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Emergent Biosolutions (EBS)
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Emergent Biosolutions (EBS) AI Stock Analysis

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EBS

Emergent Biosolutions

(NYSE:EBS)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(13.19% Upside)
Emergent Biosolutions' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive technical analysis. The company has shown resilience in profitability and cash flow management, despite revenue challenges. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued, providing potential for future growth. However, high leverage and revenue decline remain concerns that need addressing.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow performance with a high free cash flow growth rate indicates efficient cash generation, supporting long-term financial stability.
International Revenue Growth
Increasing international sales diversify revenue streams and reduce reliance on domestic markets, enhancing growth prospects.
Naloxone Business Growth
Continued growth in the naloxone business strengthens market leadership and supports revenue stability in a critical product segment.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues due to divestitures and market variability can impact long-term growth and profitability.
Market Variability in Canada
Dependence on variable market conditions in Canada introduces revenue unpredictability, affecting financial planning.

Emergent Biosolutions (EBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Emergent Biosolutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmergent BioSolutions Inc., a life sciences company, focuses on the provision of preparedness and response solutions that address accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring public health threats (PHTs) in the United States. The company's products address PHTs, which include chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives; emerging infectious diseases; travel health; and emerging health crises and acute/emergency care. It offers BioThrax, an anthrax vaccine; ACAM2000, a smallpox vaccine; Botulism Antitoxin Heptavalent to treat botulinum disease; vaccinia immune globulin intravenous that addresses complications from smallpox vaccine; raxibacumab for the treatment and prophylaxis of inhalational anthrax; Anthrasil to for inhalational anthrax; reactive skin decontamination lotion kits; and Trobigard, a combination drug-device auto injector product candidate; and Trobigard, a combination drug-device auto injector product candidate. The company also provides NARCAN, a nasal spray for the emergency treatment of known or suspected opioid overdose; Vivotif, an oral vaccine for typhoid fever; and Vaxchora, a single-dose oral vaccine to treat cholera. In addition, it is developing AP003, a Naloxone multidose nasal spray; AP007, a sustained release Nalmefene injection for treatment of opioid use disorder; AV7909, an anthrax vaccine; CGRD-001, a pralidoxime chloride/atropine auto-injector; CHIKV VLP, a chikungunya virus VLP vaccine; COVID-HIG for the treatment of SARS-CoV2; EGRD-001, a diazepam auto-injector; SIAN, an antidote for the initial treatment of acute poisoning of cyanide; and UniFlu, a universal influenza vaccine. Further, the company provides contract development and manufacturing services comprising drug substance and product manufacturing, and packaging, as well as technology transfer, process, and analytical development services. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmergent BioSolutions generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its vaccines and therapeutics in the Biodefense segment, which includes products like anthrax vaccines and botulinum antitoxin. The company also earns revenue from its Commercial segment, which focuses on providing contract development and manufacturing services for various pharmaceutical clients. Significant partnerships with government agencies, such as the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, along with collaborations with private sector entities, contribute to a steady flow of contracts and funding, particularly for public health preparedness initiatives. Additionally, EBS benefits from licensing agreements and the commercialization of its proprietary products, which further bolster its earnings.

Emergent Biosolutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Emergent BioSolutions reported a strong quarter, exceeding revenue and profitability expectations, and increased financial guidance for the year. The company's liquidity remains robust, with significant growth in the naloxone business and international revenue. Despite a decline in year-to-date revenues due to previous divestitures and variability in Canadian sales, the overall outlook remains positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Revenue and Profitability Expectations
Third quarter revenues of $231 million were $21 million above the high end of Q3 guidance. Year-to-date, $194 million of adjusted EBITDA was generated, reaching the high end of the full-year guidance.
Increased Financial Guidance
Emergent raised its total revenue guidance to $775 million to $835 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $195 million to $210 million, reflecting a $15 million increase at the midpoint.
Strong Liquidity and Cash Position
Access to $346 million in financial capacity, including $246 million of balance sheet cash and an undrawn revolver. Net leverage improved to approximately 2x net debt to adjusted EBITDA.
Naloxone Business Growth
NARCAN unit volume grew by 13% quarter-over-quarter, with revenue growth of 9%. Continued market leadership in the naloxone category.
International Revenue Growth
International customers represent 34% of MCM sales year-to-date, up from the mid- to high teens in previous years.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Commercial Products
Year-to-date total revenues were $594 million, a decline compared to the prior year, reflecting divestitures and one-time events in 2024.
Market Variability in Canada
Sales in Canada for NARCAN showed variability, being dependent on the timing of orders and recognition of opioid overdose issues.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Emergent BioSolutions provided updated guidance reflecting strong financial performance. The company reported third-quarter revenues of $231 million, surpassing the high end of their guidance range by $21 million. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA reached the high end of their full-year guidance at $194 million. Consequently, Emergent raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $775 million to $835 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $195 million to $210 million. The company highlighted significant growth in its medical countermeasures (MCM) segment, with international sales accounting for 34% of MCM revenue year-to-date. Additionally, the naloxone business showed robust quarter-over-quarter growth, with a 13% increase in unit volume and 9% in revenue. Emergent also improved its liquidity, reporting $346 million in financial capacity and reduced its net leverage to approximately 2x net debt to adjusted EBITDA. These metrics underscore Emergent's successful execution of its transformation plan and strategic investments aimed at long-term growth.

