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Choice Hotels International (CHH)
NYSE:CHH
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Choice Hotels (CHH) AI Stock Analysis

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CHH

Choice Hotels

(NYSE:CHH)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$97.00
▲(0.03% Upside)
Choice Hotels' overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its strengths and weaknesses. The positive earnings call and attractive valuation are offset by technical weaknesses and financial leverage concerns. The company's strategic focus on international growth and extended stay segments is promising, but domestic challenges and high debt levels remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
International Expansion
The significant growth in international operations highlights Choice Hotels' strategic focus on expanding its global footprint, which can drive long-term revenue growth and diversify its market exposure.
Franchise Growth
The substantial increase in franchise agreements indicates robust demand for Choice Hotels' brands, supporting sustainable revenue growth and enhancing its competitive position in the lodging industry.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash generation capabilities enhance financial flexibility, allowing Choice Hotels to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively, supporting long-term business stability.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
High financial leverage and negative equity pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Declining U.S. RevPAR
The decline in U.S. RevPAR reflects challenges in key domestic markets, which could impact overall revenue growth and profitability if not addressed effectively.
Revenue Growth Concerns
Negative revenue growth indicates potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could affect long-term profitability and market competitiveness.

Choice Hotels (CHH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Choice Hotels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChoice Hotels International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a hotel franchisor worldwide. The company operates in Hotel Franchising and Corporate & Other segments. It franchises lodging properties under the brand names of Comfort Inn, Comfort Suites, Quality, Clarion, Clarion Pointe, Sleep Inn, Econo Lodge, Rodeway Inn, MainStay Suites, Suburban Extended Stay Hotel, WoodSpring Suites, Everhome Suites, Cambria Hotels, and Ascend Hotel Collection. The company also develops and markets cloud-based property management software to non-franchised hoteliers. As of March 31, 2022, it had approximately 7,000 hotels with approximately 600,000 rooms in 35 countries and territories. Choice Hotels International, Inc. was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyChoice Hotels generates revenue primarily through its franchising model. The company earns money by charging franchisees initial franchise fees and ongoing royalty fees, which are typically a percentage of the hotel’s revenue. In addition to these fees, Choice Hotels also profits from various ancillary services, such as marketing and technology services that they provide to their franchisees. The company has established significant partnerships with various travel industry players, including online travel agencies (OTAs) and loyalty programs, which enhance its market reach and customer acquisition. Furthermore, the company's emphasis on loyalty programs, such as Choice Privileges, encourages repeat business, contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Choice Hotels Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Occupancy Percentage
Occupancy Percentage
Indicates the proportion of available rooms that are occupied, reflecting demand strength and operational efficiency in maximizing room usage.
Chart InsightsChoice Hotels' occupancy rates have shown a steady recovery post-pandemic, particularly in the Extended Stay segment, which remains a key growth driver. The latest earnings call highlights a strong performance in business travel and extended stay, despite macroeconomic uncertainties affecting RevPAR expectations. The Upscale segment faces challenges with underperformance due to property transitions. However, strategic investments and a robust international pipeline position the company well for future demand, with an optimistic outlook for extended stay and upscale limited-service segments.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Choice Hotels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased significant growth in adjusted EBITDA and international expansion, with strong pipeline metrics and business travel revenue gains. However, challenges were noted in U.S. RevPAR performance and specific demand segments, such as government and international inbound travel. Despite these challenges, the overall strategic progress and financial results indicate a positive trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Adjusted EBITDA
Choice Hotels achieved a record third quarter adjusted EBITDA of $190 million, up 7% year-over-year, highlighting strong performance across higher revenue segments and international markets.
International Growth Surge
The international portfolio expanded by over 8% year-over-year, with international adjusted EBITDA growing by 35%. The company also successfully transitioned 40% of its international rooms portfolio to a direct franchising model.
Strong Pipeline and Franchise Growth
Global franchise agreements awarded increased by 54% year-over-year, with nearly 98% of rooms in the pipeline being in higher revenue brands. The pipeline is expected to be 1.7x more accretive than the current portfolio.
Business Travel and Group Revenue Growth
Business travel now represents 40% of stays, with group revenue rising by 35% year-over-year and small and medium business revenue growing by 18%.
Negative Updates
U.S. RevPAR Decline
U.S. RevPAR declined by 3.2% year-over-year, mainly due to softer government and international inbound demand.
Impact of Higher Amortization and Tax Expenses
Adjusted earnings per share decreased to $2.10 from $2.23, impacted by higher amortization expense related to the Choice Hotels Canada acquisition and a temporary increase in income tax expenses.
Challenges in Government and International Inbound Demand
Government travel was down by 20% during the quarter, and inbound travel from Canada decreased by 30%, impacting overall RevPAR performance.
Company Guidance
During Choice Hotels International's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 7% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $190 million, driven by strong performance across its higher revenue segments and international operations. The company raised the midpoint of its full-year earnings outlook, emphasizing a nearly 2.5% year-over-year increase in net global rooms, with growth led by a 3.5% increase in higher revenue segments. The call highlighted a 54% year-over-year rise in global franchise agreements and projected that hotels in their pipeline are expected to be 1.7 times more accretive than the current portfolio. Internationally, the company achieved 35% growth in adjusted international EBITDA, with a significant 8% year-over-year expansion in its international portfolio. In the U.S., the company noted an improvement in economy transient segment occupancy and a slight increase in occupancy index across its portfolio, indicating potential for broader RevPAR growth. The company is optimistic about demand catalysts such as the 2026 World Cup and favorable demographic trends, expecting these factors to propel future growth.

Choice Hotels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Choice Hotels exhibits a mixed financial performance. While profitability metrics like net profit margin are strong, the negative revenue growth and high financial leverage are concerning. The cash flow situation is improving, but the balance sheet's negative equity and high debt levels pose risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Choice Hotels shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has maintained a relatively stable gross profit margin around 48% in the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the revenue growth rate has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting a potential decline in sales. The net profit margin remains healthy at approximately 19.75%, suggesting profitability, but the declining revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a concerning debt-to-equity ratio. The negative return on equity in the TTM indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a 39.2% growth in free cash flow in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting that not all net income is being converted into cash, which could be a risk if it persists. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is over 50%, indicating decent cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.60B1.58B1.54B1.40B1.07B774.07M
Gross Profit891.56M744.17M690.28M700.05M599.60M311.16M
EBITDA628.01M553.64M440.39M511.03M447.94M127.86M
Net Income382.07M299.67M258.51M332.15M288.96M75.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.91B2.53B2.39B2.10B1.93B1.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.58M40.18M26.75M41.57M511.61M234.78M
Total Debt2.03B1.89B1.68B1.29B1.11B1.08B
Total Liabilities2.76B2.58B2.36B1.95B1.67B1.59B
Stockholders Equity149.77M-45.27M35.60M154.66M265.88M-5.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow238.76M173.55M178.26M273.48M305.83M75.10M
Operating Cash Flow267.62M319.40M296.55M367.06M383.70M115.05M
Investing Cash Flow-199.06M-84.57M-265.63M-442.43M-78.93M-29.47M
Financing Cash Flow-76.47M-221.71M-45.94M-394.15M-27.72M115.40M

Choice Hotels Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price96.97
Price Trends
50DMA
105.54
Negative
100DMA
116.13
Negative
200DMA
124.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.52
Negative
RSI
44.11
Neutral
STOCH
30.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 96.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.50, below the 50-day MA of 105.54, and below the 200-day MA of 124.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHH.

Choice Hotels Risk Analysis

Choice Hotels disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Choice Hotels reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Choice Hotels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$12.11B25.0230.38%4.43%4.43%1.61%
74
Outperform
$5.48B28.8946.30%2.19%37.98%32.17%
65
Neutral
$5.53B16.8657.98%2.20%3.38%38.04%
63
Neutral
$12.98B32.0711.66%0.43%0.74%-54.42%
62
Neutral
$4.23B14.041.26%1.67%35.34%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$18.32B25.471.37%8.89%23.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHH
Choice Hotels
96.97
-45.70
-32.03%
HTHT
H World Group
40.73
4.84
13.49%
H
Hyatt Hotels
138.00
-15.24
-9.95%
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group
125.87
8.80
7.52%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
72.72
-20.66
-22.12%
ATAT
Atour Lifestyle Holdings
40.30
13.93
52.83%

Choice Hotels Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Choice Hotels Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Choice Hotels International reported its third quarter 2025 results, showcasing a 2.3% global net room growth and a 54% increase in global franchise agreements. The company achieved a net income of $180 million, up from $105.7 million in the same period of 2024, and a record adjusted EBITDA of $190.1 million. Despite a decrease in adjusted diluted EPS due to acquisition-related expenses, Choice Hotels expanded its international operations significantly, adding new rooms and entering new markets, which positions the company for long-term growth and increased profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHH) stock is a Hold with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Choice Hotels stock, see the CHH Stock Forecast page.

Choice Hotels Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 7, 2025

Choice Hotels International, Inc. is a prominent global lodging franchisor with a diverse portfolio of 22 brands, catering to various market segments from upscale to economy, and operates nearly 7,500 hotels worldwide.

Choice Hotels’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Choice Hotels International presented a balanced sentiment, showcasing the company’s achievements in international expansion and strategic acquisitions, while acknowledging challenges in domestic RevPAR performance and macroeconomic uncertainties. This equilibrium between growth and challenges was a central theme throughout the discussion.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025