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Soho House & Co (SHCO)
NYSE:SHCO

Soho House & Co (SHCO) AI Stock Analysis

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SHCO

Soho House & Co

(NYSE:SHCO)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-3.60% Downside)
Overall score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (losses, negative equity/high leverage, and weakening free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Corporate events provide some support via merger progress and secured financing, but deal uncertainty remains a risk; valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Recurring membership revenue
A high share of recurring membership fees creates a stable, predictable revenue backbone and promotes member lifetime value. Over months this supports steady cash inflows, allows forward planning of club openings and recurring service investment, and cushions against cyclical hospitality swings.
Global brand and network
Soho House's curated global network and strong lifestyle brand create differentiated customer loyalty and network effects. This positional advantage drives higher utilization, cross-selling between clubs/hotels/events, and long-term pricing power within affluent creative-market segments.
Shareholder approval for take‑private merger
Shareholder approval clears a major governance hurdle for the planned take‑private transaction, enabling strategic restructuring away from public reporting. As a private company, management can pursue multi‑year operational changes and cost discipline without short‑term public market pressures.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity and high leverage
Negative equity and heavy reliance on debt indicate material balance sheet stress. This constrains financial flexibility, raises refinancing and covenant risks, and can force asset sales or higher borrowing costs, undermining capacity to invest in growth or absorb shocks over months.
Deteriorating free cash flow
Falling free cash flow and weak operating cash conversion suggest the business struggles to turn revenue into sustainable cash. Over the medium term this limits reinvestment, debt reduction, and cushioning for seasonality, increasing reliance on external financing for operations.
Merger financing uncertainty
A material funding gap for the proposed take‑private deal creates execution risk: the merger may be delayed, require replacement equity or more debt, or be renegotiated. Such outcomes can materially alter post‑transaction capital structure and strategic plans, with lasting impacts.

Soho House & Co (SHCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Soho House & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoho House & Co Inc. operates a global membership platform of physical and digital spaces that connects a group of members. These members use the platform to work, socialize, connect, create, and flourish all over the world. The company was formerly known as Membership Collective Group Inc. and changed its name to Soho House & Co Inc. in March 2023. Soho House & Co Inc. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneySoho House & Co generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is membership fees, which provide access to its exclusive clubs and facilities. Members pay an initial joining fee and annual subscriptions, which vary based on the type of membership. Additionally, the company earns revenue from food and beverage sales at its restaurants and bars, hotel accommodations, and private events hosted at its venues. The brand also engages in partnerships with various lifestyle and luxury brands, enhancing its offerings and creating additional revenue opportunities. Other income sources include merchandise sales and curated experiences, such as workshops and cultural events, that attract both members and non-members. Overall, the combination of membership fees, hospitality services, and strategic partnerships contributes to SHCO's financial success.

Soho House & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 19, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong membership growth and operational improvements. However, financial misstatements, reduced guidance, and external challenges such as natural disasters impacted the company's financial outlook. The sentiment is balanced between positive membership and operational highlights and significant financial and environmental lowlights.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Membership Growth
Membership revenues increased 17% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, with 4,000 new Soho House members, reaching approximately 208,000 members globally.
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenues grew 14% year-on-year to $333 million, driven by membership growth and improved spend per visit.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $48 million, showing a 38% increase year-on-year, with margins improving approximately 250 basis points year-over-year.
Successful Opening of New Locations
Scorpios, Mykonos had a record-breaking season, and a new location opened in Bodrum. Soho Mews House opened in London with positive reception.
Operational Improvements
Focus on operational excellence with improvements in food and beverage margins and RevPAR up 5% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Lowered Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Total revenue guidance lowered to around $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance reduced to approximately $140 million due to weaker demand in food and beverage and accommodations.
Choppy Revenue Environment
In October, in-house revenue saw the weakest month for like-for-like year-over-year growth, with a mid-single-digit decline.
Financial Misstatements
Revisions made to financial statements from 2022 through the first half of 2024 due to misstatements found in prior period financial statements.
Impact of Natural Disasters
Operations affected by significant flooding at Soho-FarmHouse and recent Malibu fires, leading to temporary closures.
Increased Costs and Investments
Ongoing costs associated with ERP implementation and consulting fees, impacting current financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Soho House & Co Q3 2024 earnings call, guidance was provided with several key metrics highlighted. Membership revenues increased by 17% year-on-year to $107 million, contributing to total revenues of $333 million, a 14% increase from the previous year. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $48 million, marking a 38% growth year-on-year, although slightly below expectations, with margins improving by approximately 250 basis points. House level contribution rose by 17%, with margins up 150 basis points. Despite these gains, the company adjusted its total revenue guidance to around $1.2 billion, down from the previous range of $1.2 billion to $1.25 billion, due to weaker-than-expected demand in food, beverage, and accommodation segments. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also revised to approximately $140 million, citing unique factors impacting results. Net debt was reported at $686 million, with a reduction in net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 5x.