Emergent Biosolutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emergent Biosolutions has demonstrated resilience in improving profitability and cash flow metrics despite facing revenue declines. The company's strong gross and net profit margins, along with improved cash flow ratios, are positive indicators. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and declining revenue growth rate are areas of concern that could impact future financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Emergent Biosolutions has shown a significant decline in revenue over the TTM period, with a negative revenue growth rate of -11.85%. However, the company has improved its profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 49.13% and a net profit margin of 16.49% in the TTM, indicating strong cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly, reflecting operational efficiency. Despite these improvements, the overall revenue decline is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the return on equity has improved to 26.83% in the TTM, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced asset structure. Overall, while profitability has improved, the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Emergent Biosolutions has demonstrated strong cash flow performance with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 64.20% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.33, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 91.72%, suggesting robust cash flow management. These metrics highlight the company's ability to generate cash despite revenue challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue846.20M1.04B1.05B1.12B1.77B1.58B
Gross Profit415.70M375.40M360.00M473.00M793.20M863.10M
EBITDA324.70M53.40M-47.00M15.70M504.20M609.20M
Net Income139.50M-190.60M-760.50M-211.60M219.50M305.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.39B1.82B3.17B2.96B2.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments267.30M99.50M111.70M642.60M576.10M621.30M
Total Debt667.80M676.10M860.20M1.41B841.00M874.80M
Total Liabilities880.90M906.90M1.17B1.78B1.34B1.44B
Stockholders Equity536.20M482.80M649.30M1.38B1.62B1.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow155.00M35.80M-257.90M-149.90M96.10M395.00M
Operating Cash Flow169.00M58.70M-206.30M-34.10M321.10M536.00M
Investing Cash Flow217.30M125.20M212.30M-381.30M-225.00M-151.00M
Financing Cash Flow-186.60M-190.00M-535.70M481.20M-141.00M69.50M

Emergent Biosolutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.16
Price Trends
50DMA
9.10
Positive
100DMA
8.25
Positive
200DMA
7.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
52.31
Neutral
STOCH
24.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.99, above the 50-day MA of 9.10, and above the 200-day MA of 7.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EBS.

Emergent Biosolutions Risk Analysis

Emergent Biosolutions disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Emergent Biosolutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Emergent Biosolutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.13B9.0018.32%1.37%-18.10%
72
Outperform
$582.87M7.0943.61%3.86%-2.60%
71
Outperform
$539.38M7.8513.92%-29.91%
62
Neutral
$1.96B-2.82%38.68%-160.14%
58
Neutral
$1.21B-7.14%26.73%-310.39%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$981.78M-15.57%2.25%-301.59%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBS
Emergent Biosolutions
10.16
-1.81
-15.12%
DVAX
Dynavax
10.83
-2.83
-20.72%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
22.05
4.55
26.00%
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
6.54
-0.29
-4.25%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
90.43
28.69
46.47%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
24.03
-24.54
-50.53%

Emergent Biosolutions Corporate Events

Emergent BioSolutions’ Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Emergent BioSolutions’ recent earnings call painted a picture of optimism and robust financial health. The company reported a strong quarter, surpassing revenue and profitability expectations, and subsequently increased its financial guidance for the year. Despite some challenges, such as a decline in year-to-date revenues due to past divestitures and variability in Canadian sales, the overall sentiment remained positive, buoyed by significant growth in the naloxone business and international revenue.

Emergent BioSolutions Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on providing medical countermeasures for biological threats and public health emergencies, operating primarily in the healthcare sector with a unique emphasis on products like vaccines and treatments for diseases such as anthrax and smallpox.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emergent BioSolutions Raises Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Emergent BioSolutions reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenues of $231.1 million, surpassing its guidance by $21 million. Despite a decrease in revenues compared to the previous year, the company experienced strong growth in its naloxone franchise, driven by NARCAN® Nasal Spray, and secured multiple contract modifications for its medical countermeasures products. The company raised its full-year revenue and profitability guidance, reflecting confidence in its product demand and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (EBS) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emergent Biosolutions stock, see the EBS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Emergent BioSolutions Secures $56 Million Contract Modification
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Emergent BioSolutions received a $56 million contract modification from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services to supply ACAM2000, a smallpox and mpox vaccine, under an existing 10-year contract. This modification underscores the ongoing collaboration between Emergent and the U.S. government to prioritize public health preparedness, with deliveries expected to begin in September 2025, contributing to projected sales of over $120 million for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (EBS) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emergent Biosolutions stock, see the EBS Stock Forecast page.

