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Hyatt Hotels
(NYSE:H)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$182.00
â–¼(-2.74% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is driven primarily by mid-range financial fundamentals (strong top-line and improving cash generation but volatile net profitability and elevated leverage). Earnings-call commentary is supportive with reiterated growth, EBITDA/FCF outlook, and capital returns, but is tempered by regional headwinds and timing risk. Technically, the stock shows near-term weakness versus key short-term averages, and valuation signals are unfavorable due to a negative P/E and very low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Fee‑based business model & brand strength
A rising share of management and franchise fees creates a less capital‑intensive, higher‑margin revenue base that scales with system RevPAR. This fee focus reduces operating leverage to owned assets, supporting more durable earnings and cash conversion across travel cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt levels materially above 2022–2023 norms reduce financial flexibility. Elevated leverage raises interest and refinancing risk in a cyclical travel downturn, constrains ability to fund opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and can pressure credit metrics if profitability weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Fee‑based business model & brand strength
A rising share of management and franchise fees creates a less capital‑intensive, higher‑margin revenue base that scales with system RevPAR. This fee focus reduces operating leverage to owned assets, supporting more durable earnings and cash conversion across travel cycles.
Read all positive factors
Hyatt Hotels Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Pipeline of Rooms
Indicates the number of new hotel rooms planned or under construction, highlighting future growth prospects and expansion strategy.
Indicates the number of new hotel rooms planned or under construction, highlighting future growth prospects and expansion strategy.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyHyatt Hotels (H) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$16.49B
Dividend Yield0.34%
Average Volume (3M)767.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)63.3
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth6.36%
EPS Growth-80.55%
CountryUS
Employees50,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryTravel Lodging
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.85
Shares Outstanding41,600,930
10 Day Avg. Volume706,023
30 Day Avg. Volume767,475
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.85
Price to Book (P/B)4.59
Price to Sales (P/S)2.14
P/FCF Ratio96.29
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$201.00Price Target Upside7.41% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering15
EPS Forecast (FY)3.53
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.17B
Hyatt Hotels Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Hyatt Hotels Corporation functions as an international hospitality firm, managing a diverse portfolio of properties across the United States and numerous global markets. Its operational structure encompasses Owned and Leased Hotels, along with reg...
How the Company Makes Money
Hyatt primarily makes money through a mix of fee-based earnings from hotels it manages or franchises and revenue generated by hotels it owns or leases. Key revenue streams include: (1) Management fees: Hyatt earns base management fees (typically c...
Hyatt Hotels Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial achievements—RevPAR outperformance (5.9% system-wide, 6.7% U.S.), solid fee and EBITDA growth, a record development pipeline (+10% YoY to ~154k rooms), and significant loyalty program expansion (+17% to ~69M members). Management reiterated constructive full-year guidance and maintained robust capital-return targets and liquidity. Offsetting these positives were notable regional headwinds: a severe decline in the Middle East (RevPAR -36%), all-inclusive/Mexico impacts (net package RevPAR -1.2%) with an estimated combined negative fee impact (~$25M), distribution segment softness (expected ~$25M Y/Y decline), and timing risk from potential slippage of many Q4 openings into 2027. Overall, the operational momentum, fee-focused model, and balance sheet strength outweigh the temporary regional and timing challenges.Positive Updates
System-wide RevPAR Outperformance
System-wide RevPAR increased 5.9% year-over-year, exceeding expectations and driven by durable demand from high-end travelers and FIFA World Cup-related incremental demand (FIFA contributed ~70 bps of RevPAR growth).
