

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ASRT

Assertio Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ASRT)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(25.00% Upside)
Assertio Therapeutics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues. Positive technical indicators provide some support, but valuation concerns due to negative earnings and lack of dividends weigh heavily. The earnings call offered mixed insights, with some strategic successes but also notable challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Assertio's total revenue of $29.2M exceeded expectations, showcasing strong performance despite challenges.
Growth Potential
Rolvedon sales growth and an increasing prescriber base are seen as a positive momentum for the company.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
The company recorded a higher-than-expected net loss for the full year 2024, highlighting financial challenges.
Product Sales Concerns
Product sales reflect competition and generic erosion, although flagship franchise growth potential remains.

Assertio Therapeutics (ASRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Assertio Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssertio Holdings, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, provides medicines in the areas of neurology, hospital, and pain and inflammation. Its pharmaceutical products include INDOCIN, an oral solution and a suppository form for the treatment of moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis, including acute flares of chronic disease; ankylosing spondylitis and osteoarthritis; and acute painful shoulder and gouty arthritis. It also provides CAMBIA, a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) for the treatment of migraine, nausea, photophobia, and phonophobia; Zipsor, a NSAID for relief of mild to moderate acute pain; SPRIX, a NSAID for the short term management of moderate to moderately severe pain that requires analgesia at the opioid level; and Otrexup, a single-dose auto-injector containing a prescription medicine and methotrexate that is used to treat adults with severe, active rheumatoid arthritis, and children with active polyarticular juvenile idiopathic arthritis. The company was formerly known as Assertio Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Assertio Holdings, Inc. in May 2020. Assertio Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssertio generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary pharmaceutical products. The company markets its medications directly to healthcare providers, pharmacies, and hospitals, establishing a strong presence in the pain management sector. Key revenue streams include sales of its core products, which may include prescription drugs for acute and chronic pain, as well as other therapeutic areas. Additionally, Assertio may engage in strategic partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to co-develop or co-market products, which can provide additional revenue through shared sales and licensing agreements. The company's revenue is also supported by ongoing efforts in product development and marketing strategies aimed at expanding its market reach and enhancing the adoption of its therapeutics.

Assertio Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive developments such as strong demand for Rolvedon and successful legal settlements, but also faced challenges including a decline in net product sales and the discontinuation of Otrexup commercialization. The company's financial position remains strong, which supports future strategic transactions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Rolvedon Provider Demand
Rolvedon sales were $16.1 million, up from $15.1 million in the prior year quarter, driven by higher volume and favorability from returns reserve adjustment. Provider demand volume was the highest since launch, with a 20% increase from Q1 to Q2.
Sympazan Growth
Sympazan sales were $3.2 million, up from $2.7 million in the prior year period, reflecting higher volume and favorable payer mix. The company expects net sales to potentially double in the next several years.
Successful Legal Settlements
Assertio settled multiple legal matters, including the 2017 qui tam lawsuit and Glumetza antitrust action, reducing ongoing legal costs and business uncertainty.
Cash Position and Financial Flexibility
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $98.2 million, an increase from $87.3 million as of March 31, 2025, driven by positive operating cash flows.
Negative Updates
Net Product Sales Decline
Q2 2025 product sales came in at $28.8 million compared to $30.7 million in the prior year quarter.
Indocin Sales Decline
Indocin sales were $3 million, down from $6.9 million in the prior year quarter due to expected generic competition.
GAAP Net Income Loss
GAAP net income for the second quarter was a loss of $16.4 million compared to a loss of $3.7 million in the prior year, reflecting onetime charges.
Otrexup Commercialization Halt
The company decided to stop commercialization of Otrexup, impacting the top end of revenue guidance, but reallocated resources to growth assets.
Company Guidance
During the Assertio Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, guidance was provided that adjusted the company's outlook for the year. Assertio has slightly reduced the top end of its revenue range due to ceasing commercialization of Otrexup, but it has increased the lower end of its adjusted EBITDA outlook, emphasizing improved profitability. For the second quarter, net product sales were $28.8 million, with Rolvedon sales at $16.1 million, Sympazan at $3.2 million, and Indocin at $3 million. The company updated its annual guidance range for net product sales to $108 million to $118 million and adjusted EBITDA to a range of $11 million to $19 million. The call also highlighted successful strategic initiatives like reducing legal exposure, simplifying corporate structures, and prioritizing investments in growth assets to drive long-term value creation.

Assertio Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Assertio Therapeutics is experiencing financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues. Despite a strong gross profit margin and improved cash flow, the negative net income and return on equity highlight the need for strategic changes.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Assertio Therapeutics has experienced declining revenue over recent periods, with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.6% in the TTM. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. Despite a relatively strong gross profit margin of 67.87% in the TTM, the overall income statement reflects financial instability and a need for strategic improvements.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in the TTM, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and a need to improve profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth, with a remarkable increase of 183.97% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses. However, the sustainability of this cash flow improvement remains uncertain given the negative net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue117.10M124.96M152.07M156.23M111.01M106.28M
Gross Profit79.47M85.73M125.05M137.49M95.18M86.40M
EBITDA-18.29M-24.48M-222.45M72.53M38.78M-3.20M
Net Income-42.80M-21.58M-331.94M109.63M-1.28M-28.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.78M284.73M286.42M413.91M326.55M303.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.18M100.05M73.44M64.94M36.81M20.79M
Total Debt45.79M39.77M40.91M67.27M75.87M89.60M
Total Liabilities180.48M163.65M148.42M188.19M224.13M247.76M
Stockholders Equity93.30M121.08M138.00M225.72M102.41M55.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.07M26.41M48.98M78.32M5.47M-65.58M
Operating Cash Flow18.07M26.41M49.60M78.60M5.52M-65.57M
Investing Cash Flow-15.47M-48.91M3.10M-42.67M-18.52M512.80M
Financing Cash Flow-249.00K-350.00K-44.20M-7.79M29.03M-468.55M

Assertio Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.73
Positive
100DMA
0.69
Positive
200DMA
0.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
55.80
Neutral
STOCH
42.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASRT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, above the 50-day MA of 0.73, and above the 200-day MA of 0.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASRT.

Assertio Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Assertio Therapeutics disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Assertio Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Assertio Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$76.78M-38.40%-11.42%89.01%
54
Neutral
$55.78M-8.65%-6.79%61.56%
52
Neutral
$49.52M-10.79%11.34%71.13%
51
Neutral
$7.95B-0.40-42.50%2.21%22.29%-1.85%
50
Neutral
10.58%34.44%
45
Neutral
$59.31M-291.74%-62.57%11.60%
44
Neutral
$37.31M-37.22%-66.30%50.52%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASRT
Assertio Therapeutics
0.80
-0.48
-37.50%
DRRX
Durect
1.91
0.45
30.82%
RMTI
Rockwell Med
1.62
-1.91
-54.11%
SCYX
SCYNEXIS
0.89
-0.45
-33.58%
CPIX
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals
3.31
2.02
156.59%
OPTN
Optinose
9.60
-4.79
-33.29%

Assertio Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock SplitBusiness Operations and Strategy
Assertio Therapeutics Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 13, 2025

At its recent Annual Meeting, Assertio Therapeutics‘ stockholders approved several key proposals, including an amendment to the 2014 Omnibus Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares available for issuance by 8,200,000. Additionally, the stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, approved executive compensation, authorized a potential reverse stock split, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions reflect strategic moves to enhance the company’s operational flexibility and governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ASRT) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Assertio Therapeutics stock, see the ASRT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025