Emergent BioSolutions Advances Pediatric Botulism Antitoxin Study
Sep 7, 2025

Study Overview: Emergent BioSolutions is conducting a study titled ‘Pharmacokinetics of Botulism Antitoxin Heptavalent (A, B, C, D, E, F, G) – (Equine) (BAT®) in Pediatric Patients With a Confirmed or Suspected Exposure to Botulinum Neurotoxin.’ The study aims to verify pediatric dosing recommendations for the BAT product in children exposed to botulinum neurotoxin, ensuring safety and efficacy.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Emergent BioSolutions Secures $30M BARDA Contract Extension
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Emergent BioSolutions received a $30 million contract modification from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) to supply additional doses of CYFENDUS™, an anthrax vaccine. This contract, part of an ongoing agreement since 2016, underscores Emergent’s commitment to supporting U.S. national security priorities by ensuring the availability of medical countermeasures against anthrax threats. The deliveries are expected to start within the current calendar year and conclude by March 2026, highlighting Emergent’s strategic role in biodefense.

The most recent analyst rating on (EBS) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emergent Biosolutions stock, see the EBS Stock Forecast page.

Emergent BioSolutions’ AIGIV Study: A Potential Game-Changer for Inhalational Anthrax Treatment
Aug 24, 2025

Emergent BioSolutions is spearheading a critical study titled ‘A Field Study for the Evaluation of AIGIV Clinical Benefit and Safety in the Treatment of Patients With Inhalational Anthrax in a Broad Exposure Event Scenario.’ The study aims to assess the safety and clinical benefits of AIGIV (ANTHRASIL®) for treating inhalational anthrax, a severe and potentially fatal condition. This research is significant as it will provide vital insights into the effectiveness of AIGIV during a major anthrax exposure event, focusing on patient survival and illness extent.

Emergent BioSolutions’ AIGIV Study: A Potential Game-Changer for Anthrax Treatment
Aug 24, 2025

Study Overview: Emergent BioSolutions is conducting an observational study titled ‘An Observational Clinical Study of AIGIV Use in Sporadic Cases of Systemic Anthrax.’ The study aims to assess the safety and clinical benefits of AIGIV (ANTHRASIL®) in treating patients with systemic anthrax. This research is significant as it seeks to gather data on the extent of anthrax illness, survival rates, and serum concentrations of AIGIV and anthrax toxins in affected patients.

Emergent BioSolutions’ AIGIV Study: A Potential Game-Changer in Anthrax Treatment
Aug 20, 2025

Study Overview: Emergent BioSolutions is conducting a study titled ‘A Field Study for the Evaluation of AIGIV Clinical Benefit and Safety in the Treatment of Patients With Inhalational Anthrax in a Broad Exposure Event Scenario.’ The study aims to assess the safety and clinical benefits of AIGIV (ANTHRASIL®) in patients exposed to inhalational anthrax, particularly during a mass exposure event. This research is significant as it addresses a critical public health concern and fulfills a post-marketing requirement from the FDA.

Emergent BioSolutions’ AIGIV Study: A Key Development in Anthrax Treatment
Aug 20, 2025

Study Overview: Emergent BioSolutions is conducting an observational study titled ‘An Observational Clinical Study of AIGIV Use in Sporadic Cases of Systemic Anthrax.’ The study aims to evaluate the safety and clinical benefits of AIGIV (ANTHRASIL®) in patients with systemic anthrax, focusing on the extent of illness, survival rates, and pharmacokinetics of AIGIV. This research is significant as it fulfills a post-marketing requirement from the FDA to ensure the treatment’s efficacy and safety.

Emergent BioSolutions’ Earnings Call Highlights Strong Financial Performance
Aug 12, 2025

Emergent BioSolutions’ recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by notable financial improvements and a promising outlook for international market growth. Despite facing some challenges with specific product sales, the company demonstrated resilience and adaptability in its core operations, which bodes well for its future performance.

Emergent BioSolutions Reports Improved Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Emergent BioSolutions Inc., a company specializing in medical countermeasures and life-saving solutions, reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The company operates primarily in the biotechnology sector, focusing on products for health threats such as smallpox, anthrax, and opioid overdose emergencies.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emergent BioSolutions Surpasses Q2 Revenue Expectations
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Emergent BioSolutions reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with total revenues of $140.9 million, surpassing guidance by $21 million. Despite a net loss of $12 million, the company showed significant improvements in profitability and margins compared to the previous year. The company raised its full-year profitability guidance and secured several government contracts, reinforcing its position in the medical countermeasures market.

The most recent analyst rating on (EBS) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emergent Biosolutions stock, see the EBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025