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Hyatt Hotels Corp (H)
NYSE:H

Hyatt Hotels (H) AI Stock Analysis

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H

Hyatt Hotels

(NYSE:H)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$147.00
â–²(9.40%Upside)
Hyatt Hotels' robust financial performance and strategic initiatives contribute positively to its stock score. The company's strong EBITDA growth and successful brand expansion are significant strengths. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and revised RevPAR growth outlook pose potential risks. The stock's technical indicators suggest stability, while valuation metrics indicate a fair pricing relative to earnings and dividends.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Hyatt produced a rare beat, having missed on EBITDA in every quarter in FY24.
Financial Performance
RevPAR grew 5.7%, well ahead of any expectations and drove $279m of EBITDA, 14% ahead of consensus.
Negative Factors
Management Guidance
Management appears content with lower growth rates than previously guided, which has not met investor expectations.
Stock Price
Hyatt experienced a 9% drop in stock price due to a 7% EBITDA miss and full-year guidance that was 4% below consensus.

Hyatt Hotels (H) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hyatt Hotels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHyatt Hotels Corporation is a leading global hospitality company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. It operates in the hotel, resort, and vacation ownership sectors, offering premium accommodation services across a diverse range of brands. Hyatt's portfolio includes full-service, select-service, lifestyle, and resort properties, catering to both business and leisure travelers. The company aims to deliver personalized experiences through its high-quality services, innovative hospitality solutions, and commitment to customer satisfaction.
How the Company Makes MoneyHyatt Hotels Corporation generates revenue primarily through room rentals, food and beverage sales, and other guest services offered across its properties worldwide. The company earns income by managing and franchising hotels, resorts, and residential properties under various brand names, including Park Hyatt, Grand Hyatt, Hyatt Regency, and Hyatt Place, among others. Hyatt also benefits from its loyalty program, World of Hyatt, which encourages repeat bookings and enhances customer engagement. Additionally, the company has strategic partnerships with hotel owners and developers, which expand its brand presence and contribute to its earnings through management and franchise fees. Real estate sales and licensing agreements further complement its revenue streams.

Hyatt Hotels Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Pipeline of Rooms
Pipeline of Rooms
Indicates the number of new hotel rooms planned or under construction, highlighting future growth prospects and expansion strategy.
Chart InsightsHyatt's pipeline of rooms has shown consistent growth, reaching 138,000 rooms by early 2025, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase. This expansion aligns with the company's strategic initiatives, including the launch of the Hyatt Select brand targeting the upper midscale segment. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and softening booking trends, Hyatt's asset-light model and strong international demand are expected to sustain growth. The World of Hyatt loyalty program's expansion further supports this trajectory, although a cautious RevPAR growth outlook suggests potential challenges ahead.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Hyatt Hotels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong RevPAR and adjusted EBITDA growth, the successful introduction of new brands, and expansion of the loyalty program, indicating positive operational trends. However, there are concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty and softening booking trends, leading to a revised RevPAR growth outlook. While the highlights demonstrate robust performance and strategic initiatives, the lowlights point to potential challenges ahead.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong RevPAR and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
System-wide RevPAR growth of 5.7% and adjusted EBITDA increased by approximately 24% after adjusting for assets sold in 2024.
Introduction of Hyatt Select Brand
Launched the Hyatt Select brand aimed at upper midscale transient conversion, expanding offerings for shorter stays in secondary and tertiary markets.
Pipeline and Net Rooms Growth
Ended the quarter with a pipeline of approximately 138,000 rooms, a 7% increase over last year, and achieved net rooms growth of 10.5%.
World of Hyatt Loyalty Program Expansion
Added over 2 million members during the first quarter, ending with approximately 56 million members, a 22% increase over the past year.
Negative Updates
Macro Uncertainty and Softening Booking Trends
Experiencing mixed indicators and signs of slowing customer booking behavior, particularly in short-term leisure and business transient demand.
Challenges in Gaming Revenue
No explicit mention of gaming revenue in the transcript, indicating potential challenges or underperformance in this segment.
RevPAR Growth Outlook Adjustment
Adjusted full-year RevPAR growth outlook to a range of 1% to 3%, reflecting anticipated moderation in growth for the balance of the year.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Hyatt demonstrated robust performance with a notable 5.7% increase in system-wide RevPAR, driven by strong growth in business transient travel, which rose 12%, and a 9% increase in group RevPAR. The company also reported an impressive 24% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $273 million after accounting for asset sales. Hyatt's pipeline grew by 7% year-over-year, with approximately 138,000 rooms, and net rooms growth reached 10.5% during the quarter. The company introduced the Hyatt Select brand to target the upper midscale segment, and its World of Hyatt loyalty program expanded significantly, adding over 2 million members to reach approximately 56 million. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Hyatt anticipates continued success, supported by its asset-light business model and strong demand in international markets and all-inclusive properties, with international RevPAR expected to outperform U.S. markets.

