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Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc (WH)
NYSE:WH

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) AI Stock Analysis

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WH

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts

(NYSE:WH)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
â–²(17.23%Upside)
Wyndham's strong earnings performance and profitability are the primary strengths, supported by international expansion and strategic growth. However, high debt levels, moderate valuation, and bearish technical indicators present cautionary elements. The revised outlook due to challenges in key markets also impacts the overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth potential
The setup for growth is increasingly favorable, with positive secular trends in the mid-lower chain scales where WH is positioned.
Shareholder value
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts returned $430 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, indicating strong shareholder value.
Valuation
Valuation is still at a discount to peers despite a similar 'algorithm' for 2025, which may indicate potential for growth.
Negative Factors
Market expectations
FY25 guidance was 1% better than expected, yet the market response was not as positive as anticipated.
Stock performance
Despite an upside FY25 adj EBITDA guide, WH underperformed, -2% vs SPX +0.5%.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. operates as a hotel franchisor worldwide. It operates through Hotel Franchising and Hotel Management segments. The Hotel Franchising segment licenses its lodging brands and provides related services to third-party hotel owners and others. The Hotel Management segment provides hotel management services for full-service and limited-service hotels. It is also involved in the reward loyalty program business. The company's hotel brand portfolios include Super 8, Days Inn, Travelodge, Microtel, Howard Johnson, La Quinta, Ramada, Baymont, AmericInn, Wingate, Wyndham Alltra, Wyndham Garden, Ramada Encore, Hawthorn, Registry Collection, Trademark Collection, TRYP, Dazzler, Esplendor, Wyndham Grand, Dolce, and Wyndham. As of August 9, 2022, it operated a portfolio of 22 hotel brands with approximately 9,000 hotels with approximately 8,19,000 rooms in approximately 95 countries. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyWyndham Hotels & Resorts primarily generates revenue through two main streams: franchise fees and hotel management fees. Franchise fees are earned from hotel owners who operate their properties under one of Wyndham's brands, paying for brand recognition, marketing support, and operational standards. These fees typically include initial fees, ongoing royalties based on a percentage of room revenue, and marketing and reservation fees. In addition to franchising, Wyndham manages some properties directly, earning management fees based on the performance and revenue of these hotels. Strategic partnerships and loyalty programs also contribute to Wyndham's revenue by enhancing guest engagement and driving repeat business.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a solid performance with strong financial metrics, record pipeline growth, and international expansion. However, concerns were noted in the RevPAR decline in China and U.S. underperformance, leading to a downward revision in the outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA grew 9%, and adjusted EPS increased 20% in the first quarter. Fee-related and other revenues increased by $12 million year-over-year.
Record Pipeline and Room Additions
Global system grew by 4% and the pipeline by 5% to a record 2,143 hotels. Opened 15,000 rooms, 13% more than last year.
Growth in Ancillary Fee Streams
Ancillary revenue growth driven by higher credit card and partnership fees. New Barclays accounts rose 11%, and spend volumes increased 7%.
International Expansion
International net rooms grew by 7%. Strong interest in brands across Europe, the Middle East, and Eurasia, with team growing pipeline by nearly 40%.
Recognition and Ethical Practices
Named one of the World's Most Ethical Companies by Ethisphere for the third straight year.
Negative Updates
RevPAR Decline in China
RevPAR declined 8% year-over-year in China due to continued pricing pressure.
U.S. RevPAR Underperformance
U.S. RevPAR momentum softened in February and March, finishing about 3 points below expectations.
Revised Downward Outlook
Adjusted EBITDA outlook revised down by $10 million to $15 million from prior expectations due to softer trends in March and April.
Company Guidance
During the Wyndham Hotels & Resorts First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided robust guidance despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% on a comparable basis, while adjusted EPS rose by 20%. The company experienced a global system growth of 4% and a pipeline expansion by 5%, reaching a record 2,143 hotels. Global RevPAR grew by 2% in constant currency, with notable regional performances: Latin America RevPAR surged 25%, EMEA RevPAR climbed 6%, and Southeast Asia and the Pacific Rim posted 8% growth. However, China faced an 8% decline in RevPAR due to pricing pressures. The company returned nearly $110 million to shareholders and saw strong momentum in its ancillary revenue streams, driven by a renewed co-branded credit card agreement and new partnerships. Looking forward, the company expects full-year constant currency global RevPAR to range between down 2% to up 1%, refining its 2025 outlook to reflect a cautious view amid broader market volatility.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts shows strong profitability and revenue growth with solid margins. However, high debt levels present risks, despite a robust ROE. Cash flow conversion is moderate, indicating a need for improved free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts has shown a consistent revenue growth trend from 2020 to TTM 2025, with a notable revenue increase of 0.85% from the previous year to TTM 2025. The gross profit margin is strong at 83.24% for TTM 2025, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 23.52% in TTM 2025, up from 20.52% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the company experienced a slight decline in net income growth from 2022 to 2023, indicating potential challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid, supporting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has been increasing, reaching a high of 5.22 in TTM 2025, suggesting a significant reliance on debt financing which could pose risks in economic downturns. The equity ratio has declined to 13.63% in TTM 2025, indicating a lower proportion of equity financing relative to total assets. Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 57.69% in TTM 2025, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits despite the high leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow decreased from 2024 to TTM 2025, with a decline in free cash flow growth rate, suggesting a need to enhance cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.81 in TTM 2025, indicating that a significant portion of net income is being converted into operating cash flow, which is positive. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, suggesting a moderate conversion of net income into free cash flow, pointing to effective cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.42B1.41B1.40B1.50B1.56B1.30B
Gross Profit
1.18B1.33B815.00M830.00M795.00M531.00M
EBIT
552.00M495.00M503.00M558.00M446.00M208.00M
EBITDA
620.00M563.00M582.00M601.00M550.00M54.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
334.00M289.00M289.00M355.00M244.00M-132.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
48.00M103.00M66.00M161.00M171.00M493.00M
Total Assets
4.25B4.22B4.03B4.12B4.27B4.64B
Total Debt
2.53B2.47B2.21B2.10B2.08B2.60B
Net Debt
2.48B2.36B2.14B1.94B1.91B2.10B
Total Liabilities
3.67B3.57B3.29B3.16B3.18B3.68B
Stockholders Equity
579.00M650.00M746.00M962.00M1.09B963.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
223.00M241.00M339.00M360.00M389.00M34.00M
Operating Cash Flow
270.00M290.00M376.00M399.00M426.00M67.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-100.00M-65.00M-66.00M179.00M-34.00M-31.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-173.00M-175.00M-402.00M-584.00M-713.00M363.00M