Soho House & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Soho House & Co faces significant financial challenges, including negative net profit margins, high debt levels, and negative equity. While there is some revenue growth, profitability remains elusive, and cash flow issues further exacerbate financial instability.
Income Statement
Soho House & Co has shown some revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.99%. However, profitability remains a concern, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the years. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting increased cost pressures. Overall, while there is revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Soho House & Co reveals significant financial leverage, with a negative debt-to-equity ratio indicating high debt levels compared to equity. The negative stockholders' equity is a major concern, reflecting potential financial instability. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a declining trend in free cash flow, with a significant drop in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. Although there is some positive operating cash flow, the overall cash flow situation is weak, with free cash flow growth turning negative.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.29B1.20B1.14B976.00M560.55M384.38M
Gross Profit660.17M565.47M546.52M445.27M251.71M164.34M
EBITDA141.74M34.80M85.98M-46.79M-99.83M-88.46M
Net Income-77.34M-162.97M-117.95M-224.16M-265.39M-228.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.68B2.44B2.53B2.47B2.38B2.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments145.41M155.09M160.48M183.61M213.71M59.97M
Total Debt2.51B2.34B2.31B2.12B1.90B2.03B
Total Liabilities3.03B2.77B2.70B2.48B2.20B2.48B
Stockholders Equity-351.63M-335.06M-174.89M-22.44M176.13M-432.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.53M7.75M-36.89M-82.15M-230.50M-177.67M
Operating Cash Flow125.64M89.68M46.99M11.86M-127.42M-38.23M
Investing Cash Flow-115.72M-71.24M-82.36M-92.75M-119.14M-139.87M
Financing Cash Flow-9.54M-19.91M4.91M52.84M408.16M179.70M

Soho House & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.78
Price Trends
50DMA
8.79
Negative
100DMA
8.82
Negative
200DMA
7.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
17.91
Positive
STOCH
45.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.70, below the 50-day MA of 8.79, and above the 200-day MA of 7.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 17.91 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SHCO.

Soho House & Co Risk Analysis

Soho House & Co disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Soho House & Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Soho House & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.53B26.4445.85%1.76%36.17%25.41%
74
Outperform
$15.04B28.3732.28%3.60%5.70%9.53%
67
Neutral
$5.94B18.5557.98%2.13%3.38%38.04%
63
Neutral
$4.95B13.301418.13%1.32%2.76%56.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$167.52M11.102.85%
41
Neutral
$1.52B-19.758.09%43.02%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHCO
Soho House & Co
7.92
0.16
2.06%
HTHT
H World Group
49.35
19.39
64.72%
CHH
Choice Hotels
108.09
-32.45
-23.09%
GHG
Greentree Hospitality Group
1.66
-0.72
-30.25%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
79.90
-19.38
-19.52%
ATAT
Atour Lifestyle Holdings
37.59
12.75
51.33%

Soho House & Co Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Soho House secures new financing to complete take-private
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On August 15, 2025, Soho House & Co. Inc. agreed to be taken private through a merger with EH Parent LLC, an affiliate of The Yucaipa Companies, via a transaction in which a Yucaipa-controlled subsidiary will merge into the company, leaving Soho House as the surviving corporation. After MCR Hospitality Funds informed Yucaipa on January 5, 2026 that they could not fully fund their original $200 million equity commitment, the parties secured approximately $200 million in alternative financing on January 13–14, 2026, including a new $50 million equity commitment from Morse Ventures backed by a third‑party secured note facility, a revised $50 million equity commitment from MCR, an upsized senior unsecured notes facility for Soho House Holdings Limited from $150 million to $220 million, and rollover amendments by GS Funds and major shareholder Richard Caring that reduce cash needed to close by about $50 million; subject to final documentation and funding of these commitments, the parties currently plan to complete the merger by late January 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHCO) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soho House & Co stock, see the SHCO Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Soho House shareholders approve merger with EH Parent
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Soho House & Co. Inc. held a virtual special meeting of stockholders at which holders of both its Class A and higher-vote Class B common stock were represented by approximately 99.15% of the total voting power, establishing a strong quorum. At the meeting, stockholders voted overwhelmingly to adopt and approve the previously announced Agreement and Plan of Merger with EH Parent LLC and its wholly owned subsidiary, with 99.14% of the voting power of outstanding common stock in favor and 99.79% of votes cast by unaffiliated stockholders supporting the transaction, thereby satisfying both the overall majority and unaffiliated stockholder approval conditions and rendering a proposed adjournment vote unnecessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHCO) stock is a Sell with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soho House & Co stock, see the SHCO Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Soho House merger funding uncertainty clouds shareholder vote
Negative
Jan 8, 2026

On August 15, 2025, Soho House & Co Inc. agreed to be taken private via a merger with EH Parent LLC, an affiliate of The Yucaipa Companies, through a structure in which EH MergerSub Inc. will merge into Soho House, leaving the company as the surviving entity. The deal financing has come under pressure after MCR Hospitality Fund IV informed Yucaipa on January 5, 2026 that it would not be able to fund in full its previously committed $200 million equity purchase in Merger Sub at $9 per share by the anticipated closing date, forcing Yucaipa, Soho House’s special committee and their advisers to seek replacement or supplemental funding from MCR affiliates and other parties with no assurance of success. Despite this uncertainty around a key funding component, Soho House plans to proceed with its January 9, 2026 special meeting for shareholders to vote on adoption of the merger agreement and the parties continue to aim to close the transaction as soon as all conditions are satisfied, leaving the timing and certainty of completion a central concern for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHCO) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soho House & Co stock, see the SHCO Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Soho House Issues Supplemental Proxy Details on Merger
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Soho House & Co Inc. disclosed additional details and corrections to its definitive proxy statement ahead of a January 9, 2026 special shareholders’ meeting to vote on its previously announced merger under which EH MergerSub Inc., a subsidiary of EH Parent LLC, will merge into Soho House, leaving Soho House as the surviving corporation. The supplemental filing responds to letters from purported shareholders alleging disclosure deficiencies, and, while the company denies any legal shortcomings, it is voluntarily expanding information on the merger background, the role of potential equity investors, Morgan Stanley’s valuation work and leveraged buyout analysis, Citi’s contingent advisory fees, and the bylaws that will govern the post‑merger surviving entity, in an effort to reduce litigation risk and avoid delays to closing, thereby providing shareholders with more transparency around the proposed take‑private transaction and its underlying assumptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHCO) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soho House & Co stock, see the SHCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026