Hyatt Hotels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hyatt Hotels shows strong profitability with a TTM net profit margin of 12.89% and an EBIT margin of 24.0%. The balance sheet is moderately healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.33 and ROE of 24.68%. Cash flow management is stable, although free cash flow growth is negative, indicating challenges in cash reserves.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Hyatt Hotels has shown a robust recovery in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 32.35%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin in the TTM is about 12.89%, reflecting strong profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a slight decrease in revenue in the latest TTM compared to the previous year. However, the EBIT margin of 24.0% and EBITDA margin of 14.63% in the TTM highlight solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Hyatt's balance sheet shows moderate financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio in the latest TTM is approximately 1.33, which indicates a balanced leverage position. The return on equity (ROE) is around 24.68%, suggesting good returns to shareholders. The equity ratio of approximately 24.72% points to a modest reliance on equity financing. However, a higher equity ratio would be preferable for stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a mixed trend. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is about 0.64, indicating a decent conversion of profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 0.44, demonstrating reasonable cash generation after capital expenditures. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting challenges in increasing cash reserves.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.63B6.65B6.67B5.89B3.03B2.07B
Gross Profit
1.65B3.30B1.32B1.29B425.00M-1.00M
EBIT
1.00B2.75B322.00M363.00M-242.00M-794.00M
EBITDA
1.11B2.11B799.00M789.00M68.00M0.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
794.00M1.30B220.00M455.00M-222.00M-703.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.80B1.38B896.00M1.15B1.19B1.88B
Total Assets
14.00B13.32B12.83B12.31B12.60B9.13B
Total Debt
4.61B4.06B3.37B3.45B4.36B3.65B
Net Debt
2.87B3.05B2.49B2.46B3.40B2.44B
Total Liabilities
10.24B9.50B9.27B8.61B9.04B5.92B
Stockholders Equity
3.46B3.55B3.56B3.70B3.56B3.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
378.00M463.00M599.00M473.00M204.00M-733.00M
Operating Cash Flow
544.00M636.00M800.00M674.00M315.00M-611.00M
Investing Cash Flow
244.00M81.00M-365.00M416.00M-1.77B-736.00M
Financing Cash Flow
166.00M-618.00M-578.00M-1.11B1.29B1.52B

Hyatt Hotels Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price134.37
Price Trends
50DMA
122.19
Positive
100DMA
131.93
Positive
200DMA
142.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.57
Positive
RSI
60.77
Neutral
STOCH
85.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For H, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 134.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 131.90, above the 50-day MA of 122.19, and below the 200-day MA of 142.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for H.

Hyatt Hotels Risk Analysis

Hyatt Hotels disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hyatt Hotels reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hyatt Hotels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HLHLT
73
Outperform
$60.27B39.99-41.19%0.24%7.43%38.52%
HH
72
Outperform
$12.86B17.4622.31%0.45%-7.38%19.62%
70
Outperform
$10.49B25.3128.90%4.42%5.20%-11.08%
IHIHG
70
Neutral
$17.92B30.16-27.16%1.43%6.34%-11.99%
MAMAR
69
Neutral
$73.42B30.53-144.82%0.96%5.45%-9.50%
WHWH
67
Neutral
$6.45B19.9153.31%1.96%4.79%48.48%
63
Neutral
$6.98B11.412.80%4.24%2.68%-24.94%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
H
Hyatt Hotels
134.37
-13.66
-9.23%
HTHT
H World Group
34.86
2.44
7.53%
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group
116.67
12.77
12.29%
MAR
Marriott International
266.06
27.96
11.74%
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
253.54
42.42
20.09%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
82.98
11.43
15.97%

Hyatt Hotels Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hyatt Hotels Announces Board Changes at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

During the Annual Meeting on May 21, 2025, Hyatt Hotels Corporation announced changes to its Board of Directors, including the departure of Michael A. Rocca and the retirement of James H. Wooten, Jr., resulting in a reduction of board members from thirteen to eleven. Additionally, Tracey T. Travis was appointed to the Audit Committee. Stockholders elected Class I directors, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm, rejected a proposal to eliminate the multi-class share structure, and approved executive compensation.

The most recent analyst rating on (H) stock is a Hold with a $157.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hyatt Hotels stock, see the H Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Hyatt Hotels Amends Purchase Agreement with Playa
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, along with Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. and its subsidiary, amended a purchase agreement initially dated February 9, 2025. The amendment specifically clarifies the exclusion of certain restricted shares from Playa’s share capital in the context of a tender offer, without altering other terms of the agreement.

The most recent analyst rating on (H) stock is a Hold with a $141.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hyatt Hotels stock, see the H Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Hyatt Hotels Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Hyatt Hotels Corporation reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 5.7% increase in comparable system-wide hotels RevPAR and a 10.5% net rooms growth compared to the first quarter of 2024. The company achieved a net income of $20 million and adjusted net income of $46 million, with gross fees rising by 16.9%. Hyatt’s strategic focus on asset-light business models and strong brand portfolio positions it well amidst economic volatility, as evidenced by its robust pipeline and continued demand for its brands globally. The company is advancing its Playa Hotels Acquisition and has issued senior notes to finance the transaction, while maintaining a strong liquidity position with $3.3 billion in total liquidity as of March 31, 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
Hyatt Hotels Expands Board with New Appointment
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

On March 18, 2025, Hyatt Hotels Corporation expanded its Board of Directors from twelve to thirteen members by appointing Tracey T. Travis as a Class I member. This strategic move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its leadership structure, potentially impacting its governance and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.