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Soho House & Co (SHCO)
NYSE:SHCO
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Soho House & Co (SHCO) AI Stock Analysis

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SHCO

Soho House & Co

(NYSE:SHCO)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(3.01%Upside)
The overall score reflects the company's strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements overshadowed by significant profitability and financial stability challenges. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation is weak with a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Management's initiatives around cost savings and member engagement are benefiting in-house spending per member.
Membership Growth
Recent openings in locations like Sao Paulo, Mexico City, and Portland show positive trends in membership growth.
Negative Factors
Leverage Risk
SHCO's lease-adjusted debt is 5.8x 2024 EBITDAR, significantly higher than the average of 3.5x.

Soho House & Co (SHCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Soho House & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSoho House & Co (SHCO) is a global private members' club organization and hospitality company that operates exclusive clubs, hotels, and restaurants in key cities around the world. Founded in 1995 in London, the company caters primarily to individuals in the creative industries, offering a unique blend of luxury accommodations, dining, and social spaces designed to foster community and collaboration among its members. With a commitment to maintaining a high standard of service and exclusivity, Soho House & Co has expanded its footprint to include numerous locations globally, providing tailored experiences for its discerning clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneySoho House & Co generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily centered around its membership model. The company charges annual membership fees for access to its exclusive clubs, which serve as a significant source of recurring income. In addition to membership fees, Soho House & Co earns money through its hospitality operations, including hotel accommodations, dining services, and events hosted at its venues. The company also benefits from ancillary services such as retail offerings and branded merchandise. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with brands in the luxury and lifestyle sectors further enhance its revenue potential by creating unique experiences and offerings for members. The combination of these diverse revenue streams allows Soho House & Co to maintain its position as a leader in the private members' club and hospitality industry.

Soho House & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 2.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong membership growth and operational improvements. However, financial misstatements, reduced guidance, and external challenges such as natural disasters impacted the company's financial outlook. The sentiment is balanced between positive membership and operational highlights and significant financial and environmental lowlights.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Membership Growth
Membership revenues increased 17% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, with 4,000 new Soho House members, reaching approximately 208,000 members globally.
Total Revenue Growth
Total revenues grew 14% year-on-year to $333 million, driven by membership growth and improved spend per visit.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $48 million, showing a 38% increase year-on-year, with margins improving approximately 250 basis points year-over-year.
Successful Opening of New Locations
Scorpios, Mykonos had a record-breaking season, and a new location opened in Bodrum. Soho Mews House opened in London with positive reception.
Operational Improvements
Focus on operational excellence with improvements in food and beverage margins and RevPAR up 5% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Lowered Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Total revenue guidance lowered to around $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance reduced to approximately $140 million due to weaker demand in food and beverage and accommodations.
Choppy Revenue Environment
In October, in-house revenue saw the weakest month for like-for-like year-over-year growth, with a mid-single-digit decline.
Financial Misstatements
Revisions made to financial statements from 2022 through the first half of 2024 due to misstatements found in prior period financial statements.
Impact of Natural Disasters
Operations affected by significant flooding at Soho-FarmHouse and recent Malibu fires, leading to temporary closures.
Increased Costs and Investments
Ongoing costs associated with ERP implementation and consulting fees, impacting current financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Soho House & Co Q3 2024 earnings call, guidance was provided with several key metrics highlighted. Membership revenues increased by 17% year-on-year to $107 million, contributing to total revenues of $333 million, a 14% increase from the previous year. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $48 million, marking a 38% growth year-on-year, although slightly below expectations, with margins improving by approximately 250 basis points. House level contribution rose by 17%, with margins up 150 basis points. Despite these gains, the company adjusted its total revenue guidance to around $1.2 billion, down from the previous range of $1.2 billion to $1.25 billion, due to weaker-than-expected demand in food, beverage, and accommodation segments. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also revised to approximately $140 million, citing unique factors impacting results. Net debt was reported at $686 million, with a reduction in net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 5x.

Soho House & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Soho House & Co shows strong revenue growth and improvements in cash flow management. However, the company faces challenges with profitability and financial stability, marked by negative equity and high leverage.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Soho House & Co has demonstrated a consistent increase in revenue over recent periods, showcasing a strong growth trajectory with a notable revenue growth rate. However, the company faces profitability challenges as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, suggesting operating inefficiencies. The positive trend in EBITDA margin is a positive sign, yet the overall profitability needs improvement.
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
The balance sheet of Soho House & Co reveals a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is not applicable due to negative equity, and the equity ratio highlights the financial risk associated with the company's current capital structure. These factors suggest potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The company's cash flow statement shows improvement in operating cash flow, and a positive free cash flow in the latest period suggests effective cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is strong, indicating enhanced liquidity. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash generation is still strained due to persistent net losses.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.14B972.21M560.55M384.38M
Gross Profit565.47M546.52M447.29M251.71M164.34M
EBITDA34.80M85.98M-43.22M-98.87M-88.46M
Net Income-162.97M-117.95M-220.58M-326.40M-232.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.44B2.54B2.47B2.38B2.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments155.09M162.98M183.61M213.71M55.24M
Total Debt2.34B2.31B2.12B1.90B2.03B
Total Liabilities2.77B2.70B2.48B2.20B2.48B
Stockholders Equity-335.06M-174.89M-22.44M176.13M-432.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.75M-36.89M-80.72M-230.50M-177.67M
Operating Cash Flow89.68M46.99M14.68M-127.42M-38.23M
Investing Cash Flow-71.24M-84.21M-94.14M-119.14M-139.87M
Financing Cash Flow-19.91M4.91M52.84M408.16M179.70M

Soho House & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.31
Price Trends
50DMA
6.79
Negative
100DMA
6.40
Negative
200DMA
6.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
36.31
Neutral
STOCH
22.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.79, below the 50-day MA of 6.79, and below the 200-day MA of 6.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SHCO.

Soho House & Co Risk Analysis

Soho House & Co disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Soho House & Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Soho House & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.62B26.6544.99%3.86%42.60%27.14%
74
Outperform
$6.40B19.6556.16%1.88%3.65%38.50%
71
Outperform
$5.84B19.15-661.94%0.91%2.75%40.83%
69
Neutral
$13.13B17.8222.31%0.44%-7.38%19.62%
68
Neutral
$9.23B22.4228.90%5.00%5.20%-11.08%
57
Neutral
HK$24.69B3.68-2.13%5.97%-0.25%-65.84%
49
Neutral
$1.23B49.70%7.27%20.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHCO
Soho House & Co
6.31
1.40
28.51%
HTHT
H World Group
31.23
4.20
15.54%
CHH
Choice Hotels
125.92
2.03
1.64%
H
Hyatt Hotels
137.50
4.12
3.09%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
83.83
12.09
16.85%
ATAT
Atour Lifestyle Holdings
33.46
17.83
114.08%

Soho House & Co Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Soho House & Co Holds Virtual Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Soho House & Co Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders virtually, where two key proposals were addressed. The election of directors resulted in Ron Burkle, Nick Jones, Andrew Carnie, and Richard Caring being elected as Class I directors until 2028, while Alice Delahunt and Dasha Zhukova were elected as Class II directors until 2026. Additionally, the stockholders ratified the appointment of BDO LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHCO) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Soho House & Co stock, see the SHCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 22, 2025