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price79.33
Price Trends
50DMA
83.56
Negative
100DMA
90.96
Negative
200DMA
90.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.42
Positive
RSI
38.89
Neutral
STOCH
16.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 79.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.26, below the 50-day MA of 83.56, and below the 200-day MA of 90.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WH.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wyndham Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HLHLT
73
Outperform
$59.15B39.25-41.19%0.24%7.43%38.52%
MAMAR
72
Outperform
$70.54B29.33-144.82%1.04%5.45%-9.50%
CHCHH
70
Outperform
$5.70B18.69-661.94%0.94%2.75%40.83%
HH
70
Outperform
$12.65B17.1822.31%0.46%-7.38%19.62%
WHWH
67
Neutral
$6.14B18.9453.31%2.06%4.79%48.48%
IHIHG
64
Neutral
$16.84B28.78-27.16%4.08%6.34%-11.99%
62
Neutral
$6.76B11.072.80%6.34%2.68%-24.87%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
79.33
6.50
8.92%
CHH
Choice Hotels
122.90
3.62
3.03%
H
Hyatt Hotels
131.72
-17.92
-11.98%
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group
110.79
6.37
6.10%
MAR
Marriott International
260.19
16.95
6.97%
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
248.86
32.36
14.95%

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wyndham Hotels Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders elected eight directors to serve until the 2026 meeting. Additionally, stockholders approved executive compensation and decided to hold annual advisory votes on this matter. Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (WH) stock is a Buy with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wyndham Hotels & Resorts stock, see the WH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wyndham Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts reported strong first-quarter results for the period ending March 31, 2025, with record global openings of 15,000 rooms, a 4% year-over-year system-wide room growth, and a 6% increase in awarded development contracts. The company achieved a 2% growth in global RevPAR, with notable performance in EMEA and Latin America, and a significant increase in net income to $61 million from $16 million in the prior-year quarter. Wyndham’s development pipeline reached a record 254,000 rooms, with 70% in midscale and above segments, reflecting strategic growth and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.