Negative Updates
Middle East Performance Collapse
RevPAR in the Middle East declined ~36% year-over-year due to the ongoing conflict in the region; Hyatt estimates this will reduce full-year fees by approximately $10 million versus prior expectations.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
System-wide RevPAR Outperformance
System-wide RevPAR increased 5.9% year-over-year, exceeding expectations and driven by durable demand from high-end travelers and FIFA World Cup-related incremental demand (FIFA contributed ~70 bps of RevPAR growth).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Hyatt reiterated a full‑year outlook calling for system‑wide RevPAR growth of 3.5%–4.5% (U.S. RevPAR 3%–4%, international ex‑Middle East slightly above the U.S.), net rooms growth of ~6% (with over half of openings concentrated in 4Q and some risk of slippage into 2027), gross fees up 9%–11% to $1.305–$1.335 billion, adjusted EBITDA up 13%–18% to $1.155–$1.205 billion (including an assumed ~$25 million year‑over‑year decline in the Distribution segment), and adjusted free cash flow of $580–$630 million (up ~20%–30%, implying at least a 50% conversion of adjusted EBITDA to adjusted FCF); management also expects to return $325–$375 million to shareholders in 2026, sees a ~$10 million fee headwind from the Middle East and an incremental ~$15 million fee impact from Mexico versus prior outlook, and expects Q3 trends with global RevPAR toward the low end of the full‑year range, Q3 net‑package RevPAR moderately below last year, and Q3 gross fees growing in the high‑single‑digit range after the $30 million (sold assets) and $13 million (pro‑rata JV EBITDA) adjustments.Hyatt Hotels Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.25B | 7.15B | 3.30B | 3.61B | 3.27B | 1.45B |
| Gross Profit | 1.66B | 801.00M | 1.40B | 1.39B | 1.30B | 481.00M |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | 720.00M | 749.00M | 728.00M | 853.00M | 59.00M |
| Net Income | 79.00M | -52.00M | 1.30B | 220.00M | 455.00M | -222.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.98B | 14.04B | 13.32B | 12.83B | 12.31B | 12.60B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 606.00M | 814.00M | 1.38B | 896.00M | 1.15B | 1.19B |
| Total Debt | 4.74B | 4.80B | 4.06B | 3.37B | 3.45B | 4.36B |
| Total Liabilities | 10.35B | 10.38B | 9.50B | 9.27B | 8.61B | 9.04B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.31B | 3.33B | 3.55B | 3.56B | 3.70B | 3.56B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 252.00M | 159.00M | 463.00M | 602.00M | 473.00M | 204.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 443.00M | 379.00M | 633.00M | 800.00M | 674.00M | 315.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.30B | 357.00M | 81.00M | -365.00M | 416.00M | -1.77B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.12B | -954.00M | -618.00M | -578.00M | -1.11B | 1.29B |
Hyatt Hotels Technical Analysis
Negative
187.13
Price Trends
189.54
Negative
173.06
Positive
165.67
Positive
Market Momentum
-2.46
Positive
33.20
Neutral
36.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For H, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 187.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.70, below the 50-day MA of 189.54, and above the 200-day MA of 165.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for H.
Hyatt Hotels Risk Analysis
Hyatt Hotels disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hyatt Hotels reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Hyatt Hotels Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $23.74B | 39.20 | -23.50% | 1.18% | 5.59% | 26.44% | |
69 Neutral | $72.13B | 46.58 | -28.13% | 0.19% | 8.74% | 4.50% | |
66 Neutral | $12.82B | 4.79 | 41.76% | 5.21% | 9.63% | 59.04% | |
66 Neutral | $98.31B | 39.12 | -74.11% | 0.73% | 4.69% | 8.46% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $16.49B | 63.29 | 6.71% | 0.32% | 6.36% | -80.55% | |
55 Neutral | $5.56B | 27.12 | 42.06% | 2.28% | -2.21% | -35.98% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
H
Hyatt Hotels
171.58
33.87
24.59%
HTHT
H World Group
42.63
12.98
43.76%
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group
158.00
44.17
38.81%
MAR
Marriott International
346.83
89.97
35.03%
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
314.34
52.46
20.03%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
75.27
-7.48
-9.04%
Hyatt Hotels Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Hyatt Hotels Posts Strong Q2 Results, Expands Pipeline
Positive
Jul 30, 2026
On July 30, 2026, Hyatt reported second quarter 2026 results showing solid performance in its core hotel business, with comparable system-wide RevPAR up 5.9% year-on-year and gross fees rising 7.8%, while all-inclusive Net Package RevPAR declined ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Hyatt Hotels Unveils Strategy and Expands Share Buyback
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 28, 2026, Hyatt Hotels held its previously announced Investor Day, offering a webcast presentation and slide deck that outlined its long-term strategic positioning as a high-end, innovation-driven hospitality group. The event, led by senior...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hyatt Hotels Announces Board Changes and Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 22, 2026
On May 20, 2026, Hyatt Hotels Corporation announced that director Paul D. Ballew retired from the board and its committees, with the company stating his departure was not related to any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices. Also on...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.