H World Group (HTHT) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.06B
• Dividend Yield: 3.6%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.60M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.52
• Revenue Growth: 5.70%
• EPS Growth: 9.53%
• Country: US
• Employees: 28,502
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Travel Lodging
• EPS (TTM): 0.59
• Shares Outstanding: 306,939,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,373,835
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,598,328
• PEG Ratio: 0.32
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.89
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.10
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.77
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 8.62
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 5.49
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 13.93
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 15.96
• 1Y Price Target: $60.68
• Price Target Upside: 15.63% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): 17.89
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $26.77B

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $53.00 ▲(0.99% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/31/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/31/26

The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial performance (strong margins and cash generation) and a positive earnings-call outlook emphasizing profit growth, asset-light momentum, and shareholder returns. These strengths are tempered by balance-sheet leverage and a weak 2025 revenue growth signal, while technical indicators show currently weak momentum. Valuation is moderately supportive given the dividend yield and mid-range P/E.

Positive Factors

Strong profitability & margin expansion

Sustained margin expansion signals durable operating leverage from scale, pricing and cost efficiency. Higher EBITDA margins support consistent cash generation, stronger ROE and the ability to fund growth or returns even if top-line growth slows, making earnings less cyclical over months.

Negative Factors

Elevated balance-sheet leverage

Material leverage constrains financial flexibility in a cyclical lodging sector, limiting capacity to absorb demand shocks or pursue opportunistic M&A. Even with solid profits, debt service restricts reinvestment and prolongs recovery time if cash flow dips over the coming months.

H World Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

H World Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels primarily in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel,...

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H World Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels primarily in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel,...

How the Company Makes Money

H World Group primarily generates revenue from (1) hotel operations from leased-and-owned hotels and (2) fees from franchised and managed hotels. 1) Leased-and-owned hotel revenue (operational model): - Under the leased-and-owned model, H World l...

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H World Group primarily generates revenue from (1) hotel operations from leased-and-owned hotels and (2) fees from franchised and managed hotels. 1) Leased-and-owned hotel revenue (operational model): - Under the leased-and-owned model, H World l...

H World Group Financial Statement Overview

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	24.62B	23.89B	21.88B	13.86B	12.79B
Gross Profit	9.70B	9.86B	7.54B	1.60B	1.50B
EBITDA	7.42B	6.46B	7.15B	259.00M	1.50B
Net Income	4.94B	3.05B	4.08B	-1.81B	-465.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	64.82B	62.55B	63.53B	61.51B	63.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.44B	11.08B	9.13B	5.37B	7.71B
Total Debt	36.09B	35.45B	35.88B	43.89B	44.16B
Total Liabilities	51.85B	50.28B	51.28B	52.70B	52.23B
Stockholders Equity	12.81B	12.18B	12.13B	8.73B	10.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	7.34B	6.73B	6.77B	511.00M	-333.00M
Operating Cash Flow	8.15B	7.62B	7.67B	1.56B	1.34B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.01B	-2.27B	-1.48B	-522.00M	-1.40B
Financing Cash Flow	-4.19B	-5.58B	-3.72B	-1.39B	-1.80B

H World Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 52.48
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTHT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.99, above the 50-day MA of 51.72, and above the 200-day MA of 42.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HTHT.

H World Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IHG	71 Outperform	$20.98B	28.95	-23.50%	1.21%	8.89%	23.20%
H	68 Neutral	$14.67B	-294.43	-1.50%	0.36%	2.61%	-106.74%
MAR	68 Neutral	$93.83B	46.80	-79.90%	0.84%	4.68%	-1.10%
HTHT	65 Neutral	$16.06B	20.45	42.78%	3.60%	5.70%	9.53%
HLT	62 Neutral	$74.16B	46.53	-30.22%	0.21%	6.68%	48.03%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
WH	61 Neutral	$6.44B	-23.83	35.09%	2.13%	3.38%	